Service Plays Friday 2/28/14

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NBA KNOWLEDGE
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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Betting Notes - Friday
•Hot Teams
-- Memphis won five of its last six games.
-- Warriors won four of their last five games.
-- Dallas won 10 of last 12 games.
-- Bulls won seven of their last eight.
-- Bobcats won last four games, are 6-1-1 versus spread in last eight.
-- Spurs won four of their last five games.

•Cold Teams
-- Cleveland lost three of its last four games.
-- Jazz lost four of their last five road games.
-- Thunder is 0-3 since Russell Westbrook returned to lineup.
-- Knicks lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Sacramento covered twice in its last eight games (3-5 SU).
-- Lakers lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Pelicans lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Phoenix lost last three (0-3 vs. spread)

•Totals
-- Last six Utah road games stayed under total.
-- Last four Memphis games went over the total.
-- Last five Golden State games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Dallas games went over total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Charlotte games.
-- Five of last six Laker games went over the total.
-- Four of last five New Orleans games stayed under.

•Series Records
-- Cavaliers won last two games with Utah, after losing previous six.
-- Grizzlies won five of last seven games with Oklahoma City.
-- Warriors won six of last eight games with New York.
-- Bulls lost three of last four visits to Dallas, by 1-7-2 points.
-- Spurs won eight of last nine games with Charlotte (5-3-1 vs. spread).
-- Lakers won their last four games with Sacramento.
-- Suns won six of last eight games with New Orleans.
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StatSystems Sports is always looking to deliver the greatest possible product to its customers. More importantly, our team of Experts are always trying to line the pockets of its customers, and this is exactly what we are doing with our brand new Experts Consensus product! Don’t waste your time scouring for the “best looking” option out there; we have already done all the heavy lifting for you. We have taken the picks from all of the handicappers that align on one game and packaged them up for you into one super pick!

Every day we will give you the biggest consensus available in each sport from our roster of handicappers. StatSystems Sports Experts has extreme confidence in its handicapping team and when they align on a selection, they know the books are in for a pounding! Now you can bet with confidence because you know a number of the greatest minds in sports handicapping are backing your play. If you've been following the records, you'll know that the Experts Consensus is riding a crazy 9-1-1 (90.0%) hot streak since it was first introduced on February 14th!
________________________

•Situational Trends of The Day
-- DALLAS is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 103.1, OPPONENT 100.2.

-- LA LAKERS are 20-6 UNDER (+13.4 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 98.5, OPPONENT 97.6.

-- NEW YORK is 23-8 (+14.2 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 49.7, OPPONENT 44.4.

-- UTAH is 22-6 UNDER (+15.4 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog of 3 points or less versus the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 44.1, OPPONENT 47.9.

-- SCOTT BROOKS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.
The average score was BROOKS 107.9, OPPONENT 89.9.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- CHICAGO is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 94.3, OPPONENT 92.4.

-- CHARLOTTE is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 102.5, OPPONENT 105.5.

-- PHOENIX is 21-6 (+14.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts this season.
The average score was PHOENIX 53.7, OPPONENT 51.0.

-- UTAH is 21-5 UNDER (+15.5 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 46.7, OPPONENT 46.8.

-- TYRONE CORBIN is 31-13 UNDER (+16.7 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game as the coach of UTAH.
The average score was CORBIN 46.3, OPPONENT 49.8.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (UTAH) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog, in a game involving two poor defensive teams (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games.
(28-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (93.3%, +25.5 units. Rating = 5*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -122.5
The average score in these games was: Team 101.9, Opponent 91.9 (Average point differential = +10)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-0, +6 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (70-25, +19.5 units).

-- Play On - Road teams (NEW ORLEANS) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 42+ games.
(85-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.2%, +54.2 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (63-52 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.8
The average score in these games was: Team 102.3, Opponent 101.4 (Average point differential = +0.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 57 (50.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (27-8).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (50-16).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (190-133).

-- Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - an explosive offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average offensive team (92-98 PPG), after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games.
(32-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +23.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 208.6
The average score in these games was: Team 101.3, Opponent 99.3 (Total points scored = 200.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (63.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (71-37).

