Larry Ness Monday
Larry's 2nd Round 10* NBA Total
The Hawks "hung around" the Cavs until the third quarter of Game 3 but LeBron's 47 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists eventually led to another impressive Cleveland victory. The Cavs would win Game 3 by the score of 89-72 and are now are on the verge of a second consecutive four-game sweep. Cleveland is 7-0 SU and ATS in the 2009 postseason with ALL seven wins coming by at least double digits and the average margin of victory being 18.0 PPG, including by 21.3 PPG in this series. The scary thing for the rest of the NBA is that it's been more than LeBron (33.7-10.0-6.6) this postseason. Yes, he has played 108 minutes in this series and scored 108 points but Williams (15.1-4.4 APG), West (12.1-3.9-4.1) and Ilgauskas (10.3-6.1) plus a host of other role players have all played well this postseason. It all starts with LeBron but this year, "The King" definitely has a 'court!' Is this the end of the road for the Hawks? It may be but there is sure no more pressure on them, down 0-3. After shooting an abysmal 38.8 percent in the first two games in Cleveland, the Hawks were much better in Game 3, shooting 44.7 percent, including a solid 7-of-18 (38.9 percent) on threes. The Hawks averaged 98.1 PPG on 45.8 percent from the floor this season and I'm expecting a good game from them . As for the Cavs, this team has averaged 96.4 PPG through seven postseason games and that includes that 'ugly' Game 3 in Detroit, when the Cavs outlasted the Pistons, just 79-68. In the three games vs the Hawks, the Cavs have averaged 100.3 PPG, while shooting 50.2 percent. What should change tonight? The Cavs have to 'LOVE' that the Lakers are struggling (tied 2-all with the Rockets after an embarrassing Game 4 loss on Sunday) and will sure want to "finish the Hawks' here, especially with the Celtics and Magic likely headed for a seven-game series (winner will be Cleveland's next opponent). Expect the Cavs to at least reach their "average" in this series (100 points) and for the Hawks to finally "settle down" (with ZERO pressure) and play their best game. That scenario would mean a game which will end a full two TDs over this total.
2nd Round 10* Total Cle/Atl Over.
50 Points in the first 17 minutes...
This guy is a major fade alert...
Disagree. Carefull
Looking back at his last 10 plays, he's like 1-4 in 9 unit and higher plays. He's hit the small ones but touting 10stars and 25 club plays are not working.
His NBA totals are usually always with the 180s and trying to hit the low number. He must not have watched the Hawks play to remember THEY CANT SCORE!!
Just hope the Giants and the over hit tonight.
His NBA totals are usually always with the 180s and trying to hit the low number. He must not have watched the Hawks play to remember THEY CANT SCORE!!
Just hope the Giants and the over hit tonight.
Larry Ness Monday
Larry's 2nd Round 10* NBA Total
The Hawks "hung around" the Cavs until the third quarter of Game 3 but LeBron's 47 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists eventually led to another impressive Cleveland victory. The Cavs would win Game 3 by the score of 89-72 and are now are on the verge of a second consecutive four-game sweep. Cleveland is 7-0 SU and ATS in the 2009 postseason with ALL seven wins coming by at least double digits and the average margin of victory being 18.0 PPG, including by 21.3 PPG in this series. The scary thing for the rest of the NBA is that it's been more than LeBron (33.7-10.0-6.6) this postseason. Yes, he has played 108 minutes in this series and scored 108 points but Williams (15.1-4.4 APG), West (12.1-3.9-4.1) and Ilgauskas (10.3-6.1) plus a host of other role players have all played well this postseason. It all starts with LeBron but this year, "The King" definitely has a 'court!' Is this the end of the road for the Hawks? It may be but there is sure no more pressure on them, down 0-3. After shooting an abysmal 38.8 percent in the first two games in Cleveland, the Hawks were much better in Game 3, shooting 44.7 percent, including a solid 7-of-18 (38.9 percent) on threes. The Hawks averaged 98.1 PPG on 45.8 percent from the floor this season and I'm expecting a good game from them . As for the Cavs, this team has averaged 96.4 PPG through seven postseason games and that includes that 'ugly' Game 3 in Detroit, when the Cavs outlasted the Pistons, just 79-68. In the three games vs the Hawks, the Cavs have averaged 100.3 PPG, while shooting 50.2 percent. What should change tonight? The Cavs have to 'LOVE' that the Lakers are struggling (tied 2-all with the Rockets after an embarrassing Game 4 loss on Sunday) and will sure want to "finish the Hawks' here, especially with the Celtics and Magic likely headed for a seven-game series (winner will be Cleveland's next opponent). Expect the Cavs to at least reach their "average" in this series (100 points) and for the Hawks to finally "settle down" (with ZERO pressure) and play their best game. That scenario would mean a game which will end a full two TDs over this total.
2nd Round 10* Total Cle/Atl Over.
