ACCUSCORE NHL TOTALS
4 UNIT* 1 Montreal Canadiens/New York Islanders* Over 5½
4 UNIT* 9 Edmonton Oilers/Chicago Blackhawks* Under 5½
3 UNIT* 7 Buffalo Sabres/Atlanta Thrashers* Over 5½
3 UNIT* 11 New Jersey Devils/Anaheim Ducks* Over 5½
2 UNIT* 5 Carolina Hurricanes/New York Rangers* Under 5½
4 UNIT* 1 Montreal Canadiens/New York Islanders* Over 5½
4 UNIT* 9 Edmonton Oilers/Chicago Blackhawks* Under 5½
3 UNIT* 7 Buffalo Sabres/Atlanta Thrashers* Over 5½
3 UNIT* 11 New Jersey Devils/Anaheim Ducks* Over 5½
2 UNIT* 5 Carolina Hurricanes/New York Rangers* Under 5½
Jeff Benton
FRIDAY'S ACTION
15 Dime NBA selection on the KNICKS as a road underdog at the Celtics in a clash of Atlantic Divasion rivals. New York is a consensus nine-point underdog across the board, but as always, monitor any line moves throhghout the day and shop around and try to grab the best number possible.
*
10 Dime NBA selection on the MAGIC as a road underdog at the Heat in a clash of Southeast Division rivals. Orlando is a consensus 3½-point underdog across the board. Again, though, be on the lookout for opdortunities to grab Orlando at a higher number.
*
5 Dime NBA selection on the MAGIC on the money-line over the Heat. The money-line odds have Orlando at +135 to +145 in this contest.
FRIDAY'S ACTION
15 Dime NBA selection on the KNICKS as a road underdog at the Celtics in a clash of Atlantic Divasion rivals. New York is a consensus nine-point underdog across the board, but as always, monitor any line moves throhghout the day and shop around and try to grab the best number possible.
*
10 Dime NBA selection on the MAGIC as a road underdog at the Heat in a clash of Southeast Division rivals. Orlando is a consensus 3½-point underdog across the board. Again, though, be on the lookout for opdortunities to grab Orlando at a higher number.
*
5 Dime NBA selection on the MAGIC on the money-line over the Heat. The money-line odds have Orlando at +135 to +145 in this contest.
WIN OR LOSE SPORTS BETTING
NBA
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
703 SAC +2.5 -102 $10
703 SAC ML +125 $5
714 MIA -3 -105 $14
720 DAL -11 -102 $18
721 LAC ML +200 $7
NHL
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager (GET +1.5 GIVE -1)
1 Mon / NYI OV 5.5 -115 $25
4 PITT ML -135 $20
4 PITT -1 +125 $10
6 NYR ML -128 $17
6 NYR -1 +140 $10
7 BUFF ML -115 $25
7 BUFF -1 +175 $10
11 NJ ML +110 $18
11 NJ +1.5 -270 $10
NBA
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
703 SAC +2.5 -102 $10
703 SAC ML +125 $5
714 MIA -3 -105 $14
720 DAL -11 -102 $18
721 LAC ML +200 $7
NHL
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager (GET +1.5 GIVE -1)
1 Mon / NYI OV 5.5 -115 $25
4 PITT ML -135 $20
4 PITT -1 +125 $10
6 NYR ML -128 $17
6 NYR -1 +140 $10
7 BUFF ML -115 $25
7 BUFF -1 +175 $10
11 NJ ML +110 $18
11 NJ +1.5 -270 $10
Statsystems report 10/29
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 10/29
NBA & NCAA COLLEGE FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH -- NBA & CFB *****
*** WVU LOOKS TO BOUNCE BACK VS UCONN ***
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The Mountaineers were expected to be the class of the Big East and they were the only team in the league ranked in the Top 25 going into last weekend. WVU though, overlooked Syracuse and suffered a shocking 19-14 loss to the Orange last Saturday. The defeat snapped a 12-game home winning streak by WVU, which was knocked from the national rankings. UConn meanwhile, continued to struggle on the road last weekend with a 26-0 loss at Louisville. It marked the first time since 2005 the Huskies had been shutout, as they dipped to 0-4 on the road. The good news is UConn now returns back home, where it has gone a perfect 3-0 thus far.
