Foxsheets nba 5/7
Super Situations
Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) off a home win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
111-60 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.9% | 45.0 units )
21-15 this year. ( 58.3% | 4.5 units )
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days
107-34 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.9% | 47.6 units )
15-9 this year. ( 62.5% | -2.8 units )
Cleveland & Boston
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points off an upset win as a road underdog, playing with 3 or more days rest
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )
Super Situations
Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) off a home win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
111-60 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.9% | 45.0 units )
21-15 this year. ( 58.3% | 4.5 units )
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days
107-34 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.9% | 47.6 units )
15-9 this year. ( 62.5% | -2.8 units )
Cleveland & Boston
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points off an upset win as a road underdog, playing with 3 or more days rest
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )
Dave Cokin
Listed pitchers must go: (R) BONDERMAN, J vs. (L) HUFF, D
Play: Cleveland (ML +105)
Two slumping entries hook up tonight as the Tigers open a weekend set with the Indians. It's not a very attractive pitching matchup with Jeremy Bonderman battling David Huff. There's little to choose among these two, particularly when viewing their comparative numbers at Progressive Field. As for teams, the Tigers just got swept in a key series at Minnesota and now they have to play another road series. The Indians also got swept, but with those losses coming at home, I see them having a better chance to snap the skid tonight. I made the number for this contest Indians -120, so there's actually a decent amount of value with the line where it is. Based on that, I'm compelled to grab the bargain and play the Indians to get a win this evening.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Listed pitchers must go: (R) GALLARDO, Y vs. (R) JACKSON, E
Play: Milwaukee (ML -125)
Handicapping baseball solely on the merits of the starting pitchers is not a good idea, as there's simply way more than just that involved. But sometimes the numbers and form on the starters are just too much to ignore. Case in point tonight as the Brewers visit the Diamondbacks. Yovanni Gallardo is pitching superbly for the Brewers, and in his two career starts against the Snakes he's never been scored on. Edwin Jackson is struggling very badly for Arizona, and anytime you can get into the D-Backs pen, it's not too bad to have the other side. Milwaukee blew a game last night at LA, but with Gallardo throwing here I'll back the Brewers to score the rapid rebound.
Listed pitchers must go: (R) BONDERMAN, J vs. (L) HUFF, D
Play: Cleveland (ML +105)
Two slumping entries hook up tonight as the Tigers open a weekend set with the Indians. It's not a very attractive pitching matchup with Jeremy Bonderman battling David Huff. There's little to choose among these two, particularly when viewing their comparative numbers at Progressive Field. As for teams, the Tigers just got swept in a key series at Minnesota and now they have to play another road series. The Indians also got swept, but with those losses coming at home, I see them having a better chance to snap the skid tonight. I made the number for this contest Indians -120, so there's actually a decent amount of value with the line where it is. Based on that, I'm compelled to grab the bargain and play the Indians to get a win this evening.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Listed pitchers must go: (R) GALLARDO, Y vs. (R) JACKSON, E
Play: Milwaukee (ML -125)
Handicapping baseball solely on the merits of the starting pitchers is not a good idea, as there's simply way more than just that involved. But sometimes the numbers and form on the starters are just too much to ignore. Case in point tonight as the Brewers visit the Diamondbacks. Yovanni Gallardo is pitching superbly for the Brewers, and in his two career starts against the Snakes he's never been scored on. Edwin Jackson is struggling very badly for Arizona, and anytime you can get into the D-Backs pen, it's not too bad to have the other side. Milwaukee blew a game last night at LA, but with Gallardo throwing here I'll back the Brewers to score the rapid rebound.
