KEITH FREDRICK
Dodgers at Cardinals
Pick: Cardinals -135
Dodgers are 2-7 as away dogs of this range this season and are going against a Cardinal team that is - after yesterday's win - 28-15 at home on the season. St Louis starter Garcia has a 1.20 Home ERA on the season and tossed seven shutout innings in his last outing. Thought this line would be closer to the -150 range; Cards get the call.
Dodgers at Cardinals
Pick: Cardinals -135
Dodgers are 2-7 as away dogs of this range this season and are going against a Cardinal team that is - after yesterday's win - 28-15 at home on the season. St Louis starter Garcia has a 1.20 Home ERA on the season and tossed seven shutout innings in his last outing. Thought this line would be closer to the -150 range; Cards get the call.
TRIPLE THREAT SPORTS
2* Tampa Bay Rays
Just no way to pass up this type value with a team as good as the Rays are and in a spot in which they have a lot of statistical edges. Note that Tampa Bay is 28-14 on the road this season and is an outstanding 22-8 vs left handed starters on the year. For their part the Yankees are just 6-4 as heavy home chalk, actually minus units on the year in this spot. A look at the respective bullpens shows that the Rays have a 3.28 bullpen ERA (2.75 Away) as compared to the 4.14 (5.30 Home) mark of the Bronx Bombers. With all due respect given to the fact that this is the first game for the Yankees since George Steinbrenner's passing, these teams are just to close in talent, season long performance, and current form (both are 8-1 last nine games) for this line to be this high. Have to take a shot with the Rays here
2* Tampa Bay Rays
Just no way to pass up this type value with a team as good as the Rays are and in a spot in which they have a lot of statistical edges. Note that Tampa Bay is 28-14 on the road this season and is an outstanding 22-8 vs left handed starters on the year. For their part the Yankees are just 6-4 as heavy home chalk, actually minus units on the year in this spot. A look at the respective bullpens shows that the Rays have a 3.28 bullpen ERA (2.75 Away) as compared to the 4.14 (5.30 Home) mark of the Bronx Bombers. With all due respect given to the fact that this is the first game for the Yankees since George Steinbrenner's passing, these teams are just to close in talent, season long performance, and current form (both are 8-1 last nine games) for this line to be this high. Have to take a shot with the Rays here
BOB BALFE
Pittsburgh Pirates -103
Both teams are going nowhere this season, but I like Zach Duke coming off the DL. He will be fresh and excited to pitch tonight. The Pirates are not as bad as their second to last place record in the MLB would indicate. Look for Pittsburgh to get a good outing from Duke at home and score enough runs to pick up the W. Take the Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates -103
Both teams are going nowhere this season, but I like Zach Duke coming off the DL. He will be fresh and excited to pitch tonight. The Pirates are not as bad as their second to last place record in the MLB would indicate. Look for Pittsburgh to get a good outing from Duke at home and score enough runs to pick up the W. Take the Pirates.
STAN LISOWSKI
3* SF Giants
The Giants have been hitting lefties pretty good at home this season, batting .295 at home against them so far. San Francisco is a solid host club going 26-17 while the home team is 55-34 in Mets’ games this year. The Giants have won 6 of Zito’s home starts while he has a 2.83 ERA pitching in those games.
3* SF Giants
The Giants have been hitting lefties pretty good at home this season, batting .295 at home against them so far. San Francisco is a solid host club going 26-17 while the home team is 55-34 in Mets’ games this year. The Giants have won 6 of Zito’s home starts while he has a 2.83 ERA pitching in those games.
THE DUKE SPORTS
Washington Under (7) for 2 Units
This series has gone 2-4 o/U this season and we believe the setting is right for another "under" here. Both of tonight's starters are in great form: Strasburg has been dynamic since he stepped on major league soil. And Florida is batting a meager .240 vs righties this month. On the other hand, the Marlins' Ricky Nolasco has been hard to hit at home and should breeze by a Nationals' lineup that is batting just .235 on the road vs righties. Nolasco is 6-0 with a 2.98 ERA in 8 starts vs Washington. And the Florida bullpen sports a respectable 2.64 ERA this month. "Under" the call.
Washington Under (7) for 2 Units
This series has gone 2-4 o/U this season and we believe the setting is right for another "under" here. Both of tonight's starters are in great form: Strasburg has been dynamic since he stepped on major league soil. And Florida is batting a meager .240 vs righties this month. On the other hand, the Marlins' Ricky Nolasco has been hard to hit at home and should breeze by a Nationals' lineup that is batting just .235 on the road vs righties. Nolasco is 6-0 with a 2.98 ERA in 8 starts vs Washington. And the Florida bullpen sports a respectable 2.64 ERA this month. "Under" the call.
Rudy NYC - on a tremendous losing streak...this is what he was going in to June 1st: 64-38 +51.99
79-57 +34.43 units (2010 MLB Forum record)
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Note: I still like the White Sox an awful lot, but I am going in a different direction.
For Friday Night:
975 Friday, 7/16/2010 Oakland Athletics/Kansas City Royals Over 7.5 3 units
79-57 +34.43 units (2010 MLB Forum record)
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Note: I still like the White Sox an awful lot, but I am going in a different direction.
For Friday Night:
975 Friday, 7/16/2010 Oakland Athletics/Kansas City Royals Over 7.5 3 units
