SPORTS WAGERS/RANDALL THE HANDLE
Texans (4-2) at Colts (4-2)
Asking the Texans to win here en route to a season sweep of adversarial Colts may not be wise but with Indianapolis’ long list of injuries, most notably in the receiving corp., and being given a bunch of points to play with, there are much dumber things you could do on a Monday night. TAKING: HOUSTON +5½
Texans (4-2) at Colts (4-2)
Asking the Texans to win here en route to a season sweep of adversarial Colts may not be wise but with Indianapolis’ long list of injuries, most notably in the receiving corp., and being given a bunch of points to play with, there are much dumber things you could do on a Monday night. TAKING: HOUSTON +5½
FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME
100* Play San Francisco (+160) over Texas
San Francisco has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have also won 6 of the last 8 road games when the total posted is between 6 and 6.5 runs. Tim Lincecum has won 6 of the last 7 games when pitching on a Monday and he is 8-3 in road games this season with an ERA of 3.21.
NHL Hockey
25* Play Vancouver (-165) over New Jersey
25* Play Philadelphia (-185) over Carolina
100* Play San Francisco (+160) over Texas
San Francisco has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have also won 6 of the last 8 road games when the total posted is between 6 and 6.5 runs. Tim Lincecum has won 6 of the last 7 games when pitching on a Monday and he is 8-3 in road games this season with an ERA of 3.21.
NHL Hockey
25* Play Vancouver (-165) over New Jersey
25* Play Philadelphia (-185) over Carolina
Monday night total of the year + mlb winner
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On Monday the Bonus Play is on the under in the SF at Texas game. Rotation numbers 959/960 at 7:55 eastern. Game 5 pits a rematch of both game 1 starters in Lincecum and Lee/ Both pitchers were off their game in the first go round. Tonight things should get back to normal. There's a nice system which has cashed 10 of 13 times that pertains to last nights results. What we want to do is play the under for home favorites at -140 or higher with a total of 8 or less that are off home favored loss by 2 or more runs and scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits, vs an opponent off a road dog win that scored 4 or less runs. Look for a lower scoring game tonight I will also have a nice free NFL winner on tonight's radio show. Listen online at 7:45 eastern at 88.9 wsia.fm. For the Bonus Play take the Under in the SF at Texas game. GC
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On Monday the Bonus Play is on the under in the SF at Texas game. Rotation numbers 959/960 at 7:55 eastern. Game 5 pits a rematch of both game 1 starters in Lincecum and Lee/ Both pitchers were off their game in the first go round. Tonight things should get back to normal. There's a nice system which has cashed 10 of 13 times that pertains to last nights results. What we want to do is play the under for home favorites at -140 or higher with a total of 8 or less that are off home favored loss by 2 or more runs and scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits, vs an opponent off a road dog win that scored 4 or less runs. Look for a lower scoring game tonight I will also have a nice free NFL winner on tonight's radio show. Listen online at 7:45 eastern at 88.9 wsia.fm. For the Bonus Play take the Under in the SF at Texas game. GC
Statsystems report 11/1
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/1
NBA & MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA & NFL *****
*** TEXANS SEEK SEASON SWEEP OF COLTS ***
------------------------------------------------------------
The Houston Texans came through with what was viewed as a landmark win in their last encounter with the Indianapolis Colts. When the two AFC South foes square off again Monday night at Lucas Oil Stadium, they'll be trying to achieve a franchise first. Houston has never beaten the Colts in Indianapolis in its history, though the team has come close to doing so in recent times. The Texans owned a four-point lead in the fourth quarter of last November's encounter at Lucas Oil Stadium, but a Colts touchdown with just over seven minutes to go dealt Gary Kubiak's club a tough 20-17 loss. Houston was also ahead in the second half of a 2008 clash in Indianapolis, but eventually fell by a 33-27 count.
The Texans did dish out a little payback against their longtime nemesis during Week 1 of this 2010 season, this time leading from start-to-finish in a 34-24 verdict that made the NFL world wonder whether a team that had been flirted with playoff participation in the past was indeed ready to break through. Houston prevailed by abusing the Colts with an incredibly potent running game, unleashing running back Arian Foster for a club-record 231 yards and three second-half touchdowns on 33 attempts. The Texans piled up 257 yards on the ground for the game, also the most in team annals.
Indianapolis amassed its share of yardage that day as well, with star quarterback Peyton Manning shredding Houston's porous secondary for 469 passing yards and three touchdowns. Wide receiver Austin Collie hauled in 11 Manning throws for 163 yards, 73 of which came on a scoring catch in the game's waning stages, with All-Pro tight end Dallas Clark adding 11 catches of his own for a total of 80 yards.
Neither Clark nor Collie will be available for Monday's rematch, however, with the former done for the season with a wrist injury sustained in Indianapolis' 27-24 win at Washington on Oct. 17 and Collie having undergone surgery on his right thumb less than two weeks ago. Their absences take away two key components of the league's second-ranked passing attack, and the Colts may also be without leading rusher Joseph Addai due to a ailing shoulder.
Indianapolis still has a healthy Manning, however, and the four-time NFL MVP will likely be bombing away once again at a Houston defense that's surrendering a league-worst 306.2 passing yards per game and won't have one of its core players suiting up, with standout middle linebacker DeMeco Ryans tearing his left Achilles' tendon in the Texans' 35-31 shootout win over Kansas City back in Week 6.
