NCAAB
Write-Up
Friday, March 25
Marquette won four of last five games, upsetting Xavier/Syracuse to get to this points; Eagles are 9-3 vs spread as an underdog this year. North Carolina won 10 of last 11 games but is 1-4-1 vs spread in last six games as favorite. ACC road favorites of less than 8 points are 11-9 vs spread. Big East non-conference road underdogs of 5 or less points are 5-9 vs spread. Last four times an 11-seed played in regional semifinal, favorite was 4-0 vs spread in that game. Nine of last ten Marquette games stayed under the total.
Richmond covered its last nine games, with seven of last eight staying under total; Spiders are 6-2 vs spread as an underdog this year. Kansas shot 51-52% in winning first two tourney games by 19-14 points; teams attack the Spiders inside, and Jayhawks have just the players to hurt Richmond there. Over last 3+ years, favorites are 16-8 vs spread in this round, Since 2003, 12-seeds are 1-5 vs spread in regional semis. A-14 double digit road dogs are 9-11 vs spread this season. Big 12 double digit favorites are 19-17 vs spread.
#1 seeds other than Duke covered 20 of their last 31 games in this round. Ohio State was 28-50 from arc in two wins (by 29-32 points) last week, making it tougher to double Sullinger in post. Buckeyes beat Florida by 18, South Carolina by 22 in their two games vs SEC foes. Kentucky won both its games as an underdog this season (Washington/Lousiville)- last one was New Year's Eve. Big 11 non-conference favorites of 6 or less points are 10-16 vs spread. SEC road underdogs of 5 or less points are 12-7 vs spread.
Since 1987, in regional semi games without a #1-4 seed in them, the dog is 12-6 vs spread. VCU beat Wake Forest 90-69 in its only game this year against an ACC team. Rams won/covered first three tourney games by 18-18-13 points, despite being dog in all three. Florida State got its best player (Singleton) back last week and crushed Notre Dame; FSU is #1 defensive team in country, but Rams have four seniors in the rotation, FSU only one. VCU-Florida State are playing first-ever game between #10-11 seeds in tournament history.
Other tournaments
Santa Clara (-6) beat Rice of C-USA 66-65 back in November; Broncos won six of last seven games, are 5-2-2 vs spread in last nine games as a dog. SMU allowed just 56.3 ppg in winning its last three games; six of its last seven games stayed under total. Mustangs are 4-6-1 vs spread in last 11 games as a favorite. C-USA home favorites of 7 or less points are 5-7. WCC road underdogs of 5 or less points are 11-6 vs spread.
Write-Up
Friday, March 25
Marquette won four of last five games, upsetting Xavier/Syracuse to get to this points; Eagles are 9-3 vs spread as an underdog this year. North Carolina won 10 of last 11 games but is 1-4-1 vs spread in last six games as favorite. ACC road favorites of less than 8 points are 11-9 vs spread. Big East non-conference road underdogs of 5 or less points are 5-9 vs spread. Last four times an 11-seed played in regional semifinal, favorite was 4-0 vs spread in that game. Nine of last ten Marquette games stayed under the total.
Richmond covered its last nine games, with seven of last eight staying under total; Spiders are 6-2 vs spread as an underdog this year. Kansas shot 51-52% in winning first two tourney games by 19-14 points; teams attack the Spiders inside, and Jayhawks have just the players to hurt Richmond there. Over last 3+ years, favorites are 16-8 vs spread in this round, Since 2003, 12-seeds are 1-5 vs spread in regional semis. A-14 double digit road dogs are 9-11 vs spread this season. Big 12 double digit favorites are 19-17 vs spread.
#1 seeds other than Duke covered 20 of their last 31 games in this round. Ohio State was 28-50 from arc in two wins (by 29-32 points) last week, making it tougher to double Sullinger in post. Buckeyes beat Florida by 18, South Carolina by 22 in their two games vs SEC foes. Kentucky won both its games as an underdog this season (Washington/Lousiville)- last one was New Year's Eve. Big 11 non-conference favorites of 6 or less points are 10-16 vs spread. SEC road underdogs of 5 or less points are 12-7 vs spread.