-- Play On - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (CHICAGO) - poor shooting team - shooting <=43% on the season, revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points against opponent off a win against a division rival.
(35-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.4%, +26.2 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.8, Opponent 48.2 (Average first half point differential = +0.6)

The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (216-170).

-- Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.
(48-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.6%, +27.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50, Opponent 49.9 (Total first half points scored = 99.9)

The situation's record this season is: (8-5).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (94-77).

Note: Get today’s complete NBA report by heading on over to Friday’s (2/28/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
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Anyone want to go in on Sports Insurance Adjusters? My package ended and they were red hot 35-15-1 last 8 days!! PM me is interested.
 
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GC: NCAAB Play

Friday card has 3 Huge NBA 5* Plays All from systems with Perfect subsets. The 23-0 Blowout, the 17-0 Dominator and 11-0 Road warrior sides. In College Hoops we have the 23-1 Game of the week. NCAAB Metro Atlantic Conference play below.

On Friday the Metro Atlantic Conference play is on Canisius University as they have the overall better numbers. They are 10-2 vs losing teams, 12-3 Ats after scoring 80 or more, 4-1 on Fridays and won by 17 here last season. They have been road warriors this season with 10 wins away from home. Tonight they travel to take on Rider College. Rider has lost 7 of 8 this season vs top 100 RPI Scale ranked teams and lost a close one at Canisius earlier in the year. However they are 0-3 with road loss revenge and have dropped 11 of the lat 15 vs teams who average 77 or more points per game. Canisius is the better team so we will lay the point or two tonight. On Friday we end the Month big with 3 Big NBA Plays from 23-0,17-0 and 11-0 Indicators. We also have the 23-1 NCAAB Game of the Week in the Big East. Jump on now as we start the weekend of winners pack early. For the NCAAB play take Canisius. GC
 
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NCAAB

Friday, February 28

Seton Hall won six of last eight games with Providence; they won first meeting this year 81-80 (+6.5) in double OT, after leading by 12 in 2nd half. Pirates lost five of last six games, 10 of last 14- they covered once in last four games when favored. Providence split its last six road games; they've played three double OT games. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-8 vs spread. Six of last seven Friar games went over.

Columbia won three in row, 10 of last 14 games; they beat Dartmouth 69-59 (-8.5) Feb 15, shooting 62% from arc in game they trailed by 4 at half. Lions are 2-3 on Ivy road, winning by 1 at Princeton, at Cornell by 16. Columbia is 6-3 in last nine series games, winning two of last three at Dartmouth, winning by 21-2. Ivy League home dogs of 7 or less points are 6-2 vs spread. Dartmouth lost its last six games, five by 9+ points.

Harvard (-16) won 67-44 at Cornell Feb 15, its 7th series win in a row, winning last three here by 21-11-9 points; they shot 65.5% inside arc, 8-16 outside in first meeting. Cornell is 1-22 vs D-I teams, with only one road loss by more than 12 points. Ivy League double digit home faves are 3-5 against the spread. Harvard has tough game with Columbia on Saturday, could rest starters early here.

Yale (+1.5) beat Princeton 66-65 in OT Jan 15, game they trailed by 11 in second half; Bulldogs are game behind Harvard in Ivy, need to win to keep pace before they meet again. Ivy League home favorites of 7 or less points are 7-1 vs spread. Tigers are 3-5 in last eight games, but won two of last three at home. Five of last seven Yale games stayed under total. Yale won three of five road games, losing at Brown/Columbia.

Brown (-5) beat Penn 62-55 Feb 15, game they trailed by 6 with 9:46 to play, just their second series win in last 11 games. Bruins lost last three visits to Penn by 2-11-23 points. Penn turned ball over 22 times (-10) in first meeting; they're 4-5 in ivy, but won three of last four home games. Brown is 2-3 on Ivy road, winning at Dartmouth/Cornell. Ivy League home teams are 8-3 in games where spread was 3 or less points.