Houston gave up 417 total yards to the AFC West-leading Chiefs and trailed 31-21 midway through the fourth quarter before rallying for two late touchdowns, with quarterback Matt Schaub and wide receiver Andre Johnson connecting on the go-ahead 11-yard touchdown pass with only 28 seconds remaining. Both the Texans and Colts enter Monday's showdown with 4-2 records and sit a half-game back of front-running Tennessee in the AFC South, with each team coming off a bye week as well.
• SERIES HISTORY
----------------------
Houston's season-opening triumph was only the franchise's second win in 17 all-time meetings with the Colts, and the Texans have never emerged victorious in their eight previous visits to Indianapolis. The Colts, who had taken six straight matchups in the series prior to the Week 1 loss, handed Houston a 20-17 setback at Lucas Oil Stadium during Week 9 of last season. Kubiak is 2-7 against the Colts in his career, while Indianapolis' Jim Caldwell is 2-1 against both Kubiak and Houston as a head man.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Indianapolis by 5; O/U 50
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Indianapolis -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Indianapolis -7.32
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--INDIANAPOLIS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 25.2, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 20.5, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 25.5, OPPONENT 13.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) off a home win since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 18.9, OPPONENT 25.2 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--INDIANAPOLIS is 16-6 UNDER (+9.4 Units) off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 22.2, OPPONENT 17.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 24.6, OPPONENT 33.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 22.6, OPPONENT 18.7 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--INDIANAPOLIS is 50-29 against the 1rst half line (+18.1 Units) off a road win since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 13.7, OPPONENT 8.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 10-24 against the 1rst half line (-16.4 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 10.9, OPPONENT 13.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 47-29 UNDER (+15.1 Units) the 1rst half total in home games off 1 or more straight overs since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 12.4, OPPONENT 8.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 14-28 against the 1rst half line (-16.8 Units) in road games after playing a game at home since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 7.1, OPPONENT 14.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 5-17 against the 1rst half line (-13.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 6.0, OPPONENT 15.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 18-5 against the 1rst half line (+12.5 Units) after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 12.6, OPPONENT 9.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 13-3 against the 1rst half line (+9.7 Units) after allowing 30 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 11.9, OPPONENT 9.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--INDIANAPOLIS is 47-29 UNDER (+15.1 Units) the 1rst half total in home games off 1 or more straight overs since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 12.4, OPPONENT 8.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 34-19 OVER (+13.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 13.7, OPPONENT 11.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 28-14 OVER (+12.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 13.4, OPPONENT 11.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 16-5 OVER (+10.5 Units) the 1rst half total vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 14.4, OPPONENT 10.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 16-6 OVER (+9.4 Units) the 1rst half total vs. awful passing defenses - allowing 7.5 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 16.1, OPPONENT 9.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 19.9, OPPONENT 9.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 32-16 UNDER (+14.4 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after the first month of the season since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 7.5, OPPONENT 11.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=4.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 8.3, OPPONENT 10.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 13-4 UNDER (+8.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games in November games since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 7.8, OPPONENT 11.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total in all games where the first half total is 25 or higher since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 7.6, OPPONENT 12.5 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games.
(32-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (16-26 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7
The average score in these games was: Team 20.5, Opponent 23.8 (Average point differential = -3.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (43.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-26).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (102-81).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (INDIANAPOLIS) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game.
(25-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 51.2
The average score in these games was: Team 22.8, Opponent 22.3 (Total points scored = 45)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 16 (59.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (45-38).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (69-53).
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*** BLAZERS CONTINUE THEIR ROAD TRIP MONDAY ***
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After first-round playoff exits last season, Brandon Roy and Derrick Rose each talked about wanting to take their individual games and respective teams to the next level. While it’s early in the season, it’s looking good for both to carry out those promises. Roy and the Portland Trail Blazers seek their first 4-0 start in 11 years when they visit Rose and the Chicago Bulls on Monday.
Portland is off to its best start since the 1999-2000 season when it won its first four games. However, it hasn’t been easy. The Trail Blazers have been behind entering the fourth quarter in each of their games, including rallying from six points down to win by 14 against Phoenix on Thursday and erasing a nine-point deficit in the final 5 1/2 minutes of a 100-95 win over New York on Saturday. “You don’t want to have to continue to do that, but these guys are not dropping their heads,” Coach Nate McMillan said. “They’re playing a 48-minute game.”
While the team’s slow starts have put it in a tough position, it’s helped that Roy has been solid so far. After his numbers dropped slightly in 2009-10 due to nagging injuries, Roy is averaging 25.0 points and 6.3 rebounds. He finished with 29 points and six boards in the victory over the Knicks. Roy and the Blazers continue their road trip Monday against a Bulls team that split its first two games despite outstanding efforts by Rose in each of them.
After scoring 28 points in a 106-95 loss at Oklahoma City on Wednesday, Rose matched a career high with 39 as Chicago erased a 21-point deficit to beat Detroit 101-91 on Saturday. The Bulls trailed by 13 with three minutes remaining before going on a 19-2 run to win their home opener. Rose shot 13 of 27 and also had seven assists, six rebounds, two steals and two blocked shots as fans at the United Center began chanting “M-V-P.”
