<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 background=/pix/g_bkg_title_blue.gif align=center><TBODY><TR><TD height=30 vAlign=center width=420>$10,000 MLB Underdog of the Month</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
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$10,000 MLB Underdog of the Month
SAN DIEGO PADRES +115 W/ MATOS over ATLANTA W/ KAWAKAMI
$5000 AL West Game of the Week
OAKLAND A'S -120 W/ ANDERSON over TEXAS W/ NIPPERT
Back With Analysis by 3:00 pm est
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$10,000 MLB Underdog of the Month<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o
></o>SAN DIEGO PADRES +115 W/ MATOS over ATLANTA W/ KAWAKAMI<o
></o>$5000 AL West Game of the Week<o
></o>OAKLAND A'S -120 W/ ANDERSON over TEXAS W/ NIPPERT<o
></o>Back With Analysis by 3:00 pm est
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY MARFA,IRONHORSE AND ME----------GL GUYS
IC
4 Unit Play.
Take Under 7.5 between the Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres (Monday @ 10:05pm est).
Kenshin Kawakami got shelled against Florida in his last contest as he gave up six runs in less than five innings. As the Braves are still in the playoff hunt, he will look to rebound and have a positive start today. Kenshin had pitched seveeral quality starts in a row prior to this as bear in mind he had given up a total of just 4 runs in less than about 18 innings prior to his start in Florida - a divsion rival he fail to produce a quality start against. Latos is a young kid from Alexandria, Virginia that has pitched very well thus far giving up five runs in less than seventeen innings. He consequently possesses a 2-1 record with a 2.7era. He went 2-0 on the road at Colorado and at Washington but did not win his contest at home. I look for him to have a quality start today at home in San Diego - and bear in mind, this is the Braves first look at him as well which works to his favor. The Under is 4-1 when Kenshin gives up five or more runs in his previous game and the Under is 7-0 for the Padres when the total is set this low.
Good luck,
IC
4 Unit Play.
Take Under 7.5 between the Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres (Monday @ 10:05pm est).
Kenshin Kawakami got shelled against Florida in his last contest as he gave up six runs in less than five innings. As the Braves are still in the playoff hunt, he will look to rebound and have a positive start today. Kenshin had pitched seveeral quality starts in a row prior to this as bear in mind he had given up a total of just 4 runs in less than about 18 innings prior to his start in Florida - a divsion rival he fail to produce a quality start against. Latos is a young kid from Alexandria, Virginia that has pitched very well thus far giving up five runs in less than seventeen innings. He consequently possesses a 2-1 record with a 2.7era. He went 2-0 on the road at Colorado and at Washington but did not win his contest at home. I look for him to have a quality start today at home in San Diego - and bear in mind, this is the Braves first look at him as well which works to his favor. The Under is 4-1 when Kenshin gives up five or more runs in his previous game and the Under is 7-0 for the Padres when the total is set this low.
Good luck,
IC
From another the site
[COLOR=#000000! important]BEN BURNS
AL West GOY
I'm playing on OAKLAND. I really like the A's in this spot. The fact that the game is being played at Oakland is very important. For starters, the A's played here yesterday afternoon. The Rangers played a night game at Arlington and then had to travel. In theory, that should make the A's a little "fresher" for tonight's game. Additionally, like most teams, both these squads are better at home, particularly Texas. The Rangers are great at home but they've hit just .237 on the road, averaging only 4.2 runs. The fact that Oakland lost yesterday and Texas won doesn't bother me, either. If anything, that should provide the A's with some added motivation here. Most importantly, I also feel the pitching matchup favors Oakland.
Brett Anderson has been very solid of late. His last three starts came against the likes of the~ Angels, Yankees and Red Sox, currently the top three teams in the American League. Despite the tough opposition, Anderson went 1-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.016 WHIP in those games, averaging nearly seven innings per start. Looking back a bit further and we find Anderson is 3-1 with a superb 1.85 ERA in his last six starts. During that stretch, the rookie southpaw has 40 K's in 39 innings and is limiting opponents to a mere .173 batting average. For the season, he has a respectable 4.01 ERA and 1.289 WHIP in seven home starts, averaging better than six innings in those starts.
Dustin Nippert goes for the Rangers (due to an injury to Millwood) and he's got an ugly 7.36 ERA and 2.044 WHIP in his two road starts. He didn't last four complete innings in either of those starts.