Since 1987, in regional semi games without a #1-4 seed in them, the dog is 12-6 vs spread. VCU beat Wake Forest 90-69 in its only game this year against an ACC team. Rams won/covered first three tourney games by 18-18-13 points, despite being dog in all three. Florida State got its best player (Singleton) back last week and crushed Notre Dame; FSU is #1 defensive team in country, but Rams have four seniors in the rotation, FSU only one. VCU-Florida State are playing first-ever game between #10-11 seeds in tournament history.
Other tournaments
Santa Clara (-6) beat Rice of C-USA 66-65 back in November; Broncos won six of last seven games, are 5-2-2 vs spread in last nine games as a dog. SMU allowed just 56.3 ppg in winning its last three games; six of its last seven games stayed under total. Mustangs are 4-6-1 vs spread in last 11 games as a favorite. C-USA home favorites of 7 or less points are 5-7. WCC road underdogs of 5 or less points are 11-6 vs spread.
NBA
Write-Up
Friday, March 25
Hot Teams
-- Orlando won its last four games, by 4-3-11-12 points.
-- Indiana won five of its last seven games.
-- Miami won six of last seven games, covered three of last 10 at home. 76ers won three of their last four games.
-- Celtics won/covered three of their last four games.
-- Thunder won/covered seven of their last eight games.
-- Chicago won 10 of its last 11 games (9-1-1 vs spread). Grizzlies won four of their last five games.
-- Nuggets won six of last eight games (7-1 vs spread).
-- Portland won four of its last five games (5-0 vs spread). Spurs won three of last four games (3-0-1 vs spread)-- Duncan is hurt.
-- Hornets won three of their last four road games. Phoenix won three of its last four games overall, but covered just two of last ten at home.
-- Lakers won last five games, failing to cover the last three.
Cold Teams
-- Nets lost four of their last five games.
-- Sacramento lost six of last eight on road (4-2 vs spread in last six).
-- Knicks lost seven of their last eight games. Milwaukee lost eight of its last nine road games.
-- Pistons lost last seven road games (0-3 vs spread last three). Cavaliers lost five of last six games, but are 8-6 vs spread in last 14.
-- Bobcats lost their last four games (0-3-1 vs spread).
-- Minnesota lost its last five games (2-3 vs spread-- Love is hurt).
-- Wizards lost eight of their last nine games (2-7 vs spread).
-- Warriors lost their last six games (0-6 vs spread). Toronto lost 15 of its last 16 road games (2-10 vs spread last 12).
-- Clippers are 2-3 in last five games (0-5 vs spread).
Totals
-- Five of Nets' last six road games went over the total.
-- Over is 12-1 in Sacramento's last thirteen road games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Milwaukee's last seven road games.
-- Seven of last nine Miami home games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Cleveland home games stayed under total.
-- Under is 7-1 in Charlotte's last eight road games.
-- Seven of last eight Thunder home games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Memphis road games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2 in Washington's last seven road games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Portland's last seven home games.
-- Three of last four Phoenix home games stayed under total.
-- Under is 11-3 in Toronto's last 14 road games on this continent.
-- Under is 5-1 in Clippers' last six games at Staples Center.
Back-to-Back
-- Minnesota is 5-2 vs spread on road if it lost the night before.
-- New Orleans is 5-8-1 vs spread on road if it played night before.
Write-Up
Friday, March 25
Hot Teams
-- Orlando won its last four games, by 4-3-11-12 points.
-- Indiana won five of its last seven games.
-- Miami won six of last seven games, covered three of last 10 at home. 76ers won three of their last four games.
-- Celtics won/covered three of their last four games.
-- Thunder won/covered seven of their last eight games.
-- Chicago won 10 of its last 11 games (9-1-1 vs spread). Grizzlies won four of their last five games.
-- Nuggets won six of last eight games (7-1 vs spread).
-- Portland won four of its last five games (5-0 vs spread). Spurs won three of last four games (3-0-1 vs spread)-- Duncan is hurt.
