Dominic Fazzini
Dominic Fazzini Monday's play 10 Dime -- MARLINS (Johnson) -1 1/2 runs over Braves (Kawakami)
MARLINS
NOTE: List only Johnson as Florida's starting pitcher
Heading into one of the biggest series of the season for both the Braves and Marlins, Florida has exactly who it wants on the mound today.
Marlins ace Josh Johnson (13-3, 3.04 ERA) is 6-1 with a 3.58 ERA in his last eight starts. The right-hander allowed three runs and nine hits with seven strikeouts in six innings Wednesday to beat the Mets 5-3.
Johnson wasn't at his best in that outing, and that's what makes it so impressive. If he can throw a quality start without his best stuff, he'll probably shut down Atlanta's offense today if he's on his game. He is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in three starts vs. the Braves in the past two seasons.
Tim Hudson originally was scheduled to start for Atlanta, but he has been pushed back to Tuesday, making way for Kenshin Kawakami (6-10, 4.08) to get the ball today.
Kawakami is probably finished in the rotation once Hudson gets back in the mix after coming off of the disabled list. Kawakami gave up four runs and seven hits in 5 1/3 innings Wednesday in a 12-5 loss to San Diego.
The rookie right-hander is 0-2 with an 8.44 ERA in two outings against Florida this year, and 4-5 with a 4.54 ERA in 12 road starts.
Johnson is 7-1 with a 2.26 ERA in 13 outings at Land Shark Stadium this season. With the two NL East rivals in the hunt for the wild-card spot, I expect the All-Star hurler to come up with a big game against Atlanta. Take the Marlins on the run line tonight.
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED------------------GL GUYS
Dominic Fazzini Monday's play 10 Dime -- MARLINS (Johnson) -1 1/2 runs over Braves (Kawakami)
MARLINS
NOTE: List only Johnson as Florida's starting pitcher
Heading into one of the biggest series of the season for both the Braves and Marlins, Florida has exactly who it wants on the mound today.
Marlins ace Josh Johnson (13-3, 3.04 ERA) is 6-1 with a 3.58 ERA in his last eight starts. The right-hander allowed three runs and nine hits with seven strikeouts in six innings Wednesday to beat the Mets 5-3.
Johnson wasn't at his best in that outing, and that's what makes it so impressive. If he can throw a quality start without his best stuff, he'll probably shut down Atlanta's offense today if he's on his game. He is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in three starts vs. the Braves in the past two seasons.
Tim Hudson originally was scheduled to start for Atlanta, but he has been pushed back to Tuesday, making way for Kenshin Kawakami (6-10, 4.08) to get the ball today.
Kawakami is probably finished in the rotation once Hudson gets back in the mix after coming off of the disabled list. Kawakami gave up four runs and seven hits in 5 1/3 innings Wednesday in a 12-5 loss to San Diego.
The rookie right-hander is 0-2 with an 8.44 ERA in two outings against Florida this year, and 4-5 with a 4.54 ERA in 12 road starts.
Johnson is 7-1 with a 2.26 ERA in 13 outings at Land Shark Stadium this season. With the two NL East rivals in the hunt for the wild-card spot, I expect the All-Star hurler to come up with a big game against Atlanta. Take the Marlins on the run line tonight.
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED------------------GL GUYS
Craig Davis
Monday's Lineup
30 DIME ---- WHITE SOX (With Floyd and Blackburn as listed pitchers)
10 DIME ---- Vikings-Texans UNDER
WHITE SOX ---- I realize I'm tempting fate here, but I have a feeling the White Sox will pull it together in Minnesota tonight. After a dreadful series (being swept) in New York, preceded by a terrible series in Boston (losing 3 of 4), the White Sox can only go up. They've watched as the Twins and Tigers have been winning over the weekend and are in danger of falling too far out of the Central race if they don't get their act together... starting with this series in Minnesota.
The Twins did a nice job against the Rangers, finishing the series with an impressive 5-3 win over the Rangers by scoring 3 runs in the bottom of the 8th. For the first time in a long time, the White Sox are now looking UP at the Twins from the third place position in the AL Central, but they're only 1.5 games behind the Twinkies and with a couple of road wins, they could be right back on top and once again focusing on chasing the Tigers for the division lead.
