CFB 3* FIESTA BOWL BEST BET ***
(BODOG is using "55"...PLEASE Shop This Bet...Because We Just Got "55" Also)
The only thing that I regret, is not taking this position as soon as the Bowl Lines went up...Because I expected an inflated Total based on how these 2 teams played on "Offense" this year...And I wasn't disappointed, because the books hung it up at 56...
But since I made my "TRUE LINE" for this Match-Up "49"...and my "FAIR LINE" a little higher at "51.5"...there is still plenty of Value to take advantage of this evening...And the reason that I went ahead and Uploaded tonight's 3* BEST BET this early...is because ALL of the "runners" that I spoke with, say they too are looking to play this game UNDER...And so did a number of Professional Sports Bettors here in Vegas...
But with that said...I wouldn't be at all surpriÎsed to see the Betting Public force this TOTAL back UP as we approach Kick-Off...SO PLEASE LOOK for the BEST NUMBER...
Last year when these 2 met...the final score was 17-16...And more importantly, it went UNDER the Total of "46"...And usually, when the oddsmakers come out with an even higher line...many times that would be cause for alarm...Or at the very least, more digging to find out why...
Well, the "WHY" is simple...Because "Public Perception" is that either one of these 2 clubs can reach the Over on their own...And that is the reason, the books went ahead and made this year's Total, so much higher...
More importantly, when they met last year...it was on DEC 23rd...Which means that it was not getting the kind of attention, or "volume" that this year's game will...Especially since it's on Monday Night, right after the end of the NFL Season...And it's the Fiesta Bowl...
Now I can sit here and waste your time, and mine...Passing along all kind of statistics to support this game staying UNDER...But instead, I'll get to the Bottom Line behind this Bet..."VALUE"...Because like I said, "Public Perception" has allowed us to get an even better number than I could have ever hoped for before the lines went up...Especially based on my "TRUE LINE"...
And that is the main reason, that I feel this warrents a 3 UNIT BET tonight...Because even though I expect the pace of the game, and the game-plan for both teams to support an Under...this is one of those bets that I make going in, thinking that I am definitely getting the best of it...Which is all you can ever ask for...VR