Jeff Scott 9/28
5 UNIT PLAY (NFL GOM, Also It Is A Power Angle Play)
Carolina +9 over DALLAS: Yes this is Dallas' first home MNF game in their new stadium, but they may not be up for this one after the emotional balle with the G-Men last week. Dallas may have added by subtracting when they got rid of TO, but at last check he wasn't on the defensive side and that's where their problems have been early in the year. Dallas is allowing 443 ypg and 27 ppg through thier first 2 games. That's very un Dallas like. Carolina really struggled on offense in their opening week loss to the Eagles, but they were never really able to get it going after a ton of TO's. Last week vs a tough Atlanta defense they were even in the TO battle and as a result were able to put up 440 yards of offense, including 296 through the air. There is no question that Dallas has the better overall talent, but they are still an unfocused group that will allow a hungry carolina team to keep this one close, if not win outright. Boy's by no more than 3. Power Angles For This Play-- Panthers are 17-1 ATS as non-div dogs vs opp that allowed 28 or more points last week & 19-4 ATS as road dogs vs less than .777 opp who scored 14 or more last game, while the Boys are 4-17-1 ATS at home off a Loss.
5 UNIT PLAY (NFL GOM, Also It Is A Power Angle Play)
Carolina +9 over DALLAS: Yes this is Dallas' first home MNF game in their new stadium, but they may not be up for this one after the emotional balle with the G-Men last week. Dallas may have added by subtracting when they got rid of TO, but at last check he wasn't on the defensive side and that's where their problems have been early in the year. Dallas is allowing 443 ypg and 27 ppg through thier first 2 games. That's very un Dallas like. Carolina really struggled on offense in their opening week loss to the Eagles, but they were never really able to get it going after a ton of TO's. Last week vs a tough Atlanta defense they were even in the TO battle and as a result were able to put up 440 yards of offense, including 296 through the air. There is no question that Dallas has the better overall talent, but they are still an unfocused group that will allow a hungry carolina team to keep this one close, if not win outright. Boy's by no more than 3. Power Angles For This Play-- Panthers are 17-1 ATS as non-div dogs vs opp that allowed 28 or more points last week & 19-4 ATS as road dogs vs less than .777 opp who scored 14 or more last game, while the Boys are 4-17-1 ATS at home off a Loss.
RatedPicks MLB and NFL 9/28 (*BP Today*)
MLB 09/28 Florida Marlins at Atlanta Braves pick: Atlanta Braves pts: -1.5 (+130) *BP* 5 units
MLB 09/28 Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers pick: Minnesota Twins pts: +120 2 units
MLB 09/28 Texas Rangers at LA Angels pick: LA Angels pts: -1.5 (+125) 2 units
NFL 09/28 Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys pick: Dallas Cowboys pts: -8.5 2 units
MLB 09/28 Florida Marlins at Atlanta Braves pick: Atlanta Braves pts: -1.5 (+130) *BP* 5 units
MLB 09/28 Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers pick: Minnesota Twins pts: +120 2 units
MLB 09/28 Texas Rangers at LA Angels pick: LA Angels pts: -1.5 (+125) 2 units
NFL 09/28 Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys pick: Dallas Cowboys pts: -8.5 2 units
Jim Feist's 5* Panthers vs Cowboys MNF Winner 09/28 05:35 PM PT / 8:35 PM ET
NFL (431) CAROLINA PANTHERS at (432) DALLAS COWBOYS
Take: (431) CAROLINA PANTHERS (5* Monday Night)
Reason: It seems the playoff disaster by Carolina (0-2 SU/ATS) has continued over to 2009 and sapped their confidence. They were destroyed at home in the opener, 38-10, by the Eagles, then lost 28-20 at Atlanta. QB Jake Delhomme (1 TD, 5 INTs) has struggled, though he threw for 308 yards, 1 TD and 1 pick Sunday in Atlanta. WRs Steve Smith (137 yards) and Muhsin Muhammad are off a good game, and the ground game had 144 yards behind RBs Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams. They have plenty of talent on offense.. Dallas (1-1 SU/ATS) has a lot to prove, flopping badly under coach Wade Phillips, missing the playoffs after a 1-3 SU/ATS finish. Dallas was No. 8 in total defense in 2008. QB Tony Romo (4 TDs, 3 INTs) leads a versatile offense, with a good one-two backfield punch in RB Marion Barber and Felix Jones, plus WR Patrick Crayton, Pro Bowl TE Jason Witten and WR Roy Williams. They rolled up 462 yards in a 34-21 win at Tampa Bay, but the defense was terrible allowing 450 yards (174 rushing). They come off a frustrating 33-31 last second home loss to their rival, the NY Giants, despite 251 rushing yards (4 TOs hurt). This secondary is still suspect, something the Panthers should be able to attack. This is just too many points for a Cowboys team to lay to a Panthers club with so many offensive weapons
