Service Plays Friday 7/11/08

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HOT LOCK SPORTS

MLB
Florida Marlins ~vs~ Los Angeles Dodgers


Over 8.5 (-112)
 
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Chris James Sports

Comp Play
Chicago White Sox

Tonight is the first game of the series between the White Sox and the Rangers and it should be an interesting one as we have the best offense in the league going against a pitcher who has been pretty dominant as of late. The White Sox send Gavin Floyd to the mound whos is 10-4 with a 3.22 ERA on the year. Over his last 8 starts Floyd is 6-1 with a 3.55 ERA and over his last 3 starts he is 2-1 with a 3.37 ERA. Floyd has been average on the road with a 3-3 record and a 4.38 ERA. However, the White Sox as a team have been hot lately going 4-1 in their last 5 games and 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite. I really see the White Sox scoring alot of runs tonight and beating up on the Rangers pitching staff. The Rangers send Luis Mendoza to the mound who has really struggled. He is 1-3 on the year with a 7.54 ERA. In his last start against the Angels he only pitched 1.1 innings while giving up 8 earned runs. He is averaging 27 walks/hits per nine innings pitched over his last three starts. The Rangers are 0-5 as a team in Mendoza's starts this year compared to the White Sox going 12-5 in Floyd's starts this year. The White Sox are 6-0 in Floyd's last 6 starts as a favorite and 36-15 in their last 51 games overall as a favorite. Look for Floyd to put together a decent outing on the road and the White Sox to really beat up on Mendoza and the Rangers bullpen who has a 5.67 ERA over the last 3 games. Play the White Sox tonight as my Bonus Play selection.​
 

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SAPKOWSKI 108-66
Premium:(57-33 L90, Yesterday 0-2 (BAL Orioles"L",LA Dodgers"L")
CHI Cubs
CHI White Sox
Free picks:(50-34 L84, 0-2 Yesterday (CHI Cubs"L",DET Tigers"L")
SD Padres
SEA Mariners
 

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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">BEN BURNS

Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers Jul 11, 2008 7:05PM
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: Detroit Tigers -137

REASON FOR PICK: This line has come down from its opening number to the point where I now feel the home team offers us solid value. These two pitchers faced each other at Minnesota a couple of weeks ago. Neither earned a decision but the Twins came away with a 5-4 win. That result notwithstanding, the Tigers are a terrific 18-6 against southpaws on the season. Perkins is likely to find out that they're also a much better hitting club here at Detroit. Indeed, as a team, the Tigers are batting over .300 at home (.302) while averaging a whopping 5.9 runs per game. They're 11-3 when Gallaraga (3.07 ERA as a starter) starts, including 5-1 here at home. They should be able to bounce back from yesterday's series opening setback, improving to 82-41 their past 123 against left-handed starters. Consider a play on DETROIT

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John Martin


MLB | Jul 11
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals

Houston Astros -129
1 Unit on Houston Astros -129
(Listing Oswalt)

Houston’s Roy Oswalt will lead the Astros to a road win over the Washington Nationals Friday. Washington is 1-9 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. The Nationals are 8-25 against the money line in home games vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. Oswalt is 84-31 against the money line in the second half of the season since 1997. Sometimes it takes The Wizard half a season to find his mojo, but Oswalt looks to have found it right now. Oswalt features a 2.61 ERA over his last three starts where he has been victorious in two of them. Washington is 1-11 against the money line with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games this season. The Nats’ bullpen is as tired as they come right now. Cash in with Houston as the favorite.
 

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From a friend of the RX
The Mets have won 15 of 17 games vs. Colorado at Shea Stadium. 5* MLB Game of the Year on New York. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 
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BLACK WIDOW


Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox -200

1* on Boston Red Sox -200
(List Buchholz and Burres)

This is an easy bet to take the Red Sox at home. Obviously you have to bet a lot to win a little, but the Sox are worth every penny tonight. Boston is 24-5 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. The Red Sox are 16-2 (+12.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season. Boston is 21-4 (+12.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season. The Red Sox have only loss four times all season at home as this big of a favorite. Now you can see why this is basically a gimme that the Sox will win tonight. Take Boston on the Money Line.
 

