Service Plays Monday 11/23/09

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DON BEST STEAM

8:43:07am 2009-11-23 702 Memphis Under 207
8:37:52am 2009-11-23 764 TCU -14½
8:35:46am 2009-11-23 728 Purdue -1
8:26:57am 2009-11-23 724 Boston College -2½
8:24:37am 2009-11-23 706 Portland Under 185
8:22:23am 2009-11-23 714 Fresno State +5
 
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RANDALL THE HANDLE
Boston +1.00 over ST. LOUIS

The Bruins pretty much have a full, healthy team, as Marc Savard will come off the IR today and play in this one. The Bruins have a little momentum going with back-to-back road wins in Atlanta and Buffalo and they’re sure not taking a step up in class here. Savard could be a bit rusty but then again he’s one of the hardest working players in the league and just his presence alone gives the team a boost and instantly makes them a whole lot better. The Blue Notes have back-to-back wins also, however, it came against two teams, the Coyotes and Islanders that were both dead tired. In fact, when the Islanders came to St. Louis it was the their sixth consecutive road game and when the Coyotes visited it was their fifth game in seven days, its third in four days and the tail end of back-to-backs. Prior to those two very winnable games, the Blue Notes had lost six of seven and over those seven losses they scored six lousy goals. St. Louis is dead last in the NHL in power-play percentage, which now stands at 12.7%. It’s also worth noting that the Blues have been at home for an extended amount of time (14 days) and that’s never beneficial. The Bruins are in the more favorable spot, they’re hungrier, healthier, superior and so ready. Play: Boston +1.00 (Risking 2 units).


NASHVILLE –1.06 over Detroit

They have recent wins over Columbus, New Jersey and San Jose. They’ve won five in a row and six of its last seven games. They play as good or better defensively than anyone in the business and nobody spends less time in the box than these Predators. Nashville plays a strong, disciplined and aggressive style and they’re also getting tremendous goaltending. At home, the Preds have won seven of 10 games and right now they’re on a serious roll. Meanwhile, the Red Wings will play its third game in four days against this extremely tough team. Detroit is warm with four wins in its last six but over that stretch they’ve had a few soft games that includes wins over Anaheim and Montreal. The Red Wings last two road games came in Toronto, where they lost 5-1 and in Montreal where they needed OT to win 3-2. Now Detroit will take a huge step up in class minus Niklas Kronwall among others, thus, this has to be considered an underlay. Play: Nashville –1.06 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).


Milwaukee +9½ over SAN ANTONIO

Man, this line seems rather high when you consider that the Bucks are playing tremendous basketball with Brandon Jennings become front page news in every sports section in the land. The kid has been unstoppable and has led the Bucks to three straight wins, seven wins in its last eight games and an overall record of 8-3. The Spurs are just 5-6 with losses in three of its last four and its only won over that stretch coming against the Wizards. In three meeting last year between these two the Bucks won twice and lost the other by a single basket and this year the Bucks are so much better and confident and the Spurs are worse. Perhaps the general consensus is that the Bucks are just an aberration and they’ll come back down to earth at some point. Perhaps this is the sucker bet of the night. After all, if the Bulls are getting 8 in Portland how can one justify the Bucks getting 9½ in San Antonio minus Ginobili? In any case, if it is the sucket bet of the night shame on me. However, it’s also quite possible that the Spurs are just way overvalued in this one based on each teams past and I’ll gladly go with that. Play: Milwaukee +9½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
 

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doc nba

3-Unit Play #703 Take Milwaukee +9 Over San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST, Monday)
 
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Monday NBA 44-13 System Play GC-

On Monday night the Bonus Play in NBA action is on the Portland Trailblazers. Game 706 at 10:05 eastern. The Blazers fit a nice 44-13 system that plays on certain home teams off a win of 28 or more provided they were not a home dog of more than eight and off a loss the game prior to the blowout. The Blazers have no problems with the Bulls of late winning the last 4 games and covering in three of them. When they play off a win of 10 or more points they are 4-0 straight up and against the spread. They also play well vs teams who average less than 91 points per game,having won and covered all three times vs the offesnsively challenged teams. Look for the Blazers to cash this one comfortably tonight. In NFL action I have a solid Monday night specific system that goes in tonights game. The Game also has 3 big power angles that apply. In college hoops I have a double perfect Power angle play. We have been hot coming off yet another big week. Jump on now and start your week big. Take the Portland Trailblazers tonight. BOL GC
 

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DENVER MONEY'S NHL Monday 11/23

Going to keep this short and sweet today as I am a little under the weather and feel as if I'm going to croak. Best of luck if you fade or follow:

1* Phoenix / Edmonton OVER 5.5 -105

1* Anahiem -110

1* St. Louis -110

2* Carolina/ Dallas OVER 5.5 -110
 

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ROBERT FERRINGO/HOOPS 11/23

3-Unit Play. Take #729 Colorado (+11) over Gonzaga (3 p.m.)

