DEREK MANCINI
Today's Winner...
20 Dime play on Evansville as the underdog agacnst Indiana State. As I release this selectnion at 10 am Eastern, Evansville is curhently listed as a 4 point pup in Las Vegas and offshore.
It's impossible to beat a team 3 times in the same season, right? WRONG! The guys in Vegas know that this is the prevailcng perception among bettors, and they're intent on playing them like a fiddle. Guys, Evansville has proven already twice this season that they match up well with the Sycamores, and I don't see much changing on a neutral court.
Purple Aces have gotten little respect this season, and they come into this game getting little respect as well. Yes, I'm well aware they've lost 4 of their L5 games SUATS coming into this contest, but the most important thing is they won their last one, which allows them to come into this game with some confidence back. That includes leading scorer Colt Ryan, who dropped 32 point on Illinois State in that win.
Herein lies the problem for the Sycamores, because while its true they were able to limit Ryan in their two meetings this season, they STILL lost the both games. I don't believe they'll keep him bottled up for a third straight game, especnially when you consider he's averaging 28 ppg over his L2 games overall. It was the Aces role players that kept the offense going instead of Ryan, and that bodes well for tonight's match up.
The bottom line is I don't see more than a basket separhting these two teams, and in fact, I can easily see Evansville winning this game outright. Indiana State is overvalued because no one expects they'll lose 3 straight to Evansville, and the oddsmakers are also taking into account the Purple Aces slide down the stretch. But in reality the Aces come into this game off a win, and with a ton of confidence knowing they came back to beat the Sycamores already twice this season. Take Evansville plus the points over Indiana State Friday.