-- Hornets won three of their last four road games. Phoenix won three of its last four games overall, but covered just two of last ten at home.
-- Lakers won last five games, failing to cover the last three.
Cold Teams
-- Nets lost four of their last five games.
-- Sacramento lost six of last eight on road (4-2 vs spread in last six).
-- Knicks lost seven of their last eight games. Milwaukee lost eight of its last nine road games.
-- Pistons lost last seven road games (0-3 vs spread last three). Cavaliers lost five of last six games, but are 8-6 vs spread in last 14.
-- Bobcats lost their last four games (0-3-1 vs spread).
-- Minnesota lost its last five games (2-3 vs spread-- Love is hurt).
-- Wizards lost eight of their last nine games (2-7 vs spread).
-- Warriors lost their last six games (0-6 vs spread). Toronto lost 15 of its last 16 road games (2-10 vs spread last 12).
-- Clippers are 2-3 in last five games (0-5 vs spread).
Totals
-- Five of Nets' last six road games went over the total.
-- Over is 12-1 in Sacramento's last thirteen road games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Milwaukee's last seven road games.
-- Seven of last nine Miami home games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Cleveland home games stayed under total.
-- Under is 7-1 in Charlotte's last eight road games.
-- Seven of last eight Thunder home games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Memphis road games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2 in Washington's last seven road games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Portland's last seven home games.
-- Three of last four Phoenix home games stayed under total.
-- Under is 11-3 in Toronto's last 14 road games on this continent.
-- Under is 5-1 in Clippers' last six games at Staples Center.
Back-to-Back
-- Minnesota is 5-2 vs spread on road if it lost the night before.
-- New Orleans is 5-8-1 vs spread on road if it played night before.
NHL
Write-Up
Friday, March 25
Hot Teams
-- Pittsburgh won four of its last five games.
-- Washington won 11 of its last 12 games. Ottawa won three of its last four.
-- Carolina won eight of its last ten games.
-- Vancouver won eight of its last nine games.
Cold Teams
-- Devils lost four of their last five games.
-- Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
-- Buffalo lost seven of its last eleven home games. Panthers lost four of last five games, getting shut out in last two.
-- Thrashers are 0-9 in game after their last nine wins.
Totals
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four New Jersey games. Four of Penguins' last five games went over.
-- Three of last four Ottawa games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Carolina games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Buffalo games went over the total. Four of last five Florida games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Atlanta games went over the total.
Back-to-Back
-- Penguins are 8-5 if they played night before, 2-2 at home.
-- Ottawa is 2-6 at home if it played the night before.
-- Thrashers are 3-10 if they played the night before.
Series records
-- Devils won eight of last ten games against Pittsburgh.
-- Senators are 0-3 vs Washington this year: 2-3/2-3/1-3.
-- Hurricanes lost four of last five visits to Tampa Bay.
-- Sabres won nine of last thirteen games against Florida.
-- Thrashers lost 4-2 in Atlanta in LY's meeting
Write-Up
Friday, March 25
Hot Teams
-- Pittsburgh won four of its last five games.
-- Washington won 11 of its last 12 games. Ottawa won three of its last four.
-- Carolina won eight of its last ten games.
-- Vancouver won eight of its last nine games.
Cold Teams
-- Devils lost four of their last five games.
-- Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
-- Buffalo lost seven of its last eleven home games. Panthers lost four of last five games, getting shut out in last two.
-- Thrashers are 0-9 in game after their last nine wins.
Totals
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four New Jersey games. Four of Penguins' last five games went over.
-- Three of last four Ottawa games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Carolina games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Buffalo games went over the total. Four of last five Florida games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Atlanta games went over the total.
Back-to-Back
-- Penguins are 8-5 if they played night before, 2-2 at home.
-- Ottawa is 2-6 at home if it played the night before.
-- Thrashers are 3-10 if they played the night before.
Series records
-- Devils won eight of last ten games against Pittsburgh.
-- Senators are 0-3 vs Washington this year: 2-3/2-3/1-3.
-- Hurricanes lost four of last five visits to Tampa Bay.