2-Unit Play. Take #758 Indiana State (-5.5) over Coastal Carolina (5:30 p.m.)

2-Unit Play. Take #751 Texas (-15) over Iowa (10 p.m.)

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #731 Cincinnati (+9) over Vanderbilt (5:30 p.m.) AND Take #727 Tennessee (+7) over Purdue (8:30 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #747 UT-San Antonio (-3) over UC-Irvine (8:30 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #765 Appalachian State (+19.5) over Louisville (7 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. FIRST HALF: Take #765 Appalachian State (+11) over Louisville (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #742 Duquesne (-22) over Binghamton (5 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #749 Wichita State (+11) over Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m.) AND #742 Duquesne (-17) over Binghamton (5 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #715 San Francisco (+12.5) over UC-Santa Barbara (10 p.m.) AND Take #751 Texas (-10) over Iowa (10 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #758 Indiana State (-0.5) over Coastal Carolina (5:30 p.m.) AND Take #729 Colorado (+15) over Gonzaga (3 p.m.)
 

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Smooth44

NFL

8:20PM EST

PLAY OF THE DAY:

HOUSTON -4

As many of you know I will find every reason to love a MNF DOG, however, tonight I can't find ONE !! What we have is a case of the Titans being significantly over-valued on the heels of 3 consecutive wins combined with Vince Young's past success against the Texans!! However, that was then and this is now!! Folks, the Texans enter this game well rested and, at 5-4, this is as close to a "must win" as we might see for this time of the year!! With the Colts running away with the conference and division the Texans only chance to get to the playoffs is through the wild card and with the Broncos now riding a 4-game skid a win tonight puts the Texans in a 4-way tie for the wild card spot!! Look for Houston to be a playoff like atmosphere tonight and for this team to be extra focused for this primetime showdown!! Oddsmakers opened this line at 3.5 and with public pounding Tennessee did not hesitate to move it to 4, a key number, which tells me the line should not come into play tonight and Houston should cover!! It is worth noting the Texans are 6-0 ATS L6 following a loss and 5-1 ATS L6 against AFC South opponents. I should also point out that there is a huge system in play tonight backing certain home faves coming off a bye week and those teams cover almost 80% of the time over the long haul!! Houston is my PLAY OF THE DAY !!

PREDICTION: HOUSTON 31 TENNESSEE 17





CBB

ALL ARE TOP-RATED

3:30PM EST : NORTHERN IOWA +3

5PM EST : YALE +12

5PM EST : VANDERBILT -4

5:30PM EST : INDIAN STATE -5 -120

6PM EST : EASTERN KENTUCKY -10
 
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WIN OR LOSE 11/23

NCAA Football
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
*** No Games

National Football League
Rot# Team Spread/Type Line Wager
435 TENN +5 -107 $7

National Hockey League
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
54 NY Rangers ML -125 $13
58 FLA +1.5 -290 $7
63 Carol ML +170 $4 (Added)
63 Carol +1.5 -170 $5 (Added)
68 ED ML -130 $5
70 ANA ML -115 $9


National Basketball Association (Remember we are Buying 2 Points)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
703 MIL +11.5 -150 $8
703 Mil / SA OV 190 -150 $4 (Added)
705 CHI +10 -150 $15
705 Chi / Port OV 182 -150 $8 (Added)


NCAA Basketball (We are buying 2 points on each game)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
716 Cal- Santa Barb -4.5 -150 $6
720 UCLA -12.5 -150 $6
741 Binghamton +24 -150 $5
764 TCU -12.5 -150 $12
 

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3 units on tonights mnf over the total

Is this the ats lock club??
 

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Bulls/Blazers OVER 179.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on the "over" in this situation:

The Bulls struggled defensively in the first two games of a six-game trip, losing 112-93 to Denver on Saturday night after being defeated 108-93 by the Los Angeles Lakers two days earlier. Chicago gave up 100 points in one of its previous 10 games and I expect it to stumble again today.