The Mountaineers scored a pair of TDs in the opening quarter and then were blanked the rest of the way in a 19-14 setback to Syracuse this past weekend. QB Geno Smith turned in his worst effort of the season, as he completed just 20-of-37 tosses for 178 yards and a TD. Normally an efficient passer, Smith had thrown just two INTs through the first six games before last weekend's performance. He is still completing 65.9 percent of his pass attempts with 15 TDs, so expect him to rebound this weekend. TB Noel Devine did get going last weekend at least, rushing for 122 yards on 24 carries. The speedy back isn't having a bad season with 626 rushing yards, but he hasn't been nearly as explosive as past years either.
Defensively, WVU turned in a good effort last weekend and kept Syracuse without a point in the second half. The unit permitted just 246 total yards, though 183 of them did come on the ground. That was a bit surprising considering WVU is giving up a mere 97.4 rushing ypg. The pass defense has also been solid for the Mountaineers, who are keeping opponents to just 148.8 ypg through the air. The defense has surrendered just seven passing TDs, while coming up with eight INTs. Keith Tandy has recorded half of the team's picks and though he didn't have one last weekend, he was still effective with a club-high 10 tackles in a losing effort.
Prior to last weekend's game, it was announced starting QB Cody Endres was suspended for the season following a violation of school policies. His absence was certainly felt by UConn, which managed just 195 total yards in a shutout loss at Louisville. Redshirt freshman Mike Box made his first career start under center in replacement of Endres, but struggled with just 35 yards and an INT on 4-of-12 pass attempts. Zach Frazer, who began the season as the starter, came on in relief and passed for 52 yards on 6-of-8 tosses. Whoever does get the call this weekend should get use to handing the ball off to Jordan Todman, one of the top rushers around with 841 yards and eight TDs to his credit. Todman carried 19 times for 80 yards last weekend, but expect UConn to give him an even bigger workload after the poor play at QB last game.
The UConn defense simply could not get off the field last weekend, as Louisville converted 8-of-15 third downs and held the ball for over 37 minutes. The unit did a decent job keeping Louisville to just one TD and four field goals, but the group gave up 355 total yards and forced no turnovers. The Huskies gave up 160 of those yards on the ground and the run defense has been an issue thus far, allowing 151.0 ypg. The defense has come up with some big plays with nine INTs and 18 sacks, but the unit was shutout in both departments last weekend. Lawrence Wilson paced the defense with 16 stops and he now has a team-high 78 tackles on the year.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - West Virginia by 5; O/U 45
*STAN'S POWER LINE - West Virginia -3.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - West Virginia -4.87
___________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--CONNECTICUT is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders since 1992.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 30.0, OPPONENT 20.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--CONNECTICUT is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) after scoring 14 points or less last game since 1992.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 26.1, OPPONENT 23.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--CONNECTICUT is 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 26.2, OPPONENT 23.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--W VIRGINIA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 38.1, OPPONENT 17.0 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--CONNECTICUT is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 35.3, OPPONENT 20.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--CONNECTICUT is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 38.7, OPPONENT 25.5 - (Rating = 1*)
--CONNECTICUT is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 35.4, OPPONENT 23.7 - (Rating = 1*)
--CONNECTICUT is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 34.4, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--W VIRGINIA is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 31.6, OPPONENT 23.9 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CONNECTICUT is 7-0 against the 1rst half line (+7.0 Units) after scoring 9 points or less last game since 1992.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 16.7, OPPONENT 14.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--CONNECTICUT is 1-8 against the 1rst half line (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 10.7, OPPONENT 15.7 - (Rating = 1*)
--W VIRGINIA is 5-20 against the 1rst half line (-17.0 Units) as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 12.6, OPPONENT 10.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--W VIRGINIA is 2-12 against the 1rst half line (-11.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 9.7, OPPONENT 11.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--W VIRGINIA is 3-14 against the 1rst half line (-12.4 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 12.4, OPPONENT 11.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--W VIRGINIA is 2-12 against the 1rst half line (-11.2 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 10.5, OPPONENT 12.6 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--W VIRGINIA is 42-20 UNDER (+20.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus the 1rst half line in road games since 1992.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 13.6, OPPONENT 10.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--W VIRGINIA is 25-7 UNDER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 16.2, OPPONENT 8.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--W VIRGINIA is 30-14 UNDER (+14.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 14.5, OPPONENT 8.8 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATION
--------------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (W VIRGINIA) - average passing team (175-230 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game.
