Sheds One-a-Day Friday
Now at 28-5 following Rangers win last night.
Friday night:
Ottawa to win -120
Definitely feels weird taking a team to lose the night before and then taking them to win the next night, but I like this situation although I may regret this later. Both last nights game and tonights game are in Ottawa and Ottawa should come back stronger tonight. With the return of Marty Brodeur giving us a better Ottawa line, well, Jersey wasn't winning with him earlier in the season anyway.
I was looking closely at Edmonton to win at +105 but with two big injuries to Hemsky and recently Horcoff, it made me uncomfortable. Looked at Calgary at +135 as a decent play but feel Ottawa the better play. Dallas and Atlanta lines are too high for me. Detroit at -175 will be looking to break their L streak and I don't like the Montreal play even at +155
Now at 28-5 following Rangers win last night.
Friday night:
Ottawa to win -120
Definitely feels weird taking a team to lose the night before and then taking them to win the next night, but I like this situation although I may regret this later. Both last nights game and tonights game are in Ottawa and Ottawa should come back stronger tonight. With the return of Marty Brodeur giving us a better Ottawa line, well, Jersey wasn't winning with him earlier in the season anyway.
I was looking closely at Edmonton to win at +105 but with two big injuries to Hemsky and recently Horcoff, it made me uncomfortable. Looked at Calgary at +135 as a decent play but feel Ottawa the better play. Dallas and Atlanta lines are too high for me. Detroit at -175 will be looking to break their L streak and I don't like the Montreal play even at +155
Stan the Stat man!!!
***** FRIDAY, DECEMBER 10TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Knicks covered 11 of their 13 road games. Washington is 5-0 as home dog; underdogs are 9-0 vs spread in Wiz' home games this season.
-- Pacers covered five of last seven games as home favorite.
-- Bulls won last three games, by 3-9-5 points. Lakers won last three games, by 33-7-1 point, but covered just one of last seven.
-- Rockets won three of last four games (4-0 vs spread).
-- Hawks won seven of last eight games. Spurs covered six of their last eight as a home favorite.
-- Portland won last three games, by 19-7-14 points.
-- Miami won last six games, covered last five.
• COLD TEAMS
-------------------
-- Nuggets lost six of last seven road games. Toronto lost its last three games, by 17-24-3 points.
-- Bobcats covered one of last four as a road dog.
-- Hornets lost six of their last nine games. Oklahoma City is 0-5 against spread in game following its last five wins.
-- Pistons lost six of last seven games (1-5-1 vs spread). Minnesota lost eight of its last nine games.
-- Bucks covered two of last seven as home favorite.
-- Magic covered two of their ten road games.
-- Jazz failed to cover its last three games as home favorite
-- Suns are 4-7 in their last eleven games.
-- Warriors lost last five games- they lost four in a row at home.
• BACK-TO-BACK
----------------------
-- Orlando is 1-5 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Portland is 3-1 vs spread if it played night before.
• TOTALS
------------
-- Five of last seven Washington games stayed under total.
-- Eight of nine Denver road games stayed under total.
-- Seven of ten Indiana home games stayed under total.
-- Last five New Orleans games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven Detroit road games stayed under.
-- Five of Lakers' last six road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Milwaukee's home games.
-- Six of last seven Atlanta home games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Utah home games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Portland road games went over.
-- Four of Miami's last five road games went over.
• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
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--Charlotte owns a brilliant 11-2-1 ATS (84.6%) record as an underdog in the series history versus the Pacers, including a perfect 7-0 ATS mark with same-season revenge.
--Utah is an incredible 26-1 SU and 20-6-1 ATS (76.9%) at home off a home encounter versus unrested opponents.
--Zero - Wins this season for the Pistons against a team with a winning record. Detroit is 0-11 against teams above .500. The Wizards (0-10) and Kings (0-7) also have failed to beat a team with a winning record this season.
• NEWS & NOTES
----------------------------
--The Cleveland Cavaliers are sticking with their new lineup that almost upset the Chicago Bulls earlier this week. Coach Byron Scott started a lineup of Anthony Parker, Antawn Jamison, Anderson Varejao, Daniel Gibson and Mo Williams against the Bulls, benching J.J. Hickson, Jamario Moon and handing Ramon Sessions a DNP-CD. It might be great, it might be a disaster, but Scott is sticking with this new unit.
--Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry has a sprained right ankle that could keep him sidelined until Christmas or longer. Curry is still awaiting results of an MRI, but the team has signed guard Acie Law and released forward Jeff Adrien. Curry, who is averaging 20.1 points and 5.6 assists this year, has sprained his right ankle four times this season. The Warriors have lost five straight games and 10 of 11.
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Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** NEW YORK (-3, O/U 217) @ WASHINGTON ***
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After an impressive fourth-quarter performance, Amare Stoudemire has a chance to etch his name into the New York Knicks’ record books. Stoudemire will try to become the second player in franchise history to record seven consecutive 30-point games when the surging Knicks travel to take on the Washington Wizards on Friday night. New York has won six in a row for the first time since Jan. 2-13, 2006. The Knicks extended their run Wednesday thanks to Stoudemire, who scored 18 of his 34 points over the final 12 minutes of a 113-110 victory over Toronto.
“It’s a lot of fun,” Stoudemire said. “Anytime you can win the way we have been and play with this type of swagger and enjoy the camaraderie, it’s so much fun. You just want to keep that feeling going.” Willie Naulls had seven straight 30-point games for the Knicks from Feb. 22-March 4, 1962. New York, 11-1 in its last 12, most recently won seven in a row Dec. 22-Jan. 7, 2001. The Knicks have also won seven consecutive road games. Another one would give them the second longest such streak in team history, behind a franchise-record 13-game run Oct. 15-Dec. 10, 1969. While Stoudemire managed eight points on 3-of-10 shooting in the first half, Raymond Felton picked up the slack, scoring 20 before the break.
Felton also delivered the tie-breaking 3-pointer with 2.7 seconds left after it bounced on the rim five times before falling through. He finished with 28 points and 11 assists for his fifth double-double in six games. The Knicks are 9-1 when Felton reaches double digits in points and assists. Danilo Gallinari added 20 points and has made 15 of 37 (40.5 percent) from 3-point range during the winning streak. Gallinari, who went 4 of 9 from beyond the arc Wednesday, was one of six Knicks to score in double figures during a 112-91 win over the Wizards on Nov. 5. That was New York’s fourth consecutive victory in the series.
Washington, 1-7 in its last eight, is looking forward to getting back to the Verizon Center after playing five of six on the road. The Wizards, 0-12 away from home, lost 116-91 to Sacramento on Wednesday. “It’s frustrating that we are two different teams - a great team at home and a terrible team on the road,” said guard Gilbert Arenas who scored 19 points but shot 6 of 17. “We just have to find a happy medium.” The Wizards, who were without injured rookie guard John Wall, trailed by 14 at halftime. Wall sat out with a sore foot. He was announced as a starter by the public address announcer but never left the bench.
“I don’t know what happened,” Wall said. “I went out there, tried to run and couldn’t push off like I wanted to. So I just took the game off. It was a tough contest to miss, but I have to try and get back healthy.” His status for this game is uncertain. Big man Andray Blatche has averaged 22.3 points in his last three meetings with New York, but was also unavailable Wednesday for the second straight game due to a hip contusion. He’s uncertain to play Friday. Blatche (17.1 ppg) and Wall (17.4) could be sorely missed if they can’t go against the Knicks, who average 108.0 points - among the best in the NBA.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New York by 3.5; O/U 197.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New York -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New York -4.51
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 57-85 ATS (-36.5 Units) in home games versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=27 free throws/game since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 99.3, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--WASHINGTON is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 98.6, OPPONENT 100.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--WASHINGTON is 27-50 ATS (-28.0 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 94.6, OPPONENT 98.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW YORK is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 this season.
The average score was NEW YORK 111.8, OPPONENT 107.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 26-7 UNDER (+18.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 92.2, OPPONENT 100.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 50-30 UNDER (+17.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.3, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 20-3 UNDER (+16.6 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 94.5, OPPONENT 96.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 48-80 against the 1rst half line (-40.0 Units) in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 48.0, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW YORK is 44-68 against the 1rst half line (-30.8 Units) as a road favorite vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 46.7, OPPONENT 46.1 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--NEW YORK is 33-11 OVER (+20.7 Units) the 1rst half total after a combined score of 215 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 54.8, OPPONENT 55.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 31-12 OVER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 53.9, OPPONENT 55.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more.
(29-8 since 1996.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 216.7
The average score in these games was: Team 105.5, Opponent 104.1 (Total points scored = 209.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 24 (66.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (NEW YORK) - after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 3 straight games.
(37-13 since 1996.) (74.0%, +22.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53, Opponent 51.6 (Average first half point differential = +1.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-9).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (28-11).
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*** DENVER (-2, O/U 216.5) @ TORONTO ***
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Putting his name in elite company hasn’t quite gone as planned for Denver Nuggets coach George Karl. It won’t be any easier to do if Carmelo Anthony is unavailable again. Karl will attempt to record win No. 1,000 for the third time while the Nuggets look for their seventh consecutive victory over the Toronto Raptors on Friday night at Air Canada Centre. Anthony was scratched before Wednesday night’s 105-89 loss at Boston with inflammation in his right knee and is considered day-to-day.
“I’m somewhat surprised by it,” said Karl, fourth among active coaches in wins. “I kind of knew there was a chance he wouldn’t go (at) about 15 minutes before the game.” Anthony, averaging a team-high 22.8 points, missed a game for the first time this season. He has been struggling, shooting 30.6 percent from the field in four games this month. Anthony’s last game was Karl’s first chance to reach the milestone, but Denver lost 100-98 in Charlotte on Tuesday to have a seven game win streak snapped.
With Karl trying to join Don Nelson, Lenny Wilkens, Pat Riley, Jerry Sloan, Phil Jackson and Larry Brown as the only coaches with 1,000 wins, the Nuggets have lost consecutive games for only the second time this season. Missing its leading scorer Wednesday, Denver trailed by 14 at the end of the first quarter and was held to its second-lowest point total of the season, including 37 in the second half. The Nuggets are averaging 98.0 points on the road compared to an NBA-best 111.4 at home. They’re 0-6 as the visiting team when scoring below 100 points.
Chauncey Billups’ struggles continued Wednesday, going 2 of 10 from the field and finishing with a season-low five points. Billups has shot 31.6 percent over the past four games but could bounce back in Toronto, where he’s averaged 21.1 points on 50.5 percent shooting in his last eight visits. Nene has scored 20.0 per game in his last four matchups with Toronto while hitting 69.6 percent from the field.
The Raptors will look to end a three-game slide after falling 113-110 in New York on Wednesday night despite 41 points from Andrea Bargnani. Bargnani, whose previous career high was 34, went 16 of 24 from the field. He was 2 for 3 from 3-point range after going 1 for 18 in his previous six games, averaging 16.2 points. Toronto lost Wednesday on a late 3-pointer, but that result against a hot Knicks team provided some optimism after the Raptors had dropped their previous two games by an average of 20.5 points.
