Stephen Nover
NFL Side
triple-dime bet 277 SFX -3.0 (-125) 5dimes vs 278 STL
Analysis:
Colin Kaepernick is at his best when his ground game is going smoothly. That will be the case in this matchup. The 49ers rank No. 3 in rushing thanks to a hot Frank Gore, who has rushed for 299 yards while averaging 4.9 yards per carry during his last four games. Gore has had some of his best erformances against the Rams, having scored 14 touchdowns against them while running for more than 1,100 yards.
St. Louis permits nearly 30 points a game and is second-to-last in stopping the run. The Rams have allowed 100-yard rushers in three of their last four games.
Don't be fooled by the Rams ranking No. 1 in pass defense. Their secondary actually isn't very good at all. They've faced the fewest pass attempts per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed close to 71 percent of their throws against the Rams. The Rams are last in the league in sacks, too, with just one.
San Francisco owns the superior offense and defense. The 49ers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road and neutral site games, not including playing in Seattle. This spread is way short.
Pick Made: Oct 13 2014 4:15AM PST
NFL Total Mon
triple-dime bet 277 SFX / 278 STL OVER 43.5 5dimes
Analysis:
The 49ers are No. 3 in rushing. St. Louis is 31st in run defense giving up an average of 152.5 yards per game on the ground. The 49ers have upgraded their receiving weapons and star tight end Vernon Davis should be a go. The Rams only have one sack. Colin Kaepernick will be able to pick his spots off play-action.
The Rams' offense has picked up under Austin Davis, who gets better with each game. Davis, unlike many other backups, is a gunslinger not a game manager. He's not afraid to throw long. This is good for the over. So is the game being played on a fast track inside a dome stadium.
San Francisco is missing a number of key defenders. The 49ers' defense is down from the last couple of seasons.
Both teams have excellent place-kickers, but are weak in coverage so special teams should be good, too, for the over.
Pick Made: Oct 13 2014 4:17AM PST
NFL Side
triple-dime bet 277 SFX -3.0 (-125) 5dimes vs 278 STL
Analysis:
Colin Kaepernick is at his best when his ground game is going smoothly. That will be the case in this matchup. The 49ers rank No. 3 in rushing thanks to a hot Frank Gore, who has rushed for 299 yards while averaging 4.9 yards per carry during his last four games. Gore has had some of his best erformances against the Rams, having scored 14 touchdowns against them while running for more than 1,100 yards.
St. Louis permits nearly 30 points a game and is second-to-last in stopping the run. The Rams have allowed 100-yard rushers in three of their last four games.
Don't be fooled by the Rams ranking No. 1 in pass defense. Their secondary actually isn't very good at all. They've faced the fewest pass attempts per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed close to 71 percent of their throws against the Rams. The Rams are last in the league in sacks, too, with just one.
San Francisco owns the superior offense and defense. The 49ers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road and neutral site games, not including playing in Seattle. This spread is way short.
Pick Made: Oct 13 2014 4:15AM PST
NFL Total Mon
triple-dime bet 277 SFX / 278 STL OVER 43.5 5dimes
Analysis:
The 49ers are No. 3 in rushing. St. Louis is 31st in run defense giving up an average of 152.5 yards per game on the ground. The 49ers have upgraded their receiving weapons and star tight end Vernon Davis should be a go. The Rams only have one sack. Colin Kaepernick will be able to pick his spots off play-action.
The Rams' offense has picked up under Austin Davis, who gets better with each game. Davis, unlike many other backups, is a gunslinger not a game manager. He's not afraid to throw long. This is good for the over. So is the game being played on a fast track inside a dome stadium.
San Francisco is missing a number of key defenders. The 49ers' defense is down from the last couple of seasons.
Both teams have excellent place-kickers, but are weak in coverage so special teams should be good, too, for the over.