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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">WUNDERDOG SPORTS

MLB

Game: San Francisco at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 12 -120

The Cubs were shelled for seven home runs and 12 overall runs last night. Overall, 19 runs were scored. Often after games like that, we see the next game result in a much lower tally and that's one reason we like the UNDER here. At 12, it's asking a whole heckuva lot to get this game to go OVER. This is especially true when you consider that the Giants offense is averaging 4.0 runs per game on the season and they managed just three total runs in their series against the Mets. Neither of these pitchers is that awful, as both have ERAs in the mid 4's. We'll take the UNDER on this huge total this afternoon.
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Trends
Hot Pitchers
-- Lohse is 1-0, 1.93 in his last two starts.
-- Davis has 2.67 RA in his last five starts. Kendrick is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
-- Perez is 1-0, 0.64 in his last two starts.
-- Oswalt is 2-1, 2.61 in his last three starts. Nationals won six of last seven Redding home starts.
-- Parra is 4-0, 2.08 in his last seven starts.
-- Peavy has 1.89 RA in his last three starts.
-- Stults is 2-1, 3.47 in four starts this season.

-- Lee has a 2.21 RA in his last five starts. Shields is 3-0, 2.21 in his last three starts.
-- Tigers won six of last seven Galarraga starts. Perkins is 3-0 in his last four starts, with a 3.76 RA.
-- Halladay is 2-0, 2.12 in his last four starts. Chamberlain is 1-0, 2.22 in his last five outings.
-- Garland is 3-0, 2.91 in his last five road starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Marquis is 1-2, 7.00 in his last three starts. Giants are 3-7 in Cain's last ten starts.
-- Duke is 0-1, 8.03 in his last three starts.
-- Cook has 5.87 RA in his last five road starts.
-- Fogg is 1-2, 11.07 in five starts, but pitched well in his first start back from the DL.
-- Reyes is 0-3, 5.93 in his last three starts.
-- Prospect Volstad makes first big league start; he was 4-4, 3.36 in fifteen minor league starts (AA) this season.

-- Burres has 8.21 RA in his last seven starts. Buchholz comes back from DL/minors for this- he is 2-1, 1.13 at Fenway in '08.
-- Floyd has 6.43 RA in his last four road starts. Mendoza is 0-3, 17.23 in five starts for the Rangers.
-- Hochevar is 1-3, 7.54 in his last four starts.
-- Gallagher makes first start for A's; home side won all ten of his starts with Cubs this season.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs are 24-5 in last 29 games at Wrigley Field.
-- Pirates won three of their last four games.
-- Arizona won three of its last four games.
-- Mets won their last six games. Rockies won seven of their last ten games.
-- Brewers won eleven of their last fourteen home games. Reds won five of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers won seven of their last ten games. Marlins won four of their last five games.

-- Red Sox won their last five home games
-- Tigers won 13 of their last 15 home games.
-- Blue Jays, Bronx both won four of their last five games.
-- Rangers won four of last six games. White Sox won eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- A's are 17-11 in their last 28 home games. Angels won six of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Phillies lost nine of last twelve home games, won last two.
-- Cardinals lost five of their last seven games.
-- Giants lost last four games, scoring total of six runs.
-- Nationals lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Braves are 3-8 in their last eleven games. Padres lost ten of their last eleven home games.

-- Orioles lost their last five games, giving up 38 runs.
-- Twins lost three of last four games, allowing 31 runs.
-- Indians lost 10 of their last 11 games. Rays lost four games in row, scoring seven runs in 38 innings- they lost their last nine games in Cleveland. .
-- Royals lost six of their last nine games. Mariners lost four of their last five games.

Totals
-- Over is 11-5 in Cubs' last sixteen games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Pirates' last six home games.
-- Under is 14-3-1 in last eighteen Arizona games.
-- Over is 7-1 in last eight Colorado games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in Astros' last eleven Houston games.
-- Three of Reds' last four road games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-4 in last fifteen Atlanta road games.
-- Over is 10-2-1 in Florida's last thirteen road games.

