ANTHONY MICHAEL
#828 Portland Trailblazers -4.5 (10:35 est) ESPN
Very difficult scheduling spots here for Ok City playing in Phoenix on Thursday night and then having to travel to Portland. The favorite has covered 18 of the last 26 between these teams and Portland is solid at home while Oklahoma City has really struggled on the road. Lay this small number here with Portland
#828 Portland Trailblazers -4.5 (10:35 est) ESPN
Very difficult scheduling spots here for Ok City playing in Phoenix on Thursday night and then having to travel to Portland. The favorite has covered 18 of the last 26 between these teams and Portland is solid at home while Oklahoma City has really struggled on the road. Lay this small number here with Portland
Here's our upcoming system bet:
February 27: Milwaukee {A} bet
Now, keep in mind the following points for our NBA system bets:
- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- Remember to purchase 3 points for the team you're betting on.
- If your team is still a favorite after buying 3 points, then bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal, but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Good luck,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System
February 27: Milwaukee {A} bet
Now, keep in mind the following points for our NBA system bets:
- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- Remember to purchase 3 points for the team you're betting on.
- If your team is still a favorite after buying 3 points, then bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal, but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Good luck,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System
Sportswagers
Calgary @ N.Y. ISLANDERS
Calgary +180 over N.Y. ISLANDERS
OT included. The talk surrounding this game centers on the injury to Flames Captain Mark Giordano. Giordano went awkwardly to the ice in the final moments of the Flames 3-1 win over the Devils and it appears he could miss some time. Make no mistake; the Flames are worse without Giordano but this isn’t an unusual situation by any stretch. Team leaders go down in every sport. What often follows is an all-out effort by every other player on the team in an effort to compensate for the loss. We saw the Blackhawks go into Florida and dominate the Panthers last night in their first game without Patrick Kane. We saw the Bruins go into Chicago in their first game without David Krejci and beat the ‘Hawks, 5-1. There are plenty more examples just like these so it would come as no surprise to see these hard-working, determined and resilient Flames come up with a huge effort. It sure doesn’t hurt that the Flames have had back-to-back outstanding efforts by goaltender Kari Ramo. We’ll have to see a much larger sample size to trust Ramo with any regularity but at least’s he’s hot and playing with confidence. That matters.
The Islanders are not injury free by any stretch. They lost Kyle Okposo a few weeks ago and subsequently lost Mikhail Grabovski and Casey Cizikas. That’s one player from three different lines and the loss of Cizikas puts a dent in the Islanders fourth line (if you want to call it that). That fourth line has been an integral part of the Islanders success this year. They play late in games and they play in key situations, often going up against the oppositions top line late in games while protecting a one-goal lead. Speaking of one goal games, the Islanders are an extremely lucky 22-5 in such contests. Perhaps more telling is the Islanders record in their other games. In two-goal games or more, a truer measure of how good or bad a team really is, the Islanders are just a game over .500 at 18-17. The Islanders are a tough out for sure. They’ve been lights out at home practically the entire year but there are things about them that scream regression. That unsustainable record in one-goal games is one thing and so is the shaky goaltending of Jaroslav Halak, who we would never trust at this price against such a formidable foe like the Flames. A big effort from Calgary is more than enough incentive to play them at this price and we trust that’s exactly what we’ll get from them here.
Our Pick
Calgary +180 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.60)
Colorado @ DALLAS
Colorado +115 over DALLAS
OT included. These two are tied for last in the Central and their slim playoff hopes keep diminishing but one thing we’ve learned for sure is that both are fairly live dogs and both are far too risky as the chalk. We’ll apply that here. Dallas cannot be trusted in the favorite’s role because they allow far too many goals. In fact, the Stars’ 202 goals against ranks ahead of only three teams, Edmonton, Buffalo and Arizona. Dallas has dropped four straight and have allowed four goals or more in all of them. Over that span the Stars have allowed an alarming 23 goals against and there is simply no end in sight to this glaring flaw. Lindy Ruff has tried addressing this issue numerous times but nothing is working.
Colorado is in better form than Dallas. The Avalanche have won four of six with only losses over that span occurring against Los Angeles and Nashville while defeating Chicago and Tampa Bay among others. Perhaps the best news for us Colorado backers is that the line of Nathan McKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog and Ryan O'Reilly is finally heating up. That trio has been silent far too often this year but they have woken up over the past couple of weeks. There are a lot of similarities between these two teams but Dallas is clearly still trying to find its way towards consistently under a new regime but have not come close to doing so. We can't take Dallas seriously when they’re favored because they haven't looked anything like a team with which we'd want to lay weight with. Still without Tyler Seguin and couple of other key components, we’re not about to switch gears regarding our position on Dallas being far too risky as the chalk. We’re definitely sellers.