Chicago sends Gavin Floyd (10-8, 3.95 ERA) to the hill this evening in an attempt to stop the bleeding, having pitched very well in his last road start (6.2 IP, 2 ERs in Boston). Floyd has 8 career starts vs. Minnesota in his career, and although his ERA is higher than he'd probably like (4.19), his W/L record is 4-3 and he beat them the last time he faced them.
Minnesota counters with Nick Blackburn (8-9, 4.29 ERA), and although he's not pitching as poorly as he did in July, I still wouldn't consider him "back to form". He hasn't allowed less than 3 earned runs in his last four starts and allowed 9 hits and 4 runs in his last home start vs. lowly Baltimore. At even money with a better starter on the hill, my money is on the White Sox to end this losing skid and get back to respectability.
VIKINGS/TEXANS UNDER --- Let's be honest... Brett Favre still isn't ready to play a full four quarters in the NFL... at least not yet. Shoot, if last week's performance is any indication, he might not be ready to play two quarters. Favre is still learning the playbook, learning the ebb and flow of the offensive skill players, and trying to get himself back into game shape. Favre was 1-for-4 last week in his debut, and although I don't think he's going to be quite that bad in this game, I'm still not expecting 200 yards and two TDs. Remember, this is a run-first team that wants to play ball-control offense in an attempt to keep their own defense off the field as much as possible.
The Vikings have already played two pre-season games in 2009 and have scored a combined 30 points in those two games. Ironically, the Texans have also played two pre-season games and have scored a combined 30 points. Folks, I'm not looking for a shootout tonight as I believe the emphasis will be on defense. Houston was torched for 38 points in a 24-drubbing at the hands of the New Orleans Saints last week. I expect Gary Kubiak and his staff to do whatever they can to stop Adrian Peterson and/or Brett Favre tonight, including several new blitz packages that they've installed.
As for Houston's offense, they still want to get a better look at the backups and third teamers, so even though the starters are expected to go until halftime, I wouldn't be surprised to see the backups sprinkled in with the starters much of that first half. I'm expecting a few quick scores, but in the end the defenses will take over and the final score will be somewhere around 17-13
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED---------GL GUYS
Monday's Lineup
30 DIME ---- WHITE SOX (With Floyd and Blackburn as listed pitchers)
10 DIME ---- Vikings-Texans UNDER
WHITE SOX ---- I realize I'm tempting fate here, but I have a feeling the White Sox will pull it together in Minnesota tonight. After a dreadful series (being swept) in New York, preceded by a terrible series in Boston (losing 3 of 4), the White Sox can only go up. They've watched as the Twins and Tigers have been winning over the weekend and are in danger of falling too far out of the Central race if they don't get their act together... starting with this series in Minnesota.
The Twins did a nice job against the Rangers, finishing the series with an impressive 5-3 win over the Rangers by scoring 3 runs in the bottom of the 8th. For the first time in a long time, the White Sox are now looking UP at the Twins from the third place position in the AL Central, but they're only 1.5 games behind the Twinkies and with a couple of road wins, they could be right back on top and once again focusing on chasing the Tigers for the division lead.
Chicago sends Gavin Floyd (10-8, 3.95 ERA) to the hill this evening in an attempt to stop the bleeding, having pitched very well in his last road start (6.2 IP, 2 ERs in Boston). Floyd has 8 career starts vs. Minnesota in his career, and although his ERA is higher than he'd probably like (4.19), his W/L record is 4-3 and he beat them the last time he faced them.
Minnesota counters with Nick Blackburn (8-9, 4.29 ERA), and although he's not pitching as poorly as he did in July, I still wouldn't consider him "back to form". He hasn't allowed less than 3 earned runs in his last four starts and allowed 9 hits and 4 runs in his last home start vs. lowly Baltimore. At even money with a better starter on the hill, my money is on the White Sox to end this losing skid and get back to respectability.
VIKINGS/TEXANS UNDER --- Let's be honest... Brett Favre still isn't ready to play a full four quarters in the NFL... at least not yet. Shoot, if last week's performance is any indication, he might not be ready to play two quarters. Favre is still learning the playbook, learning the ebb and flow of the offensive skill players, and trying to get himself back into game shape. Favre was 1-for-4 last week in his debut, and although I don't think he's going to be quite that bad in this game, I'm still not expecting 200 yards and two TDs. Remember, this is a run-first team that wants to play ball-control offense in an attempt to keep their own defense off the field as much as possible.