Pick Made: Oct 13 2014 4:17AM PST
Dr. Bob Sports
**San Francisco (-3 -130) 26 ST. LOUIS 15
Mon Oct-13-2014 at 05:30 PM Pacific Rotation: 277 Over/Under 43.5 - Matchup Stats
With back to back home wins against the Eagles and the Chiefs, San Francisco is right back in the mix in the NFC West with a 3-2 record. Facing the Rams this week in St. Louis in an important divisional game on Monday night in primetime, the 49ers should be focused to play well and have some match-up advantages that they should be able to exploit. San Francisco’s strong power running game should be able to pound the ball on a Rams defense that is allowing 154 yards at 5.3 ypr that last week let an Eagles struggling rush offense generate 146 rushing yards at 4.6 ypr. Meanwhile, the San Francisco defense should win in the trenches as well. The 49ers rush defense is allowing just 75 yards at 4.1 ypr to teams that typically gain 119 yards at 4.5 ypr and should be able to shut down a Rams attack that generates 4.3 ypr against teams that have allowed 4.5 ypr. St Louis quarterback Austin Davis has put up some good numbers but much of his production has been against some of the poorer pass defenses in the league in Tampa Bay (30th in the NFL in pass defense), Philadelphia (29th) and Dallas (18th). Davis has also had some costly turnovers including two fumbles last week, and threw a pick-six against both Minnesota and Dallas. He’ll face a far better defense this week as the 49ers have allowed just 284 yards per game at 5.1 yppl overall.
The Rams defense has really missed defensive end Chris Long as so far this season as St. Louis has only 1 sack. With Long out, opposing offenses are focusing on containing Robert Quinn and others haven’t been able to step up. While the Rams pass defense looks great in allowing a league low 190 yards per game, they have actually given up 7.1 yps against teams that gain 6.2 yps on average. In addition, teams simply haven’t thrown the ball much against the Rams. In fact, the Rams have the fewest pass attempts against in the league mainly because they haven’t been able to stop the run. That makes for a difficult match-up in this game against a 49es offense that can pound the ball but also has the ability to stretch the field with a number of playmakers in the receiver and tight end groups.
The 49ers qualify in 664-495-40 and 215-103-4 situations while the Rams do qualify in a couple of weaker situations. My adjusted points model favors San Francisco by about 8 points in this game and with the match-up advantages favoring the superior team, who should also be motivated playing in primetime in a divisional game, I’ll take the 49ers -3 -130 for 2-Stars up to -4.
**San Francisco (-3 -130) 26 ST. LOUIS 15
Mon Oct-13-2014 at 05:30 PM Pacific Rotation: 277 Over/Under 43.5 - Matchup Stats
With back to back home wins against the Eagles and the Chiefs, San Francisco is right back in the mix in the NFC West with a 3-2 record. Facing the Rams this week in St. Louis in an important divisional game on Monday night in primetime, the 49ers should be focused to play well and have some match-up advantages that they should be able to exploit. San Francisco’s strong power running game should be able to pound the ball on a Rams defense that is allowing 154 yards at 5.3 ypr that last week let an Eagles struggling rush offense generate 146 rushing yards at 4.6 ypr. Meanwhile, the San Francisco defense should win in the trenches as well. The 49ers rush defense is allowing just 75 yards at 4.1 ypr to teams that typically gain 119 yards at 4.5 ypr and should be able to shut down a Rams attack that generates 4.3 ypr against teams that have allowed 4.5 ypr. St Louis quarterback Austin Davis has put up some good numbers but much of his production has been against some of the poorer pass defenses in the league in Tampa Bay (30th in the NFL in pass defense), Philadelphia (29th) and Dallas (18th). Davis has also had some costly turnovers including two fumbles last week, and threw a pick-six against both Minnesota and Dallas. He’ll face a far better defense this week as the 49ers have allowed just 284 yards per game at 5.1 yppl overall.
The Rams defense has really missed defensive end Chris Long as so far this season as St. Louis has only 1 sack. With Long out, opposing offenses are focusing on containing Robert Quinn and others haven’t been able to step up. While the Rams pass defense looks great in allowing a league low 190 yards per game, they have actually given up 7.1 yps against teams that gain 6.2 yps on average. In addition, teams simply haven’t thrown the ball much against the Rams. In fact, the Rams have the fewest pass attempts against in the league mainly because they haven’t been able to stop the run. That makes for a difficult match-up in this game against a 49es offense that can pound the ball but also has the ability to stretch the field with a number of playmakers in the receiver and tight end groups.
The 49ers qualify in 664-495-40 and 215-103-4 situations while the Rams do qualify in a couple of weaker situations. My adjusted points model favors San Francisco by about 8 points in this game and with the match-up advantages favoring the superior team, who should also be motivated playing in primetime in a divisional game, I’ll take the 49ers -3 -130 for 2-Stars up to -4.
Budin not credible?? lol please....
Where I agree the most is if one of these shysters tells you he has a zillion star lock, game of the century, etc. but then tells you to buy points.
If the game is that strong, if anything, he should be telling you to look for a worse alterative line in order to receive added money when it cashes.