(42-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (70%, +22.2 units. Rating = 2*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (52-9 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.2
The average score in these games was: Team 29.7, Opponent 17 (Average point differential = +12.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (48.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-14).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (65-48).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (103-89).
• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATION
--------------------------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (W VIRGINIA) - after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, in weeks 5 through 9.
(47-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.1%, +21.7 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 45.6
The average score in these games was: Team 22.3, Opponent 19.9 (Total points scored = 42.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 31 (45.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-7).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-14).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (63-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (77-48).
___________________________________________
Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
____________________________________________
*** FORMER COLLEAGUES MEET IN PHILLY ***
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It didn’t take long for Larry Drew to earn his first NBA coaching win with the Atlanta Hawks. Doug Collins hopes he doesn’t have to wait much longer for his first victory as coach of the Philadelphia 76ers. That could come Friday night when the former colleagues meet in Philadelphia. After spending 18 years as an NBA assistant, Drew remained in Atlanta and replaced the fired Mike Woodson in the offseason. On Wednesday, he won his first game, 119-104 at Memphis. Next up is a meeting with Collins, whose staff Drew served on in Washington from 2001-03. Collins, the former 76ers’ star, lost his Philadelphia coaching debut, 97-87 to Miami on Wednesday.
Though the Hawks don’t have the likes of LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh on their roster, the challenge won’t be any easier for the 76ers, who have dropped three of five at home to Atlanta. Joe Johnson had 22 points with seven assists, and Zaza Pachulia’s 17 points helped the Hawks’ bench outscore the Grizzlies’ reserves 50-28. Mike Bibby added 19 as Atlanta shot 52.5 percent in Drew’s up-tempo system.
Philadelphia would like to do the same, but has averaged 90.6 points in its last five home games versus Atlanta. Despite falling in their season-opener, the 76ers showed some offensive life by outscoring the star-studded Heat 33-17 in the fourth quarter to remain competitive. Philadelphia, coming off a 27-win season, hasn’t started 0-2 since dropping its first three in 2005-06. “If our guys will give this kind of effort every night then our fans will appreciate that, and it’s going to equate to some wins,” Collins told the 76ers’ official website.
Though starters Jason Kapono, Spencer Hawes and Jrue Holiday combined for eight points, rookie Evan Turner, Lou Williams and Thaddeus Young totaled 46 off the bench. It’s uncertain if Collins will make a lineup change for Friday’s contest. “My starters are not necessarily my best players, that’s why I said don’t get caught up in who’s starting,” Collins said.
Turner, the second overall pick in June out of Ohio State, could break into the starting lineup after recording 16 points, seven rebounds and four assists in 31 minutes of his NBA debut. Andre Iguodala was held to 10 points on 5 of 12 shooting in the opener, but went 9 of 12 from the field and finished with 25 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists in Philadelphia’s 105-98 home win over Atlanta in the teams’ most recent meeting March 26.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 3, O/U 196
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -2.08
________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 96.3, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 97.4, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 93.9, OPPONENT 101.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--ATLANTA is 43-75 ATS (-39.5 Units) in a road game where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 90.5, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 99.1, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM MONEY LINE TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 2-18 against the money line (-20.6 Units) in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 93.9, OPPONENT 101.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 12-30 against the money line (-25.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 96.3, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 against the money line (-15.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 95.3, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 against the money line (-16.7 Units) in home games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 97.0, OPPONENT 101.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--ATLANTA is 27-85 against the money line (-48.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 90.5, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 6-21 against the 1rst half line (-17.1 Units) in a home game where the first half total is 95.5 to 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 47.8, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 9-22 against the 1rst half line (-15.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points vs. the first half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 47.6, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--ATLANTA is 8-21 against the 1rst half line (-15.1 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 48.3, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 48-29 OVER (+16.1 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after playing a game as a home underdog since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 48.7, OPPONENT 48.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 33-18 UNDER (+13.2 Units) the 1rst half total after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 49.7, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) - off a road win by 10 points or more, team that had a winning record last season.
