Service Plays Friday 12/11/09

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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Portland Trail Blazers at Cleveland Cavaliers (-9, 184)

The slogan boasting that anything can happen in the NBA was proved correct Tuesday night when the title contending Cavs lost outright to the Grizzlies.

Cleveland followed up that shocker with 10-point loss to the Houston Rockets the following night. Coach Mike Brown was thrown out for overstating his case with the officials and Shaquille O’Neal had one of his worst games of the season with 6-foot-6 Chuck Hayes guarding him.

“We lost our composure a little bit, we let the zebras get to us,” O’Neal told the Cleveland Plain Dealer. “We have to man up and play better defense and get to more loose balls.”

A return home and playing against an injury-ravaged Blazers club should help snap Cleveland’s two-game losing streak.

Pick: Cleveland


New York Knicks at New Orleans Hornets (-6, 209.5)

No one’s sure what Mike D’Antoni told his players before they took the floor last week against Phoenix. Whatever words he used, they were definitely the right ones.

The Knicks are 4-1 straight up and against the spread over their last five games. The hot streak includes wins over quality clubs like the Suns, Hawks and Blazers.

Some are pointing to D’Antoni’s new eight-man rotation. The coach would dish out playing time unevenly game to game before but is now turning to the same players each night.

“The players who are playing get better rhythm, get more secure on the court,” D’Antoni told the New York Post. “This game is a lot about confidence and being able to react without thinking. We feel we have a tighter group that plays better.”

Look for the close-knit squad to keep up its competitive play Friday against the Hornets.

Pick: Knicks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Tampa Bay Lightning at Colorado Avalanche

Wednesday’s loss to the Edmonton Oilers came with an added cost for the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Tampa Bay may be without star forwards Ryan Malone and Steve Stamkos when it travels to the Mile-High City Friday night. Malone is nursing what the team is calling a lower-body injury while Stamkos is day-to-day with an upper-body ailment.

Stamkos leads the Lightning with 17 goals while Malone is behind him with 16 goals this year. Neither player practiced Thursday and the team is hoping at least one of them will be back before the weekend.

"With Ryan it was better news day as he is day-to-day, which is good,'' Lighting coach Rick Tocchet told the Tampa Tribune. "They are both day-to-day and whether that means one day, or three or four days, to that extent I don't know, but a little more positive news today on that front.''

The Lightning rank 23rd in the NHL in scoring with 2.5 goals per game. They have lost six of their last seven games, averaging under two goals in that span and getting shutout twice – once in their last meeting with Colorado, which the Avalanche won 3-0 in Tampa Bay Nov. 30.

Pick: Colorado


Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues (-140, 5.5)

After their incredible success on a six-game road swing, the Edmonton Oilers might not want to go back to Alberta. Edmonton has won four of the first five road contests and closes out in St. Louis Friday night.

The team’s most recent victory, a 3-2 win over Tampa Bay, was punctuated by a “Gordie Howe Hat Trick” from Zack Stortini. The beefy winger scored the game-winning goal, helped out on another and got in two fights.

Along with linemate Ryan Stone and Robert Nilsson, the Oilers’ fourth line has given the team a spark be it through scoring or physical play.

“They’ve been our best line two or three nights. They don’t have the ice time, but when they’re out there, they’re effective nearly every shift,” head coach Pat Quinn told the Edmonton Journal. “They not only take the body, but they’re not getting themselves in trouble. For a long time, they were out against their fourth line, but after awhile, I was leaving them out against anybody.”

That grind-it-out style has led to four straight games falling under the total. Now, Edmonton faces a Blues squad that won three of their last four in similar style, playing below the number in three of those games.

Pick: Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RedZone Sports free internet play 32-7 run, Vandy/W. Kentucky over 135.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA WRITE-UP

Friday, December 11

Hot Teams
-- Rockets won four of their last five games.
-- Hawks, Raptors both won three of their last four games.
-- Hornets won last three games, last two by total of three points; they are 1-5 vs spread in last six games as home favorite. Knicks covered five of last seven as a road underdog.
-- Warriors covered six of last nine as a road underdog.
-- Cavaliers won last six home games, covered last three.
-- Grizzlies won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Bobcats won five of their last seven games.
-- Lakers won last nine home games (6-3 vs spread). Minnesota covered its last six games.
-- Orlando won six of seven, 11 of last 13 games.

