Dr. Ed Meyer | NBA Total
double-dime bet – 862 NOP / 861 UTA – OVER 195.0
The Jazz held a significant lead over the Grizzlies after each of the first three quarters on Wednesday, but were outscored 29-16 in the final stanza to lose 91-87. These types of defeats lead to OVERs in the following game. Recently, the league as a whole is a strong 25-2 OU off a loss in which they led after each of the first three quarters.
The Jazz, themselves, are 10-0 OU (+12.00 ppg) on the road with at least one day of rest off a home loss in which they led at the end of the third quarter.
The Pelicans are playing with energy and confidence. They have won four straight and they weren’t favored in any of them.
New Orleans is 13-0 OU (15.4 ppg) as a rested favorite after a home game in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least 1.8 The SDQL text is:
team=Pelicans and F and 0 < rest and p:H and p:ATR >= 1.8 and date>=20110314
They were in this spot twelve days ago when they beat the Celtics 121-120 with the total at 195.5. Yes, the game was an overtime game but is was 112-112 at the end of regulation – already 30 points over the number.
Each of the last six times that the Pelicans faced a team with a winning percentage under 58%, the game went over. We expect number 7 here.
MTi’s FORECAST: NEW ORLEANS 108 Utah 103