INDIAN COWBOY
4 Unit Play. Take Under 202 between the Cleveland Cavs @ L.A. Lakers (Monday @ 10:30pm est).
Things are going well: +40 Units in Hoops in January.
5-0 last 5 days in CBB (6-1 over last week). 5 Straight Winning Days (2 away from golden week - 10th of career).
Sunday: Southern Illinois -4.5 over Bradley (W)
Saturday: Illinois +7.5 over Ohio State (W)
Friday: Yale +4 over Brown (Outright W)
Thursday: Marist +8.5 over Siena (W)
Wednesday: Illinois -7 over Michigan (W)
Tuesday: Kansas State +8 over Kansas (L)
Monday: Louisville over Notre Dame (W)
4 Straight Winning weeks in the NBA.
Back to back winning Weeks in College Ball:
10-4 (71%) in Hoops last week.
If you wait until game time, you can get a much better price here as much as 203 I believe. This is why I waited in releasing this play. Sometimes, after you've done this for long enough, you see a line and you know it is meant to suck in the public. Look, this will be the most "bet-game" on the board today. Why? Because it involves Cleveland, it involves the L.A. Lakers, it is national holiday and people bet, it is on national television, this is a rivalry, a class east vs. west bout' and of course, it is one of the last games to even bet on the board so all the chasers will come heavily on this game as will those folks that will look to pad their bankroll. Thus, this is a very public game. Why would the line by 202 in such game? Forget the side, although I do think the Cavs will be very game here. Remember, these two teams have not met this year. The last time Cleveland went played L.A., they beat them on the road 98-95 and that totaled mirrored this. Cleveland was a +4 dog going into that game and the total was set at 203. Well, Cleveland is a +4.5 dog here and the total is set at 202. Cleveland is a defensive team. Cleveland does not want to run with L.A. and will force them into their style of game. Remember, when Cleveland played L.A. at home the game totaled 184 as Cleveland won 94-90. L.A. comes off back to back SU losses to the Spurs on the road and to the unstoppable Magic at home. They will focus on defense today and this game is likely to be a public burial as I believe it will total in the low 190's. Note, that the under is 6-1 for the Cavs following an ATS win, the under is 4-1 when the Cavs are Underdogs and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. This is a solid public fade and history has proven its worth in that when the line is set this way, it typically means Cleveland will do very well and the game goes in their favor as the total dips under.
4 Unit Play. #526. Take Pittsburgh -9 over Syracuse (Monday @ 7pm est). My friends, after a 6-1 week in College Ball, let's continue to roll today. We have hit 5 CBB Winners in a row. Who says we can't hit 6 and who says we can't #7 to make it a perfect golden week? My friends, there are a lot of good games today, but I don't think we are going to get one better than to take Jamie Dixon's Pittsburgh team off a loss to Louisville on the road. Look, Pitt to me is still the #1 team in the land and Petino's Louisville team is a tough place to play in their place. Having said that, Pitt returns home ticked off. On top of that, you have a Syracuse team coming off a huge DD win over Notre Dame. Hence, when a team comes off such a big win like that, they are not as "edgy" as "focused". Why? Because they think they are the "shiznit". But, Syracuse is not immune to let downs. Remember, they lost to Cleveland State outright at home. I remember that game as you should do as it was our December GOM as we were on Cleveland State +13 over the Orangemen. Well, don't forget that Syracuse is the same team that lost to Georgetown by 14 on the road (74-88). Syracuse's defense is very questionable. Dixon will have his boys fired up and they will make a strong showing tonight - on MLK Day, to a sold out crowd, on national television, to a conference foe at home. Syracuse is likely in for a let down and Pitt is itching to play after their first loss. Pitt is a veteran team and at home they are dynamic. They beat Georgetown by 16 on the road, Duquesne by 27, Vermont by 29, Siena a top 70 team by 13, St. Johns by 23 and South Florida by 13 at home. I see Pitt winning this game by about 15 points here as they cover the -9 line and win by double-digits as most of the public likely takes it on the chin here. The Orange ar 1-4 ATS following an ATS win and the Panthers are 5-1 ATS following an ATS loss.