Our Pick
Colorado +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)
Los Angeles @ ANAHEIM
Los Angeles +110 over ANAHEIM
OT included. There aren’t many teams in the league that are more trustworthy in sniffing out a wounded prey and putting that prey to rest. That prey would be the Anaheim Ducks. We’ve mentioned several times this season how fortunate the Ducks have been and now you can add lethargic into the mix. Lethargic is an understatement. Anaheim is coming off a 3-0 home loss to the Senators. They were lifeless in that game. Prior to that, the Ducks had won three straight but were badly outplayed by Detroit and Edmonton by a wide margin. Anaheim has dropped seven of 10 overall. They deserved one win over that span when they defeated Calgary 6-3. They absolutely did not deserve a win over Carolina in which they were outshot 36-17. Anaheim is spending far too much time in their own end these days than they are in the opposition’s end. They are continually being peppered by a barrage of shots and scoring chances and while they figure to better tonight against this heated rival, it’s likely not going to be near enough to take down these playoff hungry Kings.
Los Angeles is fighting for their playoff lives. They have allowed one goal or less in five of its past six games. The Kings were shutout by the Senators last night but unlike Anaheim's efforts against Ottawa two nights ago, the effort was a strong one by L.A. that fell short because they ran into a super-hot, 27-year-old rookie goaltender. The Kings outshot Ottawa 35-28. The Kings have won eight of nine and it probably should be nine straight. They scored three goals or more in six of those eight games. Playing their third game in four days and tail end of back-to-backs is not going to deter us from playing the Kings because they’re pouring their souls into this stretch run. Los Angeles is not the team you want to get in front of when their determination is so high and when they have a wounded animal in their sight. The Ducks are just a very average team that has overachieved all year but it’s catching up to them in a big way. Given their current form and the emphasis they're placing on this one, L.A. is clearly the team that offers up the value here.
Our Pick
Los Angeles +110 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.20)
Calgary @ N.Y. ISLANDERS
Calgary +180 over N.Y. ISLANDERS
OT included. The talk surrounding this game centers on the injury to Flames Captain Mark Giordano. Giordano went awkwardly to the ice in the final moments of the Flames 3-1 win over the Devils and it appears he could miss some time. Make no mistake; the Flames are worse without Giordano but this isn’t an unusual situation by any stretch. Team leaders go down in every sport. What often follows is an all-out effort by every other player on the team in an effort to compensate for the loss. We saw the Blackhawks go into Florida and dominate the Panthers last night in their first game without Patrick Kane. We saw the Bruins go into Chicago in their first game without David Krejci and beat the ‘Hawks, 5-1. There are plenty more examples just like these so it would come as no surprise to see these hard-working, determined and resilient Flames come up with a huge effort. It sure doesn’t hurt that the Flames have had back-to-back outstanding efforts by goaltender Kari Ramo. We’ll have to see a much larger sample size to trust Ramo with any regularity but at least’s he’s hot and playing with confidence. That matters.
The Islanders are not injury free by any stretch. They lost Kyle Okposo a few weeks ago and subsequently lost Mikhail Grabovski and Casey Cizikas. That’s one player from three different lines and the loss of Cizikas puts a dent in the Islanders fourth line (if you want to call it that). That fourth line has been an integral part of the Islanders success this year. They play late in games and they play in key situations, often going up against the oppositions top line late in games while protecting a one-goal lead. Speaking of one goal games, the Islanders are an extremely lucky 22-5 in such contests. Perhaps more telling is the Islanders record in their other games. In two-goal games or more, a truer measure of how good or bad a team really is, the Islanders are just a game over .500 at 18-17. The Islanders are a tough out for sure. They’ve been lights out at home practically the entire year but there are things about them that scream regression. That unsustainable record in one-goal games is one thing and so is the shaky goaltending of Jaroslav Halak, who we would never trust at this price against such a formidable foe like the Flames. A big effort from Calgary is more than enough incentive to play them at this price and we trust that’s exactly what we’ll get from them here.
Our Pick
Calgary +180 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.60)
Colorado @ DALLAS
Colorado +115 over DALLAS
OT included. These two are tied for last in the Central and their slim playoff hopes keep diminishing but one thing we’ve learned for sure is that both are fairly live dogs and both are far too risky as the chalk. We’ll apply that here. Dallas cannot be trusted in the favorite’s role because they allow far too many goals. In fact, the Stars’ 202 goals against ranks ahead of only three teams, Edmonton, Buffalo and Arizona. Dallas has dropped four straight and have allowed four goals or more in all of them. Over that span the Stars have allowed an alarming 23 goals against and there is simply no end in sight to this glaring flaw. Lindy Ruff has tried addressing this issue numerous times but nothing is working.
