Service Plays Friday 5/14/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
In the poster agreement that all posters agree to when signing up, posters have agreed to NOT post copyrighted information.
Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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****Please note we can post Picks ONLY for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Friday's Tip Sheet

The Cubs will host the Pirates in a National League Central showdown at Wrigley Field on Friday afternoon. The rest of the card will go down under the lights, so let’s take a closer look at a few games and get into some Bonus Nuggets.

**Twins at Yankees**

Most books are listing New York (22-12, +596) as a minus-175 favorite with a total of 9 ½ ‘under’ (minus-115). Bettors can dodge the chalky straight price and take the Bronx Bombers on the run line for a small plus-110 return (risk $100 to win $110).

Minnesota (22-12, +554) is in first place in the AL Central, 2 ½ games in front of the second-place Tigers. Ron Gardenhire’s squad is coming off a 6-3 homestand that concluded with Wednesday’s 3-2 win over the White Sox. The Twins, who are 10-6 on the road so far this year, begin a three-city, seven-game road trip in Friday’s series opener in the Bronx.

Joe Girardi’s team is in second place in the AL East, two games off the pace being set by the first-place Rays. The Yankees return home in this spot after losing four of seven games on a road trip that ended with Thursday’s 6-0 loss at Detroit. They will be glad to return home where they’ve prevailed in 10 of 12 games.

A.J. Burnett (4-1, 3.40) owns a 2-1 record and 3.72 ERA in six lifetime starts against Minnesota.

Scott Baker (4-2, 4.57) is coming off an outstanding outing, working eight innings and giving up just three hits and one earned run. Baker got through eight innings on just 97 pitches without walking a batter and striking out eight. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 4.20 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees.

The ‘under’ is on a 7-1 run for the Twins, who have watched the ‘under’ go 19-13 overall this year. However, totals have been a wash (8-8) in 16 road games for Minnesota.

The ‘over’ is 18-17 overall for the Yankees, 6-6 in their home outings.

The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. Eastern.

**Cardinals at Reds**

Most spots have installed St. Louis (20-14, +15) as a minus-140 favorite with a total of 8 ½ ‘under’ (minus-115). Bettors can take the Cards on the run line for a plus-125 payout.

Cincinnati (19-15, +513) is in second place in the NL Central just one game back of the division-leading Cards. The Reds return home riding a five-game winning streak after sweeping the Pirates in Pittsburgh this week.

Aaron Harang (2-4, 6.02) has already been tagged with a pair of losses against St. Louis this season. For his career, the veteran right-hander is 7-12 with a 4.57 ERA in 22 starts.

Jaime Garcia (3-2, 1.18) is coming off a hard-luck loss against the Pirates. The lefty has given up more than one earned run in just one of six starts this year.

St. Louis slugger Matt Holliday is just 1-for-18 (.056) in his career against Harang. On the flip side, Albert Pujols is 18-for-60 (.300) off Harang with five doubles and four homers.

Cincy is 10-8 at home so far this year, while the Cards are 10-9 in 19 road games.

The ‘under’ is 22-12 overall for St. Louis, 12-7 in their road assignments. With that said, the ‘over’ had hit in three consecutive games for the Cards until Thursday’s 4-1 home loss to Houston.

The ‘over’ is 15-13 overall for the Reds, 9-5 in their home games.

This game will come off the board at 7:10 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

Chicago White Sox LHP Mark Buehrle will get the ball against Kansas City on Friday. The southpaw is 20-9 with a 3.55 ERA in 41 lifetime starts against the Royals.

The ‘over’ is an MLB-best 24-12 overall for the Diamondbacks. Even better, they have watched the ‘over’ cash at a lucrative 15-4 clip in their road games. They play Friday at Atlanta.

New York Mets LHP Oliver Perez will take the mound Friday at Florida. The veteran lefty is 6-3 with a 4.00 career ERA against the Marlins.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HOT LINES

Friday's Best MLB Bets

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (120, 8.5)

It's no surprise the Cardinals are leading the NL Central, but the team that's battling them for the top spot comes as a bit of a shocker.

