Dr Bob
Opinion
Sacramento (+11½) over OKLAHOMA CITY
Sacramento applies to a very good 83-24-2 ATS big road underdog situation while Oklahoma City applies to a negative 19-51 ATS home favorite letdown situation that plays against teams on a 4 game spread win streak when hosting a bad team. Unfortunately, my ratings favor the Thunder by 12 ½ points in this game and I’m not willing to give up a full point of line value to make the Kings a Best Bet. I’ll lean with Sacramento at +11 ½ points.
Opinion
Charlotte (+13) over Tennessee
Tennessee is coming off their first loss of the season, an 82-89 upset loss to Oakland, Michigan in which they allowed 54% shooting. That loss actually sets up Tennessee in a very negative 14-73-1 ATS situation and I would have taken Charlotte in a Best Bet if the line were a bit higher. This game is being priced as if were on Charlotte’s home court, but this game is being played off campus at the Time Warner Arena. Tennessee still has a road disadvantage, but Charlotte shouldn’t have their usual home advantage and my ratings favor the Volunteers by 14 points in this game. Charlotte’s leading scorer was kicked off the team, but the 49ers have played at the same level in 5 games without Shamari Spears as they did in 5 games with him. Still, the line is a bit low to make this a Best Bet but I will lean with Charlotte at +13 points and I would make this a 2-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more.