-- Over is 8-2 in Orioles' last ten games.
-- Six of last seven Indian games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Detroit home games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Bronx games.
-- Five of last seven White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of Royals' last twelve games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Oakland's last eleven games
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From a friend of the RX
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Big Al McMordie</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Friday, July 11, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: Al McMordie CRUSHED the books with his AL Total of the Month on KC/Chisox Under, and Big Al's now 3-1 on his AL Totals of the Month this year. Off that huge win, Al's releasing an EVEN BIGGER PLAY TONIGHT: It's Big Al's 5* MLB Game of the Year. If you enjoyed his 2007 MLB GOY Winner on Minny over Cleveland, then you'll love 2008's #1 Play!
</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>7/11/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>

</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>At 7:10pm our selection is on the New York Mets over the Colorado Rockies. 5* MLB Game of the Year on New York. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


From a friend at the Rx?? This is the RX. Didnt you post this before


Packwins <SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_5541718", true); </SCRIPT>
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<HR style="COLOR: rgb(253,222,130)" SIZE=1> <!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> Big Al McMordie
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -134 New York Mets BIG AL's 5* MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL GAME OF THE YEAR
 
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From a friend at the Rx?? This is the RX. Didnt you post this before


Packwins <SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_5541718", true); </SCRIPT>
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<HR style="COLOR: rgb(253,222,130)" SIZE=1> <!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> Big Al McMordie
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -134 New York Mets BIG AL's 5* MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL GAME OF THE YEAR


Thanks Packwins for Big Al's write up on this game.
 

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Players of America

-STILL on fire. 3-0 again last night, +37 units. 13-2 last 15. 30-9 last 39.



Yesterday's Results


TB vs. CLE
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Indians
The Play: Cleveland Indians 100.0
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Result: Win

STL vs. PHI
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
The Play: Under 10.5
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Result: Win

CIN vs. CHC
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
The Play: Cincinnati Reds 170.0
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Result: Win




Today's Selections

-A little chalkier than usual for them.



SF vs. CHC
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
The Play: Chicago Cubs -140.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)
Writeup: A nice little afternoon game at Wrigley Field on Friday as the slumping San Francisco Giants take on the division leading Chicago Cubs. The Cubs are drowning their sorrows after a shootout resulted in a loss last night with the Reds and the Giants the same as they were dropped by the Mets in convincing fashion (7-3).

The Giants elect to put righty Matt Cain on the rubber and that isn't saying much. Cain has struggled this season going 5-7 thus far. From an interest point of view, the Giants are a pathetic 4-14 in their last 18 Friday games this season and have really struggled to put the bat on the ball. These two teams are split down the seam this season at 2-2 but look for that to change and the better team to emerge the victor Friday afternoon.

Jason Marquis has been a bit better than skeptics might have predicted this season carrying a respectable 9-7 record overall. Yes, yes, we're all aware of the big loss with Soriano to this squad, but believe it or not they are finally adapting without their leader and starting to look like a winning team again. An afternoon game at Wrigley is no cake walk for any opponent, and coming off a loss to an inferior team, the Cubs win this one.

With that being said, let's lay a little more chalk than usual here and clock up an early win to start the weekend. Cubbies for a 1* selection in a shoot out.

TREND OF THE GAME: The Cubs are 18-5 in Marquis' last 24 home starts.

Chicago 7, San Francisco 3



MIN vs. DET
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
The Play: Detroit Tigers -150.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: This Friday night the Twins travel to Motor City to continue their four game skid with the Tigers of Detroit. As we remain in the heat of divisional play, things start getting a bit tenser this time of year as squads start carving their position in the standing columns. The AL Central just happens to be wide open for the taking, but with a lot of ball to be played it's these types of "playoff-like atmosphere" ones that begin to mean something.

The Twins and Tigs went 11 long innings on Thursday with Minnesota coming out on top in the end. The Twins, however, are a subpar 18-23 on the road this season. The Tigers on the other hand are 27-17 in front of their home fans at Comerica Park. Second baseman Matt Tolbert will be out indefinitely for a few months as he will undergo thumb surgery and right field superstar Michael Cuddyer is also listed on the 15 day disabled list with a finger sprain. These two loses alone are a big blow to the Twins on both sides of the ball. Left hander Glen Perkins will be handed the hardball on Friday as he comes in with a legit 5-2 record but an ERA up over 4.25. One very key ingredient to point out in this game on Friday is the bullpens of both teams. Minnesota's bullpen has an ERA of 8.56 in their last three games which is atrocious. Detroit on the other hand has a solid 3.82 bullpen in their last three outings. Look for Detroit to exploit this weakness, too.

