Service Plays Friday 11/12/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CHRIS JORDAN

OPENING GAME OF THE YEAR

500* Western Kentucky -2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BRANDON LANG

MONEY MOVE
10 DIME* Idaho/Boise State OVER 64

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DEREK MANCINI

COLLEGE WINNER #6 IN A ROW
15 DIME* Ball State

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE GAFFNEY

UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT GAME OF THE YEAR
Penn State +18

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NORM HITZGES
November 12-15, 2010
NCAA
Double Plays
·******** Oklahoma -15 vs Texas Tech
·******** NC State -19 vs Wake Forest
·******** Marshall -17 vs Memphis
·******** Arkansas -28.5 vs UTEP
·******** Ohio State -17.5 vs Penn State

Single Plays
·******** California +19.5 vs Oregon
·******** ULaMonroe +32.5 vs LSU
·******** Ball State +3 vs Buffalo
·******** Georgia Tech +3 vs Miami, FL
·******** Iowa -10.5 vs Northwestern
·******** Baylor +3 vs Texas A&M
·******** Nebraska -35 vs Kansas
·******** Florida -6.5 vs South Carolina
·******** Kentucky -14.5 vs Vanderbilt
·******** W. Michigan -18 vs E. Michigan
·******** BYU -6.5 vs Colorado State
·******** Oregon State -23.5 vs Washington State
·******** Tulsa +2.5 vs Houston

NFL
Double Plays
·******** Philadelphia -3 vs Washington
·******** Houston +2 vs Jacksonville

Single Plays
·******** Tennessee -1.5 vs Miami
·******** Minnesota -1 vs Chicago
·******** Detroit +3 vs Buffalo
·******** Cleveland +3 vs NY Jets
·******** Chicago/Minnesota Over 43
·******** Baltimore/New England Over 44.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SB Professor

Friday's NBA Pick:
Los Angeles Clippers -1*
Atlanta Hawks -3.5
Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5*

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

INDIAN COWBOY

4 UNIT* NCAA: Old Dominion PK
4 UNIT* NBA: Philly +9
4 UNIT* NHL: Under Pittsburgh

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

COMPS:

1. NSA(The Legend) NBA - Knicks -3
2. Ray "The Playmaker" Bowden CBB - NC Greensboro +20
3. VegasSI.com CBB - Rider +5
4. SportsAction365.com NBA - Kings +7.5
5. Gameday Network NBA - Knicks under 214.5
6. William E. Stockton NBA - Bobcats over 189
7. Gerry "Big Cat" Andino CBB - UNLV -21
8. Lou Panelli CBB - Michigan State -22.5
9. Steve "Scoop" Kendall NBA - Bobcats over 189
10. Vincent Pioli NBA - Jazz over 200
11. John Morrison NBA - Magic -14
12. Tony Campone CBB - Iowa State -8
13. Chicago Sports Group CBB - Temple -5
14. Hollywood Sportsline CBB - Virginia -10
15. VIP Action CBB - UNLV -21
16. South Beach Sports CBB - Southern Mississippi +2.5
17. Michigan Sports CBB - Fresno State +22.5
18. NY Players Club NBA - Jazz over 200
19. Charlies Sports NBA - Jazz +4
20. Fred Callahan CBB - Northern Iowa +11

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

2UNDERDOGS SPORTS

FRIDAY NIGHT:
10 UNIT* 7:00pm - GEORGETOWN HOYAS -1.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Accuscore NHL Totals

4 UNIT* 55 Colorado Avalanche/Columbus Blue Jackets Over 5½
4 UNIT* 59 Calgary Flames/Phoenix Coyotes Under 5½
3 UNIT* 57 Minnesota Wild/Florida Panthers Over 5½
2 UNIT* 53 Edmonton Oilers/New Jersey Devils Over 5½
2 UNIT* 61 Dallas Stars/Anaheim Ducks Over 5½ -118*

 

[dettim]

NCAAFB 111210

Ball State +3.0

BALST are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 road games.