Washington State (+2.5) beat Washington 72-67 Feb 1, after being down 8 with 13:40 left; Coogs outscored U-Dub 21-9 on foul line, turned ball over only five times (+7), in their first series win in last seven games vs Huskies. Washington lost five of last seven games but is 5-1 at home in Pac-12, with only loss to Cal. Pac-12 home favorites of 9+ points are 18-13. Wazzu is 0-8 on Pac-12 road, with seven losses by 11+ points.

Canisius (-5.5) beat Rider 94-91 in double OT Jan 10, after being down 9 with 10:40 left in game where Griffins shot 68% inside arc. Canisius lost four of last six in series, but won two of last three visits here. Rider lost five of its last six games. MAAC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 5-11 vs spread. 13 of last 14 Canisius games went over the total; eight of last 11 Rider games stayed under.

Iona (-2.5) shot 56% inside arc, beat Manhattan 85-73 at home Jan 31, its 6th win in last eight series games. Gaels won three of last four visits to Draddy Gym; they've won 11 games in row, with three of last six by 3 or less points. MAAC home favorites of less than 5 points are 11-15 vs spread. Jaspers won six of last seven games overall, six of last seven at home. Four of last five Iona road games went over the total.

Marist (-3.5) beat Fairfield 75-56 Jan 2, outscoring Stags 32-11 on foul line; home side won last six series games. Red Foxes lost last six visits here, by 2-5-9-7-6-34 points. Fairfield lost 10 of last 12 games, is 2-7 at home in MAAC, with wins over Manhattan/Monmouth. MAAC home teams are 9-14 in games where spread was 3 or less points. Seven of last nine Fairfield games went over the total.

Monmouth (+7) won 85-74 at Niagara Jan 10, in game with 53 fouls, 42 turnovers; Eagles were just 6-23 on arc. Hawks lost last nine games, four by 4 or less points or in OT; they've lost last four home games. Niagara lost its last eight games, last five on road, with four of five losses by 13+ points. Five of last six Monmouth games stayed under total. MAAC home favorites of less than 5 points are 11-15 vs spread.
 
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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

CBB MARIST at FAIRFIELD
Play Against - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARIST) a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 85 points or more
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )

CBB MARIST at FAIRFIELD
Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MARIST) a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 85 points or more
58-26 since 1997. ( 69.0% 29.4 units )

CBB PROVIDENCE at SETON HALL
Play On - An underdog vs. the 1rst half line (PROVIDENCE) a good team (+3.5 to +8 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games
112-60 since 1997. ( 65.1% 46.0 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% -1.3 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NBA UTAH at CLEVELAND
Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more
102-54 since 1997. ( 65.4% 42.6 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

NBA GOLDEN STATE at NEW YORK
Play On - Any team vs the money line (GOLDEN STATE) off an upset loss as a road favorite, second half of the season
170-96 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.9% 61.5 units )
14-6 this year. ( 70.0% 12.0 units )

NBA CHICAGO at DALLAS
Play On - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (CHICAGO) revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points against opponent off a win against a division rival
37-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 74.0% 22.7 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )
 

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David Lawrence

NCAA Basketball Picks: Friday's Best NCAAB Bets

Friday, February 28, 2014 9:03 AM ETCollege basketball fans are going to be able to look at several smaller-conference games on Friday night, but that doesn’t mean bigger conferences will be absent from the schedule. Where have we decided to focus with our NCAA Basketball picks today?

Providence Friars vs. Seton Hall Pirates
The Friars are on the NCAA tournament bubble, and since Seton Hall has been struggling for much of this season – at least to the extent that the Pirates do not represent a breakthrough kind of victory for an opponent – Providence has to be able to beat the Hall to avoid suffering a huge dent in its NCAA case. The Friars would move down several spots relative to the bubble and other bubble contenders if they lose this game. Seton Hall, thanks to a recent run of good play, is the favorite in this game on its home court in Newark, N.J. However, the sense here is that Providence is going to put together a strong game, since it should have all the motivation it needs and then some in this case.
Pick: Providence +3