The surging Reds have won five in a row entering tonight's game against the Cardinals, who hold a half-game lead over Cincinnati in the standings.

The Reds are coming off a sweep of the Pirates, who were outscored 16-1 in the three-game series. The Cards have lost four of their last five, including a sweep at the hands of the lowly Astros.

The Reds' starting pitchers have posted a 1.40 ERA during their current win streak. They look for another strong performance from Aaron Harang, who has pitched well in three consecutive starts.

"He's commanding his fastball on both sides of the plate," Reds catcher Ryan Hanigan told mlb.com after Harang's last outing on Saturday, a 14-2 win over the Cubs. "He's attacking. He had a couple of situations where he fell behind in the count, two or three balls, but he came back almost every time. That shows some composure."

The Reds have been pounding left-handed pitching to the tune of a .322 average over their last 10 games. The Cardinals send southpaw Jamie Garcia to the hill.

With first place on the line, it's a nice price to back the Reds.

Pick: Cincinnati Reds


Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals (120, 9)

White Sox starter Mark Buerhle has struggled lately, going winless in his last six starts.

But tonight he gets a Kansas City team that he's owned over his career. Buerhle is 20-9 against the Royals with a lifetime 3.55 ERA.

K.C. counters with Gil Meche, who is 0-4 this season with an 8.24 ERA. Meche already faced the Sox earlier this season, losing 5-1 just a couple of weeks ago.

The Royals fired manager Trey Hillman on Thursday and replaced him with Ned Yost. Some teams get a boost from a change, but the downtrodden Royals may be beyond motivating.

Buerhle pitched well his last time out, allowing just three earned runs in eight solid innings against the Blue Jays. Expect more of the same today.

Pick: Chicago White Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WHAT BETTORS NEED TO KNOW
Flyers at Bruins

Die another day

The Philadelphia Flyers have rose from the NHL postseason ashes, down 0-3 to the Boston Bruins in the Eastern Conference semifinals, to win the next three games and force a deciding Game 7 showdown Friday night.

The Flyers completed the comeback with a grimy 2-1 victory in Game 6 Wednesday night, holding off a late push from the Bruins in the third period. Boston out-shot Philadelphia 31-27 for the game, edging them 10-6 in the final frame.

“It’s a dangerous position to be in,” defenseman Chris Pronger told the Toronto Sun. “Dangerous for us. Dangerous for them. The pressure is on both teams.”

The Flyers can become the first team in 35 years of playoff hockey to come back from a 0-3 series deficit. The last team to claw their way back from three games down were the 1975 New York Islanders, who forced and won a Game 7 against the Pittsburgh Penguins.

Philadelphia has out-scored the Bruins 11-5 over the past three contests, two of those games being decided by one goal. The Flyers' defense and goaltending got the job done in Games 5 and 6, allowing only one goal on 53 total shots.

"Even when we were down 3-0, we felt like we were close," forward Daniel Briere told the CBC. "Bounces here and there weren't going exactly the way we had hoped for and we weren't that far off. We knew we had enough to get back in this series."

"Now that we're here and now that we have climbed all the way back in this series, we want it too," he added. "We have to realize that the last game will be the toughest to leave with."

Boston stranglers

The Bruins jumped out to a 3-0 series lead behind their potent offense. Boston scored 12 total goals in those three wins while allowing Philadelphia to find the back of the net seven times. Even in a 5-4 overtime loss in Game 4, the Bruins scoring attack was still firing.

But since that overtime defeat, Boston has managed to score just one goal. But it hasn’t been for a lack of trying. The Flyers' defense has thrown caution to the wind, blocking 99 shots this postseason – second only to the Montreal Canadiens (125) in the playoffs.

"I'm not going to criticize my players' effort," Bruins head coach Claude Julien told reporters. "I thought we were ready.