Rose was also helped by another solid effort from Joakim Noah, who signed a five-year contract extension in early October after being involved in several trade rumors over the offseason. He has totaled 33 points and 36 rebounds in his first two games. He’ll face a challenge to put up those kinds of numbers against Portland, however. While the Blazers are missing big men Greg Oden (left knee) and Joel Przybilla (right knee), they have outrebounded opponents in two of three games— a big reason they haven’t allowed an opponent to reach 100 points this season. LaMarcus Aldridge is averaging 9.7 rebounds.
Also, Noah struggled in two games against Portland last season. He totaled 15 points and 19 rebounds, making one start. Last season, Noah averaged 10.7 points and 11.0 rebounds. Portland and Chicago split the two meetings in 2009-10, with each winning at home. The Bulls won 115-111 in overtime at the United Center on Feb. 26, led by 33 points from Rose. Aldridge had 32 points.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Portland by 1.5; O/U 191.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Portland -0.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Portland -0.76
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--McMillan is 60-35 ATS (+21.5 Units) after playing a game as a road favorite in all games he has coached since 1996.
The average score was McMillan 97.0, OPPONENT 92.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 98.5, OPPONENT 92.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--PORTLAND is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as a road favorite since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 94.1, OPPONENT 91.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--PORTLAND is 64-44 ATS (+15.6 Units) after playing a game as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 99.2, OPPONENT 94.0 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 24-9 OVER (+14.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 104.6, OPPONENT 103.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--McMillan is 88-61 UNDER (+20.9 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread as the coach of PORTLAND.
The average score was PORTLAND 94.8, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 23-39 against the 1rst half line (-19.9 Units) as a home favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 49.7, OPPONENT 49.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 22-9 against the 1rst half line (+12.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.8, OPPONENT 44.6 - (Rating = 1*)
--PORTLAND is 19-7 against the 1rst half line (+11.3 Units) as a road underdog vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 48.2, OPPONENT 48.6 - (Rating = 1*)
--PORTLAND is 21-9 against the 1rst half line (+11.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.2, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) the 1rst half total in home games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 53.4, OPPONENT 53.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--PORTLAND is 24-11 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 45.0, OPPONENT 45.8 - (Rating = 1*)
--PORTLAND is 25-12 UNDER (+11.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 45.5, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 1*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (CHICAGO) - marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games.
(86-43 since 1996.) (66.7%, +38.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.7, Opponent 48 (Total first half points scored = 95.7)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-13).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (51-23).
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/1
NBA & MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA & NFL *****
*** TEXANS SEEK SEASON SWEEP OF COLTS ***
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The Houston Texans came through with what was viewed as a landmark win in their last encounter with the Indianapolis Colts. When the two AFC South foes square off again Monday night at Lucas Oil Stadium, they'll be trying to achieve a franchise first. Houston has never beaten the Colts in Indianapolis in its history, though the team has come close to doing so in recent times. The Texans owned a four-point lead in the fourth quarter of last November's encounter at Lucas Oil Stadium, but a Colts touchdown with just over seven minutes to go dealt Gary Kubiak's club a tough 20-17 loss. Houston was also ahead in the second half of a 2008 clash in Indianapolis, but eventually fell by a 33-27 count.
The Texans did dish out a little payback against their longtime nemesis during Week 1 of this 2010 season, this time leading from start-to-finish in a 34-24 verdict that made the NFL world wonder whether a team that had been flirted with playoff participation in the past was indeed ready to break through. Houston prevailed by abusing the Colts with an incredibly potent running game, unleashing running back Arian Foster for a club-record 231 yards and three second-half touchdowns on 33 attempts. The Texans piled up 257 yards on the ground for the game, also the most in team annals.
Indianapolis amassed its share of yardage that day as well, with star quarterback Peyton Manning shredding Houston's porous secondary for 469 passing yards and three touchdowns. Wide receiver Austin Collie hauled in 11 Manning throws for 163 yards, 73 of which came on a scoring catch in the game's waning stages, with All-Pro tight end Dallas Clark adding 11 catches of his own for a total of 80 yards.
Neither Clark nor Collie will be available for Monday's rematch, however, with the former done for the season with a wrist injury sustained in Indianapolis' 27-24 win at Washington on Oct. 17 and Collie having undergone surgery on his right thumb less than two weeks ago. Their absences take away two key components of the league's second-ranked passing attack, and the Colts may also be without leading rusher Joseph Addai due to a ailing shoulder.
Indianapolis still has a healthy Manning, however, and the four-time NFL MVP will likely be bombing away once again at a Houston defense that's surrendering a league-worst 306.2 passing yards per game and won't have one of its core players suiting up, with standout middle linebacker DeMeco Ryans tearing his left Achilles' tendon in the Texans' 35-31 shootout win over Kansas City back in Week 6.
Houston gave up 417 total yards to the AFC West-leading Chiefs and trailed 31-21 midway through the fourth quarter before rallying for two late touchdowns, with quarterback Matt Schaub and wide receiver Andre Johnson connecting on the go-ahead 11-yard touchdown pass with only 28 seconds remaining. Both the Texans and Colts enter Monday's showdown with 4-2 records and sit a half-game back of front-running Tennessee in the AFC South, with each team coming off a bye week as well.