GL Guys,
det tim

 

[justwin+]

Seabass comp 20-4-1 run!! This is better than his paid plays by far

ODU PK

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA DUNKEL

New York at Minnesota
The Knicks look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that is 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 games as a home underdog. New York is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Knicks favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: New York (-3). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 12

Game 701-702: Utah at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.482; Atlanta 123.536
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 200
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4); Under

Game 703-704: Houston at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.043; Indiana 119.761
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 219
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4 1/2; 214
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+4 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Toronto at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 114.638; Orlando 131.710
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 17; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 13 1/2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-13 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Charlotte at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 114.789; Washington 113.007
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 1; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+1); Over

Game 709-710: New York at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 116.012; Minnesota 108.180
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 8; 217
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3; 214
Dunkel Pick: New York (-3); Over

Game 711-712: Philadelphia at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 115.633; Dallas 124.370
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 8 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 9 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+9 1/2); Under

Game 713-714: Sacramento at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 112.217; Phoenix 124.826
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 12 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Portland at Oklahoma City (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 118.842; Oklahoma City 116.112
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+2 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Detroit at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 111.660; LA Clippers 114.768
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3; 184
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1; 190
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-1); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB WRITE-UP

College Basketball Knowledge
This is the unofficial "Opening Night" for college basketball; not lot of information to go on, but we'll give you what we can as we buckle in for lot of research and hopefully a great college hoop season..........

-- Georgetown/OldDominion both have four starters back from last year; Monarchs were 27-9/15-3, and upset the Hoyas 61-57. This is a bigger game for them. Hoyas are less talented but tougher without Monroe.

-- Northern Iowa had magical 30-5 season LY, upsetting Kansas in first round of NCAAs, but they've lost three starters, just like Syracuse did. UNI's problem is that Syracuse reloads with better players.

-- Seton Hall has four starters back from LY but new coach. Temple was 29-6 LY, winning 71-65 at Seton Hall; Owls have three starters back, are picked to win A-14. Seton Hall is picked 10th in 16-team Big East.

-- Rutgers won last five games vs Princeton, holding Tigers to 45.8 ppg; Scarlet Knights won last two games here, 49-44/53-47. Rutgers has new coach, thin roster; Princeton is expected to win first Ivy title in six years.

-- Northwestern beat Northern Illinois 77-55 at home LY; Wildcats have never made NCAAs, but are expected to this year. Huskies lost three of their five returning starters since last season ended, bad news for coach Patton, who is 26-61 in his first three years in DeKalb.

-- Fordham brought in new coach after 2-26 season; he brought in pair of freshman PGs from NYC area. Brown has four starters back from 11-20 team that went 5-9 in Ivy LY but is picked to finish 4th in Ivy this year.

-- Pacific has three starters back from 23-14 team that won three games on road in CIT last March. UTEP was 26-7 LY, but lost its coach and two starters; new coach Floyd has seven seniors to work with.

-- Denver has four starters back from LY's 19-13 team; they took trip in offseason, usually a good sign. UCSB has four starters back from LY's 20-10 team and is picked to win Big West. Was announced this week that Denver will be leaving Sun Belt, joining WAC next year.

-- Tennessee had terrible offseason, is headed to probation, then lost to D-II Indianapolis by 14 during week. Chattanooga has four starters back from LY and also welcomes three transfers into the lineup.

-- Wofford has four starters back from 26-9 team that lost to Wisconsin by 4 in NCAAs LY (was tied in last 1:20). Minnesota has four starters back from LY's 21-14 team that broke even (9-9) in Big 11.

-- Iona has all five starters back from LY but has new coach who had a 93-28 record in D-II. Kent State has eight new players after losing first round game in MAC tourney as top seed. Game is in Cleveland, which helps Kent State.

-- Home side won last six St Bonaventure-Canisius games; Bonnies lost last three visits here, by 2-9-6 points. Canisius has four senior starters but a new PG. Bonnies had rough offseason, losing number of transfers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL DUNKEL

Edmonton at New Jersey
The Oilers look to take advantage of a New Jersey team that is 0-8 in its last 8 games as a home favorite. Edmonton is the pick (+155) according to Dunkel, which has the Oilers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick Edmonton (+155). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 12

Game 51-52: Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.261; Pittsburgh 12.090
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-170); 6
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-170); Under

Game 53-54: Edmonton at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.051; New Jersey 10.297
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+155); Over

Game 55-56: Colorado at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.336; Columbus 11.536
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+125); Over

Game 57-58: Minnesota at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.524; Florida 11.695
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-160); Under

Game 59-60: Calgary at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.519; Phoenix 11.878
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-125); Over

Game 61-62: Dallas at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.202; Anaheim 10.725
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+130); Under

 

[canadianbookie]

SPORTSHANDICAPPERKING
(30 dime uconn last night nba 4-0-1 last 5)

10 dime CFB/CBK/NBA Trifecta

10 dime CFB Ball State +3

10 dime CBK Western Kentucky -2

10 dime NBA Philadelphia +9

CBK Freeplay Georgetown -1.5

 

[waldo4477]

ATS Football Lock Club
3 Boise St

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Statsystems nba report 11/12

STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/12
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
______________________________________________


***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA *****

***** FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 12TH NBA INFORMATION *****
__________________________________________________ ___

• TOP NBA TEAMS FACE TOUGH WEEKEND TESTS
-------------------------------------------------------------
As we head into the third weekend of the NBA season, we take a closer look at the top teams in the league so far and what they have done against the spread.