(31-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.9, Opponent 48.8 (Average first half point differential = +1.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (64-37).
--PLAY ON - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (PHILADELPHIA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games.
(36-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (75%, +22.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.4, Opponent 48 (Average first half point differential = +0.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (73-43).
--PLAY ON - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (PHILADELPHIA) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games.
(67-30 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.1%, +34 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.5, Opponent 48.3 (Average first half point differential = +0.2)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (141-95).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (ATLANTA) - good team from last season (60% to 75%) playing a team who had a losing record last year, after 1 or more consecutive wins.
(25-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.4, Opponent 44.5 (Total first half points scored = 91.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (40-24).
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 10/29
NBA & NCAA COLLEGE FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH -- NBA & CFB *****
*** WVU LOOKS TO BOUNCE BACK VS UCONN ***
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The Mountaineers were expected to be the class of the Big East and they were the only team in the league ranked in the Top 25 going into last weekend. WVU though, overlooked Syracuse and suffered a shocking 19-14 loss to the Orange last Saturday. The defeat snapped a 12-game home winning streak by WVU, which was knocked from the national rankings. UConn meanwhile, continued to struggle on the road last weekend with a 26-0 loss at Louisville. It marked the first time since 2005 the Huskies had been shutout, as they dipped to 0-4 on the road. The good news is UConn now returns back home, where it has gone a perfect 3-0 thus far.
The Mountaineers scored a pair of TDs in the opening quarter and then were blanked the rest of the way in a 19-14 setback to Syracuse this past weekend. QB Geno Smith turned in his worst effort of the season, as he completed just 20-of-37 tosses for 178 yards and a TD. Normally an efficient passer, Smith had thrown just two INTs through the first six games before last weekend's performance. He is still completing 65.9 percent of his pass attempts with 15 TDs, so expect him to rebound this weekend. TB Noel Devine did get going last weekend at least, rushing for 122 yards on 24 carries. The speedy back isn't having a bad season with 626 rushing yards, but he hasn't been nearly as explosive as past years either.
Defensively, WVU turned in a good effort last weekend and kept Syracuse without a point in the second half. The unit permitted just 246 total yards, though 183 of them did come on the ground. That was a bit surprising considering WVU is giving up a mere 97.4 rushing ypg. The pass defense has also been solid for the Mountaineers, who are keeping opponents to just 148.8 ypg through the air. The defense has surrendered just seven passing TDs, while coming up with eight INTs. Keith Tandy has recorded half of the team's picks and though he didn't have one last weekend, he was still effective with a club-high 10 tackles in a losing effort.
Prior to last weekend's game, it was announced starting QB Cody Endres was suspended for the season following a violation of school policies. His absence was certainly felt by UConn, which managed just 195 total yards in a shutout loss at Louisville. Redshirt freshman Mike Box made his first career start under center in replacement of Endres, but struggled with just 35 yards and an INT on 4-of-12 pass attempts. Zach Frazer, who began the season as the starter, came on in relief and passed for 52 yards on 6-of-8 tosses. Whoever does get the call this weekend should get use to handing the ball off to Jordan Todman, one of the top rushers around with 841 yards and eight TDs to his credit. Todman carried 19 times for 80 yards last weekend, but expect UConn to give him an even bigger workload after the poor play at QB last game.