• SERIES HISTORY
----------------------
Houston's season-opening triumph was only the franchise's second win in 17 all-time meetings with the Colts, and the Texans have never emerged victorious in their eight previous visits to Indianapolis. The Colts, who had taken six straight matchups in the series prior to the Week 1 loss, handed Houston a 20-17 setback at Lucas Oil Stadium during Week 9 of last season. Kubiak is 2-7 against the Colts in his career, while Indianapolis' Jim Caldwell is 2-1 against both Kubiak and Houston as a head man.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Indianapolis by 5; O/U 50
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Indianapolis -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Indianapolis -7.32
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--INDIANAPOLIS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 25.2, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 20.5, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 25.5, OPPONENT 13.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) off a home win since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 18.9, OPPONENT 25.2 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--INDIANAPOLIS is 16-6 UNDER (+9.4 Units) off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 22.2, OPPONENT 17.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 24.6, OPPONENT 33.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 22.6, OPPONENT 18.7 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--INDIANAPOLIS is 50-29 against the 1rst half line (+18.1 Units) off a road win since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 13.7, OPPONENT 8.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 10-24 against the 1rst half line (-16.4 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 10.9, OPPONENT 13.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 47-29 UNDER (+15.1 Units) the 1rst half total in home games off 1 or more straight overs since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 12.4, OPPONENT 8.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 14-28 against the 1rst half line (-16.8 Units) in road games after playing a game at home since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 7.1, OPPONENT 14.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 5-17 against the 1rst half line (-13.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 6.0, OPPONENT 15.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 18-5 against the 1rst half line (+12.5 Units) after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 12.6, OPPONENT 9.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 13-3 against the 1rst half line (+9.7 Units) after allowing 30 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 11.9, OPPONENT 9.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--INDIANAPOLIS is 47-29 UNDER (+15.1 Units) the 1rst half total in home games off 1 or more straight overs since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 12.4, OPPONENT 8.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 34-19 OVER (+13.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 13.7, OPPONENT 11.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 28-14 OVER (+12.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 13.4, OPPONENT 11.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 16-5 OVER (+10.5 Units) the 1rst half total vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 14.4, OPPONENT 10.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 16-6 OVER (+9.4 Units) the 1rst half total vs. awful passing defenses - allowing 7.5 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 16.1, OPPONENT 9.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--INDIANAPOLIS is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 19.9, OPPONENT 9.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 32-16 UNDER (+14.4 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after the first month of the season since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 7.5, OPPONENT 11.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=4.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 8.3, OPPONENT 10.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 13-4 UNDER (+8.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games in November games since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 7.8, OPPONENT 11.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--HOUSTON is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total in all games where the first half total is 25 or higher since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 7.6, OPPONENT 12.5 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games.
(32-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (16-26 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7
The average score in these games was: Team 20.5, Opponent 23.8 (Average point differential = -3.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (43.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-26).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (102-81).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (INDIANAPOLIS) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game.
(25-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 51.2
The average score in these games was: Team 22.8, Opponent 22.3 (Total points scored = 45)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 16 (59.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (45-38).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (69-53).
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*** BLAZERS CONTINUE THEIR ROAD TRIP MONDAY ***
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After first-round playoff exits last season, Brandon Roy and Derrick Rose each talked about wanting to take their individual games and respective teams to the next level. While it’s early in the season, it’s looking good for both to carry out those promises. Roy and the Portland Trail Blazers seek their first 4-0 start in 11 years when they visit Rose and the Chicago Bulls on Monday.
Portland is off to its best start since the 1999-2000 season when it won its first four games. However, it hasn’t been easy. The Trail Blazers have been behind entering the fourth quarter in each of their games, including rallying from six points down to win by 14 against Phoenix on Thursday and erasing a nine-point deficit in the final 5 1/2 minutes of a 100-95 win over New York on Saturday. “You don’t want to have to continue to do that, but these guys are not dropping their heads,” Coach Nate McMillan said. “They’re playing a 48-minute game.”
While the team’s slow starts have put it in a tough position, it’s helped that Roy has been solid so far. After his numbers dropped slightly in 2009-10 due to nagging injuries, Roy is averaging 25.0 points and 6.3 rebounds. He finished with 29 points and six boards in the victory over the Knicks. Roy and the Blazers continue their road trip Monday against a Bulls team that split its first two games despite outstanding efforts by Rose in each of them.
After scoring 28 points in a 106-95 loss at Oklahoma City on Wednesday, Rose matched a career high with 39 as Chicago erased a 21-point deficit to beat Detroit 101-91 on Saturday. The Bulls trailed by 13 with three minutes remaining before going on a 19-2 run to win their home opener. Rose shot 13 of 27 and also had seven assists, six rebounds, two steals and two blocked shots as fans at the United Center began chanting “M-V-P.”
Rose was also helped by another solid effort from Joakim Noah, who signed a five-year contract extension in early October after being involved in several trade rumors over the offseason. He has totaled 33 points and 36 rebounds in his first two games. He’ll face a challenge to put up those kinds of numbers against Portland, however. While the Blazers are missing big men Greg Oden (left knee) and Joel Przybilla (right knee), they have outrebounded opponents in two of three games— a big reason they haven’t allowed an opponent to reach 100 points this season. LaMarcus Aldridge is averaging 9.7 rebounds.
