NBA
Write-Up
Thursday, May 12
Over is 13-7 so far in second round, after unders dominated in first round; favorites are 13-7 in this round.
Do Grizzlies have anything left in tank after dismal performance in last game, which followed 3OT loss in pivotal Game 4? Memphis bench was +44/+33 in its two series wins, -29/-11/-57 in its two losses. Westbrook had seven turnovers in both series losses, 6-3-3 in their three wins; he also had 40 points in Game 4. Harden has been a huge spark for Thunder (+29 in 26:28 in Game 5). Randolph had only nine points, guards made only 8-28 from floor last game; Memphis will need much more from all three guys if they're going to force a Game 7.
Write-Up
Thursday, May 12
Over is 13-7 so far in second round, after unders dominated in first round; favorites are 13-7 in this round.
Do Grizzlies have anything left in tank after dismal performance in last game, which followed 3OT loss in pivotal Game 4? Memphis bench was +44/+33 in its two series wins, -29/-11/-57 in its two losses. Westbrook had seven turnovers in both series losses, 6-3-3 in their three wins; he also had 40 points in Game 4. Harden has been a huge spark for Thunder (+29 in 26:28 in Game 5). Randolph had only nine points, guards made only 8-28 from floor last game; Memphis will need much more from all three guys if they're going to force a Game 7.
MLB
Write-Up
Friday, May 13
Hot pitchers
-- Bumgarner has a 2.37 RA in his last three starts, but Giants scored a total of four runs in his last four outings. Dempster has a 1.93 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Gorzelanny is 1-1, 1.78 in his last four starts.
-- Lohse is 4-1, 1.79 in his last six starts.
-- Hamels is 4-1, 1.80 in his last six starts. Beachy is 1-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
-- Mets are 3-0 in Gee's starts (2-0, 3.71). Norris is 2-1, 2.53 in his last five starts.
-- McDonald is 2-0, 1.00 in his last three starts.
-- Moseley has a 1.01 RA in four road starts. de la Rosa is 3-1, 3.86 in his last five starts.
-- Kershaw is 2-0, 1.98 in his last couple starts.
-- Carmona is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts. Fister is 2-1, 3.04 in his last four outings.
-- Verlander is 2-1, 3.21 in his last four starts. Hochevar is 1-0, 2.70 in his last couple starts.
-- Buchholz is 2-1, 2.66 in his last four starts. Colon is 2-0, 3.81 in his four starts this season.
-- Hellickson is 2-0, 2.95 in his last three starts.
-- Ogando is 1-0, 2.00 in his last three starts.
-- Humber is 1-1, 1.71 in his last three starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Volstad has a 6.55 RA in six starts this season.
-- Arroyo is 1-3, 4.65 in his last five starts.
-- Gallardo has a 5.04 RA in four home starts.
-- Saunders is 0-4, 5.95 in seven starts this season.
-- Guthrie is 0-5, 5.00 in his last six starts.
-- Weaver is 0-2, 5.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Pavano is 1-3, 10,23 in his last four starts. Romero is 1-4, 5.65 in his last five outings.
-- Former White Sox hurler McCarthy is 0-2, 6.86 in last three starts.
Totals
-- Cubs' last three games went over the total.
-- Last five Florida road games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Cincinnati home games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Houston home games stayed under total.
-- Over is 7-3 in last ten games at Miller Park.
-- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen Colorado games.
-- Under is 9-1-2 in last twelve Arizona games.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in Cleveland's last twelve home games. Six of last seven Seattle games stayed under the total.
-- Six of Royals' last eight games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Boston games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Baltimore games stayed under total.
-- Angels' last four games all went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Minnesota home games went over the total.
-- White Sox last three games all went over the total.
Hot teams
-- Giants won their last six games, allowing ten runs.
-- Washington won four of its last six games.
-- Cardinals won six of their last eight road games. Cincinnati won six of its last eight games overall.
-- Phillies are 9-4 in their last thirteen games. Atlanta won six of its last eight home games.
-- Mets won five of their last seven games.
-- Brewers won 10 of their last 15 home games.
-- Dodgers won three of their last four games.
