Would you happen to have the write up for the game? I am greatly interested in learning his reasoning behind this pick. You could p.m. me or post it here as I am sure others wouldn't mind reading it as well (unless he is on the no no list). It would be greatly appreciated. Bol today my friend.
Analysis: Anyone can take Archer - but the Angels are going to win this game. First of all, the Rays have only played eight road games this season, winning three, and they have not been out of the Eastern Time Zone. They're a couple games under .500 and 6-11 versus right handed pitchers. There are only four teams scoring less runs per game (remember, they've been at home, too) and they're hitting .224 on the season. They score (or have to date) via the long ball, and Angels Stadium is no more of a hitters park than the Trop. So, they face Cory Rasmus, who first off they haven't seen. He's typically a relief pitcher, so they're probably just looking to get a few innings (twice through the order) our of him. He probably won't throw more than 50-60 pitches. He walks a few more than I'd like, but doesn't give up a ton of hits and misses bats - something the Rays do a lot of. The Angels have an eight man bullpen and it's rested - and over the last week (on the road against good teams) they've got an ERA of only 1.03, so they're prepared and hot. Souza is questionable for the Rays - but only a bonus if he doesn't play.
Working the Rays' pitching backwards, their bullpen has a 5.56 ERA over the last week (again, at home), and although Tampa Bay didn't give up a home run in their last game (but did allow five runs) they allowed two or more in four straight prior to that. So, edge in the back, Angels. Now down to Archer. People keep waiting for him to be what he has been. He's made two road starts and been obliterated in both of them. Trout and Pujols have both had 10+ at bats against him and done fairly well. No, it's not a huge sample size at all, but Nava and Escobar have both hit him well, too. The point is that I don't see Archer getting in the "groove" here, and only once this season has he pitched into the 7th inning, so unless he DOES get grooved - we'll see the Rays pen a fair bit.
Bottom line for me is that the Angels have better players, and this is a major over reaction to both Archer and the fact that we already know Los Angeles will have to piece together a "rotation" in this game Á. That's a lot easier than having to do it on the fly.
Working the Rays' pitching backwards, their bullpen has a 5.56 ERA over the last week (again, at home), and although Tampa Bay didn't give up a home run in their last game (but did allow five runs) they allowed two or more in four straight prior to that. So, edge in the back, Angels. Now down to Archer. People keep waiting for him to be what he has been. He's made two road starts and been obliterated in both of them. Trout and Pujols have both had 10+ at bats against him and done fairly well. No, it's not a huge sample size at all, but Nava and Escobar have both hit him well, too. The point is that I don't see Archer getting in the "groove" here, and only once this season has he pitched into the 7th inning, so unless he DOES get grooved - we'll see the Rays pen a fair bit.
Bottom line for me is that the Angels have better players, and this is a major over reaction to both Archer and the fact that we already know Los Angeles will have to piece together a "rotation" in this game Á. That's a lot easier than having to do it on the fly.
Cleveland Insider Sports
MLB
Cardinals ML (-125)
MLB
Cardinals ML (-125)
- [FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif]Cardinals are 13-3 in Martinez's last 16 starts vs. National League Central.[/FONT]
- [FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif]Cardinals are 16-4 in Martinez's last 20 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.[/FONT]
- [FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif]Cardinals are 20-5 in Martinez's last 25 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.[/FONT]
- [FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif]Cardinals are 16-5 in Martinez's last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.[/FONT]
- [FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif]Cardinals are 6-2 in Martinez's last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.[/FONT]
- [FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif]Cardinals are 16-6 in Martinez's last 22 home starts.[/FONT]
Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach
FRIDAY MLB *10* Top Play:
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Cincinnati vs Milwaukee @ 7:10 ET - Tyler Cravy gets the
start for the Brewers only because Wily Peralta was placed on the paternity list (birth of daughter).
