jeff benton friday
1-0 yesterday 20 dimes or $200...overall 72-86-3 minus 265 dimES
HE IS 2-17 IN HIS LAST 19 PLAYS. BUYER BEWARE.
Friday's Action
20 DIME selection on the COLORADO ROCKIES laying the 1½ runs over the Padres in N.L. West action. Both Jorge De La Rosa (Colorado) and Kevin Correia (San Diego) must start this game or this play is VOID!
5 DIME selection on the HOUSTON ASTROS plus the big money over the Cardinals in N.L. Central action. Note that you must list Bud Norris as Houston’s starting pitcher. If Norris does not start, this play is VOID!
Rockies (-1½ runs)
Gotta ride the scorching-hot Rockies tonight, even though their starting pitcher tonight (Jorge De La Rosa) is coming off an 11-week stint on the disabled list and hasn’t pitched since April 25.
Colorado just swept the Cardinals – including two incredible come-from-behind victories on Tuesday and Wednesday – and it has won four in a row, six of seven on its current homestand and eight of 10 (including two wins in San Diego). With this recent surge, the Rockies are a season-high nine games over .500 and just 2 ½ games back of the Padres in the N.L. West.
As for De La Rosa, I know he got lit up in his final rehab start last week, but he was solid in his first two minor-league outings. Besides, pitching in the Pacific Coast League is not necessarily a gauge on how good a guy’s stuff is. Rather, take a look at what De La Rosa did before tearing a tendon in his finger in late April: He went 3-1 with a 3.91 ERA in his first four starts, including 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA at home. That includes a dominating 7-0 win over the Padres on April 9 (the lefty gave up just one hit and one walk with nine Ks in seven innings). And going back to last September, Colorado is 3-0 when De La Rosa faces San Diego, and De La Rosa was brilliant in two of those three starts (one run, six hits in 14 innings).
The Rockies (now 29-15 at home) have won six of nine from San Diego this season, and they’re 4-1 the last five times they’ve faced Padres right-hander Kevin Correia (all since the start of the 2009 season). In those five games, Correia gave up a total of 18 runs in 25 1/3 innings (6.40 ERA), including two losses this year by scores of 5-2 and 10-6 – and both of those games were in pitcher-friendly Petco Park!
Correia is coming off a strong 1-0 home win over the Astros, but his ERA since the end of May is still a bloated 6.50. Also, he’s 2-2 with a 6.07 ERA on the road this year, and all six of San Diego’s losses with Correia starting this season have been by multiple runs.
The Rockies are 8-2 in De La Rosa’s last 10 starts dating to last September (five wins by multiple runs) and they’re an astonishing 21-5 in his last 26 trips to the mound, 13-3 in his last 16 Coors Field starts, 5-0 in his last five Friday outings and 6-0 the last six times he’s opened a series.
Astros
Why not take a shot with Houston at this rich underdog price at home? The Astros just finished off a three-game sweep of the Pirates (giving up just five runs in the three victories), and they’ve won five straight home games. St. Louis just got swept in a three-game series at Colorado and it has lost six of its last eight overall and 11 of 15 on the road (including the last four in a row).
I know the pitching matchup here – on paper anyway – favors the Cardinals in a big way (hence the big odds). But as great as Adam Wainwright has been this season for the Redbirds, he’s a sub-.500 pitcher on the road (3-5 despite a 3.20 ERA, and St. Louis has lost six of his nine road starts). And while the Cardinals are 6-0 when Wainwright pitches in day games, they’re 6-6 when he throws at night.
Yes, Wainwright has dominated the Astros the last three seasons, leading the Cardinals to nine wins in 10 tries since the start of the 2007 season (and he’s given up just 12 runs in 70 innings (1.54 ERA). But look at what Houston right-hander Bud Norris has done in four career starts (two this year, two last year) against St. Louis: 4-0 with a 0.35 ERA (he’s allowed two runs – one earned – in 26 innings).
In fact, since the start of last August, Norris is 4-0 with a 0.35 in four starts against the Cardinals, but 4-9 with a 6.94 ERA in 17 other starts!
With Norris leading the way, the Astros have won four straight against the Cards this year (all in St. Louis), and Houston is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in Texas