-- Indians won 14 of their last 16 home games.
-- Detroit won its last five games, scoring 43 runs. Royals are 8-4 in last dozen games.
-- Tampa Bay won six of its last seven games. Orioles won their last three games. allowing nine runs.
-- Angels won 11 of their last 15 road games.
-- Toronto won its last two games, scoring 16 runs.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games. Oakland is 6-1 in game following its last seven losses.
Cold teams
-- Cubs are 3-9 in their last twelve home games.
-- Marlins lost five of their last seven games.
-- Astros lost four of their last five games.
-- Rockies lost six of their last seven games.
-- Pirates lost their last two games, scoring three runs.
-- San Diego is 2-8 in its last ten series openers.
-- Arizona lost five of its last six games.
-- Red Sox lost four of their last five road games. Bronx lost six of its last nine games overall.
-- Mariners lost their last five games, scoring eleven runs, losing two games they led in extra innings.
-- Rangers lost six of their last nine home games.
-- Minnesota lost its last five games, allowing 34 runs.
Write-Up
Friday, May 13
Hot pitchers
-- Bumgarner has a 2.37 RA in his last three starts, but Giants scored a total of four runs in his last four outings. Dempster has a 1.93 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Gorzelanny is 1-1, 1.78 in his last four starts.
-- Lohse is 4-1, 1.79 in his last six starts.
-- Hamels is 4-1, 1.80 in his last six starts. Beachy is 1-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
-- Mets are 3-0 in Gee's starts (2-0, 3.71). Norris is 2-1, 2.53 in his last five starts.
-- McDonald is 2-0, 1.00 in his last three starts.
-- Moseley has a 1.01 RA in four road starts. de la Rosa is 3-1, 3.86 in his last five starts.
-- Kershaw is 2-0, 1.98 in his last couple starts.
-- Carmona is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts. Fister is 2-1, 3.04 in his last four outings.
-- Verlander is 2-1, 3.21 in his last four starts. Hochevar is 1-0, 2.70 in his last couple starts.
-- Buchholz is 2-1, 2.66 in his last four starts. Colon is 2-0, 3.81 in his four starts this season.
-- Hellickson is 2-0, 2.95 in his last three starts.
-- Ogando is 1-0, 2.00 in his last three starts.
-- Humber is 1-1, 1.71 in his last three starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Volstad has a 6.55 RA in six starts this season.
-- Arroyo is 1-3, 4.65 in his last five starts.
-- Gallardo has a 5.04 RA in four home starts.
-- Saunders is 0-4, 5.95 in seven starts this season.
-- Guthrie is 0-5, 5.00 in his last six starts.
-- Weaver is 0-2, 5.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Pavano is 1-3, 10,23 in his last four starts. Romero is 1-4, 5.65 in his last five outings.
-- Former White Sox hurler McCarthy is 0-2, 6.86 in last three starts.
Totals
-- Cubs' last three games went over the total.
-- Last five Florida road games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Cincinnati home games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Houston home games stayed under total.
-- Over is 7-3 in last ten games at Miller Park.
-- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen Colorado games.
-- Under is 9-1-2 in last twelve Arizona games.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in Cleveland's last twelve home games. Six of last seven Seattle games stayed under the total.
-- Six of Royals' last eight games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Boston games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Baltimore games stayed under total.
-- Angels' last four games all went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Minnesota home games went over the total.
-- White Sox last three games all went over the total.
Hot teams
-- Giants won their last six games, allowing ten runs.
-- Washington won four of its last six games.
-- Cardinals won six of their last eight road games. Cincinnati won six of its last eight games overall.
-- Phillies are 9-4 in their last thirteen games. Atlanta won six of its last eight home games.
-- Mets won five of their last seven games.
-- Brewers won 10 of their last 15 home games.
-- Dodgers won three of their last four games.
-- Indians won 14 of their last 16 home games.
-- Detroit won its last five games, scoring 43 runs. Royals are 8-4 in last dozen games.
-- Tampa Bay won six of its last seven games. Orioles won their last three games. allowing nine runs.
-- Angels won 11 of their last 15 road games.