The Vikings have already played two pre-season games in 2009 and have scored a combined 30 points in those two games. Ironically, the Texans have also played two pre-season games and have scored a combined 30 points. Folks, I'm not looking for a shootout tonight as I believe the emphasis will be on defense. Houston was torched for 38 points in a 24-drubbing at the hands of the New Orleans Saints last week. I expect Gary Kubiak and his staff to do whatever they can to stop Adrian Peterson and/or Brett Favre tonight, including several new blitz packages that they've installed.
As for Houston's offense, they still want to get a better look at the backups and third teamers, so even though the starters are expected to go until halftime, I wouldn't be surprised to see the backups sprinkled in with the starters much of that first half. I'm expecting a few quick scores, but in the end the defenses will take over and the final score will be somewhere around 17-13
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED---------GL GUYS
axiumsports
August 31st 2009
*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*
Current Bankroll=$2,898.61
Pick #1- Sweden- ALlsvenskan Soccer
1)Bet 79.55 to win 72.98 on Malmo FF/Helsingborgs IF UNDER 2.5 -109
Pick #2- MLB-
2a)Bet 38.33 to win 36.51 on NY Yankees/Baltimore OVER 10 -105
2b)Bet 167.06 to win 159.10 on NY Yankees/Baltimore OVER 10 -105
Pick #3- MLB-
3aa)Bet 12.90 to win 12.90 on Arizona/LA Dodgers UNDER 8 +100
3ab)Bet 80.49 to win 80.49 on Arizona/LA Dodgers UNDER 8 +100
3ba)Bet 38.42 to win 38.42 on Arizona/LA Dodgers UNDER 8 +100
3bb)Bet 350.83 to win 350.83 on Arizona/LA Dodgers UNDER 8 +100
August 31st 2009
*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*
Current Bankroll=$2,898.61
Pick #1- Sweden- ALlsvenskan Soccer
1)Bet 79.55 to win 72.98 on Malmo FF/Helsingborgs IF UNDER 2.5 -109
Pick #2- MLB-
2a)Bet 38.33 to win 36.51 on NY Yankees/Baltimore OVER 10 -105
2b)Bet 167.06 to win 159.10 on NY Yankees/Baltimore OVER 10 -105
Pick #3- MLB-
3aa)Bet 12.90 to win 12.90 on Arizona/LA Dodgers UNDER 8 +100
3ab)Bet 80.49 to win 80.49 on Arizona/LA Dodgers UNDER 8 +100
3ba)Bet 38.42 to win 38.42 on Arizona/LA Dodgers UNDER 8 +100
3bb)Bet 350.83 to win 350.83 on Arizona/LA Dodgers UNDER 8 +100
Trace Adams
1000* - White Sox w/Floyd over Blackburn, 500* - NY Yankees-Baltimore OVER (Pettitte vs. Guthrie) The White Sox road trip from hell continues tonight, but after losing 3 of 4 in Boston, and all 3 in New York, I expect the Pale Hose to open tonight's big Central Division series with the win over the Twins.
Minnesota is now ahead of Chicago in the standings, so this is a key series for both clubs with just around 30 games left in the season.
I don't trust Nick Blackburn at all, as the Twins righty has lost his way, going 0-5 over his last 8 season starts. The last time Blackburn notched a win was way back on July 10th, and the Twins are just 1-7 in those 8 starts.
Gavin Floyd has cooled off a little, but a look at his splits shows 2 earned runs or less allowed in 5 of his last 7 starts, and he is also 4-0 the last 5 times he has started against Minnesota.
The White Sox have not done well in the Metrodome, losing 14 of their last 16 there, but tonight is the night they do something about it.
Take the Sox.
1000♦ - White Sox w/Floyd over Blackburn
♦♦♦NOTE: Both listed starters must start, or no action on the play!♦♦♦
Andy Pettitte has had a great month of August, and while I expect him to end the month with another "W", I have a feeling that tonight he is going to give up a few runs to the Orioles.
Baltimore has scored 5 runs or more in 4 of their last 6 games, so you can assume they are going to be around that mark this Monday night.
As for Orioles starter Jeremy Guthrie, he has thrown well in his last 2 starts, allowing just 2 earned runs in his last 14 innings of work.
Problem is, those 2 starts only lowered his season ERA to 5.26, and in 3 starts against the Yanks this year, he has allowed 11 runs in 19 innings of work.
