saying its 1-1 at worst is just dumb, following good people and fading bad is a smart move, but on a given day u cant honestly say worst i go is 1-1 bc im following 1 good and fading 1 bad. the good can lose and the bad can get lucky, not knocking your methods, just the over confidence in a limited set.
Dr Bob opinions
Monday College Opinions
APPALACHIAN STATE (+1) over Charleston
Rotation #510 – 4:30 pm Pacific
Charleston is coming off an upset loss to the Citadel and the Cougars apply to a very negative 34-110-1 ATS situation that is based on that loss. Unfortunately, my ratings favor Charleston by 2 ½ points in this game and I’m not willing to give up the line value to make Appalachian a Best Bet. Charleston has also been pretty good off a loss under coach Bobby Cremins (19-11-1 ATS). The situation, however, is strong enough for me to lean with Appalachian State despite the negative line value.
ST. PETER’S (-2 ½) over Marist
Rotation #514 – 5 pm Pacific
St. Peter’s has improved as the season has progressed and the Peacocks are 10-2-1 ATS since the beginning of January, including consecutive upset wins heading into this game. Marist, meanwhile, lost 8 consecutive games before beating Fairfield in their most recent game, and the Red Foxes are just 2-10 ATS this season when not getting at least 6 points. My ratings using all games this season only favor St. Peter’s by 2 points, but using conference games only would favor the Peacocks by 5 ½ points and I’ll lean with St. Pete’s at -3 or less based on a decent 56-21-3 ATS momentum situation.
Monday College Opinions
APPALACHIAN STATE (+1) over Charleston
Rotation #510 – 4:30 pm Pacific
Charleston is coming off an upset loss to the Citadel and the Cougars apply to a very negative 34-110-1 ATS situation that is based on that loss. Unfortunately, my ratings favor Charleston by 2 ½ points in this game and I’m not willing to give up the line value to make Appalachian a Best Bet. Charleston has also been pretty good off a loss under coach Bobby Cremins (19-11-1 ATS). The situation, however, is strong enough for me to lean with Appalachian State despite the negative line value.
ST. PETER’S (-2 ½) over Marist
Rotation #514 – 5 pm Pacific
St. Peter’s has improved as the season has progressed and the Peacocks are 10-2-1 ATS since the beginning of January, including consecutive upset wins heading into this game. Marist, meanwhile, lost 8 consecutive games before beating Fairfield in their most recent game, and the Red Foxes are just 2-10 ATS this season when not getting at least 6 points. My ratings using all games this season only favor St. Peter’s by 2 points, but using conference games only would favor the Peacocks by 5 ½ points and I’ll lean with St. Pete’s at -3 or less based on a decent 56-21-3 ATS momentum situation.
If you "win" trailing Jefferson, Deano, and IC then you lost more than 1 yesterday. Nobody is saying you're wrong that at least one of UConn and Texas will cover, but you statement that "worst case" is you lose the juice is flat out wrong.
Yesterday-
Deano- Akron
IC- Indiana
Jefferson- Butler, Notre Dame, Akron, Buffalo
Either you're lying about how much smarter you are than us for tailing the good touts or you're lying about losing just 1 game yesterday. I see 5 losses on the board from these touts that you follow.
Scott Rickenbach’s College Hoops Game #503 - 2* (Top Play) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (+) @ New Mexico State @ 9 PM ET – The Bulldogs are offering significant line value in this spot. Many people get hung up on the records in a spot like this and that is what gives us such value in games like this. Only Fresno State is lower in the standings than Louisiana Tech but, keep in mind, those Bulldogs just gave the Aggies all they could handle. New Mexico State had to go to overtime to beat them and so the 8 point final margin should be taken with a grain of salt. Also, these Bulldogs will test the Aggies even further. Louisiana Tech just walloped Fresno State in their last game. Not only have they won two of their last three but the lone loss for the Bulldogs during this run was at Utah State. Of course those Aggies are sitting atop the Western Athletic Conference and the Bulldogs were within four points late in that game before having to settle for an eight point loss. Overall, the Bulldogs have been a very competitive team in conference action and note that they’ve already played five of their conference games against three of the top teams (Utah State, Nevada, and Boise State) in the WAC. Even with that, the Aggies only have two conference losses by more than eight points. In other words, giving Louisiana Tech the nine points (currently they’re +9 for this game) in each of their twelve conference games would have resulted in a 10-2 ATS mark in conference action.
The Bulldogs simply don’t stop fighting. No matter what the score they keep fighting and battling all the way. Also, they’re confidence right now is at an all-time high because they have won two of their last three and the only loss came to the best team in the conference and the Bulldogs gave that team all it could handle. Though Louisiana Tech is not known for it’s scoring prowess, they have been very impressive defensively and that is what keeps them in nearly all their games. Additionally, they have edges here in terms of the youth and inexperience of New Mexico State. We’ve seen this time and time again with the Aggies this season. They are one of the youngest teams in Division I basketball and it shows up in the way they often struggle to put teams away. Look for a repeat of that tonight. Note that New Mexico State has truly been anything but special this season as they’re full season record is just 13-12. Also, none of their last six wins has come by more than ten points and, in fact, the average margin of victory in those games is just 5.5 points per win and that includes the benefit of the aforementioned eight-point overtime win. Had they layed the nine points their laying tonight in their last 11 games, the Aggies would be 1-10 ATS. As you can see, there is tremendous value in this spot with a scrappy Bulldogs team that is also quite talented as Kyle Gibson, Magnum Rolle, and Jamel Guyton are all very capable scorers for this team. Play Louisiana Tech plus the points as a Top Play selection.<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
The Bulldogs simply don’t stop fighting. No matter what the score they keep fighting and battling all the way. Also, they’re confidence right now is at an all-time high because they have won two of their last three and the only loss came to the best team in the conference and the Bulldogs gave that team all it could handle. Though Louisiana Tech is not known for it’s scoring prowess, they have been very impressive defensively and that is what keeps them in nearly all their games. Additionally, they have edges here in terms of the youth and inexperience of New Mexico State. We’ve seen this time and time again with the Aggies this season. They are one of the youngest teams in Division I basketball and it shows up in the way they often struggle to put teams away. Look for a repeat of that tonight. Note that New Mexico State has truly been anything but special this season as they’re full season record is just 13-12. Also, none of their last six wins has come by more than ten points and, in fact, the average margin of victory in those games is just 5.5 points per win and that includes the benefit of the aforementioned eight-point overtime win. Had they layed the nine points their laying tonight in their last 11 games, the Aggies would be 1-10 ATS. As you can see, there is tremendous value in this spot with a scrappy Bulldogs team that is also quite talented as Kyle Gibson, Magnum Rolle, and Jamel Guyton are all very capable scorers for this team. Play Louisiana Tech plus the points as a Top Play selection.<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
Inexperience
making a comment so shallow as "the worst that will happen is 1-1" just shows us your inexperience as a gambler. However, you'll learn. Maybe not tonight...but with that thinking, you will learn eventually.
Plus your follow up comments are equally naive. Good luck and hope you learn sooner than later.
making a comment so shallow as "the worst that will happen is 1-1" just shows us your inexperience as a gambler. However, you'll learn. Maybe not tonight...but with that thinking, you will learn eventually.
Plus your follow up comments are equally naive. Good luck and hope you learn sooner than later.
i just have a good feeling about today.. thats all.. i know for a fact texas or uconn will cover or maybe both. and if the 1 good lose and the 1 bad get's lucky it don't matter cause it's still 1-1 We'll have to wait and see and i'll leave it at that. if i'm wrong call me an stupid fuckin idiot or degenerate or whatever. later and gl