-- Toronto won its last two games, scoring 16 runs.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games. Oakland is 6-1 in game following its last seven losses.
Cold teams
-- Cubs are 3-9 in their last twelve home games.
-- Marlins lost five of their last seven games.
-- Astros lost four of their last five games.
-- Rockies lost six of their last seven games.
-- Pirates lost their last two games, scoring three runs.
-- San Diego is 2-8 in its last ten series openers.
-- Arizona lost five of its last six games.
-- Red Sox lost four of their last five road games. Bronx lost six of its last nine games overall.
-- Mariners lost their last five games, scoring eleven runs, losing two games they led in extra innings.
-- Rangers lost six of their last nine home games.
-- Minnesota lost its last five games, allowing 34 runs.
FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball Friday
Play Los Angeles Dodgers (-180) over Arizona (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 10:10 PM EST
Arizona has lost 5 of the last 6 games and they have also lost 20 of the last 25 road games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less. Joe Saunders has lost 10 consecutive games as an underdog of +150 or higher and he is 0-4 this season with an ERA of 5.72.
Play San Francisco (-105) over Chicago Cubs (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 2:20 PM EST
San Francisco has won 8 of the last 9 games and they have also won 28 of the last 46 road games when the line posted is between -100 to -125. Chicago pitcher, Ryan Dempster is 2-8 vs. San Francisco over his career with an ERA of 5.52 and he is also 0-3 in home games this season with an ERA of 6.49.
Play Detroit (-185) over Kansas City (Bonus)
MLB Baseball Friday
Play Los Angeles Dodgers (-180) over Arizona (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 10:10 PM EST
Arizona has lost 5 of the last 6 games and they have also lost 20 of the last 25 road games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less. Joe Saunders has lost 10 consecutive games as an underdog of +150 or higher and he is 0-4 this season with an ERA of 5.72.
Play San Francisco (-105) over Chicago Cubs (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 2:20 PM EST
San Francisco has won 8 of the last 9 games and they have also won 28 of the last 46 road games when the line posted is between -100 to -125. Chicago pitcher, Ryan Dempster is 2-8 vs. San Francisco over his career with an ERA of 5.52 and he is also 0-3 in home games this season with an ERA of 6.49.
Play Detroit (-185) over Kansas City (Bonus)
SPORTS WAGERS
Philadelphia +100 over ATLANTA (5 innings)
The unreliability of middle relief has us focusing upon 5 innings of play here. Cole Hamels fits our profile well. Not only because he has pitched five beauties in a row, but also because Atlanta has struggled against LHPs thus far. The Braves are hitting only .220 v lefties and their .631 OPS southpaws ranks 28th in MLB. Hamels is one of the best southpaws in the league and he’s 3-0 on the road with a brilliant 1.23 ERA. The Braves were fortunate that the Nats didn’t sweep them after falling behind 5-1 going to the seventh. Brandon Beachy showed flashes of his upside in three starts last season. He has taken those flashes to a new level this season. His first full month has been fantastic but there are a few areas of concern. One is his 53% fly-ball rate, which gives him some vulnerability to the long ball. Another is his approach vs. LH bats. They have managed a .812 OPS against him compared with a .540 OPS posted by RH bats. He also has been helped by a low 25% hit rate. Beachy’s ERA and WHIP will elevate as his hit % does, and he still needs an out pitch vs. lefthanders. Beachy has yet to win at home, where he sports a 4.07 ERA and in no way are we going with the worst of it here. Play: Philadelphia +100 in the first 5 innings. (Risking 2 units).
Kansas City +166 over DETROIT
This one is simply the “play against a pitcher after a no-hitter” angle. We played that angle against Francisco Liriano this past week and he never made it out of the third inning. While we’re not comparing Liriano to Justin Verlander, the impact of throwing a ‘no no’ cannot be overstated. It is followed by swarms of media for three of four days, a slew of phone calls and emails from everyone he ever knew. It’s so difficult to be at your best the next time out. When a pitcher starts to “sense” a no-hitter his focus intensifies and he gets completely locked in during the final few innings. The next game becomes anti-climatic and that’s what we have here. He’ll get a standing ovation as he walks to the mound to begin the game and while he’s more than capable of beating anyone, the Royals are playing some pretty good ball right now. They’re three games over .500 and they just took two out of three in New York. We’re not going to make a case for Luke Hochevar over Justin Verlander. This is strictly a “situational” play that has a high percentage of cashing and a rich reward if we’re right. Play: Kansas City +166 (Risking 2 units).