Also, Noah struggled in two games against Portland last season. He totaled 15 points and 19 rebounds, making one start. Last season, Noah averaged 10.7 points and 11.0 rebounds. Portland and Chicago split the two meetings in 2009-10, with each winning at home. The Bulls won 115-111 in overtime at the United Center on Feb. 26, led by 33 points from Rose. Aldridge had 32 points.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Portland by 1.5; O/U 191.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Portland -0.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Portland -0.76
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--McMillan is 60-35 ATS (+21.5 Units) after playing a game as a road favorite in all games he has coached since 1996.
The average score was McMillan 97.0, OPPONENT 92.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 98.5, OPPONENT 92.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--PORTLAND is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as a road favorite since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 94.1, OPPONENT 91.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--PORTLAND is 64-44 ATS (+15.6 Units) after playing a game as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 99.2, OPPONENT 94.0 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 24-9 OVER (+14.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 104.6, OPPONENT 103.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--McMillan is 88-61 UNDER (+20.9 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread as the coach of PORTLAND.
The average score was PORTLAND 94.8, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 23-39 against the 1rst half line (-19.9 Units) as a home favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 49.7, OPPONENT 49.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 22-9 against the 1rst half line (+12.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.8, OPPONENT 44.6 - (Rating = 1*)
--PORTLAND is 19-7 against the 1rst half line (+11.3 Units) as a road underdog vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 48.2, OPPONENT 48.6 - (Rating = 1*)
--PORTLAND is 21-9 against the 1rst half line (+11.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.2, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) the 1rst half total in home games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 53.4, OPPONENT 53.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--PORTLAND is 24-11 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 45.0, OPPONENT 45.8 - (Rating = 1*)
--PORTLAND is 25-12 UNDER (+11.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 45.5, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 1*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (CHICAGO) - marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games.
(86-43 since 1996.) (66.7%, +38.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.7, Opponent 48 (Total first half points scored = 95.7)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-13).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (51-23).
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 11/1 cont.
*** COUSINS PREPARES FOR HIS DEBUT AT ARCO ***
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Tyreke Evans’ rookie season was one of the bright spots for Sacramento Kings fans in 2009-10. There is similar excitement as DeMarcus Cousins prepares for his debut at Arco Arena. Cousins and the Kings return home after a promising three-game road trip to open the season when they host the Toronto Raptors on Monday night. Sacramento has finished last in the Pacific Division the last two seasons while winning a combined 42 games. However, one reason the Kings were optimistic heading into this season was an outstanding debut campaign by Evans.
The reigning NBA rookie of the year, who was the fourth overall pick in the 2009 draft, averaged 20.1 points, 5.8 assists and 5.3 rebounds last season. After being suspended for the 2010-11 opener for pleading no contest to reckless driving following his May 31 arrest, he’s scored 39 points to go along with 13 assists and 11 rebounds in his first two games.
The Kings are hoping Cousins takes a similar path in his first NBA season. The fifth overall pick in this year’s draft recorded his first double-double in a 107-104 win at Cleveland on Saturday, finishing with 14 points and 10 rebounds. Cousins is averaging 13.3 points and 7.3 rebounds. “He made some big plays,” Coach Paul Westphal said. “I love his spirit and his enthusiasm and his skill.”
Sacramento, which blew a six-point lead with 2:30 remaining in a 106-100 loss to New Jersey on Friday, rallied from 16 points down against the Cavaliers. Evans scored 21 points and Beno Udrih had 12 points and 11 assists. “It was a good road trip for us,” said Westphal, whose club plays its next four at home. “We can look back and say if we would have held that lead (Friday), we could have been 3-0, but … to get two of those games I feel good about it.”
Toronto begins a four-game road trip after splitting a pair of home games to open the season. The Raptors bounced back from a 98-93 loss to New York on Wednesday with Friday night’s 101-81 pounding of Cleveland. After shooting 38.3 percent against the Knicks, they shot 47.6 percent against the Cavaliers, led by Andrea Bargnani (20 points) and Linas Kleiza (19). Toronto also outrebounded the Cavs 46-33.
After losing Chris Bosh to Miami in the offseason, Toronto has been trying to replace the franchise’s all-time leading scorer and rebounder. While Reggie Evans doesn’t have the offensive talent of Bosh, scoring two points in the first two games, Evans has been very productive on the glass, totaling 30 rebounds - including 14 in 27 minutes Friday. “I think our defense kind of sustained throughout the whole game and it really showed and carried on to the offense,” Evans said. “We got some easy transition buckets. It was a good feeling; the defensive end really won the game for us.”
