Service Plays Friday 4/2/10 -Please visit new expanded Service Play Forum at top of the Main Service Play Forum

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IC comp play:

Comp Selection: #517. Take the New York Knicks +3.5 over the Golden State Warriors (Friday @ 10:30pm est). Look for the Knicks to do well today as this is very similar to the Magic play we had yesterday over the Mavs. New York does well in revenge situations and a prime example is when they beat the Nuggets at home and the Knicks are a solid 5-0-1 ATS coming off an ATS loss and 5-1-1 coming off a straight up loss. Notice that the Warriors are favored by -3.5 over the Knicks and given that this team is not all that great, they play no defense whatsoever, the knicks having revenge and 73% of the public hounding this team, this makes for a decent play imo.
 
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C-Star Sports

5000 Units Indiana/Miami under the total
5000 Units NY Rangers/Tampa Bay under the total
5000 Units Edmonton/Dallas over the total
50 units Houston plus the points over Boston
 

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VR's Morning Moves | NBA Sides
double-dime bet 512 DET 8.5 (-110) Bodog vs 511 PHO
Analysis:
** NBA MORNING MOVES 2* PERSONAL PLAY **

DETROIT +8.5....(2*)
 

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VR’s Morning Moves - Friday, April 02, 2010
Report Status: FRIDAY APRIL 2nd, 2010
Next Report: BY 1:00pm est on SAT 4-3-10
Notes:

“MORNING MOVES” NEWSLETTER & LINE-PREDICTION for FRIDAY APRIL 2nd, 2010

HANDICAPPING : “HOW TO DEAL WITH THE FINAL FOUR WEEKEND”

Good Morning Ladies & Gentlemen…Final Four Weekend is upon us, and after being out on the Strip last night…I can tell you for sure that there is a lot of excitement surrounding the 2 games on Saturday…before we crown a champ on Monday night and watch them cut down the nets…

We have plenty to look forward to…Because after a very successful CBB Regular Season…we have been able to beat the books in the Post-Season as well…Where we kicked a lot of ass in the Conference Tournaments…then struggled a bit through the opening weekend of the Big Dance…Before finally hitting our stride by SWEEPING (6-0) BOTH…the SWEET 16 & ELITE 8 Rounds…

So not only are we heading into the Final Weekend of the 2009-10 CBB Season on a HOT STREAK…But we also have “20 UNITS” pending on a Future Bet (DUKE)…Which is now the FAVORITE to be the last one standing on Monday Night…

Now obviously, I want to make sure that I stress DISCIPLINE…Because we all have a tendency of getting caught up in all of the excitement and many times…find ourselves making more bets…or worse, BIGGER bets…than we normally do…and know that we should…

You have to realize that within a few days from when the National Championship has been decided…you will have forgotten all about the Final Four…And instead, you will be focusing on the NBA Playoffs that are ahead…as well as preparing for the upcoming MLB Season that’s ready to begin…

So in the big picture…this weekend’s wagers shouldn’t be any more significant than any other day…Meaning, if you decide that you have a “Best Bet” for the Final Four or National Championship game…then you bet it the same way that you would for a “Best Bet” on a Regular Season game…

But if you don’t employ that “Discipline” that I’m talking about…then you run the risk of having this weekend’s games mean more than they actually should…And win or lose, that is ultimately a huge mistake and the starting point for inevitable disaster…

Because if you can’t employ discipline for these “Marquee” games…then you are actually a “Recreational Bettor” that wagers for entertainment…not profit…And I’ve said it in the past and I’ll say it again…”Entertainment” costs money…So if you don’t employ discipline and you do go ahead and “gamble, you will inevitably pay for the cost of that “entertainment”…

But if you do actually wager to turn a profit…then the only thing that the 2 Final Four games and National Championship game represent…are possible betting opportunities…Nothing more…and nothing less…

That means you should only look to take a position…if you believe you have an “Edge”…And if you don’t perceive an edge…then that means there isn’t a position worth backing…And you need to be able to look at it as if these are just 3 more games out of the 100’s that you will look at over the course of a month to try and find an edge to take advantage of…

Now with that said…because most of us are also huge sports fans…Who enjoy watching these marquee games while having an interest in the outcome…It’s ok to enjoy them and treat them as entertainment…But to do so, you need to take a very small fraction of your bankroll…and designate it for “gambling”…

I have previously advised this…by showing how you can simply take 1/2u per day or on occasion…and use it to toss in a long-shot parlay…or to do some “gambling”…That’s just fine and as long as you treat everything else that you do like a business…then you won’t get hurt having some fun…

You just simply need to be able to distinguish the one from the other…And NEVER mix them up or change the rules that you have set for yourself and your bankroll…But by allowing yourself to have some fun, it makes treating everything else you do like a business so much easier…Plus, after seeing the results on those “gambles”…what usually happens is “you get sick of losing”…And believe it or not, you begin to forget or even intentionally avoid placing those kind of bets…

But remember…the key is being honest with yourself and sticking to the parameters that you’ve set up for your business and bankroll…