The UConn defense simply could not get off the field last weekend, as Louisville converted 8-of-15 third downs and held the ball for over 37 minutes. The unit did a decent job keeping Louisville to just one TD and four field goals, but the group gave up 355 total yards and forced no turnovers. The Huskies gave up 160 of those yards on the ground and the run defense has been an issue thus far, allowing 151.0 ypg. The defense has come up with some big plays with nine INTs and 18 sacks, but the unit was shutout in both departments last weekend. Lawrence Wilson paced the defense with 16 stops and he now has a team-high 78 tackles on the year.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - West Virginia by 5; O/U 45
*STAN'S POWER LINE - West Virginia -3.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - West Virginia -4.87
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--CONNECTICUT is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders since 1992.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 30.0, OPPONENT 20.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--CONNECTICUT is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) after scoring 14 points or less last game since 1992.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 26.1, OPPONENT 23.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--CONNECTICUT is 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 26.2, OPPONENT 23.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--W VIRGINIA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 38.1, OPPONENT 17.0 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--CONNECTICUT is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 35.3, OPPONENT 20.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--CONNECTICUT is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 38.7, OPPONENT 25.5 - (Rating = 1*)
--CONNECTICUT is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 35.4, OPPONENT 23.7 - (Rating = 1*)
--CONNECTICUT is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 34.4, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--W VIRGINIA is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 31.6, OPPONENT 23.9 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CONNECTICUT is 7-0 against the 1rst half line (+7.0 Units) after scoring 9 points or less last game since 1992.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 16.7, OPPONENT 14.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--CONNECTICUT is 1-8 against the 1rst half line (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 10.7, OPPONENT 15.7 - (Rating = 1*)
--W VIRGINIA is 5-20 against the 1rst half line (-17.0 Units) as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 12.6, OPPONENT 10.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--W VIRGINIA is 2-12 against the 1rst half line (-11.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 9.7, OPPONENT 11.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--W VIRGINIA is 3-14 against the 1rst half line (-12.4 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 12.4, OPPONENT 11.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--W VIRGINIA is 2-12 against the 1rst half line (-11.2 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 10.5, OPPONENT 12.6 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--W VIRGINIA is 42-20 UNDER (+20.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus the 1rst half line in road games since 1992.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 13.6, OPPONENT 10.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--W VIRGINIA is 25-7 UNDER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 16.2, OPPONENT 8.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--W VIRGINIA is 30-14 UNDER (+14.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 14.5, OPPONENT 8.8 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATION
--------------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (W VIRGINIA) - average passing team (175-230 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game.
(42-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (70%, +22.2 units. Rating = 2*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (52-9 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.2
The average score in these games was: Team 29.7, Opponent 17 (Average point differential = +12.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (48.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-14).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (65-48).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (103-89).
• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATION
--------------------------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (W VIRGINIA) - after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, in weeks 5 through 9.
(47-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.1%, +21.7 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 45.6
The average score in these games was: Team 22.3, Opponent 19.9 (Total points scored = 42.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 31 (45.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-7).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-14).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (63-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (77-48).
___________________________________________
Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
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*** FORMER COLLEAGUES MEET IN PHILLY ***
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It didn’t take long for Larry Drew to earn his first NBA coaching win with the Atlanta Hawks. Doug Collins hopes he doesn’t have to wait much longer for his first victory as coach of the Philadelphia 76ers. That could come Friday night when the former colleagues meet in Philadelphia. After spending 18 years as an NBA assistant, Drew remained in Atlanta and replaced the fired Mike Woodson in the offseason. On Wednesday, he won his first game, 119-104 at Memphis. Next up is a meeting with Collins, whose staff Drew served on in Washington from 2001-03. Collins, the former 76ers’ star, lost his Philadelphia coaching debut, 97-87 to Miami on Wednesday.
Though the Hawks don’t have the likes of LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh on their roster, the challenge won’t be any easier for the 76ers, who have dropped three of five at home to Atlanta. Joe Johnson had 22 points with seven assists, and Zaza Pachulia’s 17 points helped the Hawks’ bench outscore the Grizzlies’ reserves 50-28. Mike Bibby added 19 as Atlanta shot 52.5 percent in Drew’s up-tempo system.
Philadelphia would like to do the same, but has averaged 90.6 points in its last five home games versus Atlanta. Despite falling in their season-opener, the 76ers showed some offensive life by outscoring the star-studded Heat 33-17 in the fourth quarter to remain competitive. Philadelphia, coming off a 27-win season, hasn’t started 0-2 since dropping its first three in 2005-06. “If our guys will give this kind of effort every night then our fans will appreciate that, and it’s going to equate to some wins,” Collins told the 76ers’ official website.
Though starters Jason Kapono, Spencer Hawes and Jrue Holiday combined for eight points, rookie Evan Turner, Lou Williams and Thaddeus Young totaled 46 off the bench. It’s uncertain if Collins will make a lineup change for Friday’s contest. “My starters are not necessarily my best players, that’s why I said don’t get caught up in who’s starting,” Collins said.
