Derek Mancini
Today's Winner...
30 Dime - Rangers (Wilson/Vazquez)
This is obviously an important series for both teams, who are looking to put their stamp on this potential playoff preview. That being said, I really liked the way the Rangers turned things around in Toronto, and I expect a return home will only bolster their confidence after what was looking like a very poor road trip.
Texas had lost 5 in a row before winning their final two games at the Rogers Centre. It was the boost they neeed going into tonight's huge series, getting back on track at the plate and on the mound. That's important, because the Yankees have owned the Rangers in Arlington (16-5 L21 there), and that leads me to my biggest question:
If the Yankees are so good in Texas, and considering both Vazquez & Wilson have struggled of late, they explain to me why New York is such a relatively large pup here? Think about it... This number is begging for Yankees money, enticing the average bettors to "take a shot" on the Yankees at plus money. Big mistake. There's a reason you're being asked to lay it with Texas here, and that reason is C.J. Wilson.
Did he struggle in his last start? Yes, surrendering 6 runs in 5 1/3 at the Twins Sunday. However, he was outstanding in the 4 starts prior, allowing 3 earned over those 30 innings with 32 strikeouts! He's also 10-2 with a 3.11 ERA in Arlington. Wilson has seen the Yankees twice this season, going 0-1 with a decent 3.97 ERA, but his last start against them wasn't anything special (2 runs allowed in 5 1/3 innings), which only leads me to believe he'll be even more motivated tonight.
Finally, remember guys, he's facing off against a pitcher who's been struggling mightily for some time now in Javier Vazquez. He posted a 6.69 ERA from July 21st to August 21st, then got promptly demoted to the bullpen, only to return and get rocked by the Blue Jays this past Saturday. Texas jumped all over Vazquez the last time they saw him, and I expect they'll do it again tonight. Rangers are batting .300 and averaging 5.6 runs per game against righties in Arlington this season. Lay it with the Rangers (Wilson) over the NY Yankees (Vazquez) Friday.
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