Service Plays Friday 12/11/09

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NCAAB DUNKEL

Idaho State at USC
The Trojans look to take advantage of an Idaho State team that is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games as a road underdog between 7 and 12 1/2 points. USC is the pick (-11) according to Dunkel, which has the Trojans favored by 17 1/2. Dunkel Pick: USC (-11). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 11

Game 723-724: Old Dominion at Dayton
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 63.469; Dayton 66.780
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Dayton by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+5 1/2)

Game 725-726: Middle Tennessee St. vs. Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee St. 49.059; Tennessee 73.149
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 24
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-20 1/2)

Game 727-728: Iowa at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 53.541; Iowa State 69.847
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-12 1/2)

Game 729-730: Western Kentucky at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 59.857; Vanderbilt 66.954
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 7
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+11 1/2)

Game 731-732: Idaho State at USC
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 46.429; USC 64.116
Dunkel Line: USC by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: USC by 11
Dunkel Pick: USC (-11)
 
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NHL DUNKEL

Chicago at Buffalo
The Sabres look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 3-7-1 in the last 11 meetings. Buffalo is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Sabres favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 11

Game 51-52: Florida at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.175; New Jersey 12.101
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-210); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-210); Under

Game 53-54: Carolina at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.265; Washington 12.778
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-230); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-230); Over

Game 55-56: Chicago at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.581; Buffalo 11.893
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+115); Over

Game 57-58: Anaheim at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 10.985; Detroit 10.862
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+165); Under

Game 59-60: Edmonton at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.826; St. Louis 12.147
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); Under

Game 61-62: Minnesota at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 12.191; Calgary 12.319
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-180); 5
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-180); Under

Game 63-64: Tampa Bay at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.190; Colorado 12.006
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 65-66: Dallas at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.905; San Jose 11.790
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-180); Over
 

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MREAST NBA FRIDAY SYSTEM SIZZLER!

#701 NEW JERSEY NETS @ #702 INDIANA PACERS 7:00PM EST

PLAY ON #701 NEW JERSEY NETS @ #702 INDIANA PACERS OVER 199.5 -110 FOR 3 UNITS

I have been playing this system that now has over 2,000 games in the database and is hitting an extremely hgh percentage for a one condition system with so many games, and such a long history attached to it. It is one of few systems I play blindly, but this system can easily be trusted as it wins every single year. The system is alive for this game, and the play is a medium sized 3 unit play on the OVER in this one.
 

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Randall the Handle

NHL

Florida +2.06 over NEW JERSEY (REG) Pinnacle

The Panthers are reeling with just one win in its last 10 games but they’re coming off a strong performance in Columbus in which they deserved a better fate. They’ve performed well on the road all year and they could definitely catch the complacent Devils a little flat here. New Jersey is on a roll with four wins in a row and seven wins in eight games. What makes the Panthers so appealing here, besides the tag, is that the Devils will host the Flyers tomorrow night and these Friday night games have a huge history of upsets. This could be another one. Play: Florida +2.06 (Risking 2 units).

Edmonton +1.38 over ST. LOUIS (REG) Pinnacle

One has to figure the Oilers to be completely jacked up here. Edmonton will conclude its five-game road trip with a chance to make it a sweep and that gives alone gives them huge incentive for this one. The Oilers will return home after this game and will be off until Tuesday so all focus will be on this game. The Oilers are heating up and again, with a chance for a sweep they may very well play its best game of the trip. The Blue Notes are hit and miss. You can get a great game from them one night and a complete reversal the next. They’re coming off a 1-0 win over Detroit but were badly outplayed. The Blues are allowing the opposition way too many good scoring chances and right now these Oiler snipers are feeling it. Play: St. Louis +1.38 (Risking 2 units).

NBA

Golden State +1.72 over CHICAGO Pinnacle

Once again the Bulls offer up no value whatsoever as the chalk. This is a team that really cannot keep pace with the Warriors or anyone else for that matter. They keep getting blown out and no matter how hard they try there’s nothing they can do about it. They have no go-to-guy, they have no inside presence and basically they’re forced to take a ton of low percentage shots. The Warriors get very little respect but this is dangerous team with a slew of good shooters. Despite winning its last game in New Jersey, Anthony Morrow had a bad game in terms of points but there’s little chance of this guy being off two nights in a row. He’s one of the best pure shooters you’ll ever see. Anyway, until the Bulls show us something different, playing against them comes highly recommended. Warriors always come to play and they’re just so much better than this dumpster-fire of a host. Play: Golden State +1.72 (Risking 2 units).

PHOENIX –3 over Orlando Pinnacle

The Suns are very simply a much different team at home than they are on the road. They’re 7-0 at home and just 8-7 on the road. Furthermore, they usually win big at home and in fact, all of its home wins have been by more than the points offered here and most of them have been by double-digits. The Suns are also coming off of a couple of tough game in both Dallas and Lakers and have been off since Tuesday. The Magic are a tough team to be sure, however, they’ll play back-to-back here and its third game in four nights in three different time zones. It might also be worth mentioning that in last night’s loss in Utah, Magic coach Stan Van Gundy approached Rashard Lewis to re-enter the game in the second quarter but Lewis refused to get off the bench. That’s a sign of trouble my friends and when these prima donnas start it could last a long time and it can wreak havoc. Anyway, the situation heavily favors the Suns and with its solid home performances, they’re certainly worth a look tonight. Play: Phoenix –3 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
 

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Ben Burns' 10* NBA Total of the Month

