Vegas Line Reader
New York Yankees -130
Write Up: My numbers show this game should be -130 from the start. It opened at -150 and has dropped to -130. The oddsmakers have dropped this line to mess with the public to jump on the Tigers. Mike Pelfrey is 2-10 Last 22 Road Starts Over the Last 2 Years.
New York Yankees -130
Write Up: My numbers show this game should be -130 from the start. It opened at -150 and has dropped to -130. The oddsmakers have dropped this line to mess with the public to jump on the Tigers. Mike Pelfrey is 2-10 Last 22 Road Starts Over the Last 2 Years.
NBA Finals / Game Four
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS @ CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
5***** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL
So far so good. After closing out Round Three of the NBA playoffs with an EASY 4**** BEST BET ‘Under' winner in Game Seven of the Western Conference Finals between the Warriors and Thunder (cashed by 35.5 points!), it’s been smooth sailing for our Totals Team in the NBA Finals. In Game One, it was 4* Best Bet winner on UNDER 211.5 points (cashed by 18.5 pts). In Game Two, it was a 3* winner on UNDER 209.5 points (cashed by 22.5 pts). And in Wednesday’s Game Three, it was a 3* winner on OVER 206 points. We’re gunning for five straight Playoff wins in a row for Friday’s Game Four… and all of the querying in our post-season database demands that we ‘raise the ante’ to BEST BET status. After all, based on the last two weeks of OU plays (6-0-1 in all sports), we ARE playing with the man’s money. We won’t give back EVERYTHING that we have accumulated over the last 14 days… but we step up our game on Friday.
As we have mentioned numerous times in the post-season so far, the Warriors have been a GREAT ‘Under’ team in the Playoffs. But when Golden State takes to the road, the OVER has had a very consistent and reliable outcome. GOLDEN STATE has gone 19-9 O/U in their Playoff history when on the ROAD… and the OU line is 215 or less points. That includes 16-5 O/U when the OU line falls in the range of 198 to 215 points… including 9-1 O/U in the last three seasons. On the flipside, the opposite is true for the host Cavaliers. A solid UNDER team when on the road… but at HOME Cleveland has gone reversed course. They’ve scored 104 or more points in EVERY Playoff home game so far in the 2016 postseason, with an average of 112.4 points per game.They’ve already seen gaudy home point totals like 123 pts… 120 pts… 116 pts… and 115 pts. The CAVALIERS have gone a PERFCT 6-0 O/U since 2010 as Playoff home favorites of < 8 points when the OU line is 182 > points.
NBA Playoff GAME FOUR ‘eyebrow-raising’ OVER / UNDER patterns:
(1) In the last five post-seasons, NBA Playoff GAME FOUR home favorites with 1 day of REST and off a SU win (CAVALIERS) have gone a PERFECT12-0 O/U when the OU line is less than (<) 208 points.
(2) Since 1992, NBA Playoff GAME FOUR home teams who scored 120 or more points in Game Three (CAVALIERS) have gone a PERFECT 6-0 O/U when the OU line is < 219 points.
(3) Since 2010, NBA Playoff GAME FOUR home teams off a SU Game Three win of 20 or more points (CAVALIERS) have gone a PERFECT 6-0 O/U when the OU line is < 222 points.
The final score of Wednesday’s Game Three was Cleveland 120 - Golden State 90. A home win by 30 freakin’ points…
18-5-1 O/U since 2000: All NBA Playoff ROUND 2, 3, or 4 teams (CAVALIERS) off a SU home win of 30 or more points. GOLDEN STATE just qualified in this 79% OVER situation on Wednesday night, and sharp OU players know what happened in that one (OVER). We also note that these games have gone 14-2 O/U when the game line is LESS than (<) 7 points… including a PERFECT 6-0 O/U in the last two season.
The OU line in Wednesday’s game was 206 points and as we mentioned above, it went OVER the Total…
6-0 O/U last two years: All NBA Playoff teams with an OU line of < 29 points AFTER a SU Playoff home win that also went OVER the Total when the OU line was 205 or more points (CAVALIERS).
So EVERY game of this series has been won by the home team by DOUBLE-DIGITS…
11-1 O/U since 2009: All NBA Playoff HOME teams off a SU Playoff WIN of 10 > pts… a SU Playoff LOSS of 10 > pts… and a SU Playoff LOSS of 10 > pts (CAVALIERS) when the OU line is 178 or more. These games have gone a PERFECT 9-0 O/U in NON-division play…
At last look, the pointspread for Friday’s game was very ‘short’. The host Cavaliers are favored by -1 to -1.5 points…
6-0 O/U last two years: All NBA Playoff ‘short’ home favorites of -3 or less points (OR a ‘pick em) when the OU line is in the range of 200 to 216 points (CAVALIERS).
Golden State finally had their FIVE game Playoff winning streak busted on Wednesday night…
9-1 O/U since 1993: All NBA Playoff ROAD teams off a SU loss that broke a 5+ game Playoff winning streak (WARRIORS)… when the OU line is 202 or more points.
The Warriors are the #1 seed team in the Western Conference…
7-0 O/U since 1997: All NBA Playoff #1 SEED teams off a SU Playoff loss of 20 or more points (WARRIORS) when the OU line is in the range of > 194 pts and < 222 pts.
The Cavaliers are the #1 seed team in the Eastern Conference…
9-1 O/U last three years: All NBA Playoff #1 SEED teams off a SU Playoff win of 20 > points (CAVALIERS) when the OU line is in the range of 198 to 211 points.
