STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
FRIDAY, JULY 11TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#915 CHI WHITE SOX @ #916 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
•White Sox RH Hector Noesi (3-6, 4.90 ERA, WHIP: 1.426) - Noesi is struggling to find any consistency as he followed up a five-run, seven-walk disaster on July 1 by keeping Seattle scoreless over 6 2/3 frames five days later. The Dominican snapped his four-start winless streak with that effort against the Mariners. Noesi had one of his best performances against Cleveland on May 28, when he allowed one run on five hits in a season-high 7 1/3 innings.
•Indians RH Corey Kluber (8-6, 2.86 ERA, WHIP: 1.178) - Kluber was denied a spot on the AL All-Star team as Chicago's Chris Sale won the final vote on Thursday but certainly is worthy of a spot with his performance of late. Kluber has allowed two or fewer runs in each of his last five outings and struck out 10 while yielding one run in 8 1/3 innings against Kansas City on Sunday. The 28-year-old fanned a career-high 13 while surrendering one run in eight frames against Chicago on May 4.
--KEY STAT: KLUBER is 18-4 (+14.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.3, OPPONENT 3.5.
--KLUBER is 15-7 against the run line (+10.7 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.3, OPPONENT 3.5.
--KLUBER is 16-6 OVER (+10.1 Units) versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.3, OPPONENT 4.2.
#917 NY YANKEES @ #918 BALTIMORE - 7:05 PM
•Yankees RH Hiroki Kuroda (6-6, 4.20 ERA, WHIP: 1.262) - Kuroda recorded his second win in seven starts Sunday at Minnesota despite allowing four runs and seven hits over 5 2/3 innings. Conversely, the 39-year-old native of Japan limited Tampa Bay to one run over eight frames in his previous outing but came away with a loss. Kuroda defeated the Orioles earlier this season to even his career record against them at 3-3 but came away with a no-decision in their second meeting June 20 despite yielding only two runs in six innings.
--KEY STAT: KURODA is 13-22 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KURODA 3.0, OPPONENT 4.3.
--KURODA is 19-3 UNDER (+15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KURODA 2.8, OPPONENT 3.5.
--KURODA is 17-3 UNDER (+13.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KURODA 2.6, OPPONENT 3.5.
--KURODA is 13-2 UNDER (+10.8 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KURODA 3.5, OPPONENT 2.6.
--KURODA is 35-15 UNDER (+17.8 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KURODA 4.1, OPPONENT 3.6.
•Orioles RH Ubaldo Jimenez (3-8, 4.52 ERA, WHIP: 1.540) - Jimenez enters with a four-game unbeaten streak but has registered only one victory in his last 11 starts. The 30-year-old Dominican escaped with a no-decision at Boston on Saturday after surrendering four runs on five hits and six walks in 3 2/3 innings. Jimenez has not fared well against the Yankees, going 1-4 with a 5.79 ERA in six career outings and 0-1 in two meetings this season - both in New York.
#919 TORONTO @ #920 TAMPA BAY - 7:10 PM
•Blue Jays LH Mark Buehrle (10-6, 2.60 ERA, WHIP: 1.244) - Buehrle is 0-5 in his last six starts and has surrendered seven homers with a 3.60 ERA, but lasted at least six innings in each of them and has done that in 16 of 18 outings overall. The 35-year-old is 2-0 while allowing three earned runs in 15 1/3 innings against the Rays this season. Desmond Jennings is 7-for-18 versus Buehrle, who is 10-5 in 24 career appearances (19 starts) with a 4.20 ERA against Tampa Bay.
--KEY STAT: BUEHRLE is 14-4 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 5.2, OPPONENT 3.3.
--BUEHRLE is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) versus an American League team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 2.8, OPPONENT 2.2.
--BUEHRLE is 11-1 UNDER (+9.8 Units) versus an American League team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 2.9, OPPONENT 3.2.
--BUEHRLE is 13-3 UNDER (+9.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 3.4, OPPONENT 3.4.
•Rays RH Chris Archer (5-5, 3.16 ERA, WHIP: 1.292 ) - Archer has allowed two runs or fewer in eight of his last starts, including last time out when he gave up a pair in 8 1/3 innings to defeat Detroit. The North Carolina native still struggles with control at times (42 walks), but has 94 strikeouts in 108 1/3 innings. Reyes is 4-for-7 in his career against Archer, who is 1-0 in two starts versus Toronto this season while yielding four runs in 12 innings with 14 strikeouts.