For the Tigs, right hander Armando Galarraga will be throwing out the first pitch with a win loss record of 7-2 on the year and a WHIP of 1.16 along with an ERA under 3.25. Meeting 11 times this year already, Detroit is behind at 4-7 but got the victory last time out against Perkins. Armando has yet to pitch against the Twins this season.

Look for Detroit to thirst for a little revenge after the heart breaker last night. With a potent offense capable of exploding in any inning, CoPark should be rockin' with a solid crowd as the Tigers grab a victory proving to be the better team in this one.

TREND OF THE GAME: The Tigers are 20-5 in their last 25 home games.

Detroit 6, Minnesota 3



TB vs. CLE
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Indians
The Play: Under 8.5
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: Here is a no brainer Friday night. This one might seem too simple for the sharps, but we're on it. The "world-beating" Rays head to Cleveland to face the Indians who have been more than a disappointment to professionals this season. Cleveland picked up their first win in ages against this Tampa Bay team last night in a convincing blow out at Progressive Field.

For Friday, the UNDER between these two squads looks meaty. Two big time studs are in the spotlight on Lake Erie, righty James Shields for the Rays and CY Young candidate Cliff Lee for the Tribe. Shields comes in leading this Tampa Bay to destiny so far this season with a 7-5 record and an impressive ERA of 3.64. Lee on the other hand is an eye-popping 11-2 with a WHIP of 1.04 and an ERA of less than 2.40. Pretty darn good numbers if you ask me. Both of these guys like a defensive struggle and both have all stars backing them up in the field. Lee has kept games under ten times already this season, and Shields eight.

There is more than the pitching dual tonight between these two. The infamous Wally Bell will be calling the balls and strikes in Cleveland. Mr. Bell has officiated 15 games this MLB season already, TWELVE of which have stayed under the total! On top of that, we know the Indian woes when it comes to offensive. OK, so they came out of their slump a bit last night and scored 13, big whoop. This team's all around batting average is in the mid .200's and each night out it's a crap shoot on whether they are going to score more than a run or two. The constantly inconsistent offensive of this squad has landed them in the sewer of not only the AL Central, but the entire MLB.

This one should be a doosy, and a well played baseball game on Friday. Look for a low-scoring, hard fought battle between these two squads. Give us the under on the shores of Lake Erie Friday for a 1* wager.

TREND OF THE GAME: The UNDER is 11-4-1 in these two team's last 16 meetings.

Cleveland 3, Tampa Bay 1



NYY vs. TOR
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
The Play: Under 8.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: Another star-studded dual in Toronto on Friday as the Yankees head to Toronto and get back to some American League play. Two very good heavers toe the rubber in this one, and like the above we should have a very tight one all the way to the end.

The Yankees put the young right hander Joba Chamerlain on the mound Friday who has been pretty solid this season. He has started four games and went 2-2 and his ERA is steady at 2.45. The highly touted Roy Halladay will be the Yankees opponent and this guy is a flat out stud. He is 10-6 this year, with several of his losses coming from a lack of run support. Roy has a whip of 1.04 and an ERA of 2.88. These pitchers have combined for 22 decisions this year and 14 of those have resulted in under winners. The Yankees have been under the total 56 times this season, and the Blue Jays 49. Expect this trend to continue.

This one will be another defensive battle. Lay the standard juice on this one and don't be surprised if there are goose eggs on the board come the seventh. The UNDER for a 1* selection here.

TREND OF THE GAME: Combined, the Yankees and Blue Jays have settled under the total 106 times this season.

New York 2, Toronto 0
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Robert Ferringo

1.5-Unit Play. Take #902 Chicago Cubs (-155) over San Francisco (2 p.m., Friday, July 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #906 Philadelphia (-145) over Arizona (7 p.m., Friday, July 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #916 Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) over Florida (10:30 p.m., Friday, July 11)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Florida at Los Angeles Dodgers (10 p.m., Friday, July 11)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Tampa Bay at Cleveland (7 p.m., Friday, July 11)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Minnesota at Detroit (7 p.m., Friday, July 11)
 

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Anthony Capone
Just a small play for me today .



5 Dimes White Sox -113

This week (5-2) (+40 Dimes )
 
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