“The most important thing right now is that we did a great job and we fought through until the end of the game,” guard Leandro Barbosa said. “We’re getting better. The effort that we put in tonight was great and I think that’s the way that we’re supposed to play every night and try to get a victory.” Linas Kleiza who spent his first four years in the league with Denver, will face his former team for the first time. Kleiza is averaging 9.6 points. Toronto has been outscored by 17.6 points during its six-game losing streak against Denver. Peja Stojakovic missed his sixth straight game as he continues to deal with a swollen left knee. His status for Friday is unknown.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Denver by 3.5; O/U 214.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Denver -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Denver -3.61
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 39-61 ATS (-28.1 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 100.7, OPPONENT 104.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 103.2, OPPONENT 106.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.6, OPPONENT 107.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 59-31 UNDER (+24.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 104.1, OPPONENT 107.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 37-16 UNDER (+19.1 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 100.5, OPPONENT 101.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 22-38 against the 1rst half line (-19.6 Units) after a combined score of 205 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.0, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 35-16 against the 1rst half line (+17.3 Units) in road games after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 52.0, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 10-0 against the 1rst half line (+10.0 Units) in road games after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 56.7, OPPONENT 49.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--DENVER is 36-16 UNDER (+18.4 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after 2 straight games where they had 10 or more steals since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 47.6, OPPONENT 50.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 34-15 UNDER (+17.5 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 50.4, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (DENVER) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(30-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +19 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 55.9, Opponent 51 (Average first half point differential = +5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (37-20).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (DENVER) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days.
(45-17 since 1996.) (72.6%, +26.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 108.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.3, Opponent 51.5 (Total first half points scored = 103.8)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-12).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-14).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home teams (TORONTO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more.
(52-22 since 1996.) (70.3%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (36-40)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.7
The average score in these games was: Team 105.3, Opponent 107.6 (Average point differential = -2.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 33 (45.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-13).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (42-17).
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*** CHARLOTTE @ INDIANA (-6, O/U 192.5) ***
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The Indiana Pacers are one of the top rebounding teams in the NBA, but got beat badly on the boards in their last game. A big disparity on the glass didn’t hurt them in their first meeting with the Charlotte Bobcats this season. The Pacers look for a better effort when they try to hand the Bobcats their sixth straight road loss Friday night. Indiana lost for the third time in four games Wednesday, 97-95 at Milwaukee. The Pacers were outrebounded 50-37 and matched a season high in offensive boards allowed.
“We held them to 36 percent shooting, but gave up 19 offensive rebounds,” said coach Jim O’Brien, whose club ranks first in the league in field-goal percentage defense at 42.7. “That was the difference in the game.” Despite a frontcourt of 7-foot-2 Roy Hibbert, 6-10 Josh McRoberts and 6-9 Danny Granger, Indiana has yielded at least 18 offensive rebounds in three of its last four games. Hibbert and Granger combined for nine total boards Wednesday. “At halftime Hibbert had no rebounds after 11 minutes and I think Danny had one,” O’Brien said. “We’ve got to do a better job at that end and it hasn’t been a problem up to this point.”
The Pacers were able to overcome it in a 104-101 win Oct. 29 that spoiled the Bobcats’ home opener. Indiana, third in the league with 43.5 rebounds per game, was beaten 45-34 on the glass, but committed 10 turnovers to 17 for Charlotte. Granger scored 33 points. Charlotte has been sloppy all season, with an Eastern Conference-worst 16.9 turnovers per game. The Bobcats overcame 18 giveaways that led to 28 points for Denver in a 100-98 victory Tuesday. “Still 28 points off turnovers,” coach Larry Brown said. “The turnovers, I can’t even explain them.”
Stephen Jackson scored 23 points Gerald Wallace added 20 and Tyrus Thomas had 16 off the bench for Charlotte, which is looking to win consecutive games for the second time this season. “We have to start winning games now, so we don’t have to use so much energy at the end of the season to be in the position we want to be in,” Jackson said. Jackson hasn’t played well in his returns to Conseco Fieldhouse since being traded by Indiana to Golden State during the 2006-07 season. He scored 36 points Feb. 5, 2007 in a victory in his first game back with the Warriors before averaging 17.2 on 36.4 percent shooting in his next five - all losses.
Point guard D.J. Augustin has poor numbers against Indiana, shooting 25.5 percent in seven career games. He had 18 points on 7 of 11 from the field Tuesday, and the Bobcats want to see more of that. “We are a better team and we’re more aggressive when he is aggressive,” Jackson said. “The offense opens up and when he comes off pick-and-rolls and is aggressive to score, that opens up shots for me and Gerald. I think when D.J. is aggressive, the team is better.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Indiana by 6; O/U 193
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Indiana -6.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Indiana -6.54
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 51-28 ATS (+20.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 94.8, OPPONENT 94.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 97.2, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--INDIANA is 39-18 UNDER (+19.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 99.2, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 31-12 UNDER (+14.6 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 98.6, OPPONENT 100.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--INDIANA is 2-14 against the 1rst half line (-13.3 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 51.3, OPPONENT 57.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 66-43 against the 1rst half line (+18.5 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.0, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--INDIANA is 38-17 UNDER (+19.1 Units) the 1rst half total in home games against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 49.0, OPPONENT 46.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 44.5, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - good free throw shooting team - making >=76% of their free throws, slow-down team averaging 76 or less shots/game on the season.
(120-62 since 1996.) (65.9%, +51.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.2, Opponent 46.1 (Total first half points scored = 94.3)
The situation's record this season is: (6-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-17).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (41-25).
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*** OKLAHOMA CITY @ NEW ORLEANS (-3, O/U 197) ***
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Chris Paul has never lost a home game against the Oklahoma Thunder franchise. He’s pointing to Friday night’s matchup to gauge the level of his team’s defense. Paul looks to improve to 9-0 in his career at home against the Thunder, who are trying to beat the New Orleans Hornets for the second time this season. New Orleans limited Detroit to 37.5 percent shooting Wednesday in a 93-74 victory. The Hornets bounced back from Sunday’s 109-84 loss at San Antonio in which the Spurs shot 58.6 percent - the highest mark this season against New Orleans.
Paul is averaging 18.1 points and 10.0 assists in eight home games against the Thunder franchise. He played in 10 straight wins in the series overall before Oklahoma City won 95-89 at home Nov. 29 despite his 17 points and 14 assists. Kevin Durant had 26 points and 11 rebounds in that victory - his third straight over the Hornets. Durant lost his first seven games against New Orleans despite a 26.0 scoring average. More telling in this matchup is the improvement Russell Westbrook has shown when facing the Hornets. Westbrook averaged 14.2 points on 35.6 percent shooting and 5.8 assists in losing his first five games to New Orleans before averaging 22.7 points and 10.0 assists in winning the last three.
Wednesday’s victory was the Hornets’ first game since the league announced its planned purchase of the club. David West scored 25 points and Marco Belinelli added 22. “We’ve got an understanding of what the situation is, but we’ve got to be able to separate that from what we can control and just go out here and play ball,” West said. “The best situation for us is to win games and make what this organization is attractive by winning games and move on from there.”
Oklahoma City is trying to complete a three-game trip with a winning mark. Durant had 30 points and 11 rebounds and Westbrook scored 25 as the Thunder rallied from a 19-point deficit in Wednesday’s 111-103 victory at Minnesota. “We’ve been through a lot,” Durant said. “We’ve lost games down the stretch, won games down the stretch. We’ve won big, we’ve lost big. So, we’ve been through a lot and we’ve learned a lot in those times. We were able to come out here and get a good win.”
Coach Scott Brooks altered his rotation a bit Wednesday, resting Durant and Jeff Green for a longer stretch in the third quarter than he has in the past. The Thunder outscored Minnesota 27-17 in the fourth, improving to 12-0 when scoring at least 105 points. “We are growing into a good team, not only physically are guys are getting better, but mentally,” Brooks said. “The experiences that they’ve gone through, not only this year, but last season. It helps. We’re not going to win every close game, but we know that we have a chance to win games.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 3.5; O/U 200
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -5.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans -6.21
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.6, OPPONENT 101.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.8, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 89-61 UNDER (+21.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 92.8, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 27-9 UNDER (+17.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 96.3, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 35-61 against the 1rst half line (-32.1 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.4, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 41-63 against the 1rst half line (-28.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 49.9, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 51-29 UNDER (+18.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 46.5, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 62-40 UNDER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 46.4, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
------------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a win against a division rival, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record.
(84-43 since 1996.) (66.1%, +36.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98
The average first half score in these games was: Team 46.2, Opponent 49.4 (Total first half points scored = 95.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-8).
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Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
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*** DETROIT @ MINNESOTA (-3, O/U 200.5) ***
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It’s been nearly a month since the Detroit Pistons won away from home. If they can duplicate their recent performances against the Minnesota Timberwolves, that drought could end Friday night. Detroit will attempt to snap its seven-game road skid by earning its sixth consecutive win at the Target Center. Already averaging an NBA-worst 87.5 points on the road, the Pistons’ scoring has proved even more meager during their losing streak. Detroit is averaging 81.9 and had its second-worst shooting performance of the season (37.5 percent) during Wednesday night’s 93-74 loss at New Orleans.
“We couldn’t score. Our guys were trying hard,” said coach John Kuester, whose team has lost six of seven overall. “When the ball is not going in the hole, it puts you in a bind and you have to put so much pressure on your defense.” If there’s some hope for Kuester’s beleaguered club, it’s the chance to face a Minnesota team that’s one of the league’s worst defensive squads. The Pistons have averaged 101.2 points and shot 46.0 percent during their five consecutive road wins in the series.
Losers in eight of nine, the Timberwolves are allowing 109.4 points per game and have kept an opponent under the century mark only four times. That’s helped spoil some strong efforts from an offense that’s averaged 102.3 points 107.0 at home. Minnesota scored 40 points in a quarter for the first time this season to open Wednesday night’s game against visiting Oklahoma City, but saw an 18-point lead evaporate in a 111-103 defeat. The Timberwolves allowed 31 points in each of the next two quarters and were outscored 27-17 in the final period. With its fourth loss in five home contests, Minnesota dropped to 1-8 in games decided by eight points or fewer.
Michael Beasley scored at least 25 points for the 10th time in 13 games with 26, and Kevin Love had 22 points and 21 rebounds for his fifth 20-20 performance. The Timberwolves’ young stars, though, were 3 of 18 from the field in the fourth quarter. “We got to learn how to finish games. That’s our biggest problem,” Beasley said. “We got to find a way to grind it out.”
The Timberwolves held an 11-point lead entering the fourth quarter at home April 14 against Detroit but were outscored 35-19 en route to a 103-98 loss. Charlie Villanueva had 13 of his 16 points in that quarter as the Pistons posted their third straight win over Minnesota and sixth in seven games. Detroit’s road losing streak is it’s longest since dropping 11 in a row Feb. 24-April 3.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Minnesota by 3.5; O/U 202.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Minnesota -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Minnesota -3.72
________________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 34-56 ATS (-27.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 98.9, OPPONENT 103.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--MINNESOTA is 43-62 ATS (-25.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 98.2, OPPONENT 105.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 97.5, OPPONENT 104.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 99.8, OPPONENT 105.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 31-12 OVER (+16.5 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 101.5, OPPONENT 109.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 26-9 OVER (+16.1 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 95.1, OPPONENT 101.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 52-78 against the 1rst half line (-33.8 Units) versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.9, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--MINNESOTA is 14-34 against the 1rst half line (-23.4 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.5, OPPONENT 57.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 59-33 UNDER (+22.5 Units) the 1rst half total as a home favorite of 1.5 points or less vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.0, OPPONENT 47.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 53-32 UNDER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 46.1, OPPONENT 49.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games.
(40-16 since 1996.) (71.4%, +22.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.1
The average score in these games was: Team 108.4, Opponent 100.4 (Total points scored = 208.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 27 (51.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-12).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (DETROIT) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games.
(49-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.0%, +25.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.8, Opponent 48.2 (Total first half points scored = 98.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (83-72).
