Service Plays Monday 1/5/15

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armadillosports, you can google it and find the site pretty easily...they have all of the ATS trends that you see here in these forums.

NHL information
Hot teams
-- Only one game on tonight's NHL schedule.

Cold teams
-- Sharks lost four of their last five games. Winnipeg lost three of last four at home.

Series records
-- Sharks won five of last seven games with Winnipeg.

Totals
-- Five of last six San Jose games stayed under.

Back-to-back
-- None
 
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NBA knowledge

Hot Teams
-- Dallas won last five games, covered last four (7-3 AF). Nets won six of their last eight games (1-3 HU).
-- Bulls won 9 of last 10 games, are 0-5 vs spread in last five (6-10 HF).
-- Memphis won three of last four games (0-5 last five HF).
-- Pelicans are 9-6 in their last 15 games (12-3 vs spread, 7-5 HF).
-- Pacers are 5-3 in last eight games (9-1-1 vs spread in last 11). Jazz won six of last nine games, is 8-3 vs spread in its last eleven.
-- Portland won nine of its last eleven games (10-6 HF).
-- Golden State won 21 of last 24 games (7-2 last nine HF). Thunder won four of last five games (1-6-1 last eight AU).

Cold Teams
-- Cleveland lost four of last five games (4-7 AF). 76ers lost last five games (0-5 vs spread; 8-5 HU).
-- Boston lost six of its last seven games (5-4 HF). Hornets lost last six games (1-5 vs spread; 6-5-2 AU).
-- Rockets are 4-5 in their last nine games (7-7 A).
-- Knicks lost 11 in row, 21 of last 22 games (9-8-1 AU).
-- Denver lost five of last seven games (1-2 AF). Minnesota lost its last 11 games, but covered four of last five (4-7 HU).
-- Washington lost last three games by 27-9-7 points (1-5-1 AU).
-- Lakers lost seven of last ten games (4-1 last five AU).

Series Records
-- Cavaliers won last three games with Philly by 2-18-29 points.
-- Hornets are 4-3 in last seven games with Boston.
-- Nets won four of last five games with Dallas.
-- Rockets won four of last five games with Chicago.
-- Knicks lost four of last five games with Memphis.
-- Nuggets won four of last six games with Minnesota.
-- Wizards won last six games with New Orleans, last three by a total of ten points.
-- Pacers won five of their last six games with Utah.
-- Lakers won six of last nine games with Portland.
-- Golden State beat Thunder twice this year, both by five points.

Totals
-- Four of last five Philly home games went over.
-- Under is 10-5 in Boston's last fifteen games.
-- Seven of last nine Dallas road games went over.
-- Seven of last eight Chicago home games went over.
-- Six of last eight Memphis home games went over.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota home games stayed under.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine New Orleans games.
-- Last seven Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Lakers' last nine road games.
-- Four of last five Golden State home games went over.

Back-to-Backs
-- Cleveland is 3-2 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Mavericks are 2-5 vs spread if they played night before. Nets are 3-3.
-- Knicks are 4-0 vs spread on road if they played at home nite before.
-- Pacers are 5-1 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Lakers are 3-3 vs spread if they played night before.
 
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VegasButcher - NBA

Dallas Mavericks -6

Without Rondo, Dallas had a net-differential of +8 through their first 27 games of the season with a 116 OffEff and 108 DefEff. In Rondo’s first 4 games with the team there was clearly an adjustment period as Dallas averaged 106 Off and Def Efficiencies, for a net-differential of zero. Well, in the 4 games since then, Dallas has averaged a net-differential of +18, with 119 OffEff and 100 DefEff. Their defensive efficiency lately has been on par with the Warriors’ league leading 99.8 mark. Remember, Rondo was primarily brought in to improve Dallas’ D. Of course the sample size is still very small, but still, the results are pretty positive so far. Both teams are on a b2b and 3in4 spots here, but there are a couple of key differences between the two. Dallas is coming off two straight blowouts, while playing the early day-game yesterday. Their key guys are fairly well rested, and as a team they had extra time to travel and prepare for this one. Brooklyn, on the other hand, was involved in two straight very close games, while also starting their game last night 5 hours after Dallas’. Brooklyn is an older team and I think they’re in a tougher physical spot than the Mavs here. I like Dallas to get a convincing win tonight.