So this weekend…after gathering all the information possible, and interpreting it…if you do believe you have found an “edge”…go ahead and take a position exactly like you would any other…But if you don’t, then do yourself a favor and don’t look at these match-ups as an investment for your business…

Instead, call it a “Day Off”…And use a little money to go and enjoy yourself by doing a little gambling on the Final Four…This way, you won’t hurt your bankroll or do anything detrimental to our “Overall Goal” of having a Winning Final Four…And you just never know…maybe you get a little lucky and end up winning some money on your “Day Off”…That you can either use to build your business bankroll…Or to keep on the side for future “Entertainment”…

Thanks again for all your support…and best of luck, Vegas-Runner

LINE-PREDICTION :

1.) 505-506 UNDER 191.5 CHI/WAS

This total opened up as high as 193...and the Wiseguys couldn’t STEAM the UNDER quick enough…I mean, EVERY single Outfit represented on the LV Strip was racing to get down on the Under before the books over-adjusted and the value was gone…The books have gone ahead and dropped it down 1.5 Pts from the opener…But I don’t think we’ve seen the end just yet…because the “runners” that I spoke with ALL say they expect to STEAM the UNDER some more…Because the total is still not down to where their number says it should be…So we should see this total come down some more, before it’s all said and done…VR
 

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Ghostbusters Capping Service: Washington+5


Statics' Play: New Orleans+3.5
 

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scott beats the man (free nba picks):

SPREAD PICKS

New Orleans
MEMPHIS -3 ½ (1)

MILWAUKEE +3 ½ (2)
Charlotte

POINTS TOTAL PICKS

Chicago / Washington UNDER 193
Phoenix / Detroit UNDER 211
New York / Golden State OVER 236
 

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For my friend francine

steve budin

25 dime------duke

confirmed-------gl guys:103631605
 

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Teddy Covers Arena Pick is Chicago Rush.

He released it at -3, it is -7.5 in most places now.
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

Miami +1.03 over INDIANA

Danny Granger is a great player and cashes in about as many tough shots as anyone the league, however, D-Wade is even better and the Pacers are at a huge defensive disadvantage here. The Heat was going through the motions most of the year and when they did show up on occasion they were tough as shoe leather. Well, now they appear to be focused, determined and in playoff push mode and man, do they look good. They’ve won six straight and they’re not only winning but they’re doing so with relative ease. In fact, its last four games on the road were all double-digit victories. Miami has also won six straight overall. As for the Pacers, well the good news is that they’re winning games lately and that’s good news because its recent performances have influence on this line. Having said that, they’re simply a very beatable team and they’re showing signs of getting back to the form that saw them go 7-20 from January 16 to March 12. There’s a reason they Pacers have just 28 wins and although Granger did miss a lot of time, the fact is the Pacers are dreadful on defense while the Heat are the exact opposite. If Granger is contained the Pacers have virtually no shot and the Heat are as capable as anyone of doing exactly that. Play: Miami +1.03 (Risking 2 units).


Milwaukee +3½/+1.45 over CHARLOTTE

Time Warner is proving to be one of the toughest arenas in the league to win at but damn, the Bobcats offense, or lack thereof is absolutely going to cost them some games soon. Charlotte is a remarkable 28-9 at home and anyone that can explain that is a genius. This is a very average ball club that plays great defensively but is hugely flawed as well. They’re not strong on the boards, they lack depth and they’ll be exposed in a big way come playoff time but that does not count for this one. What we all know is that the Bucks are strong on the boards, they can both score and defend and they’re still one of the hottest teams in the Association. They went into Cleveland on Wednesday and nearly pulled off the upset, losing by just three. If there’s such a thing as a “good loss”, that was it and it will not take away any momentum this team is carrying right now. If anything it was inspiring because they know they can compete with anyone in the East. The Cats last four games were against Minnesota, Washington, Toronto and Philly and after playing that quartet, playing the Bucks will be a much stiffer and unwelcome challenge. Bucks outright. Play: Milwaukee +3½ (Risking 1.06 units to win 1). Play: Milwaukee +1.45 (Risking 1 unit).


Utah +4½/+1.72 over L.A. LAKERS

The Lakers stock is down and they’re taking a bit of heat in the media so it might not be the best time to go against them. Thing is, these Jazz are in much better than L.A. and the Lakers have a Nationally televised game up next against San An on Easter Sunday. Furthermore, the Lakers return home from five game trip and they looked pretty ugly in all four games. Derek Fisher is way off, the Lakers bench has been virtually non-existent and aside from Kobe, so has the rest of the team. So, what we’re likely going to see tonight is Kobe trying to do it all himself and against a Jerry Sloan coached team, that’s unlikely to work. The Lakers reign of supremacy is showing flaws and in no way will the Jazz be intimidated in this setting. This is a game they want and they want it badly. They have the talent and momentum to succeed and while the Lakers are still highly qualified to beat anyone, this is too good a situation and price to ignore the pooch. Play: Utah +4½ (Risking 1.03 units to win 1). Play Utah +1.72 (Risking 1 unit).
 
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