I was on Denver. The thing with watching the public is yes 80%+ were on Troy AND the line had dropped 1.5 points from it's opening. Which tells you the 'big/smart money' were on Denver. When this happens more than half the time the play is the other way. In this case Denver. Line movement can be a key in betting and can help you take a side but don't let it be the ONLY thing you rely on. Looks like I will be 3-0 starting the night off and on those 3 bets line movement was part of what I looked at along with capping the game. Good Luck in the future.
For example: Niagara/Siena over 155 will be one of my later bets. I capped the game and liked the over. I checked the line movement and see 83% is on the over also, but the line has jumped from 152 to 155 which tells you the 'smart/big money' is on the over.
The fix was in the Charleston game boys:
<TABLE class=tablehead cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=360><TBODY><TR class=oddrow align=middle><TD align=left>Free Throws</TD><TD>3-5 (60.0%)</TD><TD>12-15 (80.0%)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
And chattanooga is shooting another free throw.
How do you give one team 5 free throw attempts for a whole game and another 16! (Shooting one more now)
<TABLE class=tablehead cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=360><TBODY><TR class=oddrow align=middle><TD align=left>Free Throws</TD><TD>3-5 (60.0%)</TD><TD>12-15 (80.0%)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
And chattanooga is shooting another free throw.
How do you give one team 5 free throw attempts for a whole game and another 16! (Shooting one more now)
Technically youre correct. Understand for sure that the line move angle is just one factor when assessing a game. Sorry just no such thing as a lock. But this is a key angle over many others to consider.
Sienna for example is a good matchup with Niagra. But SIenna is on hoemcourt. But then you look at the numbers and Niagra has all the numerical edges. Sometimes is a ballbuster.
Biggest fix I've ever seen in C of C:
Free Throws Charleston: (5-7)(71.4%)
Free Throws Chattanooga: 22-27 (81.5%)
I've never seen worse refs. Just makes me mad that I feel for the fix.hno:
TCHAT was home though..their house, tournament--tough combo to beat. Get it back large on your next. GL!
Yea, I have Gonz -7, Gonz/St. Mary o140 and Siena/Niagara o155, I know those have started but those 2 overs I capped and followed line movement. One's that haven't started and you can look at are portland +3, I would consider this just a lean and not an official play, and la/port u202, also just a lean. 81% on the over yet line has dropped 1.5. On total, I like to see more than 2 point movement if I follow it.
TB, you mind me asking where you find your line movement/ % of public on which side info? Because at sports.com, it certainly doesn't show the same %'s as what you guys are saying. For instance, sports.com shows that the line went from Gonzaga -6 to -7, and it shows that 53% of the public was on them.