This will be a tough early test for the Raptors, who play eight of their first 10 games in November on the road. This trip is all against Western Conference teams, with visits to Utah, the Los Angeles Lakers and Portland. Toronto and Sacramento split their two meetings last season with each team winning at home. The Raptors are 2-12 all-time at Arco Arena.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Sacramento by 2; O/U 208
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Sacramento -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Toronto -1.06
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 101.6, OPPONENT 105.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 99.3, OPPONENT 107.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 100.5, OPPONENT 109.6 - (Rating = 1*)
--TORONTO is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 99.2, OPPONENT 106.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 99.8, OPPONENT 108.7 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 103.5, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--TORONTO is 57-36 OVER (+17.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 99.2, OPPONENT 106.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 43-24 OVER (+16.6 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 97.6, OPPONENT 100.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 105.0, OPPONENT 108.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 28-15 OVER (+11.5 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 104.3, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--TORONTO is 22-10 OVER (+11.0 Units) as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 102.1, OPPONENT 108.8 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 5-19 against the 1rst half line (-15.9 Units) when the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 49.1, OPPONENT 55.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 31-16 against the 1rst half line (+13.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 52.6, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 15-3 against the 1rst half line (+11.7 Units) in home games after 2 straight games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 57.0, OPPONENT 54.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 20-9 against the 1rst half line (+10.1 Units) in a home game where the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 54.6, OPPONENT 53.0 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 29-11 OVER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 52.4, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 32-17 OVER (+13.3 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 53.3, OPPONENT 56.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 54.1, OPPONENT 54.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--TORONTO is 30-12 OVER (+16.8 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.3, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 43-26 OVER (+14.4 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 54.0, OPPONENT 54.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 24-10 OVER (+13.0 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.7, OPPONENT 55.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 30-16 OVER (+12.4 Units) the 1rst half total as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 52.6, OPPONENT 54.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 23-10 OVER (+12.0 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.1, OPPONENT 54.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.1, OPPONENT 55.8 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (TORONTO) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points.
(34-11 since 1996.) (75.6%, +21.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 210.5
The average score in these games was: Team 106.4, Opponent 112.8 (Total points scored = 219.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 24 (54.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-8).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (SACRAMENTO) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games, bad team from last season (25% to 40%) playing a team that had a losing record last year.
(37-15 since 1996.) (71.2%, +20.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.8, Opponent 45.9 (Total first half points scored = 93.7)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-8).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (TORONTO) - good shooting team from last season - made >=45.5% of their shot attempts, in non-conference games.
(50-23 since 1996.) (68.5%, +24.7 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.1, Opponent 49.6 (Total first half points scored = 98.7)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-13).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (34-16).
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*** CLIPPERS TRY TO AVOID A THIRD STRAIGHT 0-4 START ***
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The Los Angeles Clippers have lost 16 straight games against the San Antonio Spurs. They’re hoping that will change now that Blake Griffin is on the court. Griffin will face Tim Duncan and the Spurs for the first time Monday night when the Clippers try to avoid a third straight 0-4 start. San Antonio hasn’t lost to Los Angeles since falling 98-85 on March 7, 2006. The Spurs have won 24 of the last 25 meetings, including the last eight at Staples Center.
Duncan has usually had his way against the Clippers, although the 34-year-old has seen his minutes drop in recent seasons since Coach Gregg Popovich has chosen to give him extra rest. This will be his first matchup with the 21-year-old Griffin, who was drafted first overall in 2009 - 12 years after Duncan was chosen by the Spurs.
Griffin missed all of last season with a knee injury, but has looked healthy now that his rookie season has finally gotten underway. He fell just short of his third straight double-double to start his career with 16 points and nine rebounds in Sunday’s 99-83 home loss to Dallas. He was the Clippers’ leading scorer as the backcourt of Baron Davis and Eric Gordon struggled to combine for 16 points on 5-of-19 shooting.
Los Angeles is the worst shooting team in the NBA at 37.7 percent, and has put up plenty of 3-pointers with at least 18 in every game. The Clippers are adjusting to a new offense under coach Vinny Del Negro. “Our tempo has to pick up. I don’t like our tempo right now,” said Del Negro, who was fired by Chicago in May after two straight .500 seasons. “We have to push the ball a little bit more and get more field goal attempts. We have to get the ball in the attack some more, then get into play sets and set up screens and be more efficient with our timing and execution.”
Popovich is very familiar with Del Negro having coached the guard for many years with San Antonio. The Clippers’ woeful offense may be exactly what the Spurs need to see. San Antonio has been one of the top defensive teams in the NBA since the arrival of Duncan, but has allowed its first two opponents to shoot 51.6 percent. The Spurs allowed New Orleans to shoot 50.0 percent in Saturday’s 99-90 home loss. “It’s always my No. 1 concern,” said Popovich about his team’s defense. “If we win 10 in a row or lose 10 in a row, it’s always a major concern.”
Duncan had seven points and seven rebounds while Tony Parker had 13 points and four assists. Their lack of production was a major reason why Popovich benched both of the stars for most of the fourth quarter. “In 82 games, sometimes you are going to have a night off where the second unit comes in, plays better and Pop adjusts and sticks with it,” said Manu Ginobili, who scored 23 points. “What made it tough was that it was both Tim and Tony out.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 7; O/U 197
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -13
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -6.72
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 54-78 ATS (-31.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 94.7, OPPONENT 103.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 29-46 ATS (-21.6 Units) when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 92.9, OPPONENT 101.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 93.7, OPPONENT 105.5 - (Rating = 2*)
-SAN ANTONIO is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 95.8, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 102.3, OPPONENT 94.8 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 43-23 UNDER (+17.7 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 91.6, OPPONENT 100.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 22-7 UNDER (+12.3 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 96.1, OPPONENT 89.1 - (Rating = 1*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 21-7 UNDER (+11.8 Units) in road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400 last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 94.6, OPPONENT 88.4 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--LA CLIPPERS are 28-14 OVER (+12.6 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total is 95.5 to 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 48.3, OPPONENT 52.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) the 1rst half total against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 48.8, OPPONENT 56.5 - (Rating = 1*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 172-121 UNDER (+38.9 Units) the 1rst half total after playing 2 consecutive home games since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 47.6, OPPONENT 44.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team from last season - made >=45.5% of their shot attempts.