Iona Gaels vs. Manhattan Jaspers
We stay in the north east for the second of our NCAA Basketball picks. This is a game in which Iona won’t be as motivated as Manhattan. Iona leads the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference by two full games with only two games left in the regular season. The Gaels can afford to lose this game on the road and yet still win the MAAC in their 18th and final league game this upcoming weekend. Manhattan is three games behind Iona and is trying to fight for third place in the conference, so that it can avoid Iona until the finals of the MAAC Tournament if the two teams do meet in that event. Iona is going to be the top seed in its conference tournament, so by getting the third seed, Manhattan would play the second seed in a potential semifinal, moving out of Iona’s path until the championship round. That’s going to help Manhattan here, as will home court. Iona will cover the spread, though.
Pick: Iona +5

Washington State Cougars vs. Washington Huskies

This is a game that Washington should win. The Huskies lost at Washington State earlier in the season, so they should be ready to gain revenge here. Playing at home will also propel Washington’s efforts against one of the worst teams in the Pac-12 Conference. Washington State just isn’t a very deep team. It doesn’t have a lot of high-end scorers and secondary options at the offensive end of the court. Washington State doesn’t have a low-post offense. It doesn’t get a lot of scoring near the rim. The Cougars used a big run midway through the second half to beat Washington the last time the two teams played. Being on the road in this game, it’s going to be hard for Washington State to use adrenaline in the same way.
Pick: Washington -8


 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAACB KNOWLEDGE
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Friday's Notebook
•Seton Hall won six of last eight games with Providence; they won first meeting this year 81-80 (+6.5) in double OT, after leading by 12 in 2nd half. Pirates lost five of last six games, 10 of last 14- they covered once in last four games when favored. Providence split its last six road games; they've played three double OT games. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-8 versus spread. Six of last seven Friar games went over.

•Columbia won three in row, 10 of last 14 games; they beat Dartmouth 69-59 (-8.5) Feb 15, shooting 62% from arc in game they trailed by 4 at half. Lions are 2-3 on Ivy League road, winning by 1 at Princeton, at Cornell by 16. Columbia is 6-3 in last nine series games, winning two of last three at Dartmouth, winning by 21-2. Ivy League home dogs of 7 or less points are 6-2 versus spread. Dartmouth lost its last six games, five by 9+ points.

•Harvard (-16) won 67-44 at Cornell Feb 15, its 7th series win in a row, winning last three here by 21-11-9 points; they shot 65.5% inside arc, 8-16 outside in first meeting. Cornell is 1-22 versus D-I teams, with only one road loss by more than 12 points. Ivy League double digit home favorites are 3-5 against the spread. Harvard has tough game with Columbia on Saturday, could rest starters early here.

•Yale (+1.5) beat Princeton 66-65 in OT Jan 15, game they trailed by 11 in second half; Bulldogs are game behind Harvard in Ivy, need to win to keep pace before they meet again. Ivy League home favorites of 7 or less points are 7-1 versus spread. Tigers are 3-5 in last eight games, but won two of last three at home. Five of last seven Yale games stayed under total. Yale won three of five road games, losing at Brown/Columbia.

•Brown (-5) beat Penn 62-55 Feb 15, game they trailed by 6 with 9:46 to play, just their second series win in last 11 games. Bruins lost last three visits to Penn by 2-11-23 points. Quakers turned ball over 22 times (-10) in first meeting; they're 4-5 in league play, but won three of last four home games. Brown is 2-3 on Ivy League road, winning at Dartmouth/Cornell. Ivy League home teams are 8-3 in games where spread was 3 or less points.

•Washington State (+2.5) beat Washington 72-67 Feb 1, after being down 8 with 13:40 left; Cougars outscored Huskies 21-9 on foul line, turned ball over only five times (+7), in their first series win in last seven games versus Huskies. Washington lost five of last seven games but is 5-1 at home in Pac-12, with only loss to California. Pac-12 home favorites of 9+ points are 18-13. WSU is 0-8 on Pac-12 road, with seven losses by 11+ points.

•Canisius (-5.5) beat Rider 94-91 in double OT Jan 10, after being down 9 with 10:40 left in game where Griffins shot 68% inside arc. Golden Griffins lost four of last six in series, but won two of last three visits here. Rider lost five of its last six games. MAAC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 5-11 versus spread. 13 of last 14 Canisius games went over the total; eight of last 11 Rider games stayed under.