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*** LA LAKERS (PK, O/U 199.5) @ CHICAGO ***
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No matter how much the Chicago Bulls may have improved in the last few years, they haven’t found a way to beat the Los Angeles Lakers. Winners of three straight overall, the Bulls seek to end a seven-game losing streak against the two-time defending champion Lakers on Friday night. Chicago has shown steady progress since finishing 33-49 in 2007-08, then drafting Derrick Rose with the first overall pick. After playoff appearances in Rose’s first two seasons, the Bulls may be poised for more as the early leaders in a lackluster Central Division.
Rose, averaging a team-high and career-high 25.1 points, scored 30 when these teams met Nov. 23 in Los Angeles, but the Bulls lost 98-91. It was their seventh straight defeat in this series and the fifth in a row since Rose joined the team. The Lakers have also won three straight in Chicago and nine of the last 10 in the series overall. “They put a lot of pressure on us,” Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau said after last month’s meeting. “The Lakers are a heck of a defensive team. You’ve got to make quick decisions against them.”
Rose’s ability to hit the outside jumper as well as attack the basket may help in breaking down the Lakers’ defense. The point guard capitalized on a mismatch late in Chicago’s 88-83 victory Wednesday in Cleveland, driving the lane and converting on a three-point play to put the Bulls ahead for good. “I have confidence in my game where if they are backing up on me I will shoot,” said Rose, who finished with 29 points. “If they are on me, I came into this league because of driving (to the basket).” Rose helped Chicago overcome a poor game from Carlos Boozer who sat the entire four quarter and totaled four points.
Boozer’s inside presence may be needed against a Lakers team boasting seven-footer Pau Gasol and possibly Andrew Bynum who Los Angeles hopes can return at some point during its lengthy road trip. The Lakers didn’t need to leave Los Angeles to begin their first of two seven-game trips this season, winning as the visiting team against the Staples Center co-tenant Clippers 87-86 on Wednesday night on Derek Fisher’s layup as time expired. Kobe Bryant scored 24 points and Shannon Brown added 16 off the bench for the Lakers, who have won three straight after a four-game losing streak.
Brown scored 21 points in last month’s win over the Bulls, helping the Los Angeles reserves outscore Chicago’s 39-10. Brown, a suburban Chicago native who played sparingly in six games for the Bulls in 2007-08, has flourished as a role player since joining the Lakers. “I always want to play well against the place I came from,” Brown said in November. “I grew up watching the Bulls. I was a Bulls fan.” Not counting a 42-point effort Dec. 15, 2009, Bryant has averaged only 21.0 points in the Lakers’ other six victories over the Bulls during the current streak.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Lakers by 1.5; O/U 204.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Lakers -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Lakers -1.79
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 4-19 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 99.2, OPPONENT 100.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 42-21 ATS (+18.7 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 103.8, OPPONENT 97.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 109.6, OPPONENT 108.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 90-64 OVER (+19.6 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 102.4, OPPONENT 97.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--LA LAKERS are 44-72 against the 1rst half line (-35.2 Units) in a road game where the first half total is 98 to 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 49.3, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA LAKERS are 56-81 against the 1rst half line (-33.1 Units) vs. poor free throw shooting teams - making <=71% of their attempts since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 49.5, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 46.9, OPPONENT 43.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 46-25 UNDER (+18.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 51.4, OPPONENT 47.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(29-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.6%, +21.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (29-8 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.1
The average score in these games was: Team 100, Opponent 94.4 (Average point differential = +5.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 20 (55.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (68-41).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CHICAGO) - after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less.
(28-7 since 1996.) (80.0%, +20.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194.3
The average score in these games was: Team 102.2, Opponent 100.3 (Total points scored = 202.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 20 (57.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
--PLAY ON - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(37-11 since 1996.) (77.1%, +24.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.7, Opponent 44.4 (Average first half point differential = +6.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
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STAN "THE MAN'S 2010 COLLEGE BOWL BONANZA! Last year’s selections went 12-2-1, (85.7%) for a net profit of $5150. Receive Stan 'The Man's Highly Acclaimed Stat/Systems Report every day as and added bonus when you sign up now for our 2010 Bowl Bonanza. Get every College Football Release from Stan thru the BCS Championship game on January 10th including his Hugh *6-Star College Bowl Game. The cost is only $399.00 that’s a 50% saving if you act today! The College Bowl Bonanza package has gone 58-16-5 (78.4%) the last 5 years for a net profit of $20,570! "Call me Toll-Free today at 1-800-351-4640 to order, you'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** HOUSTON @ MILWAUKEE (-3.5, O/U 196) ***
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After a disappointing start to the season, the Milwaukee Bucks are hoping a last-second victory can help them turn things around. The Bucks will try to avoid another loss to the Houston Rockets when the teams meet Friday night at the Bradley Center. Milwaukee made its first playoff appearance in four seasons in 2009-10, but while dealing with multiple injuries, it has struggled to get going early on.
Andrew Bogut who missed five straight games Nov. 24-Dec. 1 due to back spasms, hit the winning basket at the buzzer in a 97-95 victory over Indiana on Wednesday night. He finished with 17 points and 11 rebounds. With the score tied and 0.5 seconds remaining, Luc Richard inbounded the ball from the sideline throwing it towards the rim allowing Bogut to tap the ball in for the victory. “The Pacers have beaten some good teams and to get a win like this it feels good to get this in the final seconds,” said Bogut, who has averaged 19.7 points and 14.0 rebounds over three games since his return.
“We knew it was going to be a tough night and hopefully we can get things rolling.” Brandon Jennings scored 22 points and is averaging 22.9 over his last seven games. The Bucks, averaging an NBA-low 91.2 points, will likely need another solid effort from Jennings if they hope to keep up with Houston, which ranks among the highest-scoring teams in the NBA with 105.3 points per game. Drew Gooden missed his third straight game with plantar fasciitis and is unlikely to face the Rockets. Only four players have participated in all 21 games for the Bucks.
The Rockets have also been hit with the injury bug, playing their previous 14 games without Yao Ming and Aaron Brooks who continue to deal with ankle injuries. Luis Scola and Kyle Lowry did their best to make up for their absences in a 97-83 win over Detroit on Tuesday night. Scola scored 35 points - 10 in the fourth quarter - and pulled down 12 rebounds, while Lowry had 22 points and matched a career high with 12 assists.
Lowry - a career 27.6 percent shooter from 3-point range - has gone 11 of 19 (57.9) over his last four games, during which the Rockets have posted a 3-1 record. “I’ve worked on my game,” he told the team’s official website. “You only get better at shooting 3s and shooting game shots by shooting them in games. Lately I’ve been shooting those shots in games and it comes with confidence, comes with the minutes and comes with the reps.” Houston also came away with a great defensive effort against the Pistons, as the 17 points it surrendered over the final 12 minutes were a season low.
“We struggled early in the season closing these types of games and later on we were able to play harder and better when the game was on the line in the fourth quarter,” said Scola, averaging 31.0 points in his last two games. “We have kind of shaken out all of that fear that we were having at the beginning of the season and we are closing the games better.” The Rockets have taken 10 of the previous 11 meetings with the Bucks, including 127-99 in Milwaukee on Feb. 17.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Milwaukee by 1.5; O/U 196.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Milwaukee -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Milwaukee -2.69
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 34-14 ATS (+18.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 99.3, OPPONENT 94.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 103.3, OPPONENT 94.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 9-24 ATS (-17.2 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 100.6, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 52-28 OVER (+21.2 Units) in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 100.0, OPPONENT 98.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 42-20 OVER (+20.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 97.6, OPPONENT 101.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 27-10 against the 1rst half line (+15.8 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 49.4, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 29-12 against the 1rst half line (+15.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 53.5, OPPONENT 48.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 38-18 UNDER (+18.2 Units) the 1rst half total as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 49.2, OPPONENT 46.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) the 1rst half total vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 45.1, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 89-51 UNDER (+32.9 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog of 2 to 3 points vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 45.8, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Any team (MILWAUKEE) - poor shooting team - shooting <=43% on the season, good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game.
(91-55 over the last 5 seasons.) (62.3%, +30.5 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 188.3
The average score in these games was: Team 94.6, Opponent 97.7 (Total points scored = 192.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 72 (49% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (12-13).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-29).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (465-405).
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*** ATLANTA @ SAN ANTONIO (-8, O/U 196) ***
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For the second time in three nights, a team is visiting San Antonio seeking its first win there since February 1997. This one seems to have a much better chance than the last one. The Atlanta Hawks have quietly been one of the league’s hotter teams and a recent lineup change has been very effective, but they face the league-best Spurs on Friday night in a city where they haven’t won since Tim Duncan’s arrival.
While San Antonio has been overshadowed lately by division rival Dallas’ double-digit winning streak, the Hawks have received little attention in the Eastern Conference as Boston and Miami have put together lengthy runs. Atlanta has won seven of eight, the only loss coming at Miami. No East team has a better road record than the Hawks’ 8-3 mark, but Atlanta has lost all 12 trips to San Antonio since Duncan joined the Spurs in the 1997-98 season.
Golden State’s last win there came Feb. 14, 1997. The struggling Warriors dropped their 25th straight in San Antonio with a 111-94 loss Wednesday. The Hawks, though, did end a seven-game losing streak in the series with a 119-104 overtime victory March 21. That’s one of San Antonio’s only four losses in the past 23 meetings overall. It also ended a 15-game run in the series during which Atlanta failed to score more than 95 points. The Hawks are coming off one of their best offensive performances, with season highs of 34 assists and 60.3 percent shooting in a 116-101 win over New Jersey on Tuesday.
Josh Smith had a season-high 34 points in his second game shifting from power forward to small forward, one night after posting 19 points and 13 rebounds in an 80-74 road win over Southeast Division leader Orlando. That change allowed center Jason Collins to start while Al Horford switched back to power forward. Marvin Williams was moved to the backcourt to replace an ineffective Maurice Evans who was filling in for Joe Johnson. Atlanta is 4-1 since Johnson was lost to an elbow injury.
The Spurs are relatively healthy, and a good balance offensively has keyed their current three-game win streak. At least five players scored in double figures in each victory. Duncan had only eight points Wednesday but was among nine Spurs to score at least seven and no starter played more than 29 minutes for a second straight game. “Well hopefully we’re putting something in the bank when we need guys to play 38 or 42 minutes,” Coach Gregg Popovich said. The Spurs are 3-0 on a six-game homestand, and the only loss in their last 10 home games came to Dallas.
“We just try to play well at home, win as much games as we can because we know the second part of our schedule is going to be a lot of games on the road,” said guard Tony Parker averaging 19.2 points at home compared to 14.2 on the road. Backcourt mate Manu Ginobili has been struggling, averaging 12.8 points and 29.3 percent shooting in four games this month, but he scored 38 in the last matchup with Atlanta.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 10.5; O/U 192.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -11
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -9.78
__________________________________________________ _
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 98-59 ATS (+33.1 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 97.4, OPPONENT 88.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 44-22 ATS (+19.6 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 99.5, OPPONENT 90.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 87.3, OPPONENT 99.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 41-22 UNDER (+16.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 97.1, OPPONENT 88.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 56-35 UNDER (+17.5 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 94.4, OPPONENT 94.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 90.7, OPPONENT 95.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 14-2 against the 1rst half line (+11.7 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 52.9, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 44-78 against the 1rst half line (-41.8 Units) after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 47.2, OPPONENT 50.9 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 80-50 UNDER (+25.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 45.3, OPPONENT 48.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 62-37 UNDER (+21.3 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 45.3, OPPONENT 49.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points.
(24-4 since 1996.) (85.7%, +19.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-3)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.3
The average score in these games was: Team 109.3, Opponent 97.9 (Average point differential = +11.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-1).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better.