Turner, the second overall pick in June out of Ohio State, could break into the starting lineup after recording 16 points, seven rebounds and four assists in 31 minutes of his NBA debut. Andre Iguodala was held to 10 points on 5 of 12 shooting in the opener, but went 9 of 12 from the field and finished with 25 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists in Philadelphia’s 105-98 home win over Atlanta in the teams’ most recent meeting March 26.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 3, O/U 196
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -2.08
________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 96.3, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 97.4, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 93.9, OPPONENT 101.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--ATLANTA is 43-75 ATS (-39.5 Units) in a road game where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 90.5, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 99.1, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM MONEY LINE TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 2-18 against the money line (-20.6 Units) in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 93.9, OPPONENT 101.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 12-30 against the money line (-25.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 96.3, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 against the money line (-15.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 95.3, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 against the money line (-16.7 Units) in home games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 97.0, OPPONENT 101.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--ATLANTA is 27-85 against the money line (-48.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 90.5, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 6-21 against the 1rst half line (-17.1 Units) in a home game where the first half total is 95.5 to 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 47.8, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 9-22 against the 1rst half line (-15.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points vs. the first half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 47.6, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--ATLANTA is 8-21 against the 1rst half line (-15.1 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 48.3, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 48-29 OVER (+16.1 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after playing a game as a home underdog since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 48.7, OPPONENT 48.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 33-18 UNDER (+13.2 Units) the 1rst half total after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 49.7, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) - off a road win by 10 points or more, team that had a winning record last season.
(31-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.9, Opponent 48.8 (Average first half point differential = +1.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (64-37).
--PLAY ON - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (PHILADELPHIA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games.
(36-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (75%, +22.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.4, Opponent 48 (Average first half point differential = +0.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (73-43).
--PLAY ON - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (PHILADELPHIA) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games.
(67-30 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.1%, +34 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.5, Opponent 48.3 (Average first half point differential = +0.2)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (141-95).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (ATLANTA) - good team from last season (60% to 75%) playing a team who had a losing record last year, after 1 or more consecutive wins.
(25-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.4, Opponent 44.5 (Total first half points scored = 91.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (40-24).
GC NHL PLay- Friday
On Friday the Free NHL Play is on the Montreal Canadiens. Game 2 at 7:05 eastern. Montreal has won 3 of the last vs the Islanders here in New York. The Canadiens are a solid 5-1 vs losing teams and just defeated the Islanders a day ago. New York is a terrible 6-17 when coming off 3+ road games. Look for the Canadiens to win this one. On Friday I have a solid NBA Power system side that leads the Friday Card. NBA has started out hot cashing 3 of the first 4. I also have the NCAAF Side from 3 Power Angles. Thursday card swept the board the 3rd sweep in 4 days this week. For the Bonus Play take Montreal. GC
On Friday the Free NHL Play is on the Montreal Canadiens. Game 2 at 7:05 eastern. Montreal has won 3 of the last vs the Islanders here in New York. The Canadiens are a solid 5-1 vs losing teams and just defeated the Islanders a day ago. New York is a terrible 6-17 when coming off 3+ road games. Look for the Canadiens to win this one. On Friday I have a solid NBA Power system side that leads the Friday Card. NBA has started out hot cashing 3 of the first 4. I also have the NCAAF Side from 3 Power Angles. Thursday card swept the board the 3rd sweep in 4 days this week. For the Bonus Play take Montreal. GC
Indian Cowboy
4-Unit Play. #720. Take Over 200 Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks (Friday @ 8:30pm est).
We like dogs that are active. And, in particular, I like road dogs that can be active to send the game over the posted total. That is exactly the opportunity we have here between Memphis and Dallas. Dallas comes off a nice victory in their first ballgame against a Dallas team that really has no scoring pop and focuses heavily on half-court offense. Memphis is a team that likes to wheel and deal more with their young gang, and this is a team that gave up 119 points to Atlanta at home. I look for Memphis to be active dogs here with their young team and consequently be leading this game likely even through half and the third quarter, but then I expect Dallas to start chipping away. All the while, I expect this game to go over the posted total as Memphis will likely be an active dog as these two teams are very familiar with each other given how often they have to play through the course of the year. The Grizzlies have played their last five games over the posted total and the Over is 23-10 when the Grizzlies are road dogs by this margin.
If someone can pick up his football package this weekend that would be great. Thanks
4-Unit Play. #720. Take Over 200 Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks (Friday @ 8:30pm est).