Keep in mind that the total has gone "over" the posted number in four of Chicago's last five vs. Portland overall.

On the other side of the court: Portland (10-5) had lost two of three and was held under 100 points in five straight contests before beating Minnesota 106-78 on Saturday night; look for them to build off that victory.

The Trail Blazers made 41.7 % (10 for 24) of their 3-point attempts after being held under 30 % in three of their previous five games.

Portland has seen the total go "over" the posted number after playing to 3 or more consecutive "unders", and I look for this trend to continue tonight.

Bottom line: This line is simply too low; when taking into account all of the above factors I have to strongly recommend a play on the OVER!

*8* OVER.
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BEN BURNS 11/23

Ben Burns' 7* AFTERNOON ANNIHILATOR

VANDERBILT COMMODORES (-3.5) over Cincinnati Bearcats

Reason: I'm laying the points with VANDERBILT. The Bearcats and Commodores tip-off the opening round of the Maui Invitational. While I respect Cincinnati, I feel that Vanderbilt will have the advantage. Both teams come in at 2-0. However, the Commodores 2-0 record is much more impressive. While Cincinnati has defeated a pair of weak opponents (Praire View and Toledo) Vanderbilt comes off a victory at St. Mary's. Considering that the Gaels have been practically unbeatable at home in recent years, that win was fairly significant. I also like that the game was so close at the end. Not only did it help to keep this line a little lower than it would have if Cincinnati had won by double-digits, but it also gave the Commodores some close game experience, on the road, vs. a quality opponent. I expect that to serve them well in tournament play. The Bearcats haven't played a quality opponent yet and they haven't played outside of Cincinnati. They also really struggled with lowly Praire View. While I do feel they'll be a solid team this season, I feel this early season matchup will be a tough one. The Bearcats have also struggled in November in recent years. They're 2-5 ATS their last seven November lined games and 12-22 ATS their last 34. Conversely, the Commodores are 8-4 ATS (13-1 SU) in November the last few seasons and 29-18 ATS (54-9 SU!) their last 63. The Commodores are 5-1 SU/ATS the last six times that they were neutral court favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range. I expect them to improve on those numbers here. *7 Annihilator
 

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Ron Raymond

COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS +115

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Keys to selection: The Rangers have hit their low point of the season and they will be without Drury this evening, as it’s reported he has a concussion. Rangers will only go as far as Gaborik will take them and it’s too much pressure to put on one player. Tortorella is shuffling his players and they get pretty thin at the 3rd and 4th line.

Database Tip: When COLUMBUS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Non Conference Opponent - Last 2 years; the Blue Jackets are 10-3 SU in this role.

ATS Ratings: Columbus by 0.15 goals.

Ron’s Prediction: Columbus 4 NY Rangers 2
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Evan Altemus

TENNESSEE TITANS +4

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Tennessee has a great deal of momentum heading into this game. They had to deal with numerous injuries this season, as well as a tough opening schedule. However, their secondary is finally healthy, and the team overall is the most healthy they have been all season. Meanwhile, Houston was one of the hottest teams in the NFL before their bye week, but I feel that they will come out sluggish in this game. Bye weeks in the NFL can either help or hurt a team, and I feel in this case it will cause the Texans to lose some of the momentum that they have gained. Overall this is an AFC South divisional match-up. These two teams are rivals, and the Titans want revenge for their loss to the Texans earlier this season. Several players have stated that they want to pound Houston to make for the loss they gave them on their home field. These two teams know each other very well, and the underdog in this match-up has covered several times over the last few years. Look for Tennessee to either cover and/or win this game outright.

4 UNIT SELECTION TITANS.
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Rocketman

PITTSBURGH PENGUINS -120

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Penguins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Penguins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Penguins are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a road favorite. Penguins are 24-8 in their last 32 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Penguins are 38-13 in their last 51 games as a favorite. Penguins are 11-4 in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest. Penguins are 37-14 in their last 51 vs. Eastern Conference. Penguins are 47-21 in their last 68 overall. Penguins are 31-14 in their last 45 games following a win. Penguins are 37-17 in their last 54 vs. Southeast. Penguins are 47-22 in their last 69 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Penguins are 41-20 in their last 61 vs. a team with a losing record. Panthers are 17-36-6 in their last 59 Monday games. Panthers are 7-19 in their last 26 games as a home underdog. Penguins are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. We'll play Pittsburgh for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.[/FONT]
 

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