ROBERT FERRINGO
2-Unit Play. Take #911 San Diego (-115) over Houston (8 p.m., Friday, May 7)
2-Unit Play. Take #924 Minnesota (-1.5, -120) over Baltimore (8 p.m., Friday, May 7)
1-Unit Play. Take #902 Philadelphia (-125) over Atlanta (7 p.m., Friday, May 7)
1-Unit Play. Take #905 St. Louis (-1.5, -120) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Friday, May 7)
1-Unit Play. Take #917 Detroit (-105) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Friday, May 7)
1-Unit Play. Take #910 Cincinnati (-130) over Chicago Cubs (7 p.m., Friday, May 7)
1-Unit Play. Take #927 Tampa Bay (-125) over Oakland (10 p.m., Friday, May 7)
1-Unit Play. Take San Francisco (-105) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Friday, May 7)
TOTALS
1-Unit Play. Take Under 8.0 Baltimore at Minnesota (8 p.m., Friday, May 7) Poster Note: I'd wait to see if this number moves as it is currently 7.5 at most books
2-Unit Play. Take #911 San Diego (-115) over Houston (8 p.m., Friday, May 7)
2-Unit Play. Take #924 Minnesota (-1.5, -120) over Baltimore (8 p.m., Friday, May 7)
1-Unit Play. Take #902 Philadelphia (-125) over Atlanta (7 p.m., Friday, May 7)
1-Unit Play. Take #905 St. Louis (-1.5, -120) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Friday, May 7)
1-Unit Play. Take #917 Detroit (-105) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Friday, May 7)
1-Unit Play. Take #910 Cincinnati (-130) over Chicago Cubs (7 p.m., Friday, May 7)
1-Unit Play. Take #927 Tampa Bay (-125) over Oakland (10 p.m., Friday, May 7)
1-Unit Play. Take San Francisco (-105) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Friday, May 7)
TOTALS
1-Unit Play. Take Under 8.0 Baltimore at Minnesota (8 p.m., Friday, May 7) Poster Note: I'd wait to see if this number moves as it is currently 7.5 at most books
Gina
Friday, May 7th, 2010 10:10 p.m. est.
Los Angeles Angels (12-18) at Seattle Mariners (11-17)
(R) Jered Weaver (3-1) vs. (R) Felix Hernandez (2-2)
Both of these AL West rivals are struggling and send their ace's to the mound. Go with the Angels tonight at Safeco Field in a low scoring contest. Los Angeles is 5-2 in their last 7 games against Seattle and Hernandez has been successful against Los Angeles. The right-hander is 1-0 with a 0.42 ERA in his last three starts versus the Angels.
Los Angeles' right-hander Jered Weaver is 1-1 with a 3.57 ERA in his last three strarts and is 8-3 with a 4.61 ERA in 14 career starts versus Seattle. The Angels are 7-2 in Weaver's last 9 starts.
Seattle's right-hander Felix Hernandez is 1-2 with a 3.10 ERA in his last three strarts and is 4-5 with a 4.20 ERA in 16 career starts against Los Angeles. The Mariners are 9-1 in Hernandez's last 10 home starts.
MLB
Los Angeles Angels +125
Under -7
Friday, May 7th, 2010 7:00 p.m. est.
Cleveland Cavaliers (66-23) at Boston Celtics (55-34)
Boston has won 10 of its last 11 games at home against Cleveland. Take the Celtics in a close battle at the Garden. The home team in this series is 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings.
Boston Celtics +1
Friday, May 7th, 2010 10:10 p.m. est.
Los Angeles Angels (12-18) at Seattle Mariners (11-17)
(R) Jered Weaver (3-1) vs. (R) Felix Hernandez (2-2)
Both of these AL West rivals are struggling and send their ace's to the mound. Go with the Angels tonight at Safeco Field in a low scoring contest. Los Angeles is 5-2 in their last 7 games against Seattle and Hernandez has been successful against Los Angeles. The right-hander is 1-0 with a 0.42 ERA in his last three starts versus the Angels.
Los Angeles' right-hander Jered Weaver is 1-1 with a 3.57 ERA in his last three strarts and is 8-3 with a 4.61 ERA in 14 career starts versus Seattle. The Angels are 7-2 in Weaver's last 9 starts.
Seattle's right-hander Felix Hernandez is 1-2 with a 3.10 ERA in his last three strarts and is 4-5 with a 4.20 ERA in 16 career starts against Los Angeles. The Mariners are 9-1 in Hernandez's last 10 home starts.
MLB
Los Angeles Angels +125
Under -7
Friday, May 7th, 2010 7:00 p.m. est.
Cleveland Cavaliers (66-23) at Boston Celtics (55-34)
Boston has won 10 of its last 11 games at home against Cleveland. Take the Celtics in a close battle at the Garden. The home team in this series is 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings.
Boston Celtics +1
Johnny Guild
Friday, May 7th, 2010 9:30 PM EST.
Phoenix Suns (60-30) at San Antonio Spurs (54-36)
Look for the Spurs to step up in a must win game tonight at home down 2-0. San Antonio plays well at home. However, the line is a bit lofty. San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in the last 5 clashes versus San Antonio, 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 against them at AT&T Center. Take the surging Phoenix Suns to cover the line.
Phoenix Suns + 6.5
Friday, May 7th, 2010 9:30 PM EST.
Phoenix Suns (60-30) at San Antonio Spurs (54-36)
Look for the Spurs to step up in a must win game tonight at home down 2-0. San Antonio plays well at home. However, the line is a bit lofty. San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in the last 5 clashes versus San Antonio, 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 against them at AT&T Center. Take the surging Phoenix Suns to cover the line.
Phoenix Suns + 6.5