-- Sabres won nine of last thirteen games against Florida.
-- Thrashers lost 4-2 in Atlanta in LY's meeting
NBA Dunkel
Memphis at Chicago
The Grizzlies look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 games as a road underdog from 5 to 10 1/2 points. Memphis is the pick (+9) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulls favored by only 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+9). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, MARCH 25
Game 851-852: New Jersey at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 116.311; Orlando 124.405
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 8; 185
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 853-854: Sacramento at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 109.983; Indiana 120.105
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 10; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7 1/2); Over
Game 855-856: Milwaukee at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 113.362; New York 121.833
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 8 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-6); Over
Game 857-858: Philadelphia at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 119.095; Miami 127.748
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 859-860: Detroit at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 113.684; Cleveland 107.276
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 6 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3 1/2); Under
Game 861-862: Charlotte at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 113.360; Boston 122.139
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 9; 194
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 863-864: Minnesota at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 107.825; Oklahoma City 129.627
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 22; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 15 1/2; 209
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-15 1/2); Over
Game 865-866: Memphis at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 120.606; Chicago 127.075
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 188
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+9); Under
Game 867-868: Washington at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 106.231; Denver 129.066
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 23; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 15; 214
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-15); Under
Game 869-870: San Antonio at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.379; Portland 122.076
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 871-872: New Orleans at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 118.639; Phoenix 118.794
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1.2; 197
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+4 1/2); Over
Game 873-874: Toronto at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 109.037; Golden State 119.892
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 12; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 6 1/2; 218
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-6 1/2); Under
Game 875-876: LA Clippers at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 114.390; LA Lakers 123.404
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9; 200
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+9 1/2); Over
Memphis at Chicago
The Grizzlies look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 games as a road underdog from 5 to 10 1/2 points. Memphis is the pick (+9) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulls favored by only 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+9). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, MARCH 25
Game 851-852: New Jersey at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 116.311; Orlando 124.405
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 8; 185
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 853-854: Sacramento at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 109.983; Indiana 120.105
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 10; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7 1/2); Over
Game 855-856: Milwaukee at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 113.362; New York 121.833
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 8 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-6); Over
Game 857-858: Philadelphia at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 119.095; Miami 127.748
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 859-860: Detroit at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 113.684; Cleveland 107.276
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 6 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3 1/2); Under
Game 861-862: Charlotte at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 113.360; Boston 122.139
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 9; 194
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 863-864: Minnesota at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 107.825; Oklahoma City 129.627
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 22; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 15 1/2; 209
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-15 1/2); Over
Game 865-866: Memphis at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 120.606; Chicago 127.075
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 188
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+9); Under
Game 867-868: Washington at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 106.231; Denver 129.066
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 23; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 15; 214
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-15); Under
Game 869-870: San Antonio at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.379; Portland 122.076
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 871-872: New Orleans at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 118.639; Phoenix 118.794
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1.2; 197
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+4 1/2); Over
Game 873-874: Toronto at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 109.037; Golden State 119.892
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 12; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 6 1/2; 218
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-6 1/2); Under
Game 875-876: LA Clippers at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 114.390; LA Lakers 123.404
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9; 200
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+9 1/2); Over
Chip Chirimbes
Marquette vs. North Carolina
Play: Marquette +5
Yea, I know the Big East has been the Big Dance major disappointment, well, to some. Realize that four Big East teams were taken out in head-to-head play. Tonight's entree is Marquette (22-14), a No. 11 seed takes a shot at No. 2 seed North Carolina (28-7) who have just gotten better each game until it took them here. The Tar Heels have failed to cover in their last five and six of seven.
Marquette vs. North Carolina
Play: Marquette +5
Yea, I know the Big East has been the Big Dance major disappointment, well, to some. Realize that four Big East teams were taken out in head-to-head play. Tonight's entree is Marquette (22-14), a No. 11 seed takes a shot at No. 2 seed North Carolina (28-7) who have just gotten better each game until it took them here. The Tar Heels have failed to cover in their last five and six of seven.