NFL (431) CAROLINA PANTHERS at (432) DALLAS COWBOYS
Take: (431) CAROLINA PANTHERS (5* Monday Night)
Reason: It seems the playoff disaster by Carolina (0-2 SU/ATS) has continued over to 2009 and sapped their confidence. They were destroyed at home in the opener, 38-10, by the Eagles, then lost 28-20 at Atlanta. QB Jake Delhomme (1 TD, 5 INTs) has struggled, though he threw for 308 yards, 1 TD and 1 pick Sunday in Atlanta. WRs Steve Smith (137 yards) and Muhsin Muhammad are off a good game, and the ground game had 144 yards behind RBs Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams. They have plenty of talent on offense.. Dallas (1-1 SU/ATS) has a lot to prove, flopping badly under coach Wade Phillips, missing the playoffs after a 1-3 SU/ATS finish. Dallas was No. 8 in total defense in 2008. QB Tony Romo (4 TDs, 3 INTs) leads a versatile offense, with a good one-two backfield punch in RB Marion Barber and Felix Jones, plus WR Patrick Crayton, Pro Bowl TE Jason Witten and WR Roy Williams. They rolled up 462 yards in a 34-21 win at Tampa Bay, but the defense was terrible allowing 450 yards (174 rushing). They come off a frustrating 33-31 last second home loss to their rival, the NY Giants, despite 251 rushing yards (4 TOs hurt). This secondary is still suspect, something the Panthers should be able to attack. This is just too many points for a Cowboys team to lay to a Panthers club with so many offensive weapons
Bryan Leonard's AL Central Total of the Month
MInnesota at Detroit
It's amazing that in a season with a whopping 162 games played that the whole year would come down to how these two fare head to head. The only real playoff race is featured tonight in Detroit as the Tigers look to hang on to a two game lead over the Twins. Nick Blackburn and Rick Porcello will tangle for the third time this season with the teams splitting the first two meetings. Detroit and Porcello won the first meeting 9-0 as Blackburn was hit hard. But the Twins and Blackburn got their revenge in a 6-2 victory later on in the season.
Now with the pressure on we expect this game to be played very close to the vest. This American League game will be played like a traditional National League game. Jim Leyland won a World Series in the senior circuit and the Twins have always played small ball well. Because of the significance of this series the managers will play these games as if they were playoff games, and yet the pricing on this contest hasn't been affected by it's importance.
Look for both teams to play conservatively as this one stays well under the posted total. PLAY UNDER
MInnesota at Detroit
It's amazing that in a season with a whopping 162 games played that the whole year would come down to how these two fare head to head. The only real playoff race is featured tonight in Detroit as the Tigers look to hang on to a two game lead over the Twins. Nick Blackburn and Rick Porcello will tangle for the third time this season with the teams splitting the first two meetings. Detroit and Porcello won the first meeting 9-0 as Blackburn was hit hard. But the Twins and Blackburn got their revenge in a 6-2 victory later on in the season.
Now with the pressure on we expect this game to be played very close to the vest. This American League game will be played like a traditional National League game. Jim Leyland won a World Series in the senior circuit and the Twins have always played small ball well. Because of the significance of this series the managers will play these games as if they were playoff games, and yet the pricing on this contest hasn't been affected by it's importance.
Look for both teams to play conservatively as this one stays well under the posted total. PLAY UNDER
Jimmy Thompson Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, September 28, 2009
$20.00 Guaranteed: Another 2-0 Sunday for us as we won our AFC North Game of the Year with Baltimore and also our AL Total of the Week on the A's/Angels game. We have gone 4-1 on the diamond over the past 5 days and things will continue their upward swing with tonight's American League Total of the Week. Join us with this winner tonight and then check our playoff package which will be out tomorrow!! 9/28/2009
Minnesota/Detroit over 9 at 7:05 est
This is obviously the biggest series in baseball, but there are two pitchers going that have been inconsistent at best, so expect big nights from hitters that will be totally locked in. Blackburn is going to get lit up as the Tigers middle of the lineup will be jacked up for this with all their playoff experience. You know that Mauer and Cuddyer in particular will hit all series long, but tonight they may go 7-8 with 5 RBI's. We would lean with the Tigers to win but the over is where your money needs to be as both teams should score 6 runs!