St. Louis +110 over CINCINNATI
Bronson Arroyo has surrendered seven jacks in his four home starts. Giving up multiple home runs in a game is something Arroyo has done 42 times since the start of the 2006 season, which is most in the majors during that span. Now he’ll face a Cards team that has scored the most runs (193) in the majors. Arroyo’s ERA at Great American is 5.92 and it’s no mystery as to why. He’s a fly-ball pitcher and at this venue that’s a bad marriage. Also note that Arroyo has an extremely high 80% strand rate and the Cards are unlikely to leave 80% of their runners stranded. St. Louis hitters have the least amount of strikeouts in the NL and they really should be spraying the ball all over the place tonight. Kyle Lohse has ace-like surface stats after his first 52 IP (2.24 ERA, 0.86 WHIP). The key for him has been pinpoint control, as he has only walked 10 batters. Lohse is a poor bet to maintain these numbers over the long haul but the Dave Duncan effect is a powerful one and Lohse is 3-0 on the road with a 1.21 ERA. For now, we get the better pitcher, the best offense in the league and a tag to boot. Play: St. Louis +110 (Risking 2 units).
Philadelphia +100 over ATLANTA (5 innings)
The unreliability of middle relief has us focusing upon 5 innings of play here. Cole Hamels fits our profile well. Not only because he has pitched five beauties in a row, but also because Atlanta has struggled against LHPs thus far. The Braves are hitting only .220 v lefties and their .631 OPS southpaws ranks 28th in MLB. Hamels is one of the best southpaws in the league and he’s 3-0 on the road with a brilliant 1.23 ERA. The Braves were fortunate that the Nats didn’t sweep them after falling behind 5-1 going to the seventh. Brandon Beachy showed flashes of his upside in three starts last season. He has taken those flashes to a new level this season. His first full month has been fantastic but there are a few areas of concern. One is his 53% fly-ball rate, which gives him some vulnerability to the long ball. Another is his approach vs. LH bats. They have managed a .812 OPS against him compared with a .540 OPS posted by RH bats. He also has been helped by a low 25% hit rate. Beachy’s ERA and WHIP will elevate as his hit % does, and he still needs an out pitch vs. lefthanders. Beachy has yet to win at home, where he sports a 4.07 ERA and in no way are we going with the worst of it here. Play: Philadelphia +100 in the first 5 innings. (Risking 2 units).
Kansas City +166 over DETROIT
This one is simply the “play against a pitcher after a no-hitter” angle. We played that angle against Francisco Liriano this past week and he never made it out of the third inning. While we’re not comparing Liriano to Justin Verlander, the impact of throwing a ‘no no’ cannot be overstated. It is followed by swarms of media for three of four days, a slew of phone calls and emails from everyone he ever knew. It’s so difficult to be at your best the next time out. When a pitcher starts to “sense” a no-hitter his focus intensifies and he gets completely locked in during the final few innings. The next game becomes anti-climatic and that’s what we have here. He’ll get a standing ovation as he walks to the mound to begin the game and while he’s more than capable of beating anyone, the Royals are playing some pretty good ball right now. They’re three games over .500 and they just took two out of three in New York. We’re not going to make a case for Luke Hochevar over Justin Verlander. This is strictly a “situational” play that has a high percentage of cashing and a rich reward if we’re right. Play: Kansas City +166 (Risking 2 units).