•Iona (-2.5) shot 56% inside arc, beat Manhattan 85-73 at home Jan 31, its 6th win in last eight series games. Gaels won three of last four visits to Draddy Gym; they've won 11 games in row, with three of last six by 3 or less points. MAAC home favorites of less than 5 points are 11-15 versus spread. Jaspers won six of last seven games overall, six of last seven at home. Four of last five Iona road games went over the total.

•Marist (-3.5) beat Fairfield 75-56 Jan 2, outscoring Stags 32-11 on foul line; home side won last six series games. Red Foxes lost last six visits here, by 2-5-9-7-6-34 points. Fairfield lost 10 of last 12 games, is 2-7 at home in conference play, with wins over Manhattan/Monmouth. MAAC home teams are 9-14 in games where spread was 3 or less points. Seven of last nine Fairfield games went over the total.

•Monmouth (+7) won 85-74 at Niagara Jan 10, in game with 53 fouls, 42 turnovers; Eagles were just 6-23 on arc. Hawks lost last nine games, four by 4 or less points or in OT; they've lost last four home games. Niagara lost its last eight games, last five on road, with four of five losses by 13+ points. Five of last six Monmouth games stayed under total. MAAC home favorites of less than 5 points are 11-15 versus spread.
___________________________________________________

StatSystems Sports is always looking to deliver the greatest possible product to its customers. More importantly, our team of Experts are always trying to line the pockets of its customers, and this is exactly what we are doing with our brand new Experts Consensus product! Don’t waste your time scouring for the “best looking” option out there; we have already done all the heavy lifting for you. We have taken the picks from all of the handicappers that align on one game and packaged them up for you into one super pick!

Every day we will give you the biggest consensus available in each sport from our roster of handicappers. StatSystems Sports Experts has extreme confidence in its handicapping team and when they align on a selection, they know the books are in for a pounding! Now you can bet with confidence because you know a number of the greatest minds in sports handicapping are backing your play. If you've been following the records, you'll know that the Experts Consensus is riding a crazy 9-1-1 (90.0%) hot streak since it was first introduced on February 14th!
________________________

•Situational Trends of The Day
-- RIDER is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse since 1997.
The average score was RIDER 72.5, OPPONENT 68.6.

-- YALE is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was YALE 66.4, OPPONENT 65.0.

-- PRINCETON is 11-0 (+11.0 Units) against the 1rst half line off a home loss by 10 points or more since 1997.
The average score was PRINCETON 30.2, OPPONENT 25.5.

-- DARTMOUTH is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after playing 3 consecutive games as a road underdog since 1997.
The average score was DARTMOUTH 26.8, OPPONENT 29.7.

-- PAUL CORMIER is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points as the coach of DARTMOUTH.
The average score was CORMIER 59.2, OPPONENT 68.2.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- CORNELL is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games since 1997.
The average score was CORNELL 67.2, OPPONENT 69.9.

-- WASHINGTON is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
The average score was WASHINGTON 82.7, OPPONENT 70.6.

-- CORNELL is 28-9 (+17.9 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts since 1997.
The average score was CORNELL 30.6, OPPONENT 32.3.

-- RIDER is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.
The average score was RIDER 30.1, OPPONENT 29.6.

-- STEVE MASIELLO is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts as the coach of MANHATTAN.
The average score was MASIELLO 72.1, OPPONENT 68.8.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play On - Home favorites of -165 to -500 versus the money line (PRINCETON) – an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%) after 15+ games, revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a road favorite against opponent off a loss against a conference rival.
(324-60 since 1997.) (84.4%, +142.1 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -303.2
The average score in these games was: Team 72.4, Opponent 63.6 (Average point differential = +8.8)

The situation's record this season is: (18-3, +11 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (84-14, +44.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (133-26, +56.5 units).

-- Play On - Any team where the line is +3 to -3 (NIAGARA) - a horrible defensive team (>=78 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games , revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off 2 consecutive home losses.
(32-9 since 1997.) (78.0%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (34-7)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.5
The average score in these games was: Team 71.3, Opponent 63.4 (Average point differential = +7.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (30% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).