"But somehow, we have to find a way to score goals. They had about 30 blocked shots tonight."

Leading scorer Patrice Bergeron, who has 11 points this postseason, has gone dry the past two games while returning star Marc Savard has also been invisible for most of the series, having failed to score since netting the overtime winner in his return in Game 1 of the series.

The Bruins power play has also been a no-show for most of the series. In 20 opportunities, Boston has cashed in on the man advantage just three times (15 percent). That’s a huge dip from its power-play success in the first round. The Bruins scored six goals in 22 man advantages against the Buffalo Sabres.

"We've had three chances so far and we haven't been able to do it," Milan Lucic lamented. "They've been playing well, so we have to find a way to break them down."

Be like Mike

Injuries to their goaltending corps have been a regular occurrence for the Flyers this season. But even the most optimistic Philly fan was worried sick after starter and first-round star Brian Boucher went down with a knee injury in Game 5.

Backup and third goalie on the Flyers’ depth chart, Michael Leighton has calmed those worries with his performances between the posts in the past two games. He stepped in when Boucher went down, stopping all 14 shots and preserving the shutout in Game 5, then turned away 30 of 31 shots in Game 6 to send the series back to Boston.

“Down 3-0 is certainly not a great situation,” Leighton told the Boston Herald. “But Lavy (coach Peter Laviolette) said ‘Either you can give up or you can get back.’ We knew we had to take it one game at a time, but we wanted it.

“We knew we were a better team than losing four straight.”

Leighton joined the team off waivers in December and took over the starting job once injuries hampered Ray Emery and Boucher. He was solid for the second half of the schedule before suffering an injury of his own, a sprained ankle in March, that sidelined him until now.

“It’s been like a broken record all year with different goaltenders stepping in,” captain Mike Richards told the media of Leighton. “But were confident in his ability.”

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NY PLAYERS CLUB

MLB
4* NY Yankees -175

PGA
1* Charley Hoffman -130 over Justin Leonard
1* Baird +110 over Taylor.

PREAKNESS
3* EXACTA: Lookin at Lucky (3-1) OVER Schoolyard Dreams (15-1), Jackson Bend (12-1), and Paddy O'Prado (9-2). Numbers are 7/2,6,10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BASEBALL CRUSHER
PLAY OF THE DAY

SF Giants -140 over the Houston Astros

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Outlaw Sports Advisors

Twins +1.5 -125
Rangers +115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Proffesional tipster 34-27-7(yesterday not listed)

14.05.2010 France Ligue 2 Metz - Vannes, bet on Metz

14.05.2010 Germany 2 Liga Ingolstadt - Rostock, bet on Ingolstadt +0

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Super Pogodak 7-6-0 (yesterday not listed)

Bastia - Istres
Bastia to win @2.20

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RW Sports (23-22-3) (yesterday not listed)

english league 1
swindon - charlton, over 2.25 goals, 1 unit, 1.91 @ pinnacle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Numero uno soccer capper

Thu 3-1 +28,5 units

Fri
Swindon - Charlton 2 (2,9)
Lahti - MyPA X (3,2)
Kazan - CSKA X (3,2)
San Lorenzo - Newells Old Boys X (3,3)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gorans Winners

Pick 01

Werder Bremen - Bayern Munchen (DFB Final in Berlin) Bayern Munchen - 0.50 Asian Hcp
2 Units
Price 1.95 (dont go below 1.88)
Pinnacle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Cavaliers (+1) Thursday night.

Friday it's the Flyers. The deficit is 885 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

The never-say-die Orioles were incredibly heroic for Hondo yesterday, slamming the Mariners in the eighth and then ending it on a play at the plate to trim the deficit to 210 chacons.