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost six in row, 10 of last 11 games. Nets are 2-20, but split their last four games.
-- 76ers lost last 11 games (1-3 vs spread in last four).
-- Mavericks covered one of their last six games. Miami is 4-9 vs spread in its last thirteen games.
-- Chicago is 0-5-1 vs spread as a home favorite.
-- Portland covered once in its last seven games.
-- Thunder is 1-5 vs spread in game following its last six wins.
-- Spurs lost three of their last four games.
-- Suns lost four of their last five games.

Totals
-- Six of last seven New Jersey games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Houston road games.
-- Last four Atlanta road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Dallas road games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in Hornets' last four home games.
-- Six of eight Chicago home games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of ten Cleveland home games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Thunder road games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Charlotte road games went over the total.
-- Last six Minnesota road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Phoenix games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB WRITE-UP

Friday, December 11

Information on Friday's college hoop games.

Dayton is 6-2 after 56-55 win at George Mason Tuesday (was up 16 at half); Flyers are 2-2 as favorite, have four starters back from 27-8 team that won game in NCAAs last March. Old Dominion has all five starters back from 25-10 team; they lost three of last four games, losing by 14 to Miss State, 5 to Missouri, 7 at Richmond.

Tennessee (-10) beat Middle Tennessee 76-66 LY (led by 4 at the half); Vols are playing for first time in nine days; they're 2-2 as non-conference favorite. MTSU is 1-5 vs D-I opponents, losing last three to Belmont by 9, NC A&T by 9, UAB by 1. Sun Belt road underdogs are 19-17 vs spread out of conference. SEC home favorites are 20-17.

Iowa is without its coach who had surgery to repair damaged artery this week; Hawkeyes (-9) whacked Iowa State 73-57 LY, after leading by 2 at half, but Iowa is 3-6 this year, with four double digit losses. Cyclones lost last three games, by 2-3-19 points, scoring just 62.7 ppg; they're 4-2 against the spread as a favorite this season.

Vanderbilt is 6-2 after losing by 11 at Illinois Tuesday; they're 2-2 as a favorite this year, with all five starters back from 19-12 team (8-8 in the SEC). Western Kentucky is 4-3 after winning tough games vs Evansville Tuesday; Hilltoppers are 0-2 as an underdog this year, losing at LSU by 11, at South Carolina (and former coach Horn) by 18.

USC is 3-4, losing three of last four games; they held Sacramento State of Big Sky to 36 points Tuesday (51-36); Trojans are 1-3 against spread as a favorite. Idaho State is 2-7 after losing by 12 at home to Boise State two nights ago; Bengals are 1-4 vs spread as underdog, losing at Iowa St by 20, Bradley by 5, BYU by 34, Utah St by 33, Notre Dame by 10.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL WRITE-UP

Friday, December 11

Hot Teams
-- Devils won four in row, seven of last eight games.
-- Washington won six of its last seven games.
-- Sabres won five of their last seven games. Chicago is 11-3 in its last 14 games, winning last two both 2-1 in OT.
-- Oilers won last four games, the last three all by 3-2 scores.
-- Flames won six of their last eight games. Minnesota won six of seven.

Cold Teams
-- Panthers lost four in row, nine of last ten games.
-- Hurricanes lost six of their last eight games.
-- Ducks lost seven of their last eight road games. Red Wings lost three of last four games, scoring seven goals.
-- Blues lost nine of last twelve home games.
-- Avalanche lost six of their last nine games. Lightning lost six of their last seven games.
-- Dallas Stars lost six of their last seven games. Sharks lost last three games, all by one goal.

Totals
-- Last three Panther games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Carolina road games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Buffalo games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Anaheim games went over the total; under is 10-2 in last dozen Detroit games. .
-- Seven of last nine Edmonton games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Calgary games.
-- Six of last seven Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Dallas games went over the total.

Series Records
-- Devils won four of last five games against New Jersey.
-- Washington won six of last nine games against Carolina.
-- Sabres won two of last three games against Chicago.
-- Red Wings won four of last five games against Anaheim.
-- Oilers won their last seven games against St Louis.
-- Flames are 10-2 in their last twelve games against Minnesota.
-- Sharks won seven of last ten games against Dallas.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Mississippi State (-11) Thursday night.

Today it's Vanderbilt. The surplus is 395 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
364 - 257 run 59 %

Bonus Play Fri USC -11

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 11

NBA

Dallas (15-7, 12-10 ATS) at Miami (11-9, 10-10 ATS)

The Mavericks will try to make it seven straight wins over the Heat when these two square off inside the American Airlines Arena in Miami.