With the total currently holding at 8.5, note that the Rangers are a money-burning 4-10 (-4.6) this season when playing a game with a total of either eight or 8.5. On the other hand, even with yesterday's loss (total dropped from 9 to 8.5) the A's are still above .500 (21-20) in that situation, earning a modest profit.
While they've had trouble at Texas, the A's have won three of their last four home meetings with the Rangers. I expect them to provide Anderson some run support and look for them to start the series with a much-needed victory.
*AL West GOY[/COLOR]
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[COLOR=#000000! important]BEN BURNS
AL West GOY
I'm playing on OAKLAND. I really like the A's in this spot. The fact that the game is being played at Oakland is very important. For starters, the A's played here yesterday afternoon. The Rangers played a night game at Arlington and then had to travel. In theory, that should make the A's a little "fresher" for tonight's game. Additionally, like most teams, both these squads are better at home, particularly Texas. The Rangers are great at home but they've hit just .237 on the road, averaging only 4.2 runs. The fact that Oakland lost yesterday and Texas won doesn't bother me, either. If anything, that should provide the A's with some added motivation here. Most importantly, I also feel the pitching matchup favors Oakland.
Brett Anderson has been very solid of late. His last three starts came against the likes of the~ Angels, Yankees and Red Sox, currently the top three teams in the American League. Despite the tough opposition, Anderson went 1-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.016 WHIP in those games, averaging nearly seven innings per start. Looking back a bit further and we find Anderson is 3-1 with a superb 1.85 ERA in his last six starts. During that stretch, the rookie southpaw has 40 K's in 39 innings and is limiting opponents to a mere .173 batting average. For the season, he has a respectable 4.01 ERA and 1.289 WHIP in seven home starts, averaging better than six innings in those starts.
Dustin Nippert goes for the Rangers (due to an injury to Millwood) and he's got an ugly 7.36 ERA and 2.044 WHIP in his two road starts. He didn't last four complete innings in either of those starts.
With the total currently holding at 8.5, note that the Rangers are a money-burning 4-10 (-4.6) this season when playing a game with a total of either eight or 8.5. On the other hand, even with yesterday's loss (total dropped from 9 to 8.5) the A's are still above .500 (21-20) in that situation, earning a modest profit.
While they've had trouble at Texas, the A's have won three of their last four home meetings with the Rangers. I expect them to provide Anderson some run support and look for them to start the series with a much-needed victory.
*AL West GOY[/COLOR]
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The Duke's Sports
Complimentary MLB Premium for Monday:
Atlanta (-105) [Kawakami over Latos] for 1.5 Units *'
Braves/Padres 10:05: We like the Braves resiliency (8-1 following a loss) and their
dominance in this series (18-5). The Braves are 6-0 after allowing 5+ runs in previous
game, 8-0 after scoring 2 or less in previous game, and 8-2 in their last 10 in SD. And
although the Braves' bats are colling down, the bullpen is maintaining strength (3.49
ERA last 10). SD's Latos has been strong but he has been untested and could struggle
in this spot. SD is 3-15 in game 1 of a series following a loss. We'll look for Kawakami to
hold off the heating up bats of SD.
Complimentary MLB Premium for Monday:
Atlanta (-105) [Kawakami over Latos] for 1.5 Units *'
Braves/Padres 10:05: We like the Braves resiliency (8-1 following a loss) and their
dominance in this series (18-5). The Braves are 6-0 after allowing 5+ runs in previous
game, 8-0 after scoring 2 or less in previous game, and 8-2 in their last 10 in SD. And
although the Braves' bats are colling down, the bullpen is maintaining strength (3.49
ERA last 10). SD's Latos has been strong but he has been untested and could struggle
in this spot. SD is 3-15 in game 1 of a series following a loss. We'll look for Kawakami to
hold off the heating up bats of SD.
RatedPicks
MLB:
MLB 08/03 San Francisco Giants at Houston Astros pick: under pts: 8 3 units
MLB 08/03 Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Devil Rays pick: Tampa Bay Devil Rays pts: -1.5 (+160) 3 units
MLB 08/03 Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Devil Rays pick: Tampa Bay Devil Rays pts: -135 5 units
MLB 08/03 Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers pick: Baltimore Orioles pts: +270 2 units
MLB:
MLB 08/03 San Francisco Giants at Houston Astros pick: under pts: 8 3 units
MLB 08/03 Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Devil Rays pick: Tampa Bay Devil Rays pts: -1.5 (+160) 3 units
MLB 08/03 Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Devil Rays pick: Tampa Bay Devil Rays pts: -135 5 units
MLB 08/03 Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers pick: Baltimore Orioles pts: +270 2 units
Tony Salinas Baseball
Monday, August 03, 2009
22* Pirates {C.Morton} (-145) over Nationals {G.Mock}
7:05 PM -- PNC Park
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.