Date: Monday, September 28, 2009
$20.00 Guaranteed: Another 2-0 Sunday for us as we won our AFC North Game of the Year with Baltimore and also our AL Total of the Week on the A's/Angels game. We have gone 4-1 on the diamond over the past 5 days and things will continue their upward swing with tonight's American League Total of the Week. Join us with this winner tonight and then check our playoff package which will be out tomorrow!! 9/28/2009
Minnesota/Detroit over 9 at 7:05 est
This is obviously the biggest series in baseball, but there are two pitchers going that have been inconsistent at best, so expect big nights from hitters that will be totally locked in. Blackburn is going to get lit up as the Tigers middle of the lineup will be jacked up for this with all their playoff experience. You know that Mauer and Cuddyer in particular will hit all series long, but tonight they may go 7-8 with 5 RBI's. We would lean with the Tigers to win but the over is where your money needs to be as both teams should score 6 runs!
FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball
25* Play Atlanta (-175) over Florida (MLB PLAY)
Atlanta has won 14 of the last 16 games and Jair Jurrjens is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 0.82.
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25* Play LA Angels (-160) over Texas (MLB PLAY)
Los Angeles has won 17 of the last 22 games coming off three games or more vs. division opponents and they have also won 14 of the last 18 games after scoring seven or more runs in two consecutive games.
MLB Baseball
25* Play Atlanta (-175) over Florida (MLB PLAY)
Atlanta has won 14 of the last 16 games and Jair Jurrjens is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 0.82.
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25* Play LA Angels (-160) over Texas (MLB PLAY)
Los Angeles has won 17 of the last 22 games coming off three games or more vs. division opponents and they have also won 14 of the last 18 games after scoring seven or more runs in two consecutive games.
5 Unit Play. Take Under 9.5 Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays (Monday @ 7pm). We've taken Hendrickson several time when he faces his former team. Whenever he does, he typically shows up and we cash on the under. When I saw Mark was facing the Rays once again, this was a standard play. Hendrickson faced his former team just recently and had a shaky outing in three innings against them and I look for him to make a quick bounce-back in a familiar setting in Tampa Bay. In that same token, Niemann comes off a bounce-back himself as he gave up three runs against Seattle in roughly seven innings. Granted, he picked up a no-decision in his last start but the Rays ended up losing 3-4. Niemann had put together four of five quality starts overall and his one non-quality start recently came against Baltimore when he yielded six runs in just over four innings. The game was at Baltimore and the Rays ended up losing 5-10. I'm sure Niemann remembers that start as it was just two efforts ago and he will try to redeem himself today. The Under is 15-5-1 for the Orioles when they are underdogs by this margin and the Under is 4-0 in Niemann's last four starts at home.
Good luck,
IC
Good luck,
IC
Tony Weston
Tony Weston MONDAY'S PLAYS 20 Dime Panthers
5 Dime Panthers-Cowboys Under
Analysis by 2:30 p.m. ET
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED----------GL GUYS
Tony Weston MONDAY'S PLAYS 20 Dime Panthers
5 Dime Panthers-Cowboys Under
Analysis by 2:30 p.m. ET
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED----------GL GUYS
Dominic Fazzini
Dominic Fazzini Monday's play 10 Dime -- Panthers (plus points vs. COWBOYS)
PANTHERS
Both of these teams have alarming problems that need to be addressed immediately. For starters, neither Dallas nor Carolina has been playing much defense.
The Cowboys have given up 877 yards in their first two games, and have yet to get a sack or turnover. Meanwhile, the Panthers are allowing 33 points per game and star defensive end Julius Peppers is being ripped for the unit's poor performance.
Some of Carolina's problems on defense, though, stem from quarterback Jake Delhomme's penchant for turning the ball over. A more efficient Delhomme probably solves a lot of the team's problems right there.
Cowboys QB Tony Romo also has been struggling, completing just 13 of 29 passes for 127 yards and a touchdown with three interceptions last weekend in Dallas' 33-31 loss to the Giants.
It's not going to be any easier for Romo if tailback Marion Barber, who has a quadriceps injury, misses tonight's game. Barber ran for 124 yards last week, but was hurt in the fourth quarter.
Here's a stat for you: NFL teams who start 0-2 after winning 11 or more games the previous year (Carolina won 12) are 17-7-1 against teams that won 10 games or less the season before (Dallas won nine). Also, the Cowboys are 0-6 ATS at home after playing the Giants, and 0-4 ATS in their last four Monday night games.