(26-8 since 1996.) (76.5%, +17.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 195.1
The average score in these games was: Team 92.9, Opponent 91.5 (Total points scored = 184.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (64.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-7).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games.
(49-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.1%, +29.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.1, Opponent 43.6 (Total first half points scored = 92.7)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (78-57).
____________________________________
NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
_____________________________________________
*** ORLANDO @ UTAH (-2.5, O/U 192) ***
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The Utah Jazz averaged more than 33 home wins over the last four seasons. Meeting that average would be a major accomplishment for the Jazz in 2010-11 given how they’ve started at EnergySolutions Arena. Coming off a rare home loss to an Eastern Conference opponent, Northwest Division-leading Utah closes a six-game stretch in Salt Lake City on Friday night against the Orlando Magic, who could fall into third place in the Southeast if they don’t end a season-high three-game losing streak.
While Utah has the leagues best home record since the start of 2006-07 142-36, the club is just 9-5 there this season compared to 32-9 in 2009-10. Wednesday’s 111-98 loss to Miami was just Utah’s second home setback in 25 games against East opponents since Jan. 24, 2009. “If you would have told me before the season that we would be a better road team than a home team, I would have laughed at you,” said Deron Williams who finished with 21 points four in the second half and 12 assists. “Hopefully we get it going.”
Jazz coach Jerry Sloan, whose team plays seven of nine on the road to end 2010, hopes that improvement starts on the defensive end. After Utah held teams to 90.8 points and 41.6 percent shooting during a 9-2 stretch from Nov. 17-Dec. 6, the Heat shot 51.3 percent while outrebounding the Jazz 42-28. “I thought Miami was more physical than we were,” Sloan said. Utah is among just a handful of teams averaging fewer than 40 rebounds. “We’ve always been a good rebounding team since I’ve been here,” Williams said prior to Thursday’s practice. “I don’t know why (we’re not now), but we’ve got to do a better job.”
Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap will face a tough test on the boards with Magic center Dwight Howard who is among the league leaders with 12.3 rebounds per game. In his second game since missing two with a stomach virus, Howard had a season-high 39 points with 15 boards and three blocks in Thursday’s 97-83 loss at Portland. A season-high six-game winning streak gave the Magic a 2 1/2-game divisional lead on Dec. 3, but a fourth consecutive loss Friday, it would be the team’s first such stretch since Jan. 2-8 - plus Miami and Atlanta victories, will drop Orlando into third.
“We have to play the game better and we have to play it with a lot more energy, alertness and cohesiveness,” said Coach Stan Van Gundy, whose team is scoring 80.7 points per game on shooting 40.5 percent during its skid. Orlando, though, is getting healthy again after a stomach bug sidelined Howard, J.J. Redick, Mickael Pietrus and Jameer Nelson who finished with 10 points and five rebounds on Thursday after being out the previous three games.
Following a two-game absence with a sprained left ankle, Nelson had 19 points and seven assists as the Magic fell 104-94 to the Jazz on Nov. 10. Orlando led by as many as 18 in the third quarter but committed 21 turnovers and suffered its first loss at the new Amway Center. The Magic had a franchise-record eight-game road winning streak snapped in their last visit to Salt Lake City, a 120-111 loss exactly one year ago. Howard recorded his fifth straight double-double while visiting the Jazz with 18 points and 10 boards. The teams have alternated wins in the last nine matchups in Utah.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 4; O/U 195
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -3.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -3.98
________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--UTAH is 40-18 ATS (+20.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 104.4, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 41-20 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 104.0, OPPONENT 97.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 94.3, OPPONENT 94.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 66-41 UNDER (+20.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 100.6, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--ORLANDO is 34-13 UNDER (+19.5 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 100.0, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 41-22 against the 1rst half line (+17.9 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 53.5, OPPONENT 48.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 21-41 against the 1rst half line (-24.1 Units) in road games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was ORLANDO 47.5, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 46-21 UNDER (+22.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 44.5, OPPONENT 42.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--ORLANDO is 54-31 UNDER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 49.3, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (ORLANDO) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 10 or more, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season.
(33-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +20.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 100.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.6, Opponent 47.2 (Total first half points scored = 98.7)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (67-35).
--PLAY AGAINST - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite.
(53-23 since 1996.) (69.7%, +27.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.8, Opponent 46.8 (Average first half point differential = +3.1)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-12).
______________________________________________
*** PORTLAND @ PHOENIX (-5.5, O/U 205) ***
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Earlier this week, the Phoenix Suns were unsuccessful in going for their longest winning streak of the season at the expense of the Portland Trail Blazers. This time, they’re trying to avoid matching their longest slide, and their bench could provide the difference. The Suns attempt to gain a measure of revenge as they host the Trail Blazers on Friday night. Phoenix has lost twice to Portland already this season, but both were on the road. The Suns committed 19 turnovers Tuesday in the most recent matchup, a 106-99 defeat that ended a three-game winning streak that matched their longest of 2010-11.
Phoenix failed to rebound from that performance the following night, losing 104-98 in overtime to Memphis. The Suns got 58 points from their bench, which forced the extra session by helping them outscore the Grizzlies 28-14 in the fourth quarter. “It was a really tough loss,” said forward Grant Hill who finished with 10 points. “The fourth quarter was unbelievable. The second unit was awesome, but I’m still in shock at what happened.” Now, the Suns are left hoping they can avoid matching their season-high three-game slide that occurred on the road from Nov. 17-20.
Phoenix has won six of eight at home, averaging 112.0 points in the victories. The Suns have also dominated the Trail Blazers at US Airways Center, winning 18 of the last 22 meetings. Two victories came in the first round of the 2010 playoffs, including a 107-88 series-clinching win as the reserves totaled 55 points. The Suns’ bench could be key again Friday, as it leads the Western Conference with 38.2 points per game and has averaged 42.3 over the last seven games.
“It’s tough trying to play 10 guys, but one of the advantages of having 10 guys that are pretty good players is that you can try to manufacture some kind of lineup that can help get you back into the game,” coach Alvin Gentry told the team’s official website. “We just got to keep searching and see what we find.” Guard Steve Nash may be looking to improve upon his performance from Wednesday as he scored 11 points with seven assists and eight turnovers. The two-time MVP had 24 points and 15 assists against the Blazers the previous night.
Portland is looking to show improvement on the road as it opens a four-game trip with stops in San Antonio and Dallas, the current owners of the two best records in the West. The Trail Blazers went 0-4 on their last trip and have dropped seven of eight as the visitor. They haven’t endured five consecutive road defeats since Feb. 4-25, 2009. Portland, however, swept its three-game homestand since its last road jaunt, capping the stretch with an impressive 97-83 win over Southeast Division-leading Orlando on Thursday.
Having Andre Miller back for this visit to Phoenix should help. The guard had 22 points, eight assists and seven rebounds Thursday after serving a one-game suspension against the Suns for “excessive and unnecessary contact” with Blake Griffin during Sunday’s 100-91 win over the Los Angeles Clippers. “My motivation was to keep my emotions intact - come back normal, like it was any other game,” said Miller, who has averaged 22.8 points and 8.0, assists in his last five visits to Phoenix.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Phoenix by 4.5; O/U 205.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Phoenix -5.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Phoenix -5.46
______________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 64-41 ATS (+18.7 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 97.7, OPPONENT 95.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 19-3 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 101.3, OPPONENT 100.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 85-55 OVER (+24.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 106.3, OPPONENT 100.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHOENIX is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) after playing a home game this season.
The average score was PHOENIX 114.8, OPPONENT 115.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--PORTLAND is 26-7 OVER (+18.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 96.8, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 65-43 against the 1rst half line (+17.7 Units) versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.1, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 28-10 against the 1rst half line (+17.0 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.8, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 89-57 UNDER (+26.3 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total >= 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 50.2, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--PORTLAND is 61-40 UNDER (+17.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.7, OPPONENT 47.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(74-37 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.7%, +33.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (41-71 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.4
The average score in these games was: Team 95.8, Opponent 98.8 (Average point differential = -3.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 41 (36.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (33-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (159-117).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PORTLAND) - after a game where they covered the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(91-49 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.0%, +37.1 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.2
The average score in these games was: Team 103, Opponent 105.7 (Total points scored = 208.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 69 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (44-32).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (175-128).
______________________________________
__________________________________________________
*** MIAMI (-9, O/U 204) @ GOLDEN STATE ***
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Things appear to be falling into place for the Miami Heat. A visit to the sputtering Golden State Warriors shouldn’t pose too many problems, either. The Heat look to extend their season-high winning streak to seven when they face the Warriors on Friday night. Less than two weeks ago Miami was being highly criticized while having trouble living up to the hype surrounding its Big Three of LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh during a 1-4 stretch that included losses at Dallas and Orlando. Winning six in a row by an average of 16.5 points has suddenly quieted those comments and concerns.
“We’re playing better basketball,” center Zydrunas Ilgauskas said. “If you look at the games, it’s obvious. But we still have a ways to go.” While the Heat’s winning streak has included victories over four sub-.500 teams, they made an impressive statement with a 111-98 win at Northwest Division-leading Utah on Wednesday. “Right now every win is significant,” said James, who had 33 points, nine assists and seven rebounds. “When you go into a building like this, a hostile environment with a team that’s very good, great in this building, it’s always good to get a win like this.” James is hitting 54.3 percent of his shots and has topped 30 points three times during the last six games, equaling his total over the first 17 with his new team.
The reigning two-time MVP, who leads Miami with averages of 24.1 points and 7.3 assists, could be in for another big performance against Golden State. He’s averaging 28.8 points per game with 7.9 assists over 13 meetings, but 33.3 points with 10.3 assists in the last three. Ilgauskas, James’ former teammate in Cleveland, also appears to be getting more comfortable with his new club. He got his first double-double of the season Wednesday with 16 points and 10 rebounds after failing to score while totaling seven boards over the previous three games. His effort in the paint was a big reason Miami held a 42-28 rebounding advantage over the Jazz.
“The biggest thing is rebounding,” Ilgauskas said. “We’re winning all the rebounding battles game after game after game. Before we were not. We have the same guys, but we’re doing it with more effort, doing it collectively.” Wade, who had 28 points Wednesday, is averaging 34.4 points in his last five meetings with the Warriors. That has been key to the Heat winning four in a row over Golden State, while taking five of the last six visits to Oakland.
The Warriors are mired in a 1-10 stretch that includes two season-high five-game losing streaks and a four-game slide at home. They haven’t dropped five in a row at Oracle Arena since a six-game skid from March 1-24, 2002. Golden State’s most recent six-game slide occurred from March 2-11, and started with a 110-106 loss at Miami as Wade scored 35 points in the most recent matchup. The Warriors lost star guard Stephen Curry to a sprained right ankle in the second quarter of a 111-94 defeat to the Spurs on Wednesday, Golden State’s 25th straight loss in San Antonio. Curry, whose status is uncertain, is second on the team with 20.1 points per game behind Monta Ellis (24.5).
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 12.5; O/U 201.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -11.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -10.79
______________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 101.3, OPPONENT 104.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 110.6, OPPONENT 111.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 95.9, OPPONENT 96.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--MIAMI is 1-12 ATS (-12.1 Units) after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 89.8, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 31-10 UNDER (+19.8 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 104.4, OPPONENT 108.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 44-16 UNDER (+26.4 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 84.8, OPPONENT 89.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 48-75 against the 1rst half line (-34.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as a road underdog since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 48.6, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--MIAMI is 39-18 against the 1rst half line (+18.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 51.6, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 36-15 against the 1rst half line (+18.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 52.3, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 43.6, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 45.1, OPPONENT 56.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 86-60 UNDER (+20.0 Units) the 1rst half total after 4 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.7, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 47-25 UNDER (+19.5 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 44.3, OPPONENT 45.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (GOLDEN STATE) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(25-5 since 1996.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 57.8, Opponent 47.8 (Average first half point differential = +10.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-5).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (MIAMI) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games.
