Jimmy Boyd...Sorry so late...I missed it too...BOL
-= TOP PLAY =- Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-B Apr 03 '10
8:45p West Virginia vs Duke
Take: Duke -2-110 in 1d
5* Final Four *BEST BET* on Duke -2
If West Virginia, a team that normally shoots only 33.6% from three-point range, doesn't go off from deep against Kentucky, finishing 10 of 23 from beyond the arc, and if Kentucky doesn't shoot just 4 of 32 from deep, there's a good chance the Mountaineers aren't in the Final Four. The thing to note is that Kentucky had a lot of wide open looks it just missed. What was even more unlikely was that Joe Mazzula was the best player on the floor for much of that game. Duke beat Baylor by 7 points despite only shooting 36.1% from the field so it has proven that it can win without shooting the ball well, something that couldn't be said about last year's Blue Devils. I'm willing to bet WVU won't shoot the lights out from 3 again, that Duke won't go 4 of 32 like Kentucky did and that Mazzula won't have the kind of game he did in the Elite 8. WVU also benefited from 16 Kentucky turnovers. Duke just doesn't turn the ball over. That means bad news for the Mountaineers as they are just 1-7 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. Plus, Coach K has been here and done this 11 times now. Huggins only 1 other time. I'll go large with Duke Saturday. Best of Luck.
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-B Apr 03 '10
6:05p Michigan State vs Butler
Take: Butler -1-110 in 21h
3* Final Four SMASH on Butler -1
If Butler can beat Syracuse and Kansas State, it can certainly take care of a Michigan State team playing without its best player. Butler is very experienced and very disciplined on both ends of the floor. Defensively, the Bulldogs have held each of their 4 NCAA tourney opponents under 60 points. Offensively, the Bulldogs take good care of the basketball and they rarely take a bad shot. Playing smart, disciplined basketball has gotten the Bulldogs here, and I believe it will take them into the championship game. With this game taking place so close to Butler's campus, the Bulldogs will have the crowd on their side, and that can be huge in a game like this, which figures to be a low-scoring, grind-it-out affair. Butler has won 24 straight games, proving how successful its brand of basketball can be. Izzo is a great motivator, but I just can't see him sneaking past yet another opponent without Kalin Lucas. He's going to miss his most clutch performer in this game. Brad Stevens has made his boys believe. The Bulldogs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Big Ten and I look for this trend to continue.
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NBA Apr 02 '10
10:35p Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers
Take: Los Angeles Lakers -4-110 in 1h
3* NBA *Crunch Time Bailout* on Lakers -4
This game reminds me a lot of last night's situation with the Nuggets and the Blazers. We played on the Nuggets -5 at home against the red hot Blazers even though the Nuggets had been struggling on the road, and it paid off. Enough was enough. The Nuggets fed off the energy of their home crowd and made a statement with a blowout win. I look for LA to do the same tonight against a Jazz team they have defeated 13 straight times at home. Kobe is fed up with how the team has been playing and I expect him to put them on his back this evening. The Jazz are just 3-10 ATS in the last 13 road meetings with the Lakers. The Lakers are 32-5 at home where they are winning by 9.4 ppg. Off an embarrassing loss to the Hawks, look for them to respond here.
-= TOP PLAY =- Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NBA Apr 02 '10
8:05p Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Take: Atlanta Hawks +5½-110 started
5* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year on Hawks +5.5
The Hawks are extremely confident heading into this one after a convincing win over the Lakers. After getting punished in the playoffs by Cleveland last season, the Hawks have played the Cavs tough in two meetings this season but they have come up short in each. Look for the third time to be the charm for the Hawks tonight. The Cavs have struggled without Anderson Varejao, who won't be at full strength if he does go tonight. He is their energy guy and they have looked lethargic at times in each of their last two games without him in the lineup. Atlanta has played up to the level of its competition this season. In fact, it is 11-2 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) this season, defeating these teams by an average score of 96.7 to 91.2. The Hawks are also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Cavaliers are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take the Hawks and the points tonight.