Service Plays Monday 10/19/09

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DB Sports Consultants
Monday, October 19th, 2009

Yesterday 3-1 +15.9 Units

5* Denver ML +160

Denver has finally proved they are one of the elite teams in the NFL after beating New England in OT last week. This team is for real thanks to a rookie head coach in Josh McDaniels and the steady play of Kyle Orton. We look for Denver to go 6-0 and 3.5 games up in the AFC West going into their bye week. San Diego has yet to prove they have a defense giving up more points than they have scored YTD. The bye week does the Chargers no good as the Broncos can smell blood in the AFC West. 17-6 Broncos.
 

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John Ryan’s NLCS 10* Titan w/5* MONSTER




Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies Oct 19 2009 8:05PM
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies
Reason:
Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Philadelphia as they face the Dodgers for game 4 of the NLCS. No doubt Phillies have the upper hand in this series and have to love the position they find themselves in for this game and the series. Skipper Manual summed it up best after their horrific 2-1 loss in LA – “this team will bounce back just like they have all season”. That bounce was a 11-0 winner in game 3 and the Dodger bats save Manny are all but dead. When you are on a team that is down 2 games to 1 and know that they 2 pitchers that just dominated you will face you again if you are to have any chance at all makes it nearly impossible for that team to not admit defeat already. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 61-26 making 39.5 units since 2004. Play on any team when leading in a playoff series. Here is a 2nd system that has gone 67-26 making 39.2 units since 1997. Play on home teams that are strong offensive teams scoring >=5.0 runs/game facing a good NL starting pitcher sporting an ERA<=3.70 and after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games. Reinforcing the “defeated notion” mentioned above is this system that has produced a record of 53-17 making 32.4 units since 2004. Play against any team in a playoff game after having lost 2 of their last 3 games. One of the keys will be pitching to Manny with the bases empty as he has had success against Blanton batting 14 for 25 for a 560 average, but has struck out 4 times. Take the Phillies.

Ai Simulator 5* graded play OVER the posted total Phillies/Dodgers. AiS shows an 80% probability that 9 or more runs will be scored in this game. Like yesterday’s projections the Phillies have a 55% probability of scoring 8 runs on their own merit. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 150-84 since 2004. Play over with road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game facing an opponent with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season. The Dodgers bullpen has been great this year, but they have pitched the 2nd most innings this season in MLB. This will show up today in a big way and I fully expect Phillies to have control of the game before the bullpen is even called upon. Take the OVER.






paid/confirmed by me
 

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Today's Pick: DENVER BRONCOS
*9* BRONCOS

Marc Lawrence
Today's Pick: DENVER BRONCOS
We recommend a 3-unit play on Denver.

Lenny Del Genio
Today's Pick: SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
San Diego is our 20* AFC West Game of the Month.

Paid and confirmed.
 

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Tom Freese 25-0-2 'MNF' 10* 'TOTAL' WINNER!


Guaranteed Pick: Tom Freese

Game: Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers Oct 19 2009 8:30PM
Prediction: under
Reason: Denver is 10-1 UNDER off a straight up win and they are 5-0-1 UNDER their last 6 October games. The Broncos are 8-0 UNDER off an ATS win and they are 4-0 UNDER vs. AFC teams. San Diego is 9-2 UNDER in Week 6 and they are 4-0-1 UNDER off a bye week. The Chargers are 4-0-1 UNDER off a loss and they are 6-2 UNDER at home vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* PLAY ON 'UNDER'




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Deano

HRC NFL PREMIUM-October 19th

Thank You for your Purchase!

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

-=HIGH ROLLER CLUB NFL ACTION=-

========================
Type: -=Methodical=-
Follow Units Posted
*Figure In Juice*
========================

*******************************
Pick: Broncos (+3.5) || -------------
Bet Type: Straight
Amount: 3 Unit(s)
*******************************
Record: 12-2
 
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WUNDERDOG
Complimentary Picks and Analysis
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Philadelphia -120 (moneyline)
The Phillies made the best move of all payoffs teams when they acquired Cliff Lee from the Indians and after his whitewash of the Dodgers last night, the dividends continue to be paid. It is a move they made last year, when they acquired Joe Blanton that might put the finishing touch on the Dodgers - already down 2-1 in the series. Blanton doesn't stand out like Lee does, but when you look at his numbers vs. winning teams, in the money games he has delivered. Blanton, in his last 14 starts against winning teams, has allowed a total of 25 runs, or 1.79 per game. He has allowed two or less in 11 of his last 14 starts against a winning team. The Dodgers' bats have gone silent and Blanton is pitching well. In addition, LA has to continue playing at night in cold Philadelphia which doesn't offer prospects for things to improve. The Dodgers are just 3-7 in their last 10 road playoff games, and 1-5 with a total of 8.5 or less. If you're worried about the long layoff for Blanton, the Phillies are 6-1 when he has pitched on 7+ days rest. The Dodgers are also just 2-8 in their last 10 in Philly. I like the Phillies in this one.
 

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Stan Sharp | MLB Total Mon, 10/19/09 - 8:05 PM

double-dime bet 961 LOS / 962 PHI Under 8.5 BetUS

Analysis:
 

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San Diego

I am leaning towards San Diego In a must win game at home. Your thoughts...
 

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ok boys VR fukd up today. he shows his play as los -130 vs philly @ 8:05 pm. and under his pick it shows the pitchers weaver over petiite. dodgers are not -130 and of course the pitchers are the acls. my dumbass just looked at pitchers and took angels. I don't know what his pick is. although i have to believe it's the angels because of what time he posted his pick and i also bet he's taking dodgers tonight too and was thinking dodgers when typing early pick. i dont know. got 500 riding on the halos so come on angels!
 

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