--The Hornets is off to a seamless 7-0 SU and ATS record and the only undefeated team remaining. Despite being picked as the underdog in four of these games, New Orleans has the fourth-best scoring margin with +7.9 points per game. With three days to rest after a 19-point win against the Clippers, the Hornets are likely to remain undefeated after they take on Portland at home this Saturday.

--The Lakers’ perfect start came to an end in Denver Thursday night and they will head back to Los Angeles 8-1 SU overall. L.A. holds the top scoring margin in the league (+10.4 PPG), but bettors have been unable to capitalize on the point differential going 5-4 ATS. The Lakers will be favored for the 10th straight game this year when they host the high-scoring Suns this Sunday. They are 6-0 SU, but 3-3 ATS in the Staples Center.

--The Spurs are a near-perfect 6-1 SU on the season and remain undefeated (5-0) for the month of November. San Antonio has been favored to win all seven of its games, but has gone a mediocre 3-3-1 ATS. Playing two games in two days, the Spurs look favorable to win in the AT&T Center against Philadelphia Saturday, but are likely to fall short in Oklahoma City against the younger Thunder on Sunday. However, San Antonio is 2-0-1 ATS on the road this season.

--The top-ranked Eastern Conference Celtics are 7-2 SU on the season, but they are a pedestrian 5-4 ATS. Boston will finish its four-game road trip Saturday at Memphis. The Celtics have thrived on the road going 4-1 ATS outside of Beantown. With a day to rest after winning in Miami, expect favored Boston to win one against the Grizzlies this Saturday.

--The Mavericks return to Big D with a 5-2 SU record and have gone a respectable 4-3 ATS. Despite ranking fourth in scoring defense (91.7 PPG), Dallas is only averaging a 1.3-point margin of victory in its four home games. Although the Mavs will likely be heavily favored over Philadelphia in Friday’s game, they have only gone 1-3 ATS at home (3-0 ATS on the road).

--The Magic head into back-to-back games this weekend with a 5-2 SU record on the season. Orlando has gone a dismal 2-5 ATS, including four straight ATS losses, in spite of holding the league’s top rebound margin (+7.4 RPG). The Magic are 14-point favorites over the lowly Raptors in Friday’s game at home where they are 2-3 ATS. Orlando then heads to the Meadowlands Saturday and is likely get a win against the Nets. The Magic are 0-2 ATS on the road, but won 62% of the time (21-13-1) as a road favorite last season.

--The Trail Blazers are 6-3 SU for the season and 5-3-1 ATS. This weekend will be tough for Portland, who is dealing with some injuries. Brandon Roy should play through his knee injury, but two top big men -- Greg Oden and Joel Przybilla -- will miss this weekend’s action with knee injuries of their own. Portland hits the road to face the Thunder Friday and take on the undefeated Hornets in New Orleans the following day. Portland is 2-2-1 ATS on the road. The Blazers are expected to fall short in the Big Easy to the unbeaten Hornets, but they have a chance to win in Oklahoma City, which is also dealing with some key-player injuries. Nick Collison is out with a leg injury and Jeff Green will not play Friday due to an ankle injury.
____________________

• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Jazz won five of last six games, winning last two at Miami/Orlando.
-- Pacers are 2-1 as a home favorite so far this season.
-- Orlando won four of last five games, but is 0-4 vs spread in last four.
-- Mavericks won four of their last five games. 76ers covered four of last five games, including last three as a road underdog.
-- Trailblazers won six of their first nine games.

• COLD TEAMS
-------------------
-- Hawks lost last three games, by 4-4-17 points.
-- Washington is off to 2-4 start; they covered one of last four. Rockets lost six of first seven games and now Yao Ming is hurt.
-- Raptors lost last six games (1-4 vs spread in last five).
-- Bobcats lost six of their first eight games.
-- Minnesota lost six of its last seven games. Knicks lost last three in a row, by 10-27-5 points.
-- Suns are off to 3-4 start, covering one of last five games. Kings lost last three games (all at home), by 12-9-9 points.
-- Thunder failed to cover last five games as a favorite.
-- Clippers are 1-8, but they covered four of last five games- they're 1-3 at home. Pistons are 0-4 on road (2-2 as road dog), losing by 3-10-9-22.

• BACK-TO-BACK
----------------------
-- None.

• TOTALS
------------
-- Five of last six Utah games went over total.
-- Three of four Houston road games went over the total. Three of last four Indiana games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Four of five Charlotte road games went over the total.
-- Three of last four New York games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Six of seven Thunder games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Clipper games went over the total. Three of last four Detroit games stayed under the total.