If Dallas couldn't get fired up enough last week to play well against New York with all the hype surrounding the opening of the new $1.15 billion Cowboys Stadium, then how is it supposed to blow away a Carolina team that is trying not to fall to 0-3 for the first time since 1998. I'm not saying the Panthers are going to win tonight, but they should manage to stay within a touchdown. Take Carolina to cover the points.
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED---------GL GUYS
Dominic Fazzini Monday's play 10 Dime -- Panthers (plus points vs. COWBOYS)
PANTHERS
Both of these teams have alarming problems that need to be addressed immediately. For starters, neither Dallas nor Carolina has been playing much defense.
The Cowboys have given up 877 yards in their first two games, and have yet to get a sack or turnover. Meanwhile, the Panthers are allowing 33 points per game and star defensive end Julius Peppers is being ripped for the unit's poor performance.
Some of Carolina's problems on defense, though, stem from quarterback Jake Delhomme's penchant for turning the ball over. A more efficient Delhomme probably solves a lot of the team's problems right there.
Cowboys QB Tony Romo also has been struggling, completing just 13 of 29 passes for 127 yards and a touchdown with three interceptions last weekend in Dallas' 33-31 loss to the Giants.
It's not going to be any easier for Romo if tailback Marion Barber, who has a quadriceps injury, misses tonight's game. Barber ran for 124 yards last week, but was hurt in the fourth quarter.
Here's a stat for you: NFL teams who start 0-2 after winning 11 or more games the previous year (Carolina won 12) are 17-7-1 against teams that won 10 games or less the season before (Dallas won nine). Also, the Cowboys are 0-6 ATS at home after playing the Giants, and 0-4 ATS in their last four Monday night games.
If Dallas couldn't get fired up enough last week to play well against New York with all the hype surrounding the opening of the new $1.15 billion Cowboys Stadium, then how is it supposed to blow away a Carolina team that is trying not to fall to 0-3 for the first time since 1998. I'm not saying the Panthers are going to win tonight, but they should manage to stay within a touchdown. Take Carolina to cover the points.
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED---------GL GUYS
Brandon Lang Monday's Selections ... 15 DIMER - CAROLINA-DALLAS OVER - Who do you trust tonight? Jake Delhomme or Tony Romo? That is the question.
Who do you trust as a head coach? John Fox or Wade Phillips?
Quite frankly, you can't trust any of those 4 dudes above, but considering how badly these defenses are playing and the fact they can't get any pressure on the QB, OVER is the play for me tonight.
First, let's start with Delhomme, who came back against the Falcons and threw for over 300 yards and just one INT in an 8 point loss. He showed me he seemed to have found a rhythm that is missing.
Now he faces a Cowboys defense that can't stop the run allowing Tampa to run for 171 yards in week one and the Giants for close to 100 yards in week two. The only reason the rushing number wasn't higher for New York is because they saw how badly this Cowboys secondary is and started throwing more.
The Giants had a pair of receivers in Manningham and Smith go for 10 catches and over a 100 yards receiving. Somewhere Steve Smith is licking his chops.
Now considering how poorly this Cowboys secondary is playing through the first two weeks allowing over 300 yards per game, Jake should have some opportunities down the field, especially off of play action.
I've always maintained that if you give Romo time, he can get it done. It's when he faces pressure that he gets in trouble. He won't see any pressure tonight because the Cowboys offensive line has allowed just one sack and the fact the Panthers have recorded only 2.
In week one the Eagles never had to throw the football because they were up 28-10 at the half. McNabb and Kolb threw a total of 27 times completing 18. Matt Ryan was 21 of 27 in week two for 220 yards.
You start completing numbers like that and it tells me guys are open. Wide open.
With both the Cowboys and Panthers having gone OVER in both their games this year and Carolina over 8 of their last 9 regular season games, the OVER is the only play for me and I will let which QB's implodes at the wrong time determine who covers.
Over is the play.
5 DIMER - DETROIT TIGERS - Detroit draws first blood tonight.
I guess the bottom line is I trust the Tigers at home more than I do Blackburn on the road. Simple as that.
He has pitched well in his last 2 starts but I can't get away from his meltdown prior to his last 2 starts which saw him go 1-7 with a 7.36 ERA in his previous 11 outings.
Blackburn is 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA lifetime against the Tigers and in 4 appearances at Detroit including 3 starts how about 0-3 with an 8.00 ERA.
With as much on the line as there is tonight, I believe it's too much pressure for Blackburn to handle.