Colorado is in better form than Dallas. The Avalanche have won four of six with only losses over that span occurring against Los Angeles and Nashville while defeating Chicago and Tampa Bay among others. Perhaps the best news for us Colorado backers is that the line of Nathan McKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog and Ryan O'Reilly is finally heating up. That trio has been silent far too often this year but they have woken up over the past couple of weeks. There are a lot of similarities between these two teams but Dallas is clearly still trying to find its way towards consistently under a new regime but have not come close to doing so. We can't take Dallas seriously when they’re favored because they haven't looked anything like a team with which we'd want to lay weight with. Still without Tyler Seguin and couple of other key components, we’re not about to switch gears regarding our position on Dallas being far too risky as the chalk. We’re definitely sellers.
Our Pick
Colorado +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)
Los Angeles @ ANAHEIM
Los Angeles +110 over ANAHEIM
OT included. There aren’t many teams in the league that are more trustworthy in sniffing out a wounded prey and putting that prey to rest. That prey would be the Anaheim Ducks. We’ve mentioned several times this season how fortunate the Ducks have been and now you can add lethargic into the mix. Lethargic is an understatement. Anaheim is coming off a 3-0 home loss to the Senators. They were lifeless in that game. Prior to that, the Ducks had won three straight but were badly outplayed by Detroit and Edmonton by a wide margin. Anaheim has dropped seven of 10 overall. They deserved one win over that span when they defeated Calgary 6-3. They absolutely did not deserve a win over Carolina in which they were outshot 36-17. Anaheim is spending far too much time in their own end these days than they are in the opposition’s end. They are continually being peppered by a barrage of shots and scoring chances and while they figure to better tonight against this heated rival, it’s likely not going to be near enough to take down these playoff hungry Kings.
Los Angeles is fighting for their playoff lives. They have allowed one goal or less in five of its past six games. The Kings were shutout by the Senators last night but unlike Anaheim's efforts against Ottawa two nights ago, the effort was a strong one by L.A. that fell short because they ran into a super-hot, 27-year-old rookie goaltender. The Kings outshot Ottawa 35-28. The Kings have won eight of nine and it probably should be nine straight. They scored three goals or more in six of those eight games. Playing their third game in four days and tail end of back-to-backs is not going to deter us from playing the Kings because they’re pouring their souls into this stretch run. Los Angeles is not the team you want to get in front of when their determination is so high and when they have a wounded animal in their sight. The Ducks are just a very average team that has overachieved all year but it’s catching up to them in a big way. Given their current form and the emphasis they're placing on this one, L.A. is clearly the team that offers up the value here.
Our Pick
Los Angeles +110 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.20)
Sportswagers
Cleveland @ INDIANA
INDIANA +140 over Cleveland
The Pacers are 11 games under .500 while the Cavaliers are 15 games over .500 so this one appears to be rather enticing if you’re on thinking of backing the favorite. We say beware. Situational betting is a key component that every successful bettor takes into consideration. In that regard, we may see the Cavs show up in body only here. There were two games on the NBA board last night and one of them was a marquee matchup between the Cavs and Warriors. Everyone watched that showdown and saw the Cavs cruise to an easy 11-point win. The Cavs have another marquee matchup on Sunday that will be seen nationally against Houston, making this one a true “trouble” spot. Cleveland will play its third game in four days and fifth game in seven days here. They have bigger fish to fry and we could see several starters get extended bench minutes in this one. Even if that’s not the case, the Cavs are still in an extremely difficulty spot here against a team that is coming on and playing way under the radar.
Indiana is finally starting to get healthy. They’re getting optimal performances from star players David West and Roy Hibbert and Rodney Stuckey has emerged as a formidable guard. Indiana has won 7 of their last 11 and they are starting to heat up. They just defeated Golden State by six points as a four-point home dog this past Sunday and they could pull off a similar feat here. The Pacers are within 2½ games of a playoff spot and they figure to be the more energized and focused team in this one. Remember, these Pacers were a monster last season before the injury to Paul George set them back. George isn’t back yet but he’s close and the fire in the Pacers bellies is clearly back. We could take the 3½-points being offered here and that’s not a bad option. However, we much prefer the Pacers to win it outright because of the strong situational edge and momentum they have here and so that’s how we’re going to attack it.