• QUICK HITS
-----------------
--UTAH @ ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET ESPN UTAH: 23-9 ATS vs. Eastern Conference. ATLANTA: 22-10 Over vs. Western Conference.
--HOUSTON @ INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET HOUSTON: 73-36 ATS Away off SU loss as favorite. INDIANA: 19-9 Under as favorite.
--TORONTO @ ORLANDO, 7:00 PM ET TORONTO: 18-5 Over Away if total is 200 to 209.5. ORLANDO: 20-7 ATS at home off SU loss by 10+ as favorite.
--CHARLOTTE @ WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET CHARLOTTE: 57-37 ATS off ATS win. WASHINGTON: 9-23 ATS as home favorite.
--NEW YORK @ MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET NEW YORK: 35-18 ATS playing their 3rd game in 4 days. MINNESOTA: 13-26 ATS off BB road games.

--PHILADELPHIA @ DALLAS, 8:30 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 12-25 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. DALLAS: 20-28 ATS off a road win.
--SACRAMENTO @ PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET SACRAMENTO: 13-1 ATS Away off 3+ home games. PHOENIX: 25-16 Over off 2 straight road games.
--PORTLAND @ OKL CITY, 9:30 PM ET ESPN PORTLAND: 14-4 Over after allowing 80 points or less. OKL CITY: 6-1 Over this season.
--DETROIT @ LA CLIPPERS, 10:30 PM ET DETROIT: 0-6 ATS off road loss scoring 80 pts or less. LA CLIPPERS: 40-17 Over if underdog L5 games.

• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 1-16 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 101.9, OPPONENT 100.2 - (Rating = 5*)

--UTAH is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 106.4, OPPONENT 97.5 - (Rating = 3*)

--DALLAS is 12-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 101.2, OPPONENT 98.6 - (Rating = 3*)

--SACRAMENTO is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 105.1, OPPONENT 109.8 - (Rating = 3*)

--UTAH is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 104.8, OPPONENT 96.4 - (Rating = 2*)

--DALLAS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 97.7, OPPONENT 96.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--DALLAS is 7-20 ATS (-15 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 98.9, OPPONENT 99.4 - (Rating = 2*)

--HOUSTON is 89-47 ATS (+37.3 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 95.7, OPPONENT 95.2 - (Rating = 2*)

--HOUSTON is 73-36 ATS (+33.4 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 95.1, OPPONENT 95.4 - (Rating = 2*)

--DETROIT is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 89.9, OPPONENT 98 - (Rating = 2*)

--MINNESOTA is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 96.9, OPPONENT 104.8 - (Rating = 2*)

• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 24-7 UNDER (+16.3 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 93.6, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 3*)

--UTAH is 21-6 OVER (+14.4 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 106.9, OPPONENT 106.7 - (Rating = 2*)

--UTAH is 34-15 OVER (+17.5 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 102.8, OPPONENT 106.5 - (Rating = 2*)

--UTAH is 28-11 OVER (+15.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 104.7, OPPONENT 105.2 - (Rating = 2*)

--LA CLIPPERS are 48-24 OVER (+21.6 Units) after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 95.1, OPPONENT 103.7 - (Rating = 2*)

--MINNESOTA is 14-3 UNDER (+10.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.8, OPPONENT 99 - (Rating = 2*)

--ORLANDO is 29-12 UNDER (+15.8 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 99.7, OPPONENT 92.7 - (Rating = 2*)

--ORLANDO is 31-12 UNDER (+17.8 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 100.6, OPPONENT 91.8 - (Rating = 2*)

--TORONTO is 18-5 OVER (+12.5 Units) in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 104.3, OPPONENT 108.9 - (Rating = 2*)

--TORONTO is 28-11 OVER (+15.9 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.1, OPPONENT 109.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--SACRAMENTO is 18-5 UNDER (+12.5 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 96, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 2*)

--WASHINGTON is 26-10 UNDER (+15 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 93.4, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 2*)

--ATLANTA is 27-11 OVER (+14.9 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 18 or less fouls since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 100.9, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 2*)
__________________________________________________ __________

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 34-60 (-32 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 47.5, OPPONENT 53 - (Rating = 4*)

--MINNESOTA is 15-35 (-23.5 Units) against the 1rst half line versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 47.2, OPPONENT 56.7 - (Rating = 3*)

--MINNESOTA is 13-31 (-21.1 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.2, OPPONENT 54.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--CHARLOTTE is 34-15 (+17.5 Units) against the 1rst half line after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.4, OPPONENT 46.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--LA CLIPPERS are 34-55 (-26.5 Units) against the 1rst half line after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 47.8, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 3*)