26* Chicago Cubs {R.Wells} (-135) over Reds {A.Harang}
7:10 PM -- Great American Ball Park
Mostly clear. Winds blowing out to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.
23* Padres {M.Latos} (+100) over Braves {K.Kawakami}
10:05 PM -- Petco Park
Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing in from left field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.
25* Diamondbacks {D.Haren}/Ny Mets {N.Figueroa} UNDER 7½ Runs
7:10 PM -- Citi Field
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing in from left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.
Monday, August 03, 2009
22* Pirates {C.Morton} (-145) over Nationals {G.Mock}
7:05 PM -- PNC Park
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.
26* Chicago Cubs {R.Wells} (-135) over Reds {A.Harang}
7:10 PM -- Great American Ball Park
Mostly clear. Winds blowing out to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.
23* Padres {M.Latos} (+100) over Braves {K.Kawakami}
10:05 PM -- Petco Park
Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing in from left field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.
25* Diamondbacks {D.Haren}/Ny Mets {N.Figueroa} UNDER 7½ Runs
7:10 PM -- Citi Field
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing in from left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.
Unlocked Sports
(7-1 MLB Run)
Here are today’s plays.
1) Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
Pick: Chicago -133 (4 units)
The Cubs are 1/2 a game behind the Cards for first place in the NL Central. Therefore, this is a game that they absolutely cannot afford to lose. The Reds on the other have clearly given up on their season, dropping 12 of their past 13 contests. The Cubs send Randy Wells (7-4, 2.84) to the mound. Chicago is 6-0 in Wells' last 6 versus a team with a losing record and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. He will face Aaron Harang (5-12, 4.50) who has been struggling since late May. He is 0-8 in his last 12 starts with an ERA of 5.56. Harang is 2-5 in his last 7 appearances versus the Cubs. The Cubs will take this one because they are the better team and a more desperate team and because they have a significant pitching advantage.
Bet 4 units on the Cubs.
2) Milwaukee Brewers vs L.A. Dodgers
Pick: L.A. -1.5 (3 units)
There is every reason to believe that the Dodgers will win this one. They are 34-17 at home this season and have a substantial pitching advantage in this matchup. They send Clayton Kershaw (8-5, 2.76) to the mound. He has been absolutely sensational as of late going 5-0 with a 0.79 ERA in his last 9 starts. The Dodgers are 12-3 in Kershaw’s last 15 starts as a home favorite. He will be facing Manny Parra (5-8, 6.50) who has been mediocre at best all season long. The Brewers are 3-14 in his last 17 starts as a road underdog. L.A. should easily cover the spread because they have a lot of success against lefties, averaging 0.303 at home and 0.343 in their last 10. This is a significant advantage since Milwaukee is only averaging 0.197 in its past 10 contests facing left handed pitchers. The Dodgers will win this one in dominant fashion.
Bet 3 units on the Dodgers runline.
(7-1 MLB Run)
Here are today’s plays.
1) Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
Pick: Chicago -133 (4 units)
The Cubs are 1/2 a game behind the Cards for first place in the NL Central. Therefore, this is a game that they absolutely cannot afford to lose. The Reds on the other have clearly given up on their season, dropping 12 of their past 13 contests. The Cubs send Randy Wells (7-4, 2.84) to the mound. Chicago is 6-0 in Wells' last 6 versus a team with a losing record and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. He will face Aaron Harang (5-12, 4.50) who has been struggling since late May. He is 0-8 in his last 12 starts with an ERA of 5.56. Harang is 2-5 in his last 7 appearances versus the Cubs. The Cubs will take this one because they are the better team and a more desperate team and because they have a significant pitching advantage.
Bet 4 units on the Cubs.