Game: New Jersey Nets at Indiana Pacers Dec 11 2009 7:05PM
Prediction: over

*10 TOM
 
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Insider Sports Report 12/11

4* Oklahoma City/Memphis UNDER 200 (NBA)
3* Tennessee -20.5 over M. Tennessee St. (NCAAB)
3* Iowa +12.5 over Iowa St. (NCAAB)
 

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Doc's NBA 12/11

3-Unit Play #701 Take New Jersey/Indiana UNDER 197 1/2 (7 p.m. EST, Friday)

4-Unit Play #705 Take Atlanta/Toronto OVER 209 ½ (7 p.m. EST, Friday)

2-Unit Play #716 Take Memphis -2 Over Oklahoma City (8 p.m. EST, Friday)

3-Unit Play #713 Take Portland +10 Over Cleveland (8 p.m. EST, Friday)
 
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<HR style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82; COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1> <!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->
FADE on these plays! Bet the opposite. Lang is 1-11 this week.

Brandon Lang

15 DIME - NEW YORK KNICKS - Love the way this team is playing basketball right now.

They have won 3 in a row, and 4 of their last 5 both SU and ATS and these weren't cheap victories.

I'm talking Phoenix, Portland, and Atlanta, and now with building confidence they are facing a New Orleans team that hasn't exactly been a cash cow this year.

Hornets have failed to cover 3 straight, and 4 of their last 5 against the likes of the Timberwolves (twice), the Kings (twice), with the only cover at LA catching 15 1/2 and losing by 11.

Now you are asking them to cover close to a 7 number against a Knicks team playing without question their best ball of the year.

The final nail in the coffin for me is the Knicks have covered 4 straight in this series and it wouldn't suprise me if they won the game outright tonight.

5 DIME - MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES - Both these teams are playing well, but it's the overall body of work by this Memphis team which has me backing them tonight.

The Grizzlies are rolling, beating the Mavs by double digits, and coming perhaps their best effort of the year taking care of the Cavs in OT.

Those 2 home wins put them at 6-3 SU and ATS on the home hardwood, and the 3 losses were to the Pistons to open the season, Portland and the Milwaukee Bucks.

Bottom line is when you start beating teams like the Mavs and Cavs and holds Dallas to 82 points while doing so, you are doing a lot of things right.

Oklahoma City is also playing well, but fact of the matter is I don't like them in this spot here against a team that is just as athletic and playing with a lot of confidence.

And with the favorite covering 9 of the last 11 in this series, I am siding with the small home chalk here.

FREE SELECTION - OLD DOMINION MONARCHS
 

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Ben Burns' 8* BEST BET (7:00 ET)

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (+3) over Houston Rockets

*8 Best Bet
 
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Win or Lose 12/11

+15 dimes yesterday.

NCAA Football
Rot# Team Spread/Type Line Wager
** No Games

National Football League
Rot# Team Spread/Type Line Wager
** No Games

National Hockey League
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
51 FL +1.5 -178 $14
53 Car +1.5 -134 $12
56 Buff +1.5 -275 $12
56 Buff ML +112 $3
57 Ana +1.5 -212 $11
64 Colo ML -165 $20
66 SJ ML -180 $12



National Basketball Association (Buying 2 Points ONLY when Posted)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
705 Okla City +2.5 -105 $19
709 NY +6.5 -105 $9
710 NY / NO UN 208.5 -105 $9
712 Chi -5 -105 $21
714 Cleve -9 -104 $16
720 LA Laker -15 -105 $8
721 Orl +3 -105 $10


NCAA Basketball ( buying 2 points on each game ONLY WHEN POSTED)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
732 USC -11 -108 $13
 
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Rated Picks 12/11


NCAAB:

Dayton -5 2 Units

NBA:

Portland Trailblazers +9 3 Units
S.A. Spurs -8 2 Units
OK City Thunder +2 2 Units
 
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John Morrison's pick(s) for December 11 2009
Phoenix -3 This game is against Orlando at 10:30 PM ET
Dayton -5.5 This game is against Old Dominion at 7:00 PM ET


NHL

Florida Panthers 12/11/09
[A] Tampa Bay Lightning 12/11/09
 
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PICKENS PICK GOW

200 unit- Villanova -3 over William & Mary - Get this line before it moves to -3 1/2, buy down if it moves
 
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Dwayne Bryant

Portland Trail Blazers at Cleveland Cavaliers
Bet: Cleveland Cavaliers -9

The Cavs cost us in Houston the other night, but I have to believe they bounce back at home tonight. This team very rarely loses back-to-back games, but such is the case heading into tonight's tilt with Portland. Those losses were on the road in Houston and Memphis, but Cleveland is at home tonight. Their last three home games have been wins by 14, 17, and 16 points. The Blazers have been a team of injuries and internal unrest. That will spell trouble tonight against an extremely motivated bunch led by LeBron James.

The Cavaliers are 4-1 SU & ATS this season when playing off a double-digit ATS loss, including four straight wins in that role. The Cavaliers are also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600, and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. And even with their loss in Houston, Cleveland is still a very profitable 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games following a SU loss.

The Blazers are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings, including 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland. The Blazers are also 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog of 5 to 10.5 points, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record.

I love situations like this, where the line looks too high. A 15-7 team shouldn't be laying 9 points to a 14-9 team. There's a reason for this high line, which will become clear as this game unfolds. I fully expect King James to put on a show tonight on national TV (ESPN), and for the Cavs to play one of their best games of the season. Lay the points with Cleveland.
 

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