Kevin Kavitch Overall 16-11-1 headed into Monday night's play and Tops are 3-0-0. ATS picks are 14-7-1 67% and totals have disappointed at 2-4-0.
At the heart of this play, Minnesota is better than the public thinks and at 1-3 they'll be hungry and highly motivated. They beat & outgained a good Panthers team 2 weeks ago in Frerotte's 1st start and last week outgained but lost on the road to a strong Titans team. A -3 turnover margin was the difference. That game helps us here and their stock is down because the public just sees the final score and their season record. The Saints have a high powered offense but it will be very tough to run the ball tonight. The Minny pass D has been decent and while New Orleans has the edge in that matchup, the Vikings have the ability to minimize the damage. The big matchup tho is the Vikings offence vs the Saints D. The Saints run D has been horrible and the Vikings have a real chance to control the game there which also takes the ball out of the hands of Brees. Frerotte has played well and has 2 starts under his belt now. The Saints pass D is very beatable. New Orleans won a division game last week (49ers) to move to 2-2. I like the setup as we have the team with better fundamentals, stronger motivation, and matchup advantages catching points. As a bonus, the public is on New Orleans in a big way but the line hasn't moved. Another positive indicator for the Vikings. Take Minnesota +3 for a 5* Top Play.
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At the heart of this play, Minnesota is better than the public thinks and at 1-3 they'll be hungry and highly motivated. They beat & outgained a good Panthers team 2 weeks ago in Frerotte's 1st start and last week outgained but lost on the road to a strong Titans team. A -3 turnover margin was the difference. That game helps us here and their stock is down because the public just sees the final score and their season record. The Saints have a high powered offense but it will be very tough to run the ball tonight. The Minny pass D has been decent and while New Orleans has the edge in that matchup, the Vikings have the ability to minimize the damage. The big matchup tho is the Vikings offence vs the Saints D. The Saints run D has been horrible and the Vikings have a real chance to control the game there which also takes the ball out of the hands of Brees. Frerotte has played well and has 2 starts under his belt now. The Saints pass D is very beatable. New Orleans won a division game last week (49ers) to move to 2-2. I like the setup as we have the team with better fundamentals, stronger motivation, and matchup advantages catching points. As a bonus, the public is on New Orleans in a big way but the line hasn't moved. Another positive indicator for the Vikings. Take Minnesota +3 for a 5* Top Play.
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