MTI 5-star
5-Star Boston +120 over TORONTO -- In Joe Kellys last start, he went six and two-thirds and struck out seven and allowed ONE hit in a 9-1 victory. He is the dog here. This activates a never-lost indicator. The Red Sox are a perfect 9-0 in Joe Kellys career as a DOG when he is off a start in which he went six-plus innings and allowed six or fewer hits. The SDQL text is:
team = Red Sox and starter = Joe Kelly and D and s:SHA <= 6 and s:SIP >= 6
Boston has won these nine games by an average of 3.1 runs.
Yesterday, the Red Sox scored two in the bottom of the first to go up 2-0, but that was it for them, as they went on to lose 8-2 to the Rockies at home. They are a resilient bunch, going 9-0 as a ROAD DOG when they are off a loss in which they held the lead. The SDQL text is:
team = Red Sox and AD and p:BL > 0 and p:L and date >= 20150805
They are 4-0 in this spot this season, winning each game by multiple runs.
The Blue Jays beat the Yankees yesterday with two unearned runs. They struck out eleven times and drew only one walk. Toronto is a money-burning 0-10 as a FAVORITE off a game as a road favorite in which they drew one or fewer walks. The SDQL text is:
team = Blue Jays and F and p:AF and p:walks <= 1 and date >= 20110809
Finally, Toronto is 0-12 in a series opener vs a team with a better record when they are off a game as a road favorite in which they struck out at least five times. The SDQL text is:
team = Blue Jays and SG = 1 and p:AF and WP < o:WP and p:SO>=5 and season >= 2011
This is a FINE play.
MTis FORECAST: Boston 7 TORONTO 2
4.5-Star Philadelphia +250 over CHICAGO -- The Phillies owe Adam Morgan some runs as they were shutout 2-0 in his last start. Philadelphia makes good on these debts, as they are 13-0 as a dog off a road game which they scored fewer than three runs in their starters last start and lost -- as long as that starter was not Aaron Harang. The SDQL text is:
team = Phillies and SG = 1 and D and p:A and s:runs < 3 and s:L and starter!=Aaron Harang and date >= 20130600
That 13 straight wins as a dog. In their last two they beat Jordan Zimmerman 8-2 as a 205 dog and Max Scherzer 4-3 as a 185 dog.
Also, the Phillies are 6-0 as a dog of MORE THAN 180 vs a lefty after facing three straight righties. The SDQL text is:
team = Phillies and 180 < line and o:STL and po:STR and p2o:STR and p3o:STR and date >= 20150623
Note that the Phillies have won every game by multiple runs, scoring an average of 7.0 runs per game.
The Cubs are a weak 0-9 after a road game in which Kris Bryant had multiple RBIs on fewer than four hits. The SDQL text is:
team = Cubs and p:A and Cubs:Kris Bryant
:rbi > 1 and Cubs:Kris Bryant
:hits<4 and date >= 20150422
The Phillies chances of winning are significantly underestimated here.
MTis FORECAST: Philadelphia 6 CHICAGO 4
4-Star NY Mets -130 over LA Dodgers -- The Dodgers have won four straight, but they are off a home series vs the Reds. This has not been a good transition for them. LA is 0-12 on the road off a home game in which their bullpen was used and did not allow a run. The SDQL text is:
team = Dodgers and A and p:H and p
U>1 and p:BPRA = 0 and date >= 20140718
In their two games from this season, they lost by identical scores of 8-1.
Back on May 10th, the Dodgers beat DeGrom 3-2 at home in walk-off fashion. LA is 0-8 as a road dog off a game as a home favorite when their opponents starter has same-season revenge for a team loss in which he allowed fewer than three runs.
The Mets love breaking their opponents streak in a home series opener. New York is 10-0 as a home favorite in the first game of a series vs a team that has won at least their last two games. In their last game in this spot, they beat the Giants 12-1 when the Giants were off a sweep of the Padres. Lay the price.
MTis FORECAST: NY METS 6 LA Dodgers 3
4-Star LA ANGELS +100 over Houston -- The Astros are off a sweep of the Orioles at home and are favored here. However, Houston has lost thirteen straight as a FAVORITE off a win as a favorite in which they never trailed and their bullpen allowed fewer than three runs. The SDQL text is:
team = Astros and F and p:F and po:BL = 0 and p:W and p:BPRA<3 and date >= 20150731
This season, Houston is 0-5 under these conditions.
It is also worth mentioning that Houston is 1-21 in the first game of a road series off a home game in which they struck out at least ten times and had more than one hit. The SDQL for this one is:
team = Astros and SG = 1 and A and p:H and p:SO >= 10 and p:hits>1 and date >= 20120629
Note that their lone win came in extra innings.
In his last start, Shoemaker went seven and a third and did not allow a run while striking out a career high 12. LA outhit the Orioles 9-5 in that game, but the Angels bullpen, allowed three in the top of the ninth and lost 3-1. LA is a resilient 12-0 in the first game of a series off a road series when their line is within 20 cents of pick and they blew a lead and lost in their starters last start, while producing more than six hits.
The wrong team is favored here.
