Info obtained from another forum solid info I thought everyone should have:
We have a big MNF ahead of us as the undefeated Denver Broncos visit the rested San Diego Chargers for a key divisional matchup .
I am getting a lot of mixed emotions here because on one hand you don't want to come away having incorrectly handicapped this game based on perception rather than reality .
For the most part , we seem to know who this San Diego Chargers team is , but realize that the team emerging from the bye-week may not be the same one that entered the bye-week.
I have highlighted the stellar record of the favored teams coming off a bye-week going back 3 seasons and hitting at a 72 % clip .
Here again is the breakdown :
Teams coming off their bye week last 3 seasons
A total of 96 games ( 3x 32 )
Favorites : ( 50 total )
Favorites won 36 games SU & won ATS ( 72.00 % )
Favorites won 4 games SU & lost ATS ( 8.00 % )
Favorites lost 10 games SU & ATS ( 20.00 % )
Underdogs : ( 46 total )
Underdogs lost 24 games SU & lost ATS ( 52.17 % )
Underdogs lost 4 games SU & won ATS ( 8.70 % )
Underdogs won 17 games SU & ATS ( 36.96 % )
Underdogs tied 1 game SU & won ATS ( 2.17 % )
That's impressive !
Goodluck everyone:toast:
We have a big MNF ahead of us as the undefeated Denver Broncos visit the rested San Diego Chargers for a key divisional matchup .
I am getting a lot of mixed emotions here because on one hand you don't want to come away having incorrectly handicapped this game based on perception rather than reality .
For the most part , we seem to know who this San Diego Chargers team is , but realize that the team emerging from the bye-week may not be the same one that entered the bye-week.
I have highlighted the stellar record of the favored teams coming off a bye-week going back 3 seasons and hitting at a 72 % clip .
Here again is the breakdown :
Teams coming off their bye week last 3 seasons
A total of 96 games ( 3x 32 )
Favorites : ( 50 total )
Favorites won 36 games SU & won ATS ( 72.00 % )
Favorites won 4 games SU & lost ATS ( 8.00 % )
Favorites lost 10 games SU & ATS ( 20.00 % )
Underdogs : ( 46 total )
Underdogs lost 24 games SU & lost ATS ( 52.17 % )
Underdogs lost 4 games SU & won ATS ( 8.70 % )
Underdogs won 17 games SU & ATS ( 36.96 % )
Underdogs tied 1 game SU & won ATS ( 2.17 % )
That's impressive !
Goodluck everyone:toast:
Some more web info for my forum friends:
According to Jeff Sagarin rankings , the Denver Broncos should be favored by a TD over the San Diego Chargers in this game .
Action in this game is pretty evenly divided with the Denver Broncos getting a little more attention , while the line has hovered around 3.5 from a high of 4 and a low of 2.5 , and there are some 3's readily available.
" Line/Total: We opened the Chargers as 3.5-point favorites and have adjusted slightly toward the Broncos. Right now we're using 3.5 (-105) on the Chargers, making the Broncos +3.5 (-115). We're dead even on the game, but we're anticipating money showing for the Broncos in this game.
Where we're seeing significant action is on the Broncos moneyline. We opened the Chargers -190, but are now -175 due to all the Bronco action. Bettors are passing on the points and instead taking the +165, +160 and now +155 on the Broncos.
As for the total, we opened 43.5 and so far the majority of the money is on the over. About 80 percent of the action is on the over and we've gone to 44 based on the action. "
We have all witnessed the surprising start by the Denver Broncos , a team that carried into this season an excrutiating and abysmal record of failure for those unfortunate souls that have dared to back them . San Diego when flying under the radar and not expected to win has been a solid winner , but this team has a habit of letting you down when you put them on a pedestal and then rising up from the coffin when you leave them for dead.
As one of the most talented squads in the NFL , this west coast team has by most accounts underachieved , precisely the opposite of the team they will be facing on monday night .
The way I see I see it here are the questions on everyone's minds :
Are we underestimating the Denver Broncos in much the same way the Tennessee Titans were last year .
It seems when a team that wasn't supposed to be where they are finds themselves 5-0 SU covering every spread , people begin to line up to be first ones to take them down as if they were the ones facing them on the field .
It is human nature to want to say : See, I told you that team was overrated ! ...and eventually they will be right .
Sometimes , we become stubborn and when in doubt rely on the past for fear that the present is just a mirage .
Again good luck everyone !!!
According to Jeff Sagarin rankings , the Denver Broncos should be favored by a TD over the San Diego Chargers in this game .
Action in this game is pretty evenly divided with the Denver Broncos getting a little more attention , while the line has hovered around 3.5 from a high of 4 and a low of 2.5 , and there are some 3's readily available.
" Line/Total: We opened the Chargers as 3.5-point favorites and have adjusted slightly toward the Broncos. Right now we're using 3.5 (-105) on the Chargers, making the Broncos +3.5 (-115). We're dead even on the game, but we're anticipating money showing for the Broncos in this game.
Where we're seeing significant action is on the Broncos moneyline. We opened the Chargers -190, but are now -175 due to all the Bronco action. Bettors are passing on the points and instead taking the +165, +160 and now +155 on the Broncos.
As for the total, we opened 43.5 and so far the majority of the money is on the over. About 80 percent of the action is on the over and we've gone to 44 based on the action. "
We have all witnessed the surprising start by the Denver Broncos , a team that carried into this season an excrutiating and abysmal record of failure for those unfortunate souls that have dared to back them . San Diego when flying under the radar and not expected to win has been a solid winner , but this team has a habit of letting you down when you put them on a pedestal and then rising up from the coffin when you leave them for dead.
As one of the most talented squads in the NFL , this west coast team has by most accounts underachieved , precisely the opposite of the team they will be facing on monday night .
The way I see I see it here are the questions on everyone's minds :
Are we underestimating the Denver Broncos in much the same way the Tennessee Titans were last year .
It seems when a team that wasn't supposed to be where they are finds themselves 5-0 SU covering every spread , people begin to line up to be first ones to take them down as if they were the ones facing them on the field .
It is human nature to want to say : See, I told you that team was overrated ! ...and eventually they will be right .
Sometimes , we become stubborn and when in doubt rely on the past for fear that the present is just a mirage .
Again good luck everyone !!!