--INDIANA is 52-33 (+15.7 Units) against the 1rst half line after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 53.8, OPPONENT 53.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--INDIANA is 43-22 (+18.8 Units) against the 1rst half line after a combined score of 215 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 54.2, OPPONENT 53.3 - (Rating = 2*)

--DETROIT is 17-32 (-18.2 Units) against the 1rst half line after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 45.7, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 2*)

--MINNESOTA is 12-26 (-16.6 Units) against the 1rst half line after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 47.5, OPPONENT 53.4 - (Rating = 2*)

--WASHINGTON is 12-26 (-16.6 Units) against the 1rst half line after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 44.9, OPPONENT 51.3 - (Rating = 2*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 198-80 UNDER (+110 Units) the 1rst half total as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points vs. the first half line since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 43, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 6*)

--UTAH is 98-37 UNDER (+57.3 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog of 2 to 3 points vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 43.3, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 5*)

--UTAH is 70-29 UNDER (+38.1 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 43.2, OPPONENT 46.2 - (Rating = 4*)

--UTAH is 81-41 UNDER (+35.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 45.1, OPPONENT 46 - (Rating = 4*)

--UTAH is 39-14 UNDER (+23.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 47, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 4*)

--UTAH is 27-8 UNDER (+18.2 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 46.3, OPPONENT 48.7 - (Rating = 3*)

--TORONTO is 13-1 OVER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total as an underdog of 6 or more points vs. the first half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 51.9, OPPONENT 57.4 - (Rating = 3*)

--TORONTO is 21-3 OVER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 51.2, OPPONENT 53.9 - (Rating = 3*)

--UTAH is 60-29 UNDER (+28.1 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 47.4, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 3*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

STATSYSTEMS NBA REPORT 11/12 cont.

• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------------
3* MINNESOTA +3 - (70.1%)
3* ATLANTA -4 - (66.4%)

--PLAY ON - Any team (MINNESOTA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(47-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.1%, +25 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (34-34 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.8
The average score in these games was: Team 98.7, Opponent 98.1 (Average point differential = +0.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 25 (37.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-18).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (92-88).

--PLAY ON - Favorites (ATLANTA) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(106-58 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.6%, +42.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (133-35 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.7
The average score in these games was: Team 103.2, Opponent 93.8 (Average point differential = +9.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 58 (36% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (79-37).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (211-162).

• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS
---------------------------------------------------------------
4* NY/MINNESOTA OVER 214 - (76.1%)
3* SACRAMENTO/PHOENIX UNDER 216.5 - (73.9%)
3* CHARLOTTE/WASHINGTON UNDER 189.5 - (69.4%)

--PLAY OVER - Any team (MINNESOTA) - off a huge upset win as an underdog of 10 points or more, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days.
(35-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 198.7
The average score in these games was: Team 99.7, Opponent 105.2 (Total points scored = 204.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 24 (52.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (73-39).

--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games.
(34-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.9%, +20.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 215.1
The average score in these games was: Team 106.5, Opponent 103.2 (Total points scored = 209.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (54.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (38-16).

--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (WASHINGTON) - vs. division opponents, off an upset win as a home underdog.
(50-22 since 1996.) (69.4%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 185.5
The average score in these games was: Team 90.8, Opponent 90.9 (Total points scored = 181.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 35 (50.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-4).

• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF ATS SUPER SITUATIONS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
4* TORONTO +8 - (82.8%)
4* INDIANA -2 - (77.8%)
3* SACRAMENTO +4 - (72.5%)

--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (ORLANDO) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days.
(24-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48, Opponent 51.7 (Average first half point differential = -3.7)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (50-32).

--PLAY ON - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) - off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days.
(28-8 since 1996.) (77.8%, +19.2 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.7, Opponent 45.5 (Average first half point differential = +4.2)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).

--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, playing with 3 or more days rest.
(50-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.5%, +29.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.9, Opponent 49 (Average first half point differential = -0.1)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (102-78).

• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF TOTAL SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------------------------------
4* HOUSTON/INDIANA OVER 108 - (78.3%)
3* CHARLOTTE/WASHINGTON UNDER 95.5 - (77.3%)
3* PHILADELPHIA/DALLAS UNDER 98.5 - (76.2%)
3* TORONTO/ORLANDO UNDER 101.5 - (72.6%)

--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (HOUSTON) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better.
(36-10 since 1996.) (78.3%, +25 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 110.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 56.6, Opponent 60.2 (Total first half points scored = 116.8)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (28-8).