2) Milwaukee Brewers vs L.A. Dodgers
Pick: L.A. -1.5 (3 units)
There is every reason to believe that the Dodgers will win this one. They are 34-17 at home this season and have a substantial pitching advantage in this matchup. They send Clayton Kershaw (8-5, 2.76) to the mound. He has been absolutely sensational as of late going 5-0 with a 0.79 ERA in his last 9 starts. The Dodgers are 12-3 in Kershaw’s last 15 starts as a home favorite. He will be facing Manny Parra (5-8, 6.50) who has been mediocre at best all season long. The Brewers are 3-14 in his last 17 starts as a road underdog. L.A. should easily cover the spread because they have a lot of success against lefties, averaging 0.303 at home and 0.343 in their last 10. This is a significant advantage since Milwaukee is only averaging 0.197 in its past 10 contests facing left handed pitchers. The Dodgers will win this one in dominant fashion.
Bet 3 units on the Dodgers runline.
SAM CLAYTON
**4-0 this year with 30 dime selections, going for No. 5 tonight!**
30 dime - Cubs
Losing a game the way Kevin Gregg and the Cubs did last night is a swift kick to the teeth. Those dramatic, last inning losses are bitter and they warrant revenge -- and the North Siders will be fired up to come out tonight and kick some Cincinnati ass. Knowing full well that a victory places the Cubs in a first place tie with the hated Cardinals, you have to believe Lou Piniella's bunch will be determined and the offense will be amped to put runs on the board to try and prevent a close game for the bullpen. Sometimes, it's losses like Sunday's that prove what your team is all about. I'm extremely confident that the Cubs will bounce back strong and take care of business.
Chicago is 8-3 their last 11 games and they've beaten the Reds 6 of 9 games so far this season, including a three-game sweep July 24-26. Cincinnati is mirrored in its worst slump of the season having dropped 12 of their last 13 games. These two ball clubs are going in completely different directions what with the Cubbies playing for first place and Cincinnati wallowing in the cellar of the division. The Cubs will have an added boost offensively as Fukudome, Bradley and Ramirez (all who DNP Sunday) will be in the lineup, fresh and rested for tonight's game.
Lucky for the Cubs, they face a struggling pitcher that has had a mediocre past against them. Aaron Harang (9-7, 4.61 lifetime vs. Chicago) is fresh off an atrocious July, where he posted a 0-4 record with a 6.00 ERA. Since the All-Star break, Harang is 0-3 with a 6.30 marker and a 1.60 WHIP. The right-hander hasn't won a start since May 25 and the Reds have lost 6 of the last 8 times he's taken the mound. Randy Wells gets the call for the Cubs and he's been taking care of business all year long. Wells is 3-1 with a 2.62 ERA on the highway this season and he's undefeated (3-0, 3.32) in the second half.
In this divisional mismatch, we're siding with the hotter team, hotter pitcher and better offense. Play the Cubs as your Monday top play and fifth 30 dime winner in five chances.
**4-0 this year with 30 dime selections, going for No. 5 tonight!**
30 dime - Cubs
Losing a game the way Kevin Gregg and the Cubs did last night is a swift kick to the teeth. Those dramatic, last inning losses are bitter and they warrant revenge -- and the North Siders will be fired up to come out tonight and kick some Cincinnati ass. Knowing full well that a victory places the Cubs in a first place tie with the hated Cardinals, you have to believe Lou Piniella's bunch will be determined and the offense will be amped to put runs on the board to try and prevent a close game for the bullpen. Sometimes, it's losses like Sunday's that prove what your team is all about. I'm extremely confident that the Cubs will bounce back strong and take care of business.
Chicago is 8-3 their last 11 games and they've beaten the Reds 6 of 9 games so far this season, including a three-game sweep July 24-26. Cincinnati is mirrored in its worst slump of the season having dropped 12 of their last 13 games. These two ball clubs are going in completely different directions what with the Cubbies playing for first place and Cincinnati wallowing in the cellar of the division. The Cubs will have an added boost offensively as Fukudome, Bradley and Ramirez (all who DNP Sunday) will be in the lineup, fresh and rested for tonight's game.
Lucky for the Cubs, they face a struggling pitcher that has had a mediocre past against them. Aaron Harang (9-7, 4.61 lifetime vs. Chicago) is fresh off an atrocious July, where he posted a 0-4 record with a 6.00 ERA. Since the All-Star break, Harang is 0-3 with a 6.30 marker and a 1.60 WHIP. The right-hander hasn't won a start since May 25 and the Reds have lost 6 of the last 8 times he's taken the mound. Randy Wells gets the call for the Cubs and he's been taking care of business all year long. Wells is 3-1 with a 2.62 ERA on the highway this season and he's undefeated (3-0, 3.32) in the second half.
In this divisional mismatch, we're siding with the hotter team, hotter pitcher and better offense. Play the Cubs as your Monday top play and fifth 30 dime winner in five chances.