(27-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.5, Opponent 49.6 (Total first half points scored = 99.1)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (43-21).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games.
(30-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.9%, +21.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 205.4
The average score in these games was: Team 101.3, Opponent 93.8 (Total points scored = 195.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (65.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (42-20).
***** FRIDAY, DECEMBER 10TH NBA INFORMATION *****
__________________________________________________ _______
(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Knicks covered 11 of their 13 road games. Washington is 5-0 as home dog; underdogs are 9-0 vs spread in Wiz' home games this season.
-- Pacers covered five of last seven games as home favorite.
-- Bulls won last three games, by 3-9-5 points. Lakers won last three games, by 33-7-1 point, but covered just one of last seven.
-- Rockets won three of last four games (4-0 vs spread).
-- Hawks won seven of last eight games. Spurs covered six of their last eight as a home favorite.
-- Portland won last three games, by 19-7-14 points.
-- Miami won last six games, covered last five.
• COLD TEAMS
-------------------
-- Nuggets lost six of last seven road games. Toronto lost its last three games, by 17-24-3 points.
-- Bobcats covered one of last four as a road dog.
-- Hornets lost six of their last nine games. Oklahoma City is 0-5 against spread in game following its last five wins.
-- Pistons lost six of last seven games (1-5-1 vs spread). Minnesota lost eight of its last nine games.
-- Bucks covered two of last seven as home favorite.
-- Magic covered two of their ten road games.
-- Jazz failed to cover its last three games as home favorite
-- Suns are 4-7 in their last eleven games.
-- Warriors lost last five games- they lost four in a row at home.
• BACK-TO-BACK
----------------------
-- Orlando is 1-5 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Portland is 3-1 vs spread if it played night before.
• TOTALS
------------
-- Five of last seven Washington games stayed under total.
-- Eight of nine Denver road games stayed under total.
-- Seven of ten Indiana home games stayed under total.
-- Last five New Orleans games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven Detroit road games stayed under.
-- Five of Lakers' last six road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Milwaukee's home games.
-- Six of last seven Atlanta home games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Utah home games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Portland road games went over.
-- Four of Miami's last five road games went over.
• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
---------------------------------------------------
--Charlotte owns a brilliant 11-2-1 ATS (84.6%) record as an underdog in the series history versus the Pacers, including a perfect 7-0 ATS mark with same-season revenge.
--Utah is an incredible 26-1 SU and 20-6-1 ATS (76.9%) at home off a home encounter versus unrested opponents.
--Zero - Wins this season for the Pistons against a team with a winning record. Detroit is 0-11 against teams above .500. The Wizards (0-10) and Kings (0-7) also have failed to beat a team with a winning record this season.
• NEWS & NOTES
----------------------------
--The Cleveland Cavaliers are sticking with their new lineup that almost upset the Chicago Bulls earlier this week. Coach Byron Scott started a lineup of Anthony Parker, Antawn Jamison, Anderson Varejao, Daniel Gibson and Mo Williams against the Bulls, benching J.J. Hickson, Jamario Moon and handing Ramon Sessions a DNP-CD. It might be great, it might be a disaster, but Scott is sticking with this new unit.
--Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry has a sprained right ankle that could keep him sidelined until Christmas or longer. Curry is still awaiting results of an MRI, but the team has signed guard Acie Law and released forward Jeff Adrien. Curry, who is averaging 20.1 points and 5.6 assists this year, has sprained his right ankle four times this season. The Warriors have lost five straight games and 10 of 11.
________________________________________
Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
__________________________________________________ _________________
*** NEW YORK (-3, O/U 217) @ WASHINGTON ***
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After an impressive fourth-quarter performance, Amare Stoudemire has a chance to etch his name into the New York Knicks’ record books. Stoudemire will try to become the second player in franchise history to record seven consecutive 30-point games when the surging Knicks travel to take on the Washington Wizards on Friday night. New York has won six in a row for the first time since Jan. 2-13, 2006. The Knicks extended their run Wednesday thanks to Stoudemire, who scored 18 of his 34 points over the final 12 minutes of a 113-110 victory over Toronto.
“It’s a lot of fun,” Stoudemire said. “Anytime you can win the way we have been and play with this type of swagger and enjoy the camaraderie, it’s so much fun. You just want to keep that feeling going.” Willie Naulls had seven straight 30-point games for the Knicks from Feb. 22-March 4, 1962. New York, 11-1 in its last 12, most recently won seven in a row Dec. 22-Jan. 7, 2001. The Knicks have also won seven consecutive road games. Another one would give them the second longest such streak in team history, behind a franchise-record 13-game run Oct. 15-Dec. 10, 1969. While Stoudemire managed eight points on 3-of-10 shooting in the first half, Raymond Felton picked up the slack, scoring 20 before the break.
Felton also delivered the tie-breaking 3-pointer with 2.7 seconds left after it bounced on the rim five times before falling through. He finished with 28 points and 11 assists for his fifth double-double in six games. The Knicks are 9-1 when Felton reaches double digits in points and assists. Danilo Gallinari added 20 points and has made 15 of 37 (40.5 percent) from 3-point range during the winning streak. Gallinari, who went 4 of 9 from beyond the arc Wednesday, was one of six Knicks to score in double figures during a 112-91 win over the Wizards on Nov. 5. That was New York’s fourth consecutive victory in the series.
Washington, 1-7 in its last eight, is looking forward to getting back to the Verizon Center after playing five of six on the road. The Wizards, 0-12 away from home, lost 116-91 to Sacramento on Wednesday. “It’s frustrating that we are two different teams - a great team at home and a terrible team on the road,” said guard Gilbert Arenas who scored 19 points but shot 6 of 17. “We just have to find a happy medium.” The Wizards, who were without injured rookie guard John Wall, trailed by 14 at halftime. Wall sat out with a sore foot. He was announced as a starter by the public address announcer but never left the bench.
“I don’t know what happened,” Wall said. “I went out there, tried to run and couldn’t push off like I wanted to. So I just took the game off. It was a tough contest to miss, but I have to try and get back healthy.” His status for this game is uncertain. Big man Andray Blatche has averaged 22.3 points in his last three meetings with New York, but was also unavailable Wednesday for the second straight game due to a hip contusion. He’s uncertain to play Friday. Blatche (17.1 ppg) and Wall (17.4) could be sorely missed if they can’t go against the Knicks, who average 108.0 points - among the best in the NBA.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New York by 3.5; O/U 197.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New York -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New York -4.51
________________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 57-85 ATS (-36.5 Units) in home games versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=27 free throws/game since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 99.3, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--WASHINGTON is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 98.6, OPPONENT 100.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--WASHINGTON is 27-50 ATS (-28.0 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 94.6, OPPONENT 98.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW YORK is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 this season.
The average score was NEW YORK 111.8, OPPONENT 107.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 26-7 UNDER (+18.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 92.2, OPPONENT 100.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 50-30 UNDER (+17.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.3, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 20-3 UNDER (+16.6 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 94.5, OPPONENT 96.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 48-80 against the 1rst half line (-40.0 Units) in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 48.0, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW YORK is 44-68 against the 1rst half line (-30.8 Units) as a road favorite vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 46.7, OPPONENT 46.1 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 33-11 OVER (+20.7 Units) the 1rst half total after a combined score of 215 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 54.8, OPPONENT 55.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 31-12 OVER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 53.9, OPPONENT 55.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more.
(29-8 since 1996.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 216.7
The average score in these games was: Team 105.5, Opponent 104.1 (Total points scored = 209.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 24 (66.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (NEW YORK) - after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 3 straight games.
(37-13 since 1996.) (74.0%, +22.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53, Opponent 51.6 (Average first half point differential = +1.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-9).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (28-11).
______________________________________________
*** DENVER (-2, O/U 216.5) @ TORONTO ***
-------------------------------------------------------------
Putting his name in elite company hasn’t quite gone as planned for Denver Nuggets coach George Karl. It won’t be any easier to do if Carmelo Anthony is unavailable again. Karl will attempt to record win No. 1,000 for the third time while the Nuggets look for their seventh consecutive victory over the Toronto Raptors on Friday night at Air Canada Centre. Anthony was scratched before Wednesday night’s 105-89 loss at Boston with inflammation in his right knee and is considered day-to-day.
“I’m somewhat surprised by it,” said Karl, fourth among active coaches in wins. “I kind of knew there was a chance he wouldn’t go (at) about 15 minutes before the game.” Anthony, averaging a team-high 22.8 points, missed a game for the first time this season. He has been struggling, shooting 30.6 percent from the field in four games this month. Anthony’s last game was Karl’s first chance to reach the milestone, but Denver lost 100-98 in Charlotte on Tuesday to have a seven game win streak snapped.
With Karl trying to join Don Nelson, Lenny Wilkens, Pat Riley, Jerry Sloan, Phil Jackson and Larry Brown as the only coaches with 1,000 wins, the Nuggets have lost consecutive games for only the second time this season. Missing its leading scorer Wednesday, Denver trailed by 14 at the end of the first quarter and was held to its second-lowest point total of the season, including 37 in the second half. The Nuggets are averaging 98.0 points on the road compared to an NBA-best 111.4 at home. They’re 0-6 as the visiting team when scoring below 100 points.
Chauncey Billups’ struggles continued Wednesday, going 2 of 10 from the field and finishing with a season-low five points. Billups has shot 31.6 percent over the past four games but could bounce back in Toronto, where he’s averaged 21.1 points on 50.5 percent shooting in his last eight visits. Nene has scored 20.0 per game in his last four matchups with Toronto while hitting 69.6 percent from the field.
The Raptors will look to end a three-game slide after falling 113-110 in New York on Wednesday night despite 41 points from Andrea Bargnani. Bargnani, whose previous career high was 34, went 16 of 24 from the field. He was 2 for 3 from 3-point range after going 1 for 18 in his previous six games, averaging 16.2 points. Toronto lost Wednesday on a late 3-pointer, but that result against a hot Knicks team provided some optimism after the Raptors had dropped their previous two games by an average of 20.5 points.
“The most important thing right now is that we did a great job and we fought through until the end of the game,” guard Leandro Barbosa said. “We’re getting better. The effort that we put in tonight was great and I think that’s the way that we’re supposed to play every night and try to get a victory.” Linas Kleiza who spent his first four years in the league with Denver, will face his former team for the first time. Kleiza is averaging 9.6 points. Toronto has been outscored by 17.6 points during its six-game losing streak against Denver. Peja Stojakovic missed his sixth straight game as he continues to deal with a swollen left knee. His status for Friday is unknown.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Denver by 3.5; O/U 214.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Denver -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Denver -3.61
_____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 39-61 ATS (-28.1 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 100.7, OPPONENT 104.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 103.2, OPPONENT 106.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.6, OPPONENT 107.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 59-31 UNDER (+24.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 104.1, OPPONENT 107.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 37-16 UNDER (+19.1 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 100.5, OPPONENT 101.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 22-38 against the 1rst half line (-19.6 Units) after a combined score of 205 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.0, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 35-16 against the 1rst half line (+17.3 Units) in road games after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 52.0, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 10-0 against the 1rst half line (+10.0 Units) in road games after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 56.7, OPPONENT 49.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--DENVER is 36-16 UNDER (+18.4 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after 2 straight games where they had 10 or more steals since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 47.6, OPPONENT 50.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 34-15 UNDER (+17.5 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 50.4, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (DENVER) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(30-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +19 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 55.9, Opponent 51 (Average first half point differential = +5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (37-20).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (DENVER) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days.