--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (WASHINGTON) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season.
(34-10 since 1996.) (77.3%, +23 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 43.3, Opponent 45.3 (Total first half points scored = 88.7)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-6).

--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (DALLAS) - good team from last season (60% to 75%) playing a team who had a losing record last year, after 1 or more consecutive wins.
(32-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.2%, +21 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 98
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48, Opponent 44.8 (Total first half points scored = 92.8)

The situation's record this season is: (7-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (47-28).

--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (ORLANDO) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
(53-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.6%, +31 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.6, Opponent 50.1 (Total first half points scored = 101.7)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-15).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (77-46).

*** PORTLAND @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-2, O/U 195) ***
----------------------------------------------------------------
Brandon Roy has already had two surgeries on each of his knees. The last thing the injury-prone Portland Trail Blazers need is for their star guard to have more problems with them. Roy is expected to be in the starting lineup when the Trail Blazers open a three-game trip against the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday night. Roy, who underwent surgery on his left knee in high school and on his right knee at Washington, did not miss any playing time in 2008-09 following a preseason procedure on his left knee. The three-time All-Star, though, missed the final two regular-season games last year after a slight meniscus tear was repaired in his right knee.

Scoring a team-high 19.2 points per game, Roy again faces the prospect of being sidelined. He admitted after a 100-78 victory over Detroit on Tuesday that swelling in his left knee has become more consistent. After scoring a season-low eight points in a 121-96 road loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday, Roy had 11 in a season-low 21 minutes versus the Pistons. He left in the first quarter and had his right knee wrapped with a heating pad before returning midway through the second quarter with a black sleeve on his left calf.

“We felt like we had the game under control so we didn’t bring (Roy) back in the second half,” Coach Nate McMillan said. “Rudy (Fernandez) was playing good basketball and we just decided to keep him on the bench for the rest of the game. He could have come back.” The banged-up Trail Blazers will likely be careful with Roy while they await a diagnosis, which could come next week. Knee injuries have sidelined centers Greg Oden and Joel Przybilla, and rookie guard Elliot Williams suffered a dislocated right patella last week. Fernandez, who has made five of 10 3-pointers while scoring 13 points in each of the last two games since missing two with a sore back, will likely see increased playing time.

While Portland opens its trip with plenty of uncertainty surrounding one of its top finishers, the Thunder are feeling more confident in their ability to close out games. After losing three of four, Oklahoma City held off Philadelphia’s fourth quarter rally in a 109-103 victory Wednesday. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook who had 31 points apiece, combined to score the Thunder’s final 12 after the 76ers trimmed a 11-point deficit to three with 3:35 left. “So far, I think we’ve been doing a good job closing down games,” guard Thabo Sefolosha said. “Every time we’re close in the fourth quarter, we’ve been able to come out on top.”

The Thunder are shooting 42.5 percent from the field and allowing nearly six points more per game this season (103.9) than in 2009-10. However, they’re hitting 52.6 percent from the field in last three minutes of the fourth quarter while holding opponents to 29.7 percent. In a 107-106 overtime victory at Portland on Nov. 4, the Thunder shot a season-best 49.4 percent and overcame a 13-point third-quarter deficit. Durant and Westbrook each had 28 points and 11 boards, while LaMarcus Aldridge had 22 points to lead the Trail Blazers. Roy scored 19 but shot 6 of 17. Portland has won three in a row in Oklahoma City.

*STAN'S FORECASTER – OKL City by 1; O/U 199.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Portland -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Portland -1.93
_____________________________________________

• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 103.6, OPPONENT 99.0 - (Rating = 2*)

--PORTLAND is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 98.9, OPPONENT 101.0 - (Rating = 3*)

--PORTLAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) off a home win over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 96.7, OPPONENT 99.7 - (Rating = 2*)

--PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 96.7, OPPONENT 88.8 - (Rating = 2*)

• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-8 OVER (+15.1 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 103.2, OPPONENT 100.8 - (Rating = 2*)

--OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 104.2, OPPONENT 102.9 - (Rating = 3*)

--PORTLAND is 26-11 OVER (+13.9 Units) after allowing 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 101.4, OPPONENT 98.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--PORTLAND is 15-4 OVER (+10.6 Units) versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=33% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 101.0, OPPONENT 94.2 - (Rating = 2*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 8-22 against the 1rst half line (-16.2 Units) vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making >=80% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 46.4, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 3*)

--PORTLAND is 29-13 against the 1rst half line (+14.7 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.0, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--PORTLAND is 20-7 against the 1rst half line (+12.3 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 48.4, OPPONENT 43.4 - (Rating = 2*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-18 OVER (+17.1 Units) the 1rst half total as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 54.4, OPPONENT 51.1 - (Rating = 3*)

--OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-7 OVER (+11.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 52.8, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 2*)

--PORTLAND is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after a game where they made 85% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 46.0, OPPONENT 45.5 - (Rating = 2*)

• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (PORTLAND) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after allowing 85 points or less.
(34-8 since 1996.) (81%, +25.2 units. Rating = 5*)

The average total posted in these games was: 195.3
The average score in these games was: Team 105.1, Opponent 98.6 (Total points scored = 203.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (63.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-7).