Cravy will be limited to just 85 pitches as he had only made one start at Triple A before this call up. This
is bad news for a Milwaukee bullpen whose ERA is over 5 and that, on the road, has a WHIP up near 2.00
so, in other words base runners galore. This has played a big role in the Brewers going over the total in 8
straight games and 10 of their last 11. As for the Reds, they are starting Tim Adleman who had a good
outing in his first this season but whom will be making just the 2nd MLB start of his career. The Reds
have gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 games and their bullpen has had a disastrous start to the
season including a 6.53 ERA and only 1 save in 6 opportunities so far. The over is 7-3 this season when
the Reds are off of a win and also 11-5 in divisional games. The Brewers have had just 7 unders in their
28 games this season. Milwaukee is averaging nearly 6 runs per game in their last 11 games. The Reds
are averaging nearly 6 runs per game in their last 5 games. With two inexperienced starting pitchers on
the mound, two weak bullpens, and some confident sticks loaded up in each lineup, this one should fly
over the total. *10* OVER in Cincinnati
FRIDAY MLB *10* Top Play:
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Cincinnati vs Milwaukee @ 7:10 ET - Tyler Cravy gets the
start for the Brewers only because Wily Peralta was placed on the paternity list (birth of daughter).
Cravy will be limited to just 85 pitches as he had only made one start at Triple A before this call up. This
is bad news for a Milwaukee bullpen whose ERA is over 5 and that, on the road, has a WHIP up near 2.00
so, in other words base runners galore. This has played a big role in the Brewers going over the total in 8
straight games and 10 of their last 11. As for the Reds, they are starting Tim Adleman who had a good
outing in his first this season but whom will be making just the 2nd MLB start of his career. The Reds
have gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 games and their bullpen has had a disastrous start to the
season including a 6.53 ERA and only 1 save in 6 opportunities so far. The over is 7-3 this season when
the Reds are off of a win and also 11-5 in divisional games. The Brewers have had just 7 unders in their
28 games this season. Milwaukee is averaging nearly 6 runs per game in their last 11 games. The Reds
are averaging nearly 6 runs per game in their last 5 games. With two inexperienced starting pitchers on
the mound, two weak bullpens, and some confident sticks loaded up in each lineup, this one should fly
over the total. *10* OVER in Cincinnati
ASA TOP PLAY ON 5* UNDER 6.5 Runs - New York Mets @ San Diego Padres, Friday at 10:10 PM ET - We will play UNDER
in the New York Mets at San Diego Padres game. Yesterday's game snuck over the total but the Mets had only 4 hits in the
game. Though the Padres had 11 hits yesterday, San Diego had been held to an average of just 5 hits per game in their last 4
games. The Padres have struggled to score runs all season and now must face the Mets Noah Syndergaard who has a 2.50
ERA and a 1.02 WHIP this season. This absolutely should be a pitchers duel as the Padres will counter with Drew Pomeranz.
The San Diego left-hander isn't the big name pitcher that Syndergaard is but Pomeranz has been "in the zone" this season to
say the least! The lefty has a 2.48 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP so far on the year. Both of Syndergaard's road starts have stayed
under the total this season and he has compiled a 0.69 ERA away from home so far. The Mets right-hander dominated the
Padres in his most recent start against them with an 8 inning shutout featuring 9 strikeouts against 0 walks and only 3 hits.
Pomeranz should also cruise tonight on the mound as the Mets haven't seen him since the 2012 season and he's on top of his
game right now. The Mets have averaged just 2.3 runs per game in their 3 games against left-handed starters this season. The
Padres are averaging just 3 runs per game in their home games this season. With the line move from 6 runs to 6.5 runs there is
even more value with the under in this match-up. Take the UNDER for a TOP PLAY!
in the New York Mets at San Diego Padres game. Yesterday's game snuck over the total but the Mets had only 4 hits in the
game. Though the Padres had 11 hits yesterday, San Diego had been held to an average of just 5 hits per game in their last 4
games. The Padres have struggled to score runs all season and now must face the Mets Noah Syndergaard who has a 2.50
ERA and a 1.02 WHIP this season. This absolutely should be a pitchers duel as the Padres will counter with Drew Pomeranz.
The San Diego left-hander isn't the big name pitcher that Syndergaard is but Pomeranz has been "in the zone" this season to
say the least! The lefty has a 2.48 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP so far on the year. Both of Syndergaard's road starts have stayed
under the total this season and he has compiled a 0.69 ERA away from home so far. The Mets right-hander dominated the
Padres in his most recent start against them with an 8 inning shutout featuring 9 strikeouts against 0 walks and only 3 hits.
Pomeranz should also cruise tonight on the mound as the Mets haven't seen him since the 2012 season and he's on top of his
game right now. The Mets have averaged just 2.3 runs per game in their 3 games against left-handed starters this season. The
Padres are averaging just 3 runs per game in their home games this season. With the line move from 6 runs to 6.5 runs there is
even more value with the under in this match-up. Take the UNDER for a TOP PLAY!