--KEY STAT: ARCHER is 4-18 against the run line (-12.4 Units) when the run line is (+1.5, -155) to (-1.5, +135) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ARCHER 3.8, OPPONENT 4.0.
#921 LA ANGELS # #922 TEXAS - 8:05 PM
•Angels RH Garrett Richards (10-2, 2.71 ERA, WHIP: 1.066) - Richards won his fourth consecutive start with an overpowering performance last time out, striking out a career-high 11 and giving up one run over 7 1/3 innings against Houston. The 26-year-old is 6-0 in his last seven outings, a stirring stretch in which he has yielded a total of eight runs. Richards won both his starts against Texas this season, giving up four runs and striking out 16 over 12 innings.
--KEY STAT: RICHARDS is 12-1 (+10.1 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 5.8, OPPONENT 2.5.
--RICHARDS is 12-3 against the run line (+10.1 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 5.1, OPPONENT 3.3.
--RICHARDS is 14-4 against the run line (+11.6 Units) in all games this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 5.4, OPPONENT 3.1.
--RICHARDS is 12-3 against the run line (+10.3 Units) in night games this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 5.6, OPPONENT 3.5.
•Rangers RH Nick Tepesch (3-4, 4.29 ERA, WHIP: 1.371) - Tepesch sealed his fate when he was rocked for five first-inning runs in a loss to the New York Mets on Sunday but still managed to go six innings and was charged with six runs. He had turned in his best performance of the season in his previous start, blanking Minnesota on three hits over a season-high 7 1/3 innings. Tepesch made his only start against the Angels in September, lasting 3 1/3 innings and giving up two runs on four hits.
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#923 BOSTON @ #924 HOUSTON - 8:10 PM
•Red Sox RH John Lackey (9-6, 3.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.244) - Lackey is coming off an outing that featured plenty of good things but was poor enough that he allowed five runs on 11 hits in 5 1/3 innings to suffer the loss. The veteran felt as though he had some of his best stuff of the season, however, and notched 11 strikeouts in the setback. Lackey has permitted a total of 17 runs - 16 earned - on 23 hits in 14 innings over his last three starts.
--KEY STAT: LACKEY is 32-6 (+21.8 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 5.3, OPPONENT 2.9.
--LACKEY is 1-8 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 1.9, OPPONENT 3.8.
--LACKEY is 17-2 UNDER (+14.6 Units) when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 3.9, OPPONENT 3.5.
•Astros RH Scott Feldman (4-5, 3.86 ERA, WHIP: 1.286) - Feldman yielded two runs on six hits in as many innings at the Angels on Saturday but was held out of the decision as Houston went on to suffer an 11-5 loss. The 31-year-old allowed three or fewer runs in each of his last five starts but has not completed seven innings in any of those outings. Feldman faced Boston in his final start of 2013 and was throttled for eight runs on as many hits in 2 1/3 frames.
--KEY STAT: FELDMAN is 5-16 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in home games versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 4.3, OPPONENT 5.7.
--FELDMAN is 1-9 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 4.5, OPPONENT 6.2.
--FELDMAN is 0-8 (-9.5 Units) against the money line versus terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 3.8, OPPONENT 6.9.
--FELDMAN is 14-5 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 5.1, OPPONENT 3.2.
--FELDMAN is 16-3 against the run line (+14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 5.1, OPPONENT 3.2.
--FELDMAN is 10-1 against the run line (+9.8 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 4.6, OPPONENT 3.0.
--FELDMAN is 8-0 OVER (+8.1 Units) in home games versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 6.4, OPPONENT 5.3.
--FELDMAN is 13-3 OVER (+9.9 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 5.3, OPPONENT 4.6.
--FELDMAN is 10-1 OVER (+9.0 Units) in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 4.8, OPPONENT 5.5.
#925 DETROIT @ #926 KANSAS CITY - 8:10 PM
•Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (5-3, 3.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.027) - Sanchez is looking to bounce back from a rough outing against Tampa Bay on Saturday when he yielded seven runs and four walks over 5 2/3 innings. The 30-year-old was denied an All-Star berth despite going 3-0 with a 2.79 ERA in six starts last month. Billy Butler is 6-for-18 against Sanchez, who is 4-2 with a 1.04 ERA in six career starts against Kansas City, including seven innings of one-run ball June 19.