MTis FORECAST: LA ANGELS 4 Houston 3
5-Star Boston +120 over TORONTO -- In Joe Kellys last start, he went six and two-thirds and struck out seven and allowed ONE hit in a 9-1 victory. He is the dog here. This activates a never-lost indicator. The Red Sox are a perfect 9-0 in Joe Kellys career as a DOG when he is off a start in which he went six-plus innings and allowed six or fewer hits. The SDQL text is:
team = Red Sox and starter = Joe Kelly and D and s:SHA <= 6 and s:SIP >= 6
Boston has won these nine games by an average of 3.1 runs.
Yesterday, the Red Sox scored two in the bottom of the first to go up 2-0, but that was it for them, as they went on to lose 8-2 to the Rockies at home. They are a resilient bunch, going 9-0 as a ROAD DOG when they are off a loss in which they held the lead. The SDQL text is:
team = Red Sox and AD and p:BL > 0 and p:L and date >= 20150805
They are 4-0 in this spot this season, winning each game by multiple runs.
The Blue Jays beat the Yankees yesterday with two unearned runs. They struck out eleven times and drew only one walk. Toronto is a money-burning 0-10 as a FAVORITE off a game as a road favorite in which they drew one or fewer walks. The SDQL text is:
team = Blue Jays and F and p:AF and p:walks <= 1 and date >= 20110809
Finally, Toronto is 0-12 in a series opener vs a team with a better record when they are off a game as a road favorite in which they struck out at least five times. The SDQL text is:
team = Blue Jays and SG = 1 and p:AF and WP < o:WP and p:SO>=5 and season >= 2011
This is a FINE play.
MTis FORECAST: Boston 7 TORONTO 2
4.5-Star Philadelphia +250 over CHICAGO -- The Phillies owe Adam Morgan some runs as they were shutout 2-0 in his last start. Philadelphia makes good on these debts, as they are 13-0 as a dog off a road game which they scored fewer than three runs in their starters last start and lost -- as long as that starter was not Aaron Harang. The SDQL text is:
team = Phillies and SG = 1 and D and p:A and s:runs < 3 and s:L and starter!=Aaron Harang and date >= 20130600
That 13 straight wins as a dog. In their last two they beat Jordan Zimmerman 8-2 as a 205 dog and Max Scherzer 4-3 as a 185 dog.
Also, the Phillies are 6-0 as a dog of MORE THAN 180 vs a lefty after facing three straight righties. The SDQL text is:
team = Phillies and 180 < line and o:STL and po:STR and p2o:STR and p3o:STR and date >= 20150623
Note that the Phillies have won every game by multiple runs, scoring an average of 7.0 runs per game.
The Cubs are a weak 0-9 after a road game in which Kris Bryant had multiple RBIs on fewer than four hits. The SDQL text is:
team = Cubs and p:A and Cubs:Kris Bryant
The Phillies chances of winning are significantly underestimated here.
MTis FORECAST: Philadelphia 6 CHICAGO 4
4-Star NY Mets -130 over LA Dodgers -- The Dodgers have won four straight, but they are off a home series vs the Reds. This has not been a good transition for them. LA is 0-12 on the road off a home game in which their bullpen was used and did not allow a run. The SDQL text is:
team = Dodgers and A and p:H and p
U>1 and p:BPRA = 0 and date >= 20140718In their two games from this season, they lost by identical scores of 8-1.
Back on May 10th, the Dodgers beat DeGrom 3-2 at home in walk-off fashion. LA is 0-8 as a road dog off a game as a home favorite when their opponents starter has same-season revenge for a team loss in which he allowed fewer than three runs.
The Mets love breaking their opponents streak in a home series opener. New York is 10-0 as a home favorite in the first game of a series vs a team that has won at least their last two games. In their last game in this spot, they beat the Giants 12-1 when the Giants were off a sweep of the Padres. Lay the price.
MTis FORECAST: NY METS 6 LA Dodgers 3
4-Star LA ANGELS +100 over Houston -- The Astros are off a sweep of the Orioles at home and are favored here. However, Houston has lost thirteen straight as a FAVORITE off a win as a favorite in which they never trailed and their bullpen allowed fewer than three runs. The SDQL text is:
team = Astros and F and p:F and po:BL = 0 and p:W and p:BPRA<3 and date >= 20150731
This season, Houston is 0-5 under these conditions.
It is also worth mentioning that Houston is 1-21 in the first game of a road series off a home game in which they struck out at least ten times and had more than one hit. The SDQL for this one is:
team = Astros and SG = 1 and A and p:H and p:SO >= 10 and p:hits>1 and date >= 20120629
Note that their lone win came in extra innings.
In his last start, Shoemaker went seven and a third and did not allow a run while striking out a career high 12. LA outhit the Orioles 9-5 in that game, but the Angels bullpen, allowed three in the top of the ninth and lost 3-1. LA is a resilient 12-0 in the first game of a series off a road series when their line is within 20 cents of pick and they blew a lead and lost in their starters last start, while producing more than six hits.
The wrong team is favored here.
MTis FORECAST: LA ANGELS 4 Houston 3
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