Dallas hasn’t lost to the Heat since their NBA Finals matchup in 2006, winning six straight but going just 2-3-1 ATS. The Mavericks went to Miami and scored a 111-96 win last season, easily cashing as two-point road favorites. They have won three straight in Miami (2-1 ATS) and gone 4-1-1 ATS in their last six trips to South Beach. Furthermore, Dallas is 11-5-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings and the road team is on a 7-0-1 ATS run in this rivalry.

Dallas edged the Suns on Tuesday, winning 102-101 but coming up short as a 4½-point home chalk. The Mavs have dropped two of their last three games (0-3 ATS). They are only managing 96 points a game in their last five contests, more than five points behind their overall average of 101.7.

Miami wrapped up a 2-2 road trip (3-1 ATS) with Sunday’s 115-102 drubbing of Sacramento as a 1½-point chalk. Miami has had trouble scoring at home this season, where they are just 4-7 ATS, averaging just 94.1 points a game and shooting just 31.3 percent from beyond the three-point line.

The Mavericks are just 1-5 ATS in their last six overall and 0-4 ATS in their last four against Southeast Division teams, but they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after getting two days off and 6-2 ATS in their last eight on the road. The Heat are on ATS slides of 4-9 overall, 0-6 at home, 2-7-1 against Southwest Division teams and 4-13 after getting three or more days off.

Dallas has stayed below the total in four straight against Southeast Division teams, but it is on “over” runs of 6-1 on the road, 4-1 on the road against teams with winning home records and 7-1 against Eastern Conference teams. Miami has topped the total in eight of 11 overall and five of six against Western Conference squads, but it is on “under” streaks of 10-4 at home, 16-5 after a straight-up win, 13-3 after a spread-cover and 11-3 against Southwest Division squads. Finally, the “under” has been the play in five of the last seven meetings between these two squads.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Portland (14-9, 11-12 ATS) at Cleveland (15-7, 11-11 ATS)

The Cavaliers are looking to snap a two-game losing streak when they welcome the Trail Blazers into Quicken Loans Arena.

Cleveland lost back-to-back games on the road Tuesday and Wednesday, falling in Memphis 111-109 in overtime as a 7½-point favorite on Tuesday and following it up with Wednesday’s 95-85 loss in Houston as a three-point chalk. The Cavs had won seven of eight overall and four straight before the brief road trip. They are on a six-game home winning streak.

Portland has alternated wins and losses over its last four games, including Wednesday’s 102-91 win in Indianapolis, cashing as a four-point road favorite. The victory snapped a six-game ATS losing streak for the Blazers, who had also dropped four of five SU.

The Cavaliers have won four straight (3-1 ATS) in this series and eight of the last 10 (7-3 ATS). They scored a 97-92 home win in overtime last season but came up short as a 10½-point favorite. Cleveland is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 series clashes, including 5-1 ATS in front of the home fans.

Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last six against Central Division teams and 8-2 ATS on Friday, but it is on pointspread slides of 1-6 overall, 1-4 on the road, 2-6 after a day off and 6-13 as a road ‘dog. The Cavaliers are on ATS runs of 19-7 on Fridays, 10-3 against Northwest Division foes, 36-17 after a straight-up loss and 8-1 against teams with winning records.

The Blazers are on a plethora of “under” streaks, including 12-5 on the road, 9-4 after a spread-cover, 4-1 on Fridays and 7-2 on the road against teams with winning home records. Cleveland has stayed below the total in four of five overall (all as a favorite), but it is on “over” runs of 4-1-1 after an ATS loss and 4-1 at home against teams with winning road records. In this series, the “under” is 4-2 in the last six matchups.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND


Orlando (17-5, 13-9 ATS) at Phoenix (15-7, 12-10 ATS)

The Suns will try to remain perfect at home this season as they take on the Magic at the US Airways Center.

Phoenix opened the season with seven straight home wins (3-3-1 ATS) but they’ve dropped four of their last five overall, including two in a row. So far this week, the Suns got crushed at the Lakers on Sunday, losing 108-88 and coming up well short as a 9½-point underdog, then fell 102-101 in Dallas on Tuesday, though they snapped a four-game ATS losing streak as they cashed as a 4½-point ‘dog.

Orlando had its six-game overall (4-2 ATS) and eight-game (6-2 ATS) road winning streaks snapped in Utah on Thursday, losing 120-111 to the Jazz as a 2½-point road favorite. The Magic tighten up the defense on the road, limiting the opposition to 93.6 points a game.