The Yankees have been slugging away of late, averaging over 7 runs per game their last 7 games, and 4 of the 6 season series meetings at Camden Yards this year have played HIGH.
I am taking the OVER in the Yankees-Orioles game this Monday night.
500♦ - NY Yankees-Baltimore OVER (Pettitte vs. Guthrie)
♦♦♦NOTE: Both listed starters must start, or no action on the play!♦♦♦
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS
1000* - White Sox w/Floyd over Blackburn, 500* - NY Yankees-Baltimore OVER (Pettitte vs. Guthrie) The White Sox road trip from hell continues tonight, but after losing 3 of 4 in Boston, and all 3 in New York, I expect the Pale Hose to open tonight's big Central Division series with the win over the Twins.
Minnesota is now ahead of Chicago in the standings, so this is a key series for both clubs with just around 30 games left in the season.
I don't trust Nick Blackburn at all, as the Twins righty has lost his way, going 0-5 over his last 8 season starts. The last time Blackburn notched a win was way back on July 10th, and the Twins are just 1-7 in those 8 starts.
Gavin Floyd has cooled off a little, but a look at his splits shows 2 earned runs or less allowed in 5 of his last 7 starts, and he is also 4-0 the last 5 times he has started against Minnesota.
The White Sox have not done well in the Metrodome, losing 14 of their last 16 there, but tonight is the night they do something about it.
Take the Sox.
1000♦ - White Sox w/Floyd over Blackburn
♦♦♦NOTE: Both listed starters must start, or no action on the play!♦♦♦
Andy Pettitte has had a great month of August, and while I expect him to end the month with another "W", I have a feeling that tonight he is going to give up a few runs to the Orioles.
Baltimore has scored 5 runs or more in 4 of their last 6 games, so you can assume they are going to be around that mark this Monday night.
As for Orioles starter Jeremy Guthrie, he has thrown well in his last 2 starts, allowing just 2 earned runs in his last 14 innings of work.
Problem is, those 2 starts only lowered his season ERA to 5.26, and in 3 starts against the Yanks this year, he has allowed 11 runs in 19 innings of work.
The Yankees have been slugging away of late, averaging over 7 runs per game their last 7 games, and 4 of the 6 season series meetings at Camden Yards this year have played HIGH.
I am taking the OVER in the Yankees-Orioles game this Monday night.
500♦ - NY Yankees-Baltimore OVER (Pettitte vs. Guthrie)
♦♦♦NOTE: Both listed starters must start, or no action on the play!♦♦♦
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS
4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 between the Kansas City Royals @ Oakland A's (Monday @ 10pm est). I look for Hochevar and Gonzalez both to have quality starts today. Hochevar gave up 4 runs in 7 innings in his last effort and picked up the loss to the A's in Oakland. The young man picked up the loss but of late has pitched well including back to back quality starts. I look for him to have a solid effort today in a bit of a revenge effort while Gonzalez comes off a tough outing as well. Gio comes off a loss to the Marainers but he got in trouble in a couple of spots where I believe he is improving on. Tack that on with 70% of the public favoring Oakland in this game and the juice is not all that high makes me believe that Hochevar is likely to have a competitive start today. I like the Under here as the early line movement also favors the Under. The Under is 8-2-1 for the Royals facing a lefty and the Under 7-3 for the A's when they face a pitcher with a WHIP greater than 1.30 of late
Good luck,
IC
Good luck,
IC
RatedPicks
MLB:
MLB 08/31 Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres pick: Washington Nationals pts: +135 1 units
MLB 08/31 Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers pick: Texas Rangers pts: -1.5 (+125) 2 units
MLB 08/31 Kansas City Royals at Oakland Athletics pick: Oakland Athletics pts: -130 2 units
NFL:
NFL 08/31 Minnesota Vikings at Houston Texans pick: Minnesota Vikings pts: +3.5 1 units
MLB:
MLB 08/31 Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres pick: Washington Nationals pts: +135 1 units
MLB 08/31 Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers pick: Texas Rangers pts: -1.5 (+125) 2 units
MLB 08/31 Kansas City Royals at Oakland Athletics pick: Oakland Athletics pts: -130 2 units
NFL:
NFL 08/31 Minnesota Vikings at Houston Texans pick: Minnesota Vikings pts: +3.5 1 units