--PLAY AGAINST - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(28-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (80%, +20.3 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (28-7 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.2
The average score in these games was: Team 99.6, Opponent 94.1 (Average point differential = +5.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (55.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (67-41).

--PLAY ON - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - excellent foul drawing team - attempting >=30 free throws/game, pathetic team - shooting <=43% with a defense of >=46% on the season.
(39-15 since 1996.) (72.2%, +22.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.9, Opponent 47.8 (Average first half point differential = +1.1)

The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-6).

--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (PORTLAND) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG), after allowing 80 points or less.
(47-19 since 1996.) (71.2%, +26.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.6, Opponent 50.5 (Total first half points scored = 103.1)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (34-12).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Statsystems cfb report 11/12

STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/12
NBA & NCAA COLLEGE FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
______________________________________________


***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA & CFB*****

• • • • • HUGE TOP RATED PLAY GOES SATURDAY! • • • • •
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Stan's Huge Top *6-Star College Conference Game goes Saturday! The big play is backed by a 24-2 ATS, 92.3% 'Awesome Winning Angle' inside the game. So make plans now to get on board; Remember, our documented record on these big plays is 17-2-1, 89.5% the last 20 years, with Stanford (+7) delivering the cash in a 51-42 win over Oregon last season!

Cincinnati and Pittsburgh knock helmets in a key AFC North matchup on MNF, and 'The Man was there with another Top *5-Star Winner (Pittsburgh -3.5 1rst half) that had a 22-2 ATS, 91.6% Winning Angle. “Don’t miss out again tonight, be sure to get Stan's 'NBA Super Situational Play' on Friday's NBA card - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
__________________________

*** BALL STATE @ BUFFALO (-3, O/U 46.5) ***
--------------------------------------------------------
Ball State will try to continue its dominance over Buffalo when the Cardinals head to UB Stadium to take on the Bulls this Friday night in a Mid-American Conference showdown. These two schools have collided seven times, but it has been a lopsided series, as the Cardinals have won six of the seven contests. However, the lone win for Buffalo came in the last matchup, a 42-24 victory over BSU in the 2008 MAC title game. Unlike 2008 though, this will be a matchup between two teams that have struggled through the season and come into this contest with a combined five victories.

Three wins have come from Ball State, which collected that third victory this past weekend against Akron. It was not easy however, as the Cardinals needed overtime to beat Akron, 37-30. The win snapped a four-game slide for the Cardinals, who are now a mere 2-4 in conference action. As for the Bulls, they have claimed just two victories on the year, and that second win for Buffalo came back in the beginning of October against Bowling Green (28-26). Since then the Bulls have dropped four consecutive games, including a 34-17 setback to Ohio this past Thursday, falling to 1-4 in league play.

Keith Wenning connected with Dave Schneider in the second overtime to give the Cardinals a thrilling, 37-30 victory over Akron. It was Wenning's third touchdown throw of the game, as the quarterback overcame three interceptions to finish the contest with 217 yards on 14-of-27 passing. The success through the air had plenty to do with Jack Tomlinson, who caught three touchdown passes in the win, to go along with 125 yards on seven receptions.

It was one of the better performances for Wenning and this offense on the year, which for the most part has struggled. Ball State, which is averaging just 307.9 total ypg, is producing a mediocre 22.3 ppg. One of the big reasons for the team's mediocrity has been the inconsistent play of Wenning, who has completed just 52.5 percent of his passes. The young signal caller heads into this matchup with just 1,175 yards and 13 touchdowns against 14 interceptions.

Ball State has enjoyed some success with the run this year, averaging 156.5 ypg, but there is not a main option for coach Stan Parrish in the backfield, and that has led to some inconsistent performances. Eric Williams is currently pacing the team with 441 yards and three touchdowns, while MiQuale Lewis has helped out with 397 yards.

The Cardinals grabbed a win this past weekend, but the fact that this defense surrendered 30 points to a winless Akron team is concerning. Ball State surrendered 180 rushing yards to a team that has been miserable on the ground, and on top of that the secondary was torched for four scores. However, at the same time, this unit collected three interceptions and that definitely played a role in Ball State earning the win.