Rick Porcello is 4-1 with a 3.28 ERA in his last six starts and don't be misled by his 1-2 mark versus the Twins this year. His only appearance at home was rock solid. How about 4-hit ball over 7 shutout innings.
Like the Tigers and some good value with Porcello tonight.
5 DIMER - CLEVELAND INDIANS - Just don't trust Danks tonight.
He comes into tonight's game looking for his first win in 6 starts going 0-2 with an ERA close to 4 in his last 5 starts.
And considering how bad he has been against Cleveland, I just don't see it.
He is 1-5 with a 5.63 ERA in nine starts against the Indians, posting a 10.54 ERA in losing his last three. Not exactly confidence building numbers for Mr.Danks.
Laffey hasn't pitched as bad as his numbers would lead you to believe as he has gotten only 3 runs of support over his last 4 starts.
He is 2-2 with a 3.76 in 5 games versus the Indians and I like the way he is throwing the baseball after his last outing which saw him go 6 2/3 innings of 1-run ball versus the Tigers.
Cleveland has won 3 straight and I like them to get their 4th tonight behind Laffey.
Let's roll with the Tribe.
FREE SELECTION - TEXAS RANGERS
Who do you trust as a head coach? John Fox or Wade Phillips?
Quite frankly, you can't trust any of those 4 dudes above, but considering how badly these defenses are playing and the fact they can't get any pressure on the QB, OVER is the play for me tonight.
First, let's start with Delhomme, who came back against the Falcons and threw for over 300 yards and just one INT in an 8 point loss. He showed me he seemed to have found a rhythm that is missing.
Now he faces a Cowboys defense that can't stop the run allowing Tampa to run for 171 yards in week one and the Giants for close to 100 yards in week two. The only reason the rushing number wasn't higher for New York is because they saw how badly this Cowboys secondary is and started throwing more.
The Giants had a pair of receivers in Manningham and Smith go for 10 catches and over a 100 yards receiving. Somewhere Steve Smith is licking his chops.
Now considering how poorly this Cowboys secondary is playing through the first two weeks allowing over 300 yards per game, Jake should have some opportunities down the field, especially off of play action.
I've always maintained that if you give Romo time, he can get it done. It's when he faces pressure that he gets in trouble. He won't see any pressure tonight because the Cowboys offensive line has allowed just one sack and the fact the Panthers have recorded only 2.
In week one the Eagles never had to throw the football because they were up 28-10 at the half. McNabb and Kolb threw a total of 27 times completing 18. Matt Ryan was 21 of 27 in week two for 220 yards.
You start completing numbers like that and it tells me guys are open. Wide open.
With both the Cowboys and Panthers having gone OVER in both their games this year and Carolina over 8 of their last 9 regular season games, the OVER is the only play for me and I will let which QB's implodes at the wrong time determine who covers.
Over is the play.
5 DIMER - DETROIT TIGERS - Detroit draws first blood tonight.
I guess the bottom line is I trust the Tigers at home more than I do Blackburn on the road. Simple as that.
He has pitched well in his last 2 starts but I can't get away from his meltdown prior to his last 2 starts which saw him go 1-7 with a 7.36 ERA in his previous 11 outings.
Blackburn is 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA lifetime against the Tigers and in 4 appearances at Detroit including 3 starts how about 0-3 with an 8.00 ERA.
With as much on the line as there is tonight, I believe it's too much pressure for Blackburn to handle.
Rick Porcello is 4-1 with a 3.28 ERA in his last six starts and don't be misled by his 1-2 mark versus the Twins this year. His only appearance at home was rock solid. How about 4-hit ball over 7 shutout innings.
Like the Tigers and some good value with Porcello tonight.
5 DIMER - CLEVELAND INDIANS - Just don't trust Danks tonight.
He comes into tonight's game looking for his first win in 6 starts going 0-2 with an ERA close to 4 in his last 5 starts.
And considering how bad he has been against Cleveland, I just don't see it.
He is 1-5 with a 5.63 ERA in nine starts against the Indians, posting a 10.54 ERA in losing his last three. Not exactly confidence building numbers for Mr.Danks.
Laffey hasn't pitched as bad as his numbers would lead you to believe as he has gotten only 3 runs of support over his last 4 starts.
He is 2-2 with a 3.76 in 5 games versus the Indians and I like the way he is throwing the baseball after his last outing which saw him go 6 2/3 innings of 1-run ball versus the Tigers.
Cleveland has won 3 straight and I like them to get their 4th tonight behind Laffey.
Let's roll with the Tribe.
FREE SELECTION - TEXAS RANGERS