Tonight, he'll bother Harang for some help -- 10 units on red-hot Cincy over the ice-cold St. Loo.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
445 - 323 run 58 %

Bonus Play FRI Bost Bruins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

FRIDAY, MAY 14

NATIONAL LEAGUE

St. Louis (20-15) at Cincinnati (19-15)

The top two teams in the National League Central kick off a three-game series at Great American Ballpark, with young Cardinals left-hander Jaime Garcia (3-2, 1.18 ERA) slated to oppose veteran Reds hurler Aaron Harang (2-4, 6.02). Despite having ace Chris Carpenter on the mound, St. Louis fell to Houston 4-1 on Thursday, getting swept in the three-game home series by the lowly Astros while getting outscored 19-10. The Cardinals have lost four of their last five and seven of nine (2-4 on the road), and they’re in additional slumps of 4-9 against winning teams and 1-5 versus right-handed starters. On the bright side, Tony LaRussa’s troops have won 13 of 19 on Friday and 30 of 39 when opening a series. The Reds have won a season-best five straight games – all against N.L. Central rivals – to pull within a half-game of St. Louis in the division race. Cincinnati completed a three-game sweep of the Pirates on Wednesday, cruising to a 5-0 win, its second straight shutout victory. The Reds, who have outscored their opponents 35-6 during their five-game winning streak, are on surges of 5-2 at home, 5-0 against left-handed starters and 10-1 at home versus southpaws. This is already the third time these rivals have squared off in a series this season. St. Louis took two of three in each of the first two series, winning those four games by a combined score of 29-12. The Cardinals are 5-2 in the last seven head-to-head matchups. Garcia has been incredible for St. Louis this season, giving up two earned runs or fewer and pitching at least six innings in all six of his starts. On Saturday at Pittsburgh, he allowed just one run on seven hits with two walks and seven strikeouts in six innings, but he was a tough-luck 2-0 loser. Despite Garcia’s outstanding personal results, the Redbirds are just 3-3 when he pitches, and Garcia is only 2-2 on the road despite a 1.88 ERA (five earned runs allowed in 24 innings). Harang is 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA in his last three starts, including Saturday’s 14-2 home rout of the Cubs in which he gave up two runs on seven hits with one walk and nine strikeouts in 6 2/3 innings. The 32-year-old San Diego native has held eight of his last 10 opponents to three earned runs or fewer dating to last August, giving up two earned runs or fewer in five of those contests. With Harang on the hill, Cincinnati is still mired in slumps of 4-11 overall, 2-7 at home (1-3 this year), 2-8 against N.L. Central foes, 1-4 in series openers and 0-5 on Friday. He’s 1-2 with a 5.18 ERA in his four home outings. While tonight is Garcia’s first career appearance against the Reds, Harang has made 22 career starts against St. Louis, going 7-12 with a 4.57 ERA. Cincinnati is just 3-7 in Harang’s last 10 starts against the Cardinals (1-4 last five), including going 0-2 this season with the right-hander allowing seven runs (six earned) in 11 innings (4.91 ERA). St. Louis is on a slew of “under” streaks, including 22-10-1 overall, 8-2 on the road, 11-4-1 within the division, 5-0 on Friday, 9-1 in series openers and 20-8-1 against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the under has cashed in all six of Garcia’s starts this season, including all four on the road. Meanwhile, Cincinnati carries “under” trends of 4-1 in series openers, 4-1-3 against winning teams, 10-4-4 at home against lefty starters and 8-3 when Harang starts at home. However, the over is 3-0-2 in the Reds’ last five home games and 13-2-1 in their last 16 after a day off. Finally, the under is 3-0-1 in the last four series meetings, but 10 of the last 13 clashes in Cincinnati have hurdled the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Minnesota (22-12) at N.Y. Yankees (22-12)