This defense has collected 13 interceptions on the season, and comes into this weekend with 20 takeaways, but as a whole this unit has underachieved drastically. Ball State is currently allowing 30.3 ppg, and has struggled against the run and pass. Teams have scored 22 touchdowns via the pass, and on the ground opponents are gashing the Cardinals for a whopping 185.8 ypg.

Nothing has gone right for the Bulls this season offensively, so it should not be surprising that Buffalo is producing just 15.1 ppg. The team's inability to score has sent the Bulls into a tailspin, and the lack of points comes from an uneven attack. The ground game is churning out 122.4 ypg, which is not terrible, but the team has just three rushing TDs on the season, leaving the offense to rely heavily on a passing attack that is suspect at best.

Alex Zordich has spent the last couple games under center for Buffalo, but the signal caller has been ineffective, completing well below 50.0 percent of his throws, while tossing just one touchdown against five interceptions. Zordich's struggles continued in the team's loss to Ohio, as the young gunslinger completed just 8-of-26 passes. Zordich, who rushed for 59 yards and a score, threw for just 84 yards and another touchdown, but was intercepted twice and sacked four times.

Along with the lackluster effort offensively, the defense for Buffalo has not stacked up against many of its opponents this year. Buffalo, which is surrendering 30.1 ppg, has been terrible against the run and comes into this contest allowing 151.8 ypg, and has also given up 17 rushing TDs. Buffalo was once again done in by the run in the loss to Ohio, as the Bobcats clawed out 185 yards and two touchdowns on 4.0 yards per attempt. However, that was only half the problem for this defense in the loss, as the secondary was torched for 201 yards and three touchdowns.

• PREGAME NOTES
-----------------------
Ball State won four of its last five games vs Buffalo; State won last two visits here, 55-25/44-35; favorites covered three of last four series games. Bulls lost four in row, seven of last eight games; they were outscored 63-7 in first half of last three games. Cardinals are 2-7 in last nine games- they beat winless Akron in OT of last game. Last six Ball State games all went over the total.

*STAN'S FORECASTER – Buffalo by 4; O/U 46
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Buffalo -5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Buffalo -1.84
________________________________________

• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--BUFFALO is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) when the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 15.3, OPPONENT 30.0 - (Rating = 5*)

--BUFFALO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 21.0, OPPONENT 25.0 - (Rating = 2*)

--BALL ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BALL ST 24.6, OPPONENT 24.3 - (Rating = 2*)

• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--BUFFALO is 32-15 OVER (+15.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 20.4, OPPONENT 32.2 - (Rating = 3*)

--BUFFALO is 16-5 UNDER (+10.5 Units) after being outgained by 175+ total yards in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 15.3, OPPONENT 31.9 - (Rating = 2*)

--BUFFALO is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 30.3, OPPONENT 24.9 - (Rating = 2*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--BUFFALO is 13-28 against the 1rst half line (-17.8 Units) off 2 straight losses against conference rivals since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 6.3, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 3*)

--BUFFALO is 5-17 against the 1rst half line (-13.7 Units) off 2 consecutive losses by 10 points or more to conference rivals since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 6.2, OPPONENT 21.5 - (Rating = 2*)

--BUFFALO is 0-7 against the 1rst half line (-7.6 Units) in a home game where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 7.3, OPPONENT 19.0 - (Rating = 2*)

--BALL ST is 15-3 against the 1rst half line (+11.7 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games since 1992.
The average score was BALL ST 10.7, OPPONENT 15.1 - (Rating = 2*)

• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (BALL ST) - average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR) against a poor rushing team (3 to 3.5 YPR) after 7+ games.
(24-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.7%, +19.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 14.5, Opponent 7.9 (Average first half point differential = +6.6)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (41-23).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (55-40).

--PLAY AGAINST - A home team (BUFFALO) - after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games.
(39-13 over the last 10 seasons.) (75%, +24.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-19 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.3
The average score in these games was: Team 34, Opponent 27.2 (Average point differential = +6.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 26 (52% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-11).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (43-15).

--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (BUFFALO) - poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game, after trailing their last 3 games by 10+ points at the half.
(51-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (75%, +32.3 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 25.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 8.6, Opponent 21.1 (Total first half points scored = 29.6)

The situation's record this season is: (11-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-14).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (64-27).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (65-29).

--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (BUFFALO) - after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games.
(58-22 since 1992.) (72.5%, +33.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 52.4
The average score in these games was: Team 25.3, Opponent 21.4 (Total points scored = 46.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 43 (55.1% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (6-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-10).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (33-12).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (48-19).
____________________________________________

• • • • • 100% PERFECT NBA TRIPLE PLAY! - FRIDAY • • • • •