We like dogs that are active. And, in particular, I like road dogs that can be active to send the game over the posted total. That is exactly the opportunity we have here between Memphis and Dallas. Dallas comes off a nice victory in their first ballgame against a Dallas team that really has no scoring pop and focuses heavily on half-court offense. Memphis is a team that likes to wheel and deal more with their young gang, and this is a team that gave up 119 points to Atlanta at home. I look for Memphis to be active dogs here with their young team and consequently be leading this game likely even through half and the third quarter, but then I expect Dallas to start chipping away. All the while, I expect this game to go over the posted total as Memphis will likely be an active dog as these two teams are very familiar with each other given how often they have to play through the course of the year. The Grizzlies have played their last five games over the posted total and the Over is 23-10 when the Grizzlies are road dogs by this margin.
If someone can pick up his football package this weekend that would be great. Thanks
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 10/29 cont.
*** NUGGETS TAKE ON THE HORNETS IN THE BIG EASY ***
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It was a drama-filled offseason for two of the NBA’s biggest superstars, but after leading their teams to season-opening wins, they might want to think about sticking around their respective clubs for a while. Carmelo Anthony and Chris Paul will go head-to-head Friday night when the Denver Nuggets visit the New Orleans Hornets.
Anthony turned down a three-year, $65 million extension in the offseason which led to talk of his departure, but he was still in a Nuggets uniform Wednesday, and led the team with 23 points in a 110-88 victory over Utah. After the game, the three-time All Star said he would take things one day at a time. “I’m here. Tonight, I was excited about this game. I can’t control what happens out there. Whatever happens, is going to happen,” he said. “The fans, they want to see basketball. They don’t want drama. I don’t want drama.”
The Nuggets have taken three straight from the Hornets, and are 6-0 when Anthony scores at least 30—about five more than his career average. Coach George Karl made his triumphant return to the bench after missing the final two months of the season as he dealt with neck and throat cancer. Karl was glad to be back on the sidelines and thankful for all the support he received.
Denver, which surrendered 102.4 points per game in 2009-10, came out with a great defensive effort against the Jazz. Chauncey Billups collected three steals and helped limit Utah to 38.6 percent shooting from the floor. “We’ve been looking forward to this game for a while,” said Billups. “We’ve got guys playing really well right now.” The Nuggets might have a tougher time in their second game.
Paul scored 17 points and dished out 16 assists in a 95-91 win over Milwaukee on Wednesday in Monty Williams’ head coaching debut. Paul’s name was also discussed in trade talk after it was reported he was unhappy with the franchise’s direction. However, he spoke very highly of Williams after the game. “He’s not just a head coach. He’s more than that because he really wants us to succeed and he puts a lot of time in,” Paul said. “So we were happy to get him his first win and his first game ball.”
The three-time All Star could be in line for another big game as he has averaged 23.0 points and 12.6 assists in his last nine games against Denver. He missed both matchups last season while recovering from left knee surgery that limited him to a career-low 45 games. David West had 22 points on 9 of 14 from the floor and grabbed seven rebounds for the Hornets, but he may want to leave the scoring to his teammates — New Orleans is 0-5 against Denver when West scores at least 20.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Denver by 1, O/U 209
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Denver -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Denver -1.71
_______________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 137-93 ATS (+34.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 95.6, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 96.8, OPPONENT 98.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 95.8, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 94.5, OPPONENT 98.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 107.7, OPPONENT 105.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 107.5, OPPONENT 104.8 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 43-19 UNDER (+22.1 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 94.3, OPPONENT 96.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 18-5 UNDER (+12.5 Units) off a home win over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.0, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 14-4 UNDER (+9.6 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.7, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 43-21 UNDER (+19.9 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 97.2, OPPONENT 98.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in road games after a game where their opponent was called for 30 or more fouls over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 94.5, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM MONEY LINE TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 130-100 against the money line (+42.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 95.6, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 28-41 against the money line (-29.4 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.3, OPPONENT 99.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 24-49 against the money line (-32.7 Units) after a game where they were called for 30 or more fouls since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 95.6, OPPONENT 99.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 84-55 against the money line (+22.6 Units) off a home win scoring 110 or more points since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 103.5, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 85-48 against the money line (+18.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 107.3, OPPONENT 102.