-- Play On - An underdog where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (MARIST) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, off a home loss against a conference rival, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=20%).
(34-9 since 1997.) (79.1%, +24.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 32.4, Opponent 30.1 (Average first half point differential = +2.3)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).

Note: Get today’s complete NCAACB report by heading on over to Friday’s (2/28/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
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Paul Leiner

100* Grizzlies / Thunder Over 192

100* Seton Hall -2.5

50* Princeton -6
 
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Players NBA *10* Friday on Oklahoma City on 28 February
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Friday 10* (Top Play) on Oklahoma City vs. Memphis @ 8:00 p.m. ET
The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Memphis Grizzlies Friday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on Oklahoma City with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. The Thunder have stumbled on a three-game losing skid, discounting their odds at home Friday night. Teams as good as OKC don’t stay down for long. 2. Defense has been the big issue during this skid. Oklahoma City ran into a pissed-off Heat team, then couldn’t keep pace with the Clippers run-and-gun. The loss to Cleveland was an avoidable letdown, but Memphis plays a much slower, methodical pace which is a welcome change compared to recent opponents. 3. This is Russell Westbrook’s third game back from a knee injury – coincidently coinciding with the Thunder’s skid. Oklahoma City will have its chemistry issues and rotation figured out by Friday.
Play on Oklahoma City as a 10* Top Selection Friday.
Good luck, Scott.


Players NCAAB *8* Friday on Providence on 28 February
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Friday 8* (Regular Play) on Providence at Seton Hall @ 7:00 p.m. ET
The Seton Hall Pirates host the Providence Friars Friday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on Providence with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. Providence is making a late-season push, coming off a road win at Butler and picking up a recent victory over DePaul. The Friars are sitting on the NCAA bubble and can’t afford a bad loss on their resume this close to Selection Sunday. 2. Seton Hall limps into Friday after back-to-back losses. The Pirates have just one win in their last six outings, suffering a major power outage on offense. Seton Hall is scoring only 63.4 points in those five losses. 3. On the other side of the scale, the Friars are firing on all cylinders when it comes to offense. Providence is averaging 83.3 points over its last three games, and has plenty of scoring depth on the roster. It has four players averaging double figures, including leading scorer Bryce Cotton, who’s putting up 21.5 points a night.
Play on Providence as an 8* Regular Selection Friday.
Good luck, Scott.


Nelly's Friday NBA Total Domination - Feb. 28 (1* UNDER GS/NYK)

02/28/14 Nelly's 1* #805/806 'UNDER 201' Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks 7:05 PM CT
The Knicks enter this game in the shadow of a huge Thursday night game in Miami, a big game for the franchise for obvious reasons against the back-to-back champions and a game the team had two off days to prepare for. New York has been showing improved scoring in recent weeks but on the season New York has scored just 98 points per game and now in the second of back-to-back games the Knicks face one of the best defenses in the NBA. Golden State should have no shortage of motivation in this matchup coming off an ugly 20 points loss in Chicago on Wednesday. The margin of defeat could have been even worse as the Warriors hit just 35 percent going up against another elite defense, featuring a 14-point 3rd quarter. Chicago got 24 points at the line to reach triple-digits, just the third team in the last 14 games to reach that mark against the Warriors. Golden State in the #3 team in the NBA in defensive efficiency and the Warriors did a masterful job against the Knicks the last time these teams met, holding New York to just 63 points. The 'under' is 19-11 in Golden State road games and while a west coast team playing on the east coast sounds daunting, Golden State had Thursday off while New York was in Miami for a big primetime game, putting the road team in the better position. Laying points with the Warriors on the road is risky but Golden State should control the pace of this game and leave a fatigued Knicks team struggling on offense. The 'under' has hit in six of the last seven Golden State games and this total is price too high considering these teams scored just 155 points the last time they met.
Nelly's rates our regular basketball selections 1, 2, and 3-stars. It is a long season so please have a money management plan and be conservative and conscientious with your wagers. Thanks for playing with Nelly's Sportsline and best of luck.