Analyst: Eddie Rom
<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 background=/pix/g_bkg_title_blue.gif align=center><TBODY><TR><TD height=30 vAlign=center width=420>$10,000 MLB Near Even Money Lock of the Month</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 align=center><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD width=420>
$10,000 MLB Near Even Money Lock of the Week
SAN DIEGO PADRES +100 W/ MATOS over ATLANTA W/ KAWAKAMI
When I released this play early in the morning, San Diego was +115, even +120 in some places. As of 1:30 pm est the line has moved dramatically and now they are +100 to -105 so I apologize to all for naming this my underdog of the month, however, I cannot control line shifts of this magnitude. It's also why I changed the name of the game because I didn't want to hear anyone crying that I stiffed them.
And as for the line shift, it's probably right because they valued Atlanta way to high today. Here's a team that played the late ESPN game last night, a game which didn't end until 11:30 pm est and then they had to catch a charter for a 5 to 6 hour flight to the West Coast without the benefit of a day off plus they have to deal with Jet Lag.
Matos has been very good for the Padres and the Braves aren't familiar with this kids stuff so they could struggle against him tonight. It's not like Atlanta is a good hitting team to begin with them coming off a 3 game series in which they had just 18 hits.
I haven't like Kawakami all year long and on the road he has had some struggles as he sports a 5.70 ERA on the highway as opposed to a 3.28 ERA at home. Look for him to struggle tonight against a San Diego team that is coming around. I did go against them yesterday as I used Milwaukee but going into that game Sunday they had won 5 straight. In this spot, I think San Diego is a great play.
$5000 AL West Game of the Week
OAKLAND A'S -120 W/ ANDERSON over TEXAS W/ NIPPERT
Oakland is a team that is 15 games worse then Texas is and this pitching match-up today isn't a huge advantage because the last time Texas saw Anderson they lit him up, yet, despite this Oakland is -120 today. Sounds like a dead giveaway to me. Oakland has to be the right side of this game as I expect Texas to struggle with the loss of Kinsler. Sometimes things are unexplainable and sometimes we have to listen to the oddsmakers, as crazy as it seems. They tell me Oakland should win this game tonight, I'm going to listen. Oakland is my secondary play.
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<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 background=/pix/g_bkg_title_blue.gif align=center><TBODY><TR><TD height=30 vAlign=center width=420>$10,000 MLB Near Even Money Lock of the Month</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 align=center><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD width=420>
$10,000 MLB Near Even Money Lock of the Week
SAN DIEGO PADRES +100 W/ MATOS over ATLANTA W/ KAWAKAMI
When I released this play early in the morning, San Diego was +115, even +120 in some places. As of 1:30 pm est the line has moved dramatically and now they are +100 to -105 so I apologize to all for naming this my underdog of the month, however, I cannot control line shifts of this magnitude. It's also why I changed the name of the game because I didn't want to hear anyone crying that I stiffed them.
And as for the line shift, it's probably right because they valued Atlanta way to high today. Here's a team that played the late ESPN game last night, a game which didn't end until 11:30 pm est and then they had to catch a charter for a 5 to 6 hour flight to the West Coast without the benefit of a day off plus they have to deal with Jet Lag.
Matos has been very good for the Padres and the Braves aren't familiar with this kids stuff so they could struggle against him tonight. It's not like Atlanta is a good hitting team to begin with them coming off a 3 game series in which they had just 18 hits.
I haven't like Kawakami all year long and on the road he has had some struggles as he sports a 5.70 ERA on the highway as opposed to a 3.28 ERA at home. Look for him to struggle tonight against a San Diego team that is coming around. I did go against them yesterday as I used Milwaukee but going into that game Sunday they had won 5 straight. In this spot, I think San Diego is a great play.
$5000 AL West Game of the Week
OAKLAND A'S -120 W/ ANDERSON over TEXAS W/ NIPPERT
Oakland is a team that is 15 games worse then Texas is and this pitching match-up today isn't a huge advantage because the last time Texas saw Anderson they lit him up, yet, despite this Oakland is -120 today. Sounds like a dead giveaway to me. Oakland has to be the right side of this game as I expect Texas to struggle with the loss of Kinsler. Sometimes things are unexplainable and sometimes we have to listen to the oddsmakers, as crazy as it seems. They tell me Oakland should win this game tonight, I'm going to listen. Oakland is my secondary play.
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