50 Points in the first 17 minutes...
This guy is a major fade alert...
He had the Giants though.. and thats looking good.. He is better at Baseball...
ok but you are taking 1 week out of a career that spans 25 years in the industry.. Im sure I can find a week in that 25 year career where he went 5-0... EVERYONE i dont care WHO YOU ARE has their bad streaks... I never said he was the BEST capper I was just saying that he is decent in Baseball..not outstanding.. You can't just play EVERY play a service puts out or you will get buried.. You have to cap their plays on your own and decide to play on it or fade it.. Thats what I do and Im winning (well right now at least).. I didnt like that total so I laid off.. I did like the Giants after looking at it myself and seeing what other opinions were out there on the game..
Agreed
I agree with you on a few points. You can't blindly play every play from a service or you will get killed. You need to cap the games yourself along with gathering other info and decipher the games that way.
I take into account what he has to say in his writeups and decide which ones to play myself. In fact, I played both his plays last night. I also won't hesitate to fade him in baseball too. He takes 99% favorites and lately is having trouble hitting 50%. That will kill you in bases.
I realize I was pointing out his most recent run which is horrible but this is a "what have you done for me lately" type of business. Also I point it out that despite that losing streak, he claims he is hot in baseball because he can find one of his hundreds of "game of XXXX" that may have hit four out of six while the other games of might be 1-7. That annoys me about him. Just rate your games 1-5 or 1-10 and not use the game of blah blah blah all the time. You would think some of these credible services wouldn't need to use that marketing tool.
As far as his career goes, I agree he has had enough of a long term success that makes him reputable. Two years ago, he had a good baseball season. Last year, he cleary finished losing money.
I just feel lately in baseball, he has gotten lazy. He takes all favorites and so many of them in the - 130 to - 165 range. It's gotten to the point that I can virtually pick his plays before they come out. Yes he hit the Giants at - 153 but you should hit more than 50% of those. Going 55% hitting -150 chalk will always lose money.
Just making a few points and agreeing with you on some. Not bashing him although I tend to use his writeups to help me make my selection rather than his actual picks. Good luck.
I agree with you on a few points. You can't blindly play every play from a service or you will get killed. You need to cap the games yourself along with gathering other info and decipher the games that way.
I take into account what he has to say in his writeups and decide which ones to play myself. In fact, I played both his plays last night. I also won't hesitate to fade him in baseball too. He takes 99% favorites and lately is having trouble hitting 50%. That will kill you in bases.
I realize I was pointing out his most recent run which is horrible but this is a "what have you done for me lately" type of business. Also I point it out that despite that losing streak, he claims he is hot in baseball because he can find one of his hundreds of "game of XXXX" that may have hit four out of six while the other games of might be 1-7. That annoys me about him. Just rate your games 1-5 or 1-10 and not use the game of blah blah blah all the time. You would think some of these credible services wouldn't need to use that marketing tool.
As far as his career goes, I agree he has had enough of a long term success that makes him reputable. Two years ago, he had a good baseball season. Last year, he cleary finished losing money.
I just feel lately in baseball, he has gotten lazy. He takes all favorites and so many of them in the - 130 to - 165 range. It's gotten to the point that I can virtually pick his plays before they come out. Yes he hit the Giants at - 153 but you should hit more than 50% of those. Going 55% hitting -150 chalk will always lose money.
Just making a few points and agreeing with you on some. Not bashing him although I tend to use his writeups to help me make my selection rather than his actual picks. Good luck.
If you want to follow a good Capper start looking at Tom Freese.. EVERY year he goes on a sick run at least 2 times a season in baseball.. right now he is 14-3 his L17. I asked the people that sell the plays for these guys and they all agreed that Freese is the best capper in bases consistently..
Freese
I've noticed him have some success but I'll keep a closer eye on him now. I appreciate the tip and respect a tout that doesn't pound heavy favorites all the time. I try to avoid anything over the 140's myself unless it's something unusual so he would fit my guidelines.
I do like to catch the writeups to see where a guy is coming from and know we can't post many writeups here but I never see that from Tom Freese. However, again, I appreciate the suggestion and while I've always noticed Tom Freese, I will look more closely at his picks. Thanks. Now the only question is do you get in on a guy who is already on a 14-3 run or should I wait a bit. Tough call.
I've noticed him have some success but I'll keep a closer eye on him now. I appreciate the tip and respect a tout that doesn't pound heavy favorites all the time. I try to avoid anything over the 140's myself unless it's something unusual so he would fit my guidelines.
I do like to catch the writeups to see where a guy is coming from and know we can't post many writeups here but I never see that from Tom Freese. However, again, I appreciate the suggestion and while I've always noticed Tom Freese, I will look more closely at his picks. Thanks. Now the only question is do you get in on a guy who is already on a 14-3 run or should I wait a bit. Tough call.