(45-17 since 1996.) (72.6%, +26.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 108.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.3, Opponent 51.5 (Total first half points scored = 103.8)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-12).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-14).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home teams (TORONTO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more.
(52-22 since 1996.) (70.3%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (36-40)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.7
The average score in these games was: Team 105.3, Opponent 107.6 (Average point differential = -2.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 33 (45.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-13).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (42-17).
______________________________________________
Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
___________________________________________
*** CHARLOTTE @ INDIANA (-6, O/U 192.5) ***
-----------------------------------------------------------------
The Indiana Pacers are one of the top rebounding teams in the NBA, but got beat badly on the boards in their last game. A big disparity on the glass didn’t hurt them in their first meeting with the Charlotte Bobcats this season. The Pacers look for a better effort when they try to hand the Bobcats their sixth straight road loss Friday night. Indiana lost for the third time in four games Wednesday, 97-95 at Milwaukee. The Pacers were outrebounded 50-37 and matched a season high in offensive boards allowed.
“We held them to 36 percent shooting, but gave up 19 offensive rebounds,” said coach Jim O’Brien, whose club ranks first in the league in field-goal percentage defense at 42.7. “That was the difference in the game.” Despite a frontcourt of 7-foot-2 Roy Hibbert, 6-10 Josh McRoberts and 6-9 Danny Granger, Indiana has yielded at least 18 offensive rebounds in three of its last four games. Hibbert and Granger combined for nine total boards Wednesday. “At halftime Hibbert had no rebounds after 11 minutes and I think Danny had one,” O’Brien said. “We’ve got to do a better job at that end and it hasn’t been a problem up to this point.”
The Pacers were able to overcome it in a 104-101 win Oct. 29 that spoiled the Bobcats’ home opener. Indiana, third in the league with 43.5 rebounds per game, was beaten 45-34 on the glass, but committed 10 turnovers to 17 for Charlotte. Granger scored 33 points. Charlotte has been sloppy all season, with an Eastern Conference-worst 16.9 turnovers per game. The Bobcats overcame 18 giveaways that led to 28 points for Denver in a 100-98 victory Tuesday. “Still 28 points off turnovers,” coach Larry Brown said. “The turnovers, I can’t even explain them.”
Stephen Jackson scored 23 points Gerald Wallace added 20 and Tyrus Thomas had 16 off the bench for Charlotte, which is looking to win consecutive games for the second time this season. “We have to start winning games now, so we don’t have to use so much energy at the end of the season to be in the position we want to be in,” Jackson said. Jackson hasn’t played well in his returns to Conseco Fieldhouse since being traded by Indiana to Golden State during the 2006-07 season. He scored 36 points Feb. 5, 2007 in a victory in his first game back with the Warriors before averaging 17.2 on 36.4 percent shooting in his next five - all losses.
Point guard D.J. Augustin has poor numbers against Indiana, shooting 25.5 percent in seven career games. He had 18 points on 7 of 11 from the field Tuesday, and the Bobcats want to see more of that. “We are a better team and we’re more aggressive when he is aggressive,” Jackson said. “The offense opens up and when he comes off pick-and-rolls and is aggressive to score, that opens up shots for me and Gerald. I think when D.J. is aggressive, the team is better.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Indiana by 6; O/U 193
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Indiana -6.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Indiana -6.54
___________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 51-28 ATS (+20.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 94.8, OPPONENT 94.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 97.2, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--INDIANA is 39-18 UNDER (+19.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 99.2, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 31-12 UNDER (+14.6 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 98.6, OPPONENT 100.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--INDIANA is 2-14 against the 1rst half line (-13.3 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 51.3, OPPONENT 57.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 66-43 against the 1rst half line (+18.5 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.0, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--INDIANA is 38-17 UNDER (+19.1 Units) the 1rst half total in home games against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 49.0, OPPONENT 46.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 44.5, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - good free throw shooting team - making >=76% of their free throws, slow-down team averaging 76 or less shots/game on the season.
(120-62 since 1996.) (65.9%, +51.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.2, Opponent 46.1 (Total first half points scored = 94.3)
The situation's record this season is: (6-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-17).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (41-25).
______________________________________________
*** OKLAHOMA CITY @ NEW ORLEANS (-3, O/U 197) ***
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chris Paul has never lost a home game against the Oklahoma Thunder franchise. He’s pointing to Friday night’s matchup to gauge the level of his team’s defense. Paul looks to improve to 9-0 in his career at home against the Thunder, who are trying to beat the New Orleans Hornets for the second time this season. New Orleans limited Detroit to 37.5 percent shooting Wednesday in a 93-74 victory. The Hornets bounced back from Sunday’s 109-84 loss at San Antonio in which the Spurs shot 58.6 percent - the highest mark this season against New Orleans.
Paul is averaging 18.1 points and 10.0 assists in eight home games against the Thunder franchise. He played in 10 straight wins in the series overall before Oklahoma City won 95-89 at home Nov. 29 despite his 17 points and 14 assists. Kevin Durant had 26 points and 11 rebounds in that victory - his third straight over the Hornets. Durant lost his first seven games against New Orleans despite a 26.0 scoring average. More telling in this matchup is the improvement Russell Westbrook has shown when facing the Hornets. Westbrook averaged 14.2 points on 35.6 percent shooting and 5.8 assists in losing his first five games to New Orleans before averaging 22.7 points and 10.0 assists in winning the last three.
Wednesday’s victory was the Hornets’ first game since the league announced its planned purchase of the club. David West scored 25 points and Marco Belinelli added 22. “We’ve got an understanding of what the situation is, but we’ve got to be able to separate that from what we can control and just go out here and play ball,” West said. “The best situation for us is to win games and make what this organization is attractive by winning games and move on from there.”
Oklahoma City is trying to complete a three-game trip with a winning mark. Durant had 30 points and 11 rebounds and Westbrook scored 25 as the Thunder rallied from a 19-point deficit in Wednesday’s 111-103 victory at Minnesota. “We’ve been through a lot,” Durant said. “We’ve lost games down the stretch, won games down the stretch. We’ve won big, we’ve lost big. So, we’ve been through a lot and we’ve learned a lot in those times. We were able to come out here and get a good win.”
Coach Scott Brooks altered his rotation a bit Wednesday, resting Durant and Jeff Green for a longer stretch in the third quarter than he has in the past. The Thunder outscored Minnesota 27-17 in the fourth, improving to 12-0 when scoring at least 105 points. “We are growing into a good team, not only physically are guys are getting better, but mentally,” Brooks said. “The experiences that they’ve gone through, not only this year, but last season. It helps. We’re not going to win every close game, but we know that we have a chance to win games.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 3.5; O/U 200
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -5.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans -6.21
_________________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.6, OPPONENT 101.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.8, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 89-61 UNDER (+21.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 92.8, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 27-9 UNDER (+17.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 96.3, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 35-61 against the 1rst half line (-32.1 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.4, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 41-63 against the 1rst half line (-28.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 49.9, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 51-29 UNDER (+18.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 46.5, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 62-40 UNDER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 46.4, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
------------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a win against a division rival, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record.
(84-43 since 1996.) (66.1%, +36.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98
The average first half score in these games was: Team 46.2, Opponent 49.4 (Total first half points scored = 95.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-8).
_____________________________________________
Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
___________________________________________
*** DETROIT @ MINNESOTA (-3, O/U 200.5) ***
-----------------------------------------------------------------
It’s been nearly a month since the Detroit Pistons won away from home. If they can duplicate their recent performances against the Minnesota Timberwolves, that drought could end Friday night. Detroit will attempt to snap its seven-game road skid by earning its sixth consecutive win at the Target Center. Already averaging an NBA-worst 87.5 points on the road, the Pistons’ scoring has proved even more meager during their losing streak. Detroit is averaging 81.9 and had its second-worst shooting performance of the season (37.5 percent) during Wednesday night’s 93-74 loss at New Orleans.
“We couldn’t score. Our guys were trying hard,” said coach John Kuester, whose team has lost six of seven overall. “When the ball is not going in the hole, it puts you in a bind and you have to put so much pressure on your defense.” If there’s some hope for Kuester’s beleaguered club, it’s the chance to face a Minnesota team that’s one of the league’s worst defensive squads. The Pistons have averaged 101.2 points and shot 46.0 percent during their five consecutive road wins in the series.
Losers in eight of nine, the Timberwolves are allowing 109.4 points per game and have kept an opponent under the century mark only four times. That’s helped spoil some strong efforts from an offense that’s averaged 102.3 points 107.0 at home. Minnesota scored 40 points in a quarter for the first time this season to open Wednesday night’s game against visiting Oklahoma City, but saw an 18-point lead evaporate in a 111-103 defeat. The Timberwolves allowed 31 points in each of the next two quarters and were outscored 27-17 in the final period. With its fourth loss in five home contests, Minnesota dropped to 1-8 in games decided by eight points or fewer.
Michael Beasley scored at least 25 points for the 10th time in 13 games with 26, and Kevin Love had 22 points and 21 rebounds for his fifth 20-20 performance. The Timberwolves’ young stars, though, were 3 of 18 from the field in the fourth quarter. “We got to learn how to finish games. That’s our biggest problem,” Beasley said. “We got to find a way to grind it out.”
The Timberwolves held an 11-point lead entering the fourth quarter at home April 14 against Detroit but were outscored 35-19 en route to a 103-98 loss. Charlie Villanueva had 13 of his 16 points in that quarter as the Pistons posted their third straight win over Minnesota and sixth in seven games. Detroit’s road losing streak is it’s longest since dropping 11 in a row Feb. 24-April 3.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Minnesota by 3.5; O/U 202.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Minnesota -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Minnesota -3.72
________________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 34-56 ATS (-27.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 98.9, OPPONENT 103.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--MINNESOTA is 43-62 ATS (-25.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 98.2, OPPONENT 105.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 97.5, OPPONENT 104.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 99.8, OPPONENT 105.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 31-12 OVER (+16.5 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 101.5, OPPONENT 109.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 26-9 OVER (+16.1 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 95.1, OPPONENT 101.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 52-78 against the 1rst half line (-33.8 Units) versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.9, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--MINNESOTA is 14-34 against the 1rst half line (-23.4 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.5, OPPONENT 57.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 59-33 UNDER (+22.5 Units) the 1rst half total as a home favorite of 1.5 points or less vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.0, OPPONENT 47.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 53-32 UNDER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 46.1, OPPONENT 49.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games.
(40-16 since 1996.) (71.4%, +22.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.1
The average score in these games was: Team 108.4, Opponent 100.4 (Total points scored = 208.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 27 (51.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-12).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (DETROIT) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games.
(49-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.0%, +25.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.8, Opponent 48.2 (Total first half points scored = 98.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (83-72).
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*** LA LAKERS (PK, O/U 199.5) @ CHICAGO ***
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No matter how much the Chicago Bulls may have improved in the last few years, they haven’t found a way to beat the Los Angeles Lakers. Winners of three straight overall, the Bulls seek to end a seven-game losing streak against the two-time defending champion Lakers on Friday night. Chicago has shown steady progress since finishing 33-49 in 2007-08, then drafting Derrick Rose with the first overall pick. After playoff appearances in Rose’s first two seasons, the Bulls may be poised for more as the early leaders in a lackluster Central Division.