St. Louis +110 over CINCINNATI
Bronson Arroyo has surrendered seven jacks in his four home starts. Giving up multiple home runs in a game is something Arroyo has done 42 times since the start of the 2006 season, which is most in the majors during that span. Now he’ll face a Cards team that has scored the most runs (193) in the majors. Arroyo’s ERA at Great American is 5.92 and it’s no mystery as to why. He’s a fly-ball pitcher and at this venue that’s a bad marriage. Also note that Arroyo has an extremely high 80% strand rate and the Cards are unlikely to leave 80% of their runners stranded. St. Louis hitters have the least amount of strikeouts in the NL and they really should be spraying the ball all over the place tonight. Kyle Lohse has ace-like surface stats after his first 52 IP (2.24 ERA, 0.86 WHIP). The key for him has been pinpoint control, as he has only walked 10 batters. Lohse is a poor bet to maintain these numbers over the long haul but the Dave Duncan effect is a powerful one and Lohse is 3-0 on the road with a 1.21 ERA. For now, we get the better pitcher, the best offense in the league and a tag to boot. Play: St. Louis +110 (Risking 2 units).
WUNDERDOG (MLB)
1 OF 9
Game: San Francisco at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 7 -105
The San Francisco Giants offense leaves a lot to be desired and when they lost their best and most productive hitter Pablo Sandoval, things have gotten worse. The Giants haven't plated more than four runs in any of their last eight games, however it is the pitching that is going to make this team a top choice to make it to the playoffs again. Despite the lack of offense, the Giants have won seven of those last eight games because the rotation and pen deliver every time out. They have had three shutouts in those past eight games and, overall, have allowed just 15 runs, or less than two a game. They are now UNDER to a 12-3-1 mark in their last 16 games. The Cubs have played six straight UNDER vs. the NL West and this series has seen just six of the last 21 make it over the total playing in Chicago.
I like the UNDER here.
1 OF 9
Game: San Francisco at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 7 -105
The San Francisco Giants offense leaves a lot to be desired and when they lost their best and most productive hitter Pablo Sandoval, things have gotten worse. The Giants haven't plated more than four runs in any of their last eight games, however it is the pitching that is going to make this team a top choice to make it to the playoffs again. Despite the lack of offense, the Giants have won seven of those last eight games because the rotation and pen deliver every time out. They have had three shutouts in those past eight games and, overall, have allowed just 15 runs, or less than two a game. They are now UNDER to a 12-3-1 mark in their last 16 games. The Cubs have played six straight UNDER vs. the NL West and this series has seen just six of the last 21 make it over the total playing in Chicago.
I like the UNDER here.
GC MLB Play
Friday NBA Game 6 Power Play has 4 systems 2 cashing over 92%. MLB Revenge System Game of the Month + 100% Never lost Totals System. MLB Stays hot. Free MLB System Play below.
On Friday the MLB Free system play is on the Colorado Rockies. Game 964 at 8:40 eastern. Bonus Plays on a nice 8-1 run. The Rockies fit a nice system that plays on home favorites off a home favored loss that scored 5 or more runs vs an opponent off a road dog win that scored 10 or more runs won by 5 or more runs and had 10 or more men left on base. The Padres are just 2-12 off a win, 3-7 vs winning teams and 1-4 as a road dog from +125 to +150. Look for the Rockies to take game one here tonight. On Friday I have 3 Big games. The MLB Revenge System Game of the Month + a 100% Perfect system total and a Quadruple System NBA Game 6 Power Play. Two of the systems are cashing over 92% MLB Stays hot. For the Bonus Play take the Colorado Rockies. GC
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Friday NBA Game 6 Power Play has 4 systems 2 cashing over 92%. MLB Revenge System Game of the Month + 100% Never lost Totals System. MLB Stays hot. Free MLB System Play below.
On Friday the MLB Free system play is on the Colorado Rockies. Game 964 at 8:40 eastern. Bonus Plays on a nice 8-1 run. The Rockies fit a nice system that plays on home favorites off a home favored loss that scored 5 or more runs vs an opponent off a road dog win that scored 10 or more runs won by 5 or more runs and had 10 or more men left on base. The Padres are just 2-12 off a win, 3-7 vs winning teams and 1-4 as a road dog from +125 to +150. Look for the Rockies to take game one here tonight. On Friday I have 3 Big games. The MLB Revenge System Game of the Month + a 100% Perfect system total and a Quadruple System NBA Game 6 Power Play. Two of the systems are cashing over 92% MLB Stays hot. For the Bonus Play take the Colorado Rockies. GC
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