The Yankees shoot for their fifth straight home victory when the open a three-game series against the Twins, with A.J. Burnett (4-1, 3.40) taking the hill for New York opposite Twins right-hander Scott Baker (4-2, 4.57). Minnesota concluded a nine-game homestand with Wednesday’s 3-2 victory over the White Sox, its third win in the last four games. The Twins have won seven of 10 overall, and they’re on further hot streaks of 39-19 overall, 35-17 against right-handed starters, 5-2 versus winning teams, 38-14 on Friday and 20-6 in series openers. However, they’ve lost 42 of 62 against the A.L. East and six of eight after a day off. New York finished off a seven-game road trip with Thursday’s 6-0 loss at Detroit. The Yankees have followed up a six-game winning streak by losing four of their last five. However, the defending champs remain on upticks of 98-43 overall, 48-11 at Yankee Stadium (10-2 this year), 37-15 against the A.L. Central, 45-22 against southpaw starters, 40-14 at home versus left-handed starters and 5-2 on Friday.
The Yankees swept the Twins out of the best-of-5 American League Division Series last October, finishing the year 10-0 against Minnesota. This has been a completely one-sided rivalry, with New York winning 50 of the last 66 meetings overall and 27 of the last 32 in the Bronx. Baker is coming off consecutive home wins over the Tigers (10-4) and Orioles (6-1). In Saturday’s contest against Baltimore, Baker delivered his strongest performance of the season, going a season-high eight innings while allowing just one run – a solo homer – and three hits with no walks and eight strikeouts. However, the Louisiana native has failed to get out of the fifth inning in two of his three starts on the road, where he’s 1-1 with a 5.74 ERA this season. Baker has faced New York three times, going 2-1 with a 4.20 ERA. In his only appearance in the Bronx – at old Yankee Stadium in September 2006 – Baker gave up just a run on two hits in five innings en route to a 6-1 victory. Burnett is looking to bounce back from his worst start of the year, as he got rocked for nine runs (eight earned) in 4 1/3 innings at Boston on Sunday, losing 9-3. In two starts prior to that, the veteran right-hander had allowed just one unearned run in 15 1/3 innings. New York is still 11-4 in Burnett’s last 15 starts overall, 17-4 in his last 21 home starts and 6-1 in his last seven against A.L. Central foes. Only two of Burnett’s seven starts this season have come at Yankee Stadium, and he yielded just one unearned run in 14 1/3 innings, with New York crushing the Rangers 7-3 and the Orioles 4-1. Also, Burnett has a 2.81 ERA in his last four starts against the Twins (all Minnesota losses), including leading New York to a 4-3, 12-inning home playoff victory in October as he allowed just one run on three hits in six innings. Burnett is 2-1 with a 3.43 ERA in six career starts against Minnesota. The Twins are on “under” runs of 4-0 overall, 20-4-2 against the A.L. Eas and 5-1-2 after a day off, but the over is 6-2-2 in Baker’s last 10 starts, including 3-1-1 on the road. Also, all four of New York’s games in Detroit stayed under the total, and the under is 16-7-1 in its last 24 home games, 8-3-1 in its last 12 against the A.L. Central, 10-2-1 in Burnett’s last 13 home starts , 6-1 in his last seven against the A.L. Central, 6-1 in his last seven Friday efforts and 8-3 the last 11 times Burnett has opened a series. Finally, the under is 29-11-4 in the last 44 Twins-Yankees battles in the Bronx, and all three playoff meetings in October stayed under the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PittViper 5/14

1-1 yesterday minus 1.76 units.

Reds +118

NYM/Florida over 9 -120

Florida -139

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Foxsheets

Super Situations

MLB/ SEATTLE at TAMPA BAY

Play On - All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) a top-level team (>= 62%) playing a bad team (38% to 46%), in May games
101-39 since 1997. ( 72.1% | 44.6 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | -0.2 units )

Situational Power Trends

MLB/ WASHINGTON at COLORADO

WASHINGTON is 17-10 (+14.9 Units) against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of there save opportunities this season.
The average score was: WASHINGTON (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.9)

 

[tgunn11]

Sports Investment Group

Baltimore / Cleveland OVER 8.5
Oakland / LA Angels OVER 8.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JM MLB system 14/5 (Morrison)

Chicago Cubs. A bet

season record 3-1