Players NHL *8* Friday on OVER in Buffalo on 28 February
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Friday 8* (Regular Play) on OVER in Buffalo vs. San Jose @ 7:00 p.m. ET
The Buffalo Sabres host the San Jose Sharks Friday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on OVER in Buffalo with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. The Sabres have surrendered eight goals since action picked back up in the NHL, including a 5-4 overtime loss to Boston. On top of that, star goaltender Ryan Miller isn’t focuses on hockey as much as he is about his future. Miller expects to be dealt during the trade deadline – this coming on the heels of his Olympic stint with Team USA in Sochi. 2. The Sharks could be a little slow footed on the defensive end Friday after traveling across the country and playing Philadelphia Thursday. San Jose lit the lamp for seven goals in that win, blowing about the total. 3. The Olympic break allowed San Jose to heal some of its big guns, with Raffi Torres and Logan Couture returning Thursday. The Sharks still managed to averaging 2.9 goals for despite those injuries, so expect a healthy attack to top that output.
Play on OVER in Buffalo as an 8* Regular Selection Friday.
Good luck, Scott.
 

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Sports Wagers NHL

Phoenix @ COLORADO
COLORADO -½ +106 over Phoenix

Regulation only. The Coyotes do not have the same swag as they’ve had in previous seasons. Hockey doesn’t even belong in Arizona – it never has, and it never will. Sure the ownership question is settled (for five years), and that might help the club out but so far it has hurt them. You see, it kind of undermines the whole underdog mentality that this club has thrived off of over the past few seasons, doesn’t it? Coach Tippett isn’t finding it as easy to preach the whole “us against the world” thing this season when guys from the Coyotes ownership group answer fan questions on Twitter. As for the Coyotes blue-line, outside of Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Zbynek Michalek it’s an over-rated group. Speaking of over-rated, how about Mike “One Good Year” Smith? Phoenix has not been better this season and they still are too reliant on straight up trap hockey (boring) and gooning it up (like always). Now they’re not scoring. The Coyotes have scored two or fewer in four straight. Since December 12, a span of 28 games, they have won consecutive games just one time. Phoenix is also 0-5 in their last five games in the second game of back-to-backs.
The Avalanche came off the break with a 6-4 loss to the Kings. Pay no attention to that, as J.S. Giguere, the worst goaltender in the game, was in net. Pay more attention to the Avalanche scoring four goals on the Kings. That’s not easy but it showcases just how dangerous Colorado is. The Avs have scored nine times in their last two games. In a recent three-game stint against Buffalo, Minnesota and Dallas, they scored 16 times. The Avs are loaded with goal scorers and sick talent. The Avs get Semyon Varlamov back for this one and it’s also worth noting that Colorad has not lost consecutive games at home the entire season. That isn’t about to change against this very beatable guest.


Our Pick
COLORADO -½ +106 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.12)






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Minnesota @ VANCOUVER
Minnesota +147 over VANCOUVER

Regulation only. The Canucks are chasing the Wild for the final playoff spot, making this a huge game for both teams. Vancouver is six points behind Minnesota with 21 games remaining but a loss here and they fall eight back. Vancouver is coming off a 1-0 victory on Wednesday against St. Louis and this price is an overreaction to that victory. No way should the Canucks be this big a price against Minnesota. That win was Vancouver’s first in their last eight and it’s not like they went off for a bunch of goals either. They scored one lousy goal in the third against a fragile Jarolslav Halak, who was pounded in the Olympics. Over their last eight games, Vancouver has scored two goals or fewer seven times while being outscored 26-12 over that span. John Tortorella has turned these Canucks into a bunch of penalty killers and shot blockers. Frankly, it’s ludicrous for them to be this big a price.
Minnesota is warm with three straight wins while outscoring the opposition 8-3 over that span. They opened the stretch drive with a 3-0 win in Edmonton last night and there’s no reason they can’t keep it going here. Goaltender Darcy Kuemper has been outstanding since his call-up with 11 wins in 14 games to go along with a solid .927 save percentage. Minnesota plays outstanding defense and they are even scoring goals with more regularity lately. In terms of value, it really doesn’t get much better than taking back this tag on the better squad.