Rose, averaging a team-high and career-high 25.1 points, scored 30 when these teams met Nov. 23 in Los Angeles, but the Bulls lost 98-91. It was their seventh straight defeat in this series and the fifth in a row since Rose joined the team. The Lakers have also won three straight in Chicago and nine of the last 10 in the series overall. “They put a lot of pressure on us,” Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau said after last month’s meeting. “The Lakers are a heck of a defensive team. You’ve got to make quick decisions against them.”
Rose’s ability to hit the outside jumper as well as attack the basket may help in breaking down the Lakers’ defense. The point guard capitalized on a mismatch late in Chicago’s 88-83 victory Wednesday in Cleveland, driving the lane and converting on a three-point play to put the Bulls ahead for good. “I have confidence in my game where if they are backing up on me I will shoot,” said Rose, who finished with 29 points. “If they are on me, I came into this league because of driving (to the basket).” Rose helped Chicago overcome a poor game from Carlos Boozer who sat the entire four quarter and totaled four points.
Boozer’s inside presence may be needed against a Lakers team boasting seven-footer Pau Gasol and possibly Andrew Bynum who Los Angeles hopes can return at some point during its lengthy road trip. The Lakers didn’t need to leave Los Angeles to begin their first of two seven-game trips this season, winning as the visiting team against the Staples Center co-tenant Clippers 87-86 on Wednesday night on Derek Fisher’s layup as time expired. Kobe Bryant scored 24 points and Shannon Brown added 16 off the bench for the Lakers, who have won three straight after a four-game losing streak.
Brown scored 21 points in last month’s win over the Bulls, helping the Los Angeles reserves outscore Chicago’s 39-10. Brown, a suburban Chicago native who played sparingly in six games for the Bulls in 2007-08, has flourished as a role player since joining the Lakers. “I always want to play well against the place I came from,” Brown said in November. “I grew up watching the Bulls. I was a Bulls fan.” Not counting a 42-point effort Dec. 15, 2009, Bryant has averaged only 21.0 points in the Lakers’ other six victories over the Bulls during the current streak.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Lakers by 1.5; O/U 204.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Lakers -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Lakers -1.79
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 4-19 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 99.2, OPPONENT 100.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 42-21 ATS (+18.7 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 103.8, OPPONENT 97.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 109.6, OPPONENT 108.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 90-64 OVER (+19.6 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 102.4, OPPONENT 97.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--LA LAKERS are 44-72 against the 1rst half line (-35.2 Units) in a road game where the first half total is 98 to 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 49.3, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA LAKERS are 56-81 against the 1rst half line (-33.1 Units) vs. poor free throw shooting teams - making <=71% of their attempts since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 49.5, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 46.9, OPPONENT 43.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 46-25 UNDER (+18.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 51.4, OPPONENT 47.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(29-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.6%, +21.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (29-8 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.1
The average score in these games was: Team 100, Opponent 94.4 (Average point differential = +5.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 20 (55.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (68-41).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CHICAGO) - after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less.
(28-7 since 1996.) (80.0%, +20.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194.3
The average score in these games was: Team 102.2, Opponent 100.3 (Total points scored = 202.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 20 (57.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
--PLAY ON - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(37-11 since 1996.) (77.1%, +24.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.7, Opponent 44.4 (Average first half point differential = +6.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
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STAN "THE MAN'S 2010 COLLEGE BOWL BONANZA! Last year’s selections went 12-2-1, (85.7%) for a net profit of $5150. Receive Stan 'The Man's Highly Acclaimed Stat/Systems Report every day as and added bonus when you sign up now for our 2010 Bowl Bonanza. Get every College Football Release from Stan thru the BCS Championship game on January 10th including his Hugh *6-Star College Bowl Game. The cost is only $399.00 that’s a 50% saving if you act today! The College Bowl Bonanza package has gone 58-16-5 (78.4%) the last 5 years for a net profit of $20,570! "Call me Toll-Free today at 1-800-351-4640 to order, you'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** HOUSTON @ MILWAUKEE (-3.5, O/U 196) ***
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After a disappointing start to the season, the Milwaukee Bucks are hoping a last-second victory can help them turn things around. The Bucks will try to avoid another loss to the Houston Rockets when the teams meet Friday night at the Bradley Center. Milwaukee made its first playoff appearance in four seasons in 2009-10, but while dealing with multiple injuries, it has struggled to get going early on.
Andrew Bogut who missed five straight games Nov. 24-Dec. 1 due to back spasms, hit the winning basket at the buzzer in a 97-95 victory over Indiana on Wednesday night. He finished with 17 points and 11 rebounds. With the score tied and 0.5 seconds remaining, Luc Richard inbounded the ball from the sideline throwing it towards the rim allowing Bogut to tap the ball in for the victory. “The Pacers have beaten some good teams and to get a win like this it feels good to get this in the final seconds,” said Bogut, who has averaged 19.7 points and 14.0 rebounds over three games since his return.
“We knew it was going to be a tough night and hopefully we can get things rolling.” Brandon Jennings scored 22 points and is averaging 22.9 over his last seven games. The Bucks, averaging an NBA-low 91.2 points, will likely need another solid effort from Jennings if they hope to keep up with Houston, which ranks among the highest-scoring teams in the NBA with 105.3 points per game. Drew Gooden missed his third straight game with plantar fasciitis and is unlikely to face the Rockets. Only four players have participated in all 21 games for the Bucks.
The Rockets have also been hit with the injury bug, playing their previous 14 games without Yao Ming and Aaron Brooks who continue to deal with ankle injuries. Luis Scola and Kyle Lowry did their best to make up for their absences in a 97-83 win over Detroit on Tuesday night. Scola scored 35 points - 10 in the fourth quarter - and pulled down 12 rebounds, while Lowry had 22 points and matched a career high with 12 assists.
Lowry - a career 27.6 percent shooter from 3-point range - has gone 11 of 19 (57.9) over his last four games, during which the Rockets have posted a 3-1 record. “I’ve worked on my game,” he told the team’s official website. “You only get better at shooting 3s and shooting game shots by shooting them in games. Lately I’ve been shooting those shots in games and it comes with confidence, comes with the minutes and comes with the reps.” Houston also came away with a great defensive effort against the Pistons, as the 17 points it surrendered over the final 12 minutes were a season low.
“We struggled early in the season closing these types of games and later on we were able to play harder and better when the game was on the line in the fourth quarter,” said Scola, averaging 31.0 points in his last two games. “We have kind of shaken out all of that fear that we were having at the beginning of the season and we are closing the games better.” The Rockets have taken 10 of the previous 11 meetings with the Bucks, including 127-99 in Milwaukee on Feb. 17.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Milwaukee by 1.5; O/U 196.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Milwaukee -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Milwaukee -2.69
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 34-14 ATS (+18.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 99.3, OPPONENT 94.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 103.3, OPPONENT 94.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 9-24 ATS (-17.2 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 100.6, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 52-28 OVER (+21.2 Units) in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 100.0, OPPONENT 98.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 42-20 OVER (+20.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 97.6, OPPONENT 101.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 27-10 against the 1rst half line (+15.8 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 49.4, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 29-12 against the 1rst half line (+15.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 53.5, OPPONENT 48.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 38-18 UNDER (+18.2 Units) the 1rst half total as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 49.2, OPPONENT 46.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) the 1rst half total vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 45.1, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 89-51 UNDER (+32.9 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog of 2 to 3 points vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 45.8, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Any team (MILWAUKEE) - poor shooting team - shooting <=43% on the season, good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game.
(91-55 over the last 5 seasons.) (62.3%, +30.5 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 188.3
The average score in these games was: Team 94.6, Opponent 97.7 (Total points scored = 192.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 72 (49% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (12-13).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-29).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (465-405).
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*** ATLANTA @ SAN ANTONIO (-8, O/U 196) ***
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For the second time in three nights, a team is visiting San Antonio seeking its first win there since February 1997. This one seems to have a much better chance than the last one. The Atlanta Hawks have quietly been one of the league’s hotter teams and a recent lineup change has been very effective, but they face the league-best Spurs on Friday night in a city where they haven’t won since Tim Duncan’s arrival.
While San Antonio has been overshadowed lately by division rival Dallas’ double-digit winning streak, the Hawks have received little attention in the Eastern Conference as Boston and Miami have put together lengthy runs. Atlanta has won seven of eight, the only loss coming at Miami. No East team has a better road record than the Hawks’ 8-3 mark, but Atlanta has lost all 12 trips to San Antonio since Duncan joined the Spurs in the 1997-98 season.
Golden State’s last win there came Feb. 14, 1997. The struggling Warriors dropped their 25th straight in San Antonio with a 111-94 loss Wednesday. The Hawks, though, did end a seven-game losing streak in the series with a 119-104 overtime victory March 21. That’s one of San Antonio’s only four losses in the past 23 meetings overall. It also ended a 15-game run in the series during which Atlanta failed to score more than 95 points. The Hawks are coming off one of their best offensive performances, with season highs of 34 assists and 60.3 percent shooting in a 116-101 win over New Jersey on Tuesday.
Josh Smith had a season-high 34 points in his second game shifting from power forward to small forward, one night after posting 19 points and 13 rebounds in an 80-74 road win over Southeast Division leader Orlando. That change allowed center Jason Collins to start while Al Horford switched back to power forward. Marvin Williams was moved to the backcourt to replace an ineffective Maurice Evans who was filling in for Joe Johnson. Atlanta is 4-1 since Johnson was lost to an elbow injury.
The Spurs are relatively healthy, and a good balance offensively has keyed their current three-game win streak. At least five players scored in double figures in each victory. Duncan had only eight points Wednesday but was among nine Spurs to score at least seven and no starter played more than 29 minutes for a second straight game. “Well hopefully we’re putting something in the bank when we need guys to play 38 or 42 minutes,” Coach Gregg Popovich said. The Spurs are 3-0 on a six-game homestand, and the only loss in their last 10 home games came to Dallas.
“We just try to play well at home, win as much games as we can because we know the second part of our schedule is going to be a lot of games on the road,” said guard Tony Parker averaging 19.2 points at home compared to 14.2 on the road. Backcourt mate Manu Ginobili has been struggling, averaging 12.8 points and 29.3 percent shooting in four games this month, but he scored 38 in the last matchup with Atlanta.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 10.5; O/U 192.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -11
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -9.78
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 98-59 ATS (+33.1 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 97.4, OPPONENT 88.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 44-22 ATS (+19.6 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 99.5, OPPONENT 90.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 87.3, OPPONENT 99.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 41-22 UNDER (+16.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 97.1, OPPONENT 88.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 56-35 UNDER (+17.5 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 94.4, OPPONENT 94.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 90.7, OPPONENT 95.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 14-2 against the 1rst half line (+11.7 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 52.9, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 44-78 against the 1rst half line (-41.8 Units) after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 47.2, OPPONENT 50.9 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 80-50 UNDER (+25.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 45.3, OPPONENT 48.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 62-37 UNDER (+21.3 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 45.3, OPPONENT 49.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points.
(24-4 since 1996.) (85.7%, +19.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-3)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.3
The average score in these games was: Team 109.3, Opponent 97.9 (Average point differential = +11.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-1).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better.
(26-8 since 1996.) (76.5%, +17.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 195.1
The average score in these games was: Team 92.9, Opponent 91.5 (Total points scored = 184.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (64.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-7).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games.
(49-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.1%, +29.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.1, Opponent 43.6 (Total first half points scored = 92.7)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (78-57).
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NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** ORLANDO @ UTAH (-2.5, O/U 192) ***
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The Utah Jazz averaged more than 33 home wins over the last four seasons. Meeting that average would be a major accomplishment for the Jazz in 2010-11 given how they’ve started at EnergySolutions Arena. Coming off a rare home loss to an Eastern Conference opponent, Northwest Division-leading Utah closes a six-game stretch in Salt Lake City on Friday night against the Orlando Magic, who could fall into third place in the Southeast if they don’t end a season-high three-game losing streak.