Orlando has already crushed Phoenix once this season, scoring a 122-100 home win back on Nov. 4, cashing as a 7½-point favorite. The Magic have won and covered two straight over the Suns after losing the previous six meetings (4-2 ATS), and they have cashed in each of the last four played in the desert. Additionally, the visitor is riding a 6-2 ATS streak in this series with the ‘dog cashing in 13 of the last 18 meetings.

Despite Thursday’s setback in Utah, the Magic continue to sport several ATS hot streaks, including 7-4 overall, 14-5 against Pacific Division teams, 40-17-1 as an underdog, 5-1 on Friday and 35-16-2 as road ‘dogs. Phoenix is just 1-4 ATS in its last five overall, but it is on positive pointspread runs of 11-5 at home, 16-7-1 as a home chalk, 6-2 after two days off and 7-1-1 on Friday.

The “over” is 5-1 in Orlando’s last six overall and 4-1 in its last five when playing the second night of a back-to-back, but the team is also on several “under” streaks, including 10-5 on the road, 4-0 as an underdog and 10-5 against the Western Conference. The Suns have gone over the posted number in five of eight Friday games, but they are on “under” streaks of 9-1-2 overall, 4-0-1 against the Eastern Conference and 9-2 against the Southeast Division. Finally, in this series, the over is 9-3 in the last 12 clashes, with the last five in a row in Arizona topping the posted total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Magic

 

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Joey Torelli

4* Iowa St. -12.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI
Drake Invitational
Round Robin at Des Moines, IA
DRAKE 78, South Dakota 70
Sun Belt Classic
at Sommet Center, Nashville, TN
Tennessee 87, Middle Tennessee 64
Vanderbilt 72, Western Kentucky 65
Non-Conference
DAYTON 62, Old Dominion 59
IOWA STATE 64, Iowa 56
MASSACHUSETTS 85, Grambling State 59
Sacred Heart 74, HARTFORD 68
USC 72, Idaho State 54

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI
Season: 155-104 (.598)

NEW JERSEY 3, Florida 2
WASHINGTON 4, Carolina 2
Chicago vs. BUFFALO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DETROIT 3, Anaheim 2
ST. LOUIS 3, Edmonton 2
COLORADO 3, Tampa Bay 2
CALGARY 3, Minnesota 2
SAN JOSE 4, Dallas 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI
Season
Straight Up: 221-82 (.729)
ATS: 178-137 (.565)

INDIANA 104, New Jersey 97
Houston 98, PHILADELPHIA 93
Atlanta 103, TORONTO 100
MIAMI 99, Dallas 97
CHICAGO 113, Golden State 108
CLEVELAND 95, Portland 88
MEMPHIS 99, Oklahoma City 97
NEW ORLEANS 106, New York 101
SAN ANTONIO 93, Charlotte 87
L.A. LAKERS 112, Minnesota 89
PHOENIX 107, Orlando 106

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe wiz Bonus Plays

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA DUNKEL

Oklahoma City at Memphis
The Thunder look to build on their 9-4 ATS record in their last 13 games as an underdog between 1 and 4 1/2 points. Oklahoma City is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 11

Game 701-702: New Jersey at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 108.803; Indiana 115.563
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: Houston at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.342; Philadelphia 117.215
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 3; 194
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+3); Under

Game 705-706: Atlanta at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 121.826; Toronto 116.121
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Dallas at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.564; Miami 118.910
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 709-710: New York at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: New York 117.159; New Orleans 119.778
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 7; 209
Dunkel Pick: New York (+7); Under

Game 711-712: Golden State at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 112.928; Chicago 112.892
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 213 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+4); Under

Game 713-714: Portland at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 115.653; Cleveland 126.868
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 11; 175
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 9; 184
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-9); Under

Game 715-716: Oklahoma City at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 119.476; Memphis 116.622
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+2); Over

Game 717-718: Charlotte at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 115.259; San Antonio 124.897
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2); Over

Game 719-720: Minnesota at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 111.301; LA Lakers 126.158
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 15; 205
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 16; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+16); Over

Game 721-722: Orlando at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 124.425; Phoenix 122.595
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 2; 219
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2 1/2; 215 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+2 1/2); Over

 

[jonnyangel]

sportsbetsnow 32-22 L30D

NBA

1 unit Suns -2.5