Denver Nuggets -4

I’m simply fading the 2nd worst team in basketball where I feel there’s value on the line. My model has this one at Denver -6. Denver has the advantage on the boards and their D ranks 10th in eFG%-allowed. I don’t expect a lot of second-hand chances for the Wolves in this one, and over a course of 48-minutes the more ‘efficient’ team should be able to come ahead here. Lawson should own LaVine in his matchup and I foresee enough offense out of this Denver team to come away with a win and cover tonight.

Washington Wizards +2.5

Washington is ending their 5-game road-trip tonight, and I expect a very strong effort. The reason is that this team is currently on a 3-game losing streak, and typically ‘playoff’ teams step up their effort in such scenarios. Wizards faced HOU, DAL, OKC, and SAS so far, all are top contenders in the West. They now go up against the Pelicans, a team that won’t make the post-season. So the opponent is a bit weaker than what Washington faced so far on their trip. More importantly Pelicans’ 2nd best player, Tyreke Evans, is listed as questionable with an illness. Reports that I’ve seen indicate that he’s closer to doubtful here. If he sits, Washington will have a huge advantage with their backcourt as Evans is a tough defensive assignment for Wizards’ smallish guards. In addition, Washington’s 2nd unit will have an advantage as they’ll have overall better depth in this matchup. Pelicans are a very inconsistent team, alternating wins and losses, for 9 straight games. They’re coming off a win and could have a tough time against a motivated Wizards squad.

Atlanta Hawks +5.5

I have this one at -3.5 LAC, so there’s some value on the Hawks here. The team is 11-4 ATS on the road, 8-2 ATS against the Western Conference, and 11-2 ATS when facing an opponent with a winning record. By comparison, LAC is 8-11 ATS at home and 4-10 ATS when facing a team with a winning record. I don’t see the Clippers being that much better than the Hawks, and I think 5.5 points is too many to pass up with the team that is #1 in the Eastern Conference right now.

Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5

Last time OKC traveled to GS, I backed them as a +2.5 point underdog. Well, 19 minutes and 30 points later, Kevin Durant injured his ankle, and was done for the day. The Warriors held on to a 5-point win. The first meeting of the season, OKC was missing both KD and Westbrook, and Thunder held Golden State to only 91 points and only lost to them by 5. Is 3rd time the charm? I think so. OKC will have a big size advantage as Bogut is still out. In addition, I just don’t see anyone being able to guard Durant or Westbrook. Everyone talks about Golden State being the ‘best’ team in the league, and I’m sure competitors like KD and RW pay attention to that. I think they’ll want to make a ‘statement’ in tonight’s contest in this double-revenge spot.
 
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RTG Sports - - NBA Side Play of the Day

Wizards @ Pelicans:

Washington travels to the Big Easy to take on the Pelicans, and will complete an exhausting 5 game road trip after facing the Spurs, Thunder, Mavericks and Rockets. This will be their third road game in four nights after consecutive back to backs. Tired? Meanwhile, New Orleans remains at home after throttling the Rockets by 28 points on January 2. This will be the second meeting this season with Washington taking the first game at home 83-80. You can bet the Pels have not forgotten. It was the second game of a back to back, and they actually led with less than 4 minutes left in the game before being outlasted by the Wizards in the loss. Eric Gordon is expected to be back in the lineup this evening as well. He did not play in the previous meeting, but averaged 16.5 points per game against the Wiz last season. Washington has lost three straight and is 0-2-1 ATS in those games, while New Orleans sits 11-4 at home, 7-2 ATS their last 9, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 overall. The Pelicans will be rested and ready to exact revenge on the tired Wizards tonight, and with Gordon back on the court, I will lay the short line on the pissed off home team. Good luck to everyone tonight.

2* New Orleans Hornets -3
 

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RickJ's Handicapping Picks Monday Ncaa Hoop Play
1/2 Unit
Northeastern -11
 
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Billy Sharp- michigan godfather
> 5 units
> (NBA) #704 Brooklyn Nets +6 (-110) *7:30 p.m Est.
> (NBA) #721 OKC Thunder +2.5 (-110) *10:30p.m. Est.
> Play both 1 hour before game starts to get a better line on the points !!!!! I have both covering by suggested points but these lines should go up before games start thats why I said bet 1 hour before game to get max pts.ATS....
 

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