Our Pick
Minnesota +147 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.94)





Yesterday210.00+2.94
Last 30 Days15240.00-10.68
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NCAAB

Friday, February 28

Duquesne stays hot with win over Saint Louis

Duquesne sprang a huge upset of red-hot Saint Louis Thursday night, but wise bettors were probably aware the Dukes stood a great chance of covering a hefty spread.

Duquesne entered the road game with a 10-5-2 ATS mark and had cashed its last three in a row. The Billikens – winners of 19 in a row SU -- were 9-15 ATS and had dropped four straight pointspread decisions.

The Dukes were 13.5-point underdogs against Saint Louis, but notched a 71-64 victory to bolster their solid ATS mark and keep the Billikens in a betting-window freefall.


Home not where the heart is for Princeton backers

Princeton (15-8 SU, 8-9 ATS) is just 1-5 ATS on its home floor, including getting swept at the betting window last weekend. The Tigers beat Dartmouth 67-57 but failed to cash as a 13-point favorite last Friday, then fell to league-leading Harvard 59-47 on Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog.

The Tigers have a pair of home games this weekend as they host Yale (14-10 SU, 9-5 ATS) Friday and Brown (14-10 SU, 8-5-1 ATS) on Saturday.


UNC's 10-game winning streak bodes well for futures

Thinking about a futures bet on streaking North Carolina? Well, there is some precedent. When the Tar Heels beat North Carolina State 85-84 in overtime on Wednesday night, it marked their 10th straight win, something they hadn’t done since the 2008-09 season, when they opened with 13 straight wins and later added a 10-game winning streak.

Carolina ended that season with an 89-72 rout of Michigan State as a 7.5-point chalk in the NCAA championship game.


Columbia cashing in for Under bettors

A pretty good Ivy League bet throughout this season has been taking the under when Columbia hits the floor. The total has gone low in 11 of the Lions’ 15 lined games, and the trend has been even stronger on the highway for Columbia, at 6-1 in true road games and 9-1 counting neutral-site contests.

The Lions are at Dartmouth Friday and at Harvard on Saturday.
 
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NBA

Friday, February 28

Tony Parker, San Antonio - Ques Fri

Parker has been dealing with a sprained left hand since the beginning of February as well as a few other ailments. He is questionable to play Friday against the Bobcats.
 
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NHL

Friday, February 28

Kuemper gets start after Thursday's shutout

Fresh off a 21 save, shutout performance against the Edmonton Oilers Thursday, the Minnesota Wild will ride the hot goalie as Darcy Kuemper will start tonight at the Vancouver Canucks.

Kuemper has played well as starter Josh Harding remains on IR. The Saskatoon native is 9-3-2 with a 2.29 GAA and .921 save percentage on the season.

The Wild are currently +138 road dogs at the Canucks Friday.


Lightning forward Steven Stamkos, out Saturday

Stamkos is recovering from a broken right tibia which he suffered on November 11th against the Bruins. He will not play on the team's upcoming four-game road trip but expects to return on March 6th to face the Sabres.


Pens' Letang expects to return after stroke

Pittsburgh Penguins defenseman Kris Letang is confident that he will play hockey again after suffering a stroke last month.

Speaking with reporters before the Penguins' game against the Montreal Canadiens on Thursday night, Letang, 26, said doctors told him that he should be able to get back on the ice. But when that happens remains unknown.

"(Doctors) said being 26 and having a stroke, it's actually a small percentage, but the chance that I get back to normal is really high," Letang said. "We'll take the decision from there, but for now, we're keeping like this. ... I'm going day by day to get to 100 percent. I feel like I'm trying to make steps and getting closer to coming back at one point."


Sabres come out of Olympic break hot

The Buffalo Sabres have come out of the Olympic break on a modest two-game winning streak and close off their mini three-game homestand against the San Jose Sharks Friday.

The Sabres defeated the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2 Tuesday, and followed that up with a 5-4 OT victory against the Boston Bruins Thursday.

The Sabres are currently +163 home dogs.
 

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