Our Pick
INDIANA +140 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.80)
Cleveland @ INDIANA
INDIANA +140 over Cleveland
The Pacers are 11 games under .500 while the Cavaliers are 15 games over .500 so this one appears to be rather enticing if you’re on thinking of backing the favorite. We say beware. Situational betting is a key component that every successful bettor takes into consideration. In that regard, we may see the Cavs show up in body only here. There were two games on the NBA board last night and one of them was a marquee matchup between the Cavs and Warriors. Everyone watched that showdown and saw the Cavs cruise to an easy 11-point win. The Cavs have another marquee matchup on Sunday that will be seen nationally against Houston, making this one a true “trouble” spot. Cleveland will play its third game in four days and fifth game in seven days here. They have bigger fish to fry and we could see several starters get extended bench minutes in this one. Even if that’s not the case, the Cavs are still in an extremely difficulty spot here against a team that is coming on and playing way under the radar.
Indiana is finally starting to get healthy. They’re getting optimal performances from star players David West and Roy Hibbert and Rodney Stuckey has emerged as a formidable guard. Indiana has won 7 of their last 11 and they are starting to heat up. They just defeated Golden State by six points as a four-point home dog this past Sunday and they could pull off a similar feat here. The Pacers are within 2½ games of a playoff spot and they figure to be the more energized and focused team in this one. Remember, these Pacers were a monster last season before the injury to Paul George set them back. George isn’t back yet but he’s close and the fire in the Pacers bellies is clearly back. We could take the 3½-points being offered here and that’s not a bad option. However, we much prefer the Pacers to win it outright because of the strong situational edge and momentum they have here and so that’s how we’re going to attack it.
Our Pick
INDIANA +140 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.80)
Miguel DaSilva 02/27
Soccer
2* Prague 2.60 (Czech)
3* Mattersburg 1.61 (Austria)
2* Ajax II 1.80 (Netherlands)
3* Venlo 1.55 (Netherlands)
3* Marseilles -1.0 1.70 (France)
Tennis
2* Anderson ML 4.85 (Acapulco)
Hockey
4* Tampa Bay ML
4* Boston ML
3* Anaheim ML
Basketball
5* Philadelphia +8.5
3* Toronto/GS o212
4* St Peters -1/ML
3* Harvard o117
3* Valparaiso +3.5
Soccer
2* Prague 2.60 (Czech)
3* Mattersburg 1.61 (Austria)
2* Ajax II 1.80 (Netherlands)
3* Venlo 1.55 (Netherlands)
3* Marseilles -1.0 1.70 (France)
Tennis
2* Anderson ML 4.85 (Acapulco)
Hockey
4* Tampa Bay ML
4* Boston ML
3* Anaheim ML
Basketball
5* Philadelphia +8.5
3* Toronto/GS o212
4* St Peters -1/ML
3* Harvard o117
3* Valparaiso +3.5
fantasysportsgametime
1000* Play Pennsylvania +5 over Brown (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Pennsylvania has covered the spread in 12 of the last 16 games after scoring 65 points or less in four straight games and they have covered the spread in 17 of the last 24 games coming off four or more losses.
1000* Play Siena +9 over Quinnipiac (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Quinnipiac has lost 18 of the last 29 games against the spread when playing their 2nd game in a week and they have lost 7 consecutive games against the spread coming off a loss by three points or less in their last game.
50* Play Valparaiso +3 over Cleveland State
50* Play Marist +2 over St. Peter’s
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NBA BASKETBALL
50* Play Memphis -4.5 over Los Angeles Clippers
50* Play Miami -1 over New Orleans
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NHL HOCKEY
50* Play Dallas -130 over Colorado
50* Play Boston -115 over New Jersey
1000* Play Pennsylvania +5 over Brown (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Pennsylvania has covered the spread in 12 of the last 16 games after scoring 65 points or less in four straight games and they have covered the spread in 17 of the last 24 games coming off four or more losses.
1000* Play Siena +9 over Quinnipiac (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Quinnipiac has lost 18 of the last 29 games against the spread when playing their 2nd game in a week and they have lost 7 consecutive games against the spread coming off a loss by three points or less in their last game.
50* Play Valparaiso +3 over Cleveland State
50* Play Marist +2 over St. Peter’s
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NBA BASKETBALL
50* Play Memphis -4.5 over Los Angeles Clippers
50* Play Miami -1 over New Orleans
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NHL HOCKEY
50* Play Dallas -130 over Colorado
50* Play Boston -115 over New Jersey