--KEY STAT: SANCHEZ is 33-13 UNDER (+19.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANCHEZ 3.7, OPPONENT 3.7.
•Royals LH Danny Duffy (5-8, 2.86 ERA, WHIP: 1.118) - Duffy had a 1.69 ERA in six June starts, but was not quite as sharp against Cleveland on Sunday, when he allowed four runs on 10 hits over six frames. The 25-year-old was outdueled by Sanchez in Detroit on June 19, when he yielded two runs over seven frames in a 2-1 loss. Miguel Cabrera is 5-for-16 with six walks against Duffy, who is 1-5 with a 3.68 ERA in eight career starts against Detroit.
#927 OAKLAND @ #928 SEATTLE - 10:10 PM
•Athletics RH Jeff Samardzija (3-7, 2.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.174) - Samardzija yielded one run and four hits while striking out five in seven innings of a 4-2 victory over Toronto on Sunday. "First impressions are always important,'' the 29-year-old Indiana native told reporters after giving Oakland an immediate return on an investment which it hopes will lead to its first World Series title in 25 years. "He was excited as you could be," Oakland manager Bob Melvin told reporters. "It was great to get him off to a good start like that. Terrific performance."
--KEY STAT: SAMARDZIJA is 8-20 (-12.0 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 3.5, OPPONENT 4.7.
--SAMARDZIJA is 3-13 (-11.3 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 2.5, OPPONENT 4.4.
--SAMARDZIJA is 4-20 (-15.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 2.0, OPPONENT 4.1.
•Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (10-2, 2.11 ERA, WHIP: 0.895) - Hernandez received a no-decision after allowing two runs and three hits while striking out eight in eight frames of Seattle's 3-2 victory in 14 innings over the White Sox in Chicago on Saturday. The 28-year-old Venezuelan has recorded a team-record 10 straight starts of at least seven innings while allowing two or fewer runs - the longest single-season streak since Houston's Mike Scott (12) in 1986 and longest in the AL since Cleveland's Gaylord Perry (11) in 1974. Hernandez is 17-7 with a 2.64 ERA in 32 starts against Oakland - the most wins he has recorded against an opponent - and is 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA in three turns against the Athletics this season.
--KEY STAT: HERNANDEZ is 3-10 (-11.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 2.8, OPPONENT 4.1.
--HERNANDEZ is 27-11 (+15.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.9, OPPONENT 3.2.
--HERNANDEZ is 12-3 against the run line (+11.4 Units) versus an American League team with they batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 5.5, OPPONENT 2.7.
Interleague
#929 MINNESOTA @ #930 COLORADO - 8:40 PM
•Twins LH Kris Johnson (0-0, 0.00 ERA, WHIP: 2.309) - Johnson received a no-decision after allowing four hits and six walks while striking out five in 4 1/3 shutout innings of a 4-3 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 1. The 29-year-old California native was 8-4 with a 2.75 ERA in 16 starts with Rochester and has appeared in 206 games (169 starts) in nine minor-league seasons. Johnson was 0-2 in four games (one start) while yielding seven runs in 10 1/3 innings with Pittsburgh last season in his only previous major-league experience.
•Rockies LH Jorge De La Rosa (9-6, 4.75 ERA, WHIP: 1.313) - De La Rosa yielded two runs and three hits in six innings of an 8-7 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday, which at the time was Colorado's third victory - all by De La Rosa - in its last 19 games. "I never put that pressure on myself, just try to go out there and give the team a chance to win every time," the 33-year-old Mexican - the only member still remaining from the Opening Day starting rotation - told reporters. De La Rosa is 5-2 with a 3.73 ERA in nine home starts this season.
--KEY STAT: DE LA ROSA is 17-4 (+13.3 Units) against the money line versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 5.9, OPPONENT 3.9.
--DE LA ROSA is 32-11 (+20.6 Units) against the money line versus terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 5.3, OPPONENT 3.9.
--DE LA ROSA is 23-5 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 8.2, OPPONENT 5.7.
--DE LA ROSA is 13-1 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 5.6, OPPONENT 3.0.
--DE LA ROSA is 18-4 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 5.6, OPPONENT 3.6.
--DE LA ROSA is 15-5 against the run line (+12.9 Units) in home games versus terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 6.5, OPPONENT 3.5.
--DE LA ROSA is 21-6 OVER (+14.5 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 8.2, OPPONENT 5.7.
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