(131-86 over the last 5 seasons.) (60.4%, +36.4 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.7, Opponent 49.8 (Average first half point differential = -1.1)
The situation's record this season is: (8-12).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (99-58).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (215-181).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - team that had a losing record last season.
(156-99 since 1996.) (61.2%, +47.1 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.6, Opponent 48.4 (Total first half points scored = 96)
The situation's record this season is: (3-6).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (49-34).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (80-48).
*** COUSINS PREPARES FOR HIS DEBUT AT ARCO ***
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Tyreke Evans’ rookie season was one of the bright spots for Sacramento Kings fans in 2009-10. There is similar excitement as DeMarcus Cousins prepares for his debut at Arco Arena. Cousins and the Kings return home after a promising three-game road trip to open the season when they host the Toronto Raptors on Monday night. Sacramento has finished last in the Pacific Division the last two seasons while winning a combined 42 games. However, one reason the Kings were optimistic heading into this season was an outstanding debut campaign by Evans.
The reigning NBA rookie of the year, who was the fourth overall pick in the 2009 draft, averaged 20.1 points, 5.8 assists and 5.3 rebounds last season. After being suspended for the 2010-11 opener for pleading no contest to reckless driving following his May 31 arrest, he’s scored 39 points to go along with 13 assists and 11 rebounds in his first two games.
The Kings are hoping Cousins takes a similar path in his first NBA season. The fifth overall pick in this year’s draft recorded his first double-double in a 107-104 win at Cleveland on Saturday, finishing with 14 points and 10 rebounds. Cousins is averaging 13.3 points and 7.3 rebounds. “He made some big plays,” Coach Paul Westphal said. “I love his spirit and his enthusiasm and his skill.”
Sacramento, which blew a six-point lead with 2:30 remaining in a 106-100 loss to New Jersey on Friday, rallied from 16 points down against the Cavaliers. Evans scored 21 points and Beno Udrih had 12 points and 11 assists. “It was a good road trip for us,” said Westphal, whose club plays its next four at home. “We can look back and say if we would have held that lead (Friday), we could have been 3-0, but … to get two of those games I feel good about it.”
Toronto begins a four-game road trip after splitting a pair of home games to open the season. The Raptors bounced back from a 98-93 loss to New York on Wednesday with Friday night’s 101-81 pounding of Cleveland. After shooting 38.3 percent against the Knicks, they shot 47.6 percent against the Cavaliers, led by Andrea Bargnani (20 points) and Linas Kleiza (19). Toronto also outrebounded the Cavs 46-33.
After losing Chris Bosh to Miami in the offseason, Toronto has been trying to replace the franchise’s all-time leading scorer and rebounder. While Reggie Evans doesn’t have the offensive talent of Bosh, scoring two points in the first two games, Evans has been very productive on the glass, totaling 30 rebounds - including 14 in 27 minutes Friday. “I think our defense kind of sustained throughout the whole game and it really showed and carried on to the offense,” Evans said. “We got some easy transition buckets. It was a good feeling; the defensive end really won the game for us.”
This will be a tough early test for the Raptors, who play eight of their first 10 games in November on the road. This trip is all against Western Conference teams, with visits to Utah, the Los Angeles Lakers and Portland. Toronto and Sacramento split their two meetings last season with each team winning at home. The Raptors are 2-12 all-time at Arco Arena.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Sacramento by 2; O/U 208
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Sacramento -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Toronto -1.06
___________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 101.6, OPPONENT 105.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 99.3, OPPONENT 107.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 100.5, OPPONENT 109.6 - (Rating = 1*)
--TORONTO is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 99.2, OPPONENT 106.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 99.8, OPPONENT 108.7 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 103.5, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--TORONTO is 57-36 OVER (+17.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 99.2, OPPONENT 106.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 43-24 OVER (+16.6 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 97.6, OPPONENT 100.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 105.0, OPPONENT 108.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 28-15 OVER (+11.5 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 104.3, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--TORONTO is 22-10 OVER (+11.0 Units) as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 102.1, OPPONENT 108.8 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 5-19 against the 1rst half line (-15.9 Units) when the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 49.1, OPPONENT 55.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 31-16 against the 1rst half line (+13.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 52.6, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 15-3 against the 1rst half line (+11.7 Units) in home games after 2 straight games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 57.0, OPPONENT 54.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 20-9 against the 1rst half line (+10.1 Units) in a home game where the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 54.6, OPPONENT 53.0 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 29-11 OVER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 52.4, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 32-17 OVER (+13.3 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 53.3, OPPONENT 56.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--SACRAMENTO is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 54.1, OPPONENT 54.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--TORONTO is 30-12 OVER (+16.8 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.3, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 43-26 OVER (+14.4 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 54.0, OPPONENT 54.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 24-10 OVER (+13.0 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.7, OPPONENT 55.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 30-16 OVER (+12.4 Units) the 1rst half total as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 52.6, OPPONENT 54.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 23-10 OVER (+12.0 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.1, OPPONENT 54.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--TORONTO is 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.1, OPPONENT 55.8 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (TORONTO) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points.