We wrap up our database querying with a lookout this particular Day of the Week…
8-0 O/U since 2005: All NBA Playoff non-division FRIDAY games (WARRIORS @ CAVALIERS) in ROUNDS 3 or 4… when the OU line is in the range of > 194 pts and < 222 pts.
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS @ CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
5***** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL
So far so good. After closing out Round Three of the NBA playoffs with an EASY 4**** BEST BET ‘Under' winner in Game Seven of the Western Conference Finals between the Warriors and Thunder (cashed by 35.5 points!), it’s been smooth sailing for our Totals Team in the NBA Finals. In Game One, it was 4* Best Bet winner on UNDER 211.5 points (cashed by 18.5 pts). In Game Two, it was a 3* winner on UNDER 209.5 points (cashed by 22.5 pts). And in Wednesday’s Game Three, it was a 3* winner on OVER 206 points. We’re gunning for five straight Playoff wins in a row for Friday’s Game Four… and all of the querying in our post-season database demands that we ‘raise the ante’ to BEST BET status. After all, based on the last two weeks of OU plays (6-0-1 in all sports), we ARE playing with the man’s money. We won’t give back EVERYTHING that we have accumulated over the last 14 days… but we step up our game on Friday.
As we have mentioned numerous times in the post-season so far, the Warriors have been a GREAT ‘Under’ team in the Playoffs. But when Golden State takes to the road, the OVER has had a very consistent and reliable outcome. GOLDEN STATE has gone 19-9 O/U in their Playoff history when on the ROAD… and the OU line is 215 or less points. That includes 16-5 O/U when the OU line falls in the range of 198 to 215 points… including 9-1 O/U in the last three seasons. On the flipside, the opposite is true for the host Cavaliers. A solid UNDER team when on the road… but at HOME Cleveland has gone reversed course. They’ve scored 104 or more points in EVERY Playoff home game so far in the 2016 postseason, with an average of 112.4 points per game.They’ve already seen gaudy home point totals like 123 pts… 120 pts… 116 pts… and 115 pts. The CAVALIERS have gone a PERFCT 6-0 O/U since 2010 as Playoff home favorites of < 8 points when the OU line is 182 > points.
NBA Playoff GAME FOUR ‘eyebrow-raising’ OVER / UNDER patterns:
(1) In the last five post-seasons, NBA Playoff GAME FOUR home favorites with 1 day of REST and off a SU win (CAVALIERS) have gone a PERFECT12-0 O/U when the OU line is less than (<) 208 points.
(2) Since 1992, NBA Playoff GAME FOUR home teams who scored 120 or more points in Game Three (CAVALIERS) have gone a PERFECT 6-0 O/U when the OU line is < 219 points.
(3) Since 2010, NBA Playoff GAME FOUR home teams off a SU Game Three win of 20 or more points (CAVALIERS) have gone a PERFECT 6-0 O/U when the OU line is < 222 points.
The final score of Wednesday’s Game Three was Cleveland 120 - Golden State 90. A home win by 30 freakin’ points…
18-5-1 O/U since 2000: All NBA Playoff ROUND 2, 3, or 4 teams (CAVALIERS) off a SU home win of 30 or more points. GOLDEN STATE just qualified in this 79% OVER situation on Wednesday night, and sharp OU players know what happened in that one (OVER). We also note that these games have gone 14-2 O/U when the game line is LESS than (<) 7 points… including a PERFECT 6-0 O/U in the last two season.
The OU line in Wednesday’s game was 206 points and as we mentioned above, it went OVER the Total…
6-0 O/U last two years: All NBA Playoff teams with an OU line of < 29 points AFTER a SU Playoff home win that also went OVER the Total when the OU line was 205 or more points (CAVALIERS).
So EVERY game of this series has been won by the home team by DOUBLE-DIGITS…
11-1 O/U since 2009: All NBA Playoff HOME teams off a SU Playoff WIN of 10 > pts… a SU Playoff LOSS of 10 > pts… and a SU Playoff LOSS of 10 > pts (CAVALIERS) when the OU line is 178 or more. These games have gone a PERFECT 9-0 O/U in NON-division play…
At last look, the pointspread for Friday’s game was very ‘short’. The host Cavaliers are favored by -1 to -1.5 points…
6-0 O/U last two years: All NBA Playoff ‘short’ home favorites of -3 or less points (OR a ‘pick em) when the OU line is in the range of 200 to 216 points (CAVALIERS).
Golden State finally had their FIVE game Playoff winning streak busted on Wednesday night…
9-1 O/U since 1993: All NBA Playoff ROAD teams off a SU loss that broke a 5+ game Playoff winning streak (WARRIORS)… when the OU line is 202 or more points.
The Warriors are the #1 seed team in the Western Conference…
7-0 O/U since 1997: All NBA Playoff #1 SEED teams off a SU Playoff loss of 20 or more points (WARRIORS) when the OU line is in the range of > 194 pts and < 222 pts.
The Cavaliers are the #1 seed team in the Eastern Conference…
9-1 O/U last three years: All NBA Playoff #1 SEED teams off a SU Playoff win of 20 > points (CAVALIERS) when the OU line is in the range of 198 to 211 points.
We wrap up our database querying with a lookout this particular Day of the Week…
8-0 O/U since 2005: All NBA Playoff non-division FRIDAY games (WARRIORS @ CAVALIERS) in ROUNDS 3 or 4… when the OU line is in the range of > 194 pts and < 222 pts.