While Utah has the leagues best home record since the start of 2006-07 142-36, the club is just 9-5 there this season compared to 32-9 in 2009-10. Wednesday’s 111-98 loss to Miami was just Utah’s second home setback in 25 games against East opponents since Jan. 24, 2009. “If you would have told me before the season that we would be a better road team than a home team, I would have laughed at you,” said Deron Williams who finished with 21 points four in the second half and 12 assists. “Hopefully we get it going.”
Jazz coach Jerry Sloan, whose team plays seven of nine on the road to end 2010, hopes that improvement starts on the defensive end. After Utah held teams to 90.8 points and 41.6 percent shooting during a 9-2 stretch from Nov. 17-Dec. 6, the Heat shot 51.3 percent while outrebounding the Jazz 42-28. “I thought Miami was more physical than we were,” Sloan said. Utah is among just a handful of teams averaging fewer than 40 rebounds. “We’ve always been a good rebounding team since I’ve been here,” Williams said prior to Thursday’s practice. “I don’t know why (we’re not now), but we’ve got to do a better job.”
Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap will face a tough test on the boards with Magic center Dwight Howard who is among the league leaders with 12.3 rebounds per game. In his second game since missing two with a stomach virus, Howard had a season-high 39 points with 15 boards and three blocks in Thursday’s 97-83 loss at Portland. A season-high six-game winning streak gave the Magic a 2 1/2-game divisional lead on Dec. 3, but a fourth consecutive loss Friday, it would be the team’s first such stretch since Jan. 2-8 - plus Miami and Atlanta victories, will drop Orlando into third.
“We have to play the game better and we have to play it with a lot more energy, alertness and cohesiveness,” said Coach Stan Van Gundy, whose team is scoring 80.7 points per game on shooting 40.5 percent during its skid. Orlando, though, is getting healthy again after a stomach bug sidelined Howard, J.J. Redick, Mickael Pietrus and Jameer Nelson who finished with 10 points and five rebounds on Thursday after being out the previous three games.
Following a two-game absence with a sprained left ankle, Nelson had 19 points and seven assists as the Magic fell 104-94 to the Jazz on Nov. 10. Orlando led by as many as 18 in the third quarter but committed 21 turnovers and suffered its first loss at the new Amway Center. The Magic had a franchise-record eight-game road winning streak snapped in their last visit to Salt Lake City, a 120-111 loss exactly one year ago. Howard recorded his fifth straight double-double while visiting the Jazz with 18 points and 10 boards. The teams have alternated wins in the last nine matchups in Utah.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 4; O/U 195
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -3.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -3.98
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--UTAH is 40-18 ATS (+20.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 104.4, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 41-20 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 104.0, OPPONENT 97.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 94.3, OPPONENT 94.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 66-41 UNDER (+20.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 100.6, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--ORLANDO is 34-13 UNDER (+19.5 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 100.0, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 41-22 against the 1rst half line (+17.9 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 53.5, OPPONENT 48.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 21-41 against the 1rst half line (-24.1 Units) in road games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was ORLANDO 47.5, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 46-21 UNDER (+22.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 44.5, OPPONENT 42.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--ORLANDO is 54-31 UNDER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 49.3, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (ORLANDO) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 10 or more, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season.
(33-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +20.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 100.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.6, Opponent 47.2 (Total first half points scored = 98.7)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (67-35).
--PLAY AGAINST - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite.
(53-23 since 1996.) (69.7%, +27.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.8, Opponent 46.8 (Average first half point differential = +3.1)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-12).
______________________________________________
*** PORTLAND @ PHOENIX (-5.5, O/U 205) ***
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Earlier this week, the Phoenix Suns were unsuccessful in going for their longest winning streak of the season at the expense of the Portland Trail Blazers. This time, they’re trying to avoid matching their longest slide, and their bench could provide the difference. The Suns attempt to gain a measure of revenge as they host the Trail Blazers on Friday night. Phoenix has lost twice to Portland already this season, but both were on the road. The Suns committed 19 turnovers Tuesday in the most recent matchup, a 106-99 defeat that ended a three-game winning streak that matched their longest of 2010-11.
Phoenix failed to rebound from that performance the following night, losing 104-98 in overtime to Memphis. The Suns got 58 points from their bench, which forced the extra session by helping them outscore the Grizzlies 28-14 in the fourth quarter. “It was a really tough loss,” said forward Grant Hill who finished with 10 points. “The fourth quarter was unbelievable. The second unit was awesome, but I’m still in shock at what happened.” Now, the Suns are left hoping they can avoid matching their season-high three-game slide that occurred on the road from Nov. 17-20.
Phoenix has won six of eight at home, averaging 112.0 points in the victories. The Suns have also dominated the Trail Blazers at US Airways Center, winning 18 of the last 22 meetings. Two victories came in the first round of the 2010 playoffs, including a 107-88 series-clinching win as the reserves totaled 55 points. The Suns’ bench could be key again Friday, as it leads the Western Conference with 38.2 points per game and has averaged 42.3 over the last seven games.
“It’s tough trying to play 10 guys, but one of the advantages of having 10 guys that are pretty good players is that you can try to manufacture some kind of lineup that can help get you back into the game,” coach Alvin Gentry told the team’s official website. “We just got to keep searching and see what we find.” Guard Steve Nash may be looking to improve upon his performance from Wednesday as he scored 11 points with seven assists and eight turnovers. The two-time MVP had 24 points and 15 assists against the Blazers the previous night.
Portland is looking to show improvement on the road as it opens a four-game trip with stops in San Antonio and Dallas, the current owners of the two best records in the West. The Trail Blazers went 0-4 on their last trip and have dropped seven of eight as the visitor. They haven’t endured five consecutive road defeats since Feb. 4-25, 2009. Portland, however, swept its three-game homestand since its last road jaunt, capping the stretch with an impressive 97-83 win over Southeast Division-leading Orlando on Thursday.
Having Andre Miller back for this visit to Phoenix should help. The guard had 22 points, eight assists and seven rebounds Thursday after serving a one-game suspension against the Suns for “excessive and unnecessary contact” with Blake Griffin during Sunday’s 100-91 win over the Los Angeles Clippers. “My motivation was to keep my emotions intact - come back normal, like it was any other game,” said Miller, who has averaged 22.8 points and 8.0, assists in his last five visits to Phoenix.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Phoenix by 4.5; O/U 205.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Phoenix -5.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Phoenix -5.46
______________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 64-41 ATS (+18.7 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 97.7, OPPONENT 95.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 19-3 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 101.3, OPPONENT 100.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 85-55 OVER (+24.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 106.3, OPPONENT 100.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHOENIX is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) after playing a home game this season.
The average score was PHOENIX 114.8, OPPONENT 115.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--PORTLAND is 26-7 OVER (+18.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 96.8, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 65-43 against the 1rst half line (+17.7 Units) versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.1, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 28-10 against the 1rst half line (+17.0 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.8, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 89-57 UNDER (+26.3 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total >= 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 50.2, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--PORTLAND is 61-40 UNDER (+17.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.7, OPPONENT 47.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(74-37 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.7%, +33.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (41-71 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.4
The average score in these games was: Team 95.8, Opponent 98.8 (Average point differential = -3.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 41 (36.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (33-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (159-117).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PORTLAND) - after a game where they covered the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(91-49 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.0%, +37.1 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.2
The average score in these games was: Team 103, Opponent 105.7 (Total points scored = 208.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 69 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (44-32).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (175-128).
______________________________________
__________________________________________________
*** MIAMI (-9, O/U 204) @ GOLDEN STATE ***
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Things appear to be falling into place for the Miami Heat. A visit to the sputtering Golden State Warriors shouldn’t pose too many problems, either. The Heat look to extend their season-high winning streak to seven when they face the Warriors on Friday night. Less than two weeks ago Miami was being highly criticized while having trouble living up to the hype surrounding its Big Three of LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh during a 1-4 stretch that included losses at Dallas and Orlando. Winning six in a row by an average of 16.5 points has suddenly quieted those comments and concerns.
“We’re playing better basketball,” center Zydrunas Ilgauskas said. “If you look at the games, it’s obvious. But we still have a ways to go.” While the Heat’s winning streak has included victories over four sub-.500 teams, they made an impressive statement with a 111-98 win at Northwest Division-leading Utah on Wednesday. “Right now every win is significant,” said James, who had 33 points, nine assists and seven rebounds. “When you go into a building like this, a hostile environment with a team that’s very good, great in this building, it’s always good to get a win like this.” James is hitting 54.3 percent of his shots and has topped 30 points three times during the last six games, equaling his total over the first 17 with his new team.
The reigning two-time MVP, who leads Miami with averages of 24.1 points and 7.3 assists, could be in for another big performance against Golden State. He’s averaging 28.8 points per game with 7.9 assists over 13 meetings, but 33.3 points with 10.3 assists in the last three. Ilgauskas, James’ former teammate in Cleveland, also appears to be getting more comfortable with his new club. He got his first double-double of the season Wednesday with 16 points and 10 rebounds after failing to score while totaling seven boards over the previous three games. His effort in the paint was a big reason Miami held a 42-28 rebounding advantage over the Jazz.
“The biggest thing is rebounding,” Ilgauskas said. “We’re winning all the rebounding battles game after game after game. Before we were not. We have the same guys, but we’re doing it with more effort, doing it collectively.” Wade, who had 28 points Wednesday, is averaging 34.4 points in his last five meetings with the Warriors. That has been key to the Heat winning four in a row over Golden State, while taking five of the last six visits to Oakland.
The Warriors are mired in a 1-10 stretch that includes two season-high five-game losing streaks and a four-game slide at home. They haven’t dropped five in a row at Oracle Arena since a six-game skid from March 1-24, 2002. Golden State’s most recent six-game slide occurred from March 2-11, and started with a 110-106 loss at Miami as Wade scored 35 points in the most recent matchup. The Warriors lost star guard Stephen Curry to a sprained right ankle in the second quarter of a 111-94 defeat to the Spurs on Wednesday, Golden State’s 25th straight loss in San Antonio. Curry, whose status is uncertain, is second on the team with 20.1 points per game behind Monta Ellis (24.5).
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 12.5; O/U 201.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -11.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -10.79
______________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 101.3, OPPONENT 104.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 110.6, OPPONENT 111.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 95.9, OPPONENT 96.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--MIAMI is 1-12 ATS (-12.1 Units) after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 89.8, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 31-10 UNDER (+19.8 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 104.4, OPPONENT 108.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 44-16 UNDER (+26.4 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 84.8, OPPONENT 89.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 48-75 against the 1rst half line (-34.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as a road underdog since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 48.6, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--MIAMI is 39-18 against the 1rst half line (+18.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 51.6, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 36-15 against the 1rst half line (+18.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 52.3, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 43.6, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 45.1, OPPONENT 56.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 86-60 UNDER (+20.0 Units) the 1rst half total after 4 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.7, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 47-25 UNDER (+19.5 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 44.3, OPPONENT 45.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (GOLDEN STATE) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(25-5 since 1996.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 57.8, Opponent 47.8 (Average first half point differential = +10.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-5).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (MIAMI) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games.
(27-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.5, Opponent 49.6 (Total first half points scored = 99.1)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (43-21).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games.
(30-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.9%, +21.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 205.4
The average score in these games was: Team 101.3, Opponent 93.8 (Total points scored = 195.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (65.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (42-20).