(34-11 since 1996.) (75.6%, +21.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 210.5
The average score in these games was: Team 106.4, Opponent 112.8 (Total points scored = 219.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 24 (54.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-8).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (SACRAMENTO) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games, bad team from last season (25% to 40%) playing a team that had a losing record last year.
(37-15 since 1996.) (71.2%, +20.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.8, Opponent 45.9 (Total first half points scored = 93.7)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-8).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (TORONTO) - good shooting team from last season - made >=45.5% of their shot attempts, in non-conference games.
(50-23 since 1996.) (68.5%, +24.7 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.1, Opponent 49.6 (Total first half points scored = 98.7)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-13).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (34-16).
__________________________________________
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*** CLIPPERS TRY TO AVOID A THIRD STRAIGHT 0-4 START ***
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The Los Angeles Clippers have lost 16 straight games against the San Antonio Spurs. They’re hoping that will change now that Blake Griffin is on the court. Griffin will face Tim Duncan and the Spurs for the first time Monday night when the Clippers try to avoid a third straight 0-4 start. San Antonio hasn’t lost to Los Angeles since falling 98-85 on March 7, 2006. The Spurs have won 24 of the last 25 meetings, including the last eight at Staples Center.
Duncan has usually had his way against the Clippers, although the 34-year-old has seen his minutes drop in recent seasons since Coach Gregg Popovich has chosen to give him extra rest. This will be his first matchup with the 21-year-old Griffin, who was drafted first overall in 2009 - 12 years after Duncan was chosen by the Spurs.
Griffin missed all of last season with a knee injury, but has looked healthy now that his rookie season has finally gotten underway. He fell just short of his third straight double-double to start his career with 16 points and nine rebounds in Sunday’s 99-83 home loss to Dallas. He was the Clippers’ leading scorer as the backcourt of Baron Davis and Eric Gordon struggled to combine for 16 points on 5-of-19 shooting.
Los Angeles is the worst shooting team in the NBA at 37.7 percent, and has put up plenty of 3-pointers with at least 18 in every game. The Clippers are adjusting to a new offense under coach Vinny Del Negro. “Our tempo has to pick up. I don’t like our tempo right now,” said Del Negro, who was fired by Chicago in May after two straight .500 seasons. “We have to push the ball a little bit more and get more field goal attempts. We have to get the ball in the attack some more, then get into play sets and set up screens and be more efficient with our timing and execution.”
Popovich is very familiar with Del Negro having coached the guard for many years with San Antonio. The Clippers’ woeful offense may be exactly what the Spurs need to see. San Antonio has been one of the top defensive teams in the NBA since the arrival of Duncan, but has allowed its first two opponents to shoot 51.6 percent. The Spurs allowed New Orleans to shoot 50.0 percent in Saturday’s 99-90 home loss. “It’s always my No. 1 concern,” said Popovich about his team’s defense. “If we win 10 in a row or lose 10 in a row, it’s always a major concern.”
Duncan had seven points and seven rebounds while Tony Parker had 13 points and four assists. Their lack of production was a major reason why Popovich benched both of the stars for most of the fourth quarter. “In 82 games, sometimes you are going to have a night off where the second unit comes in, plays better and Pop adjusts and sticks with it,” said Manu Ginobili, who scored 23 points. “What made it tough was that it was both Tim and Tony out.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 7; O/U 197
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -13
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -6.72
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 54-78 ATS (-31.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 94.7, OPPONENT 103.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 29-46 ATS (-21.6 Units) when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 92.9, OPPONENT 101.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 93.7, OPPONENT 105.5 - (Rating = 2*)
-SAN ANTONIO is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 95.8, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 102.3, OPPONENT 94.8 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 43-23 UNDER (+17.7 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 91.6, OPPONENT 100.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 22-7 UNDER (+12.3 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 96.1, OPPONENT 89.1 - (Rating = 1*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 21-7 UNDER (+11.8 Units) in road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400 last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 94.6, OPPONENT 88.4 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 28-14 OVER (+12.6 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total is 95.5 to 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 48.3, OPPONENT 52.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) the 1rst half total against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 48.8, OPPONENT 56.5 - (Rating = 1*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 172-121 UNDER (+38.9 Units) the 1rst half total after playing 2 consecutive home games since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 47.6, OPPONENT 44.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team from last season - made >=45.5% of their shot attempts.
(131-86 over the last 5 seasons.) (60.4%, +36.4 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.7, Opponent 49.8 (Average first half point differential = -1.1)
The situation's record this season is: (8-12).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (99-58).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (215-181).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - team that had a losing record last season.
(156-99 since 1996.) (61.2%, +47.1 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.6, Opponent 48.4 (Total first half points scored = 96)
The situation's record this season is: (3-6).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (49-34).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (80-48).