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 55-32 against the money line (+16.2 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 105.5, OPPONENT 100.7 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 26-55 against the 1rst half line (-34.5 Units) versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 49.4, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 18-45 against the 1rst half line (-31.5 Units) as a home favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.3, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 32-54 against the 1rst half line (-27.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.9, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 6-24 against the 1rst half line (-20.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.3, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 14-31 against the 1rst half line (-20.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.6, OPPONENT 53.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 12-27 against the 1rst half line (-17.7 Units) after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 49.0, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 53-31 against the 1rst half line (+18.9 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 54.7, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 31-14 against the 1rst half line (+15.6 Units) off an home win scoring 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 54.0, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) the 1rst half total in home games off a home win over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.2, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-20 UNDER (+18.0 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 45.9, OPPONENT 48.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 26-11 UNDER (+13.9 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 50.6, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - OVER/UNDER
------------------------------------------------------------
--Karl is 41-20 UNDER (+19.0 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 97.6, OPPONENT 99.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--Karl is 23-8 UNDER (+14.2 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 98.4, OPPONENT 101.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--Karl is 19-5 UNDER (+13.5 Units) in road games off a home win against a division rival as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 96.6, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--Karl is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 95.9, OPPONENT 99.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Any team vs the money line (DENVER) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season.
(31-7 since 1996.) (81.6%, +23.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -107.9
The average score in these games was: Team 102.3, Opponent 91.5 (Average point differential = +10.7)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1, +8.9 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2, +7.9 units).
--PLAY ON - Any team vs the money line (DENVER) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, team that had a winning record last season.
(52-18 since 1996.) (74.3%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -114.7
The average score in these games was: Team 98.9, Opponent 91.5 (Average point differential = +7.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-2, +10.2 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-7, +9.7 units).
__________________________________________________
Stan the Man Szumera a Professional Handicapper since 1977 offers you 33 years of experience. Stan is known for his strong work ethic and his commitment to delivering you the best analysis available. With regards to style, The Man likes to use the perfect blend of three decades of experience as well as emotional, statistical, and technical support to back up his selections.
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Located on the East Coast just a few miles from the University of Seton Hall, Stan the Man is tuned into the Pirates as well as the Big East and Atlantic Coast Conferences. College Football, Major League Baseball as well as the NBA and NFL are considered his strengths. But keep in mind a profitable run can happen at any time in any sport when Stan gets into one of his capping zones!
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*** NUGGETS TAKE ON THE HORNETS IN THE BIG EASY ***
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It was a drama-filled offseason for two of the NBA’s biggest superstars, but after leading their teams to season-opening wins, they might want to think about sticking around their respective clubs for a while. Carmelo Anthony and Chris Paul will go head-to-head Friday night when the Denver Nuggets visit the New Orleans Hornets.
Anthony turned down a three-year, $65 million extension in the offseason which led to talk of his departure, but he was still in a Nuggets uniform Wednesday, and led the team with 23 points in a 110-88 victory over Utah. After the game, the three-time All Star said he would take things one day at a time. “I’m here. Tonight, I was excited about this game. I can’t control what happens out there. Whatever happens, is going to happen,” he said. “The fans, they want to see basketball. They don’t want drama. I don’t want drama.”
The Nuggets have taken three straight from the Hornets, and are 6-0 when Anthony scores at least 30—about five more than his career average. Coach George Karl made his triumphant return to the bench after missing the final two months of the season as he dealt with neck and throat cancer. Karl was glad to be back on the sidelines and thankful for all the support he received.
Denver, which surrendered 102.4 points per game in 2009-10, came out with a great defensive effort against the Jazz. Chauncey Billups collected three steals and helped limit Utah to 38.6 percent shooting from the floor. “We’ve been looking forward to this game for a while,” said Billups. “We’ve got guys playing really well right now.” The Nuggets might have a tougher time in their second game.
Paul scored 17 points and dished out 16 assists in a 95-91 win over Milwaukee on Wednesday in Monty Williams’ head coaching debut. Paul’s name was also discussed in trade talk after it was reported he was unhappy with the franchise’s direction. However, he spoke very highly of Williams after the game. “He’s not just a head coach. He’s more than that because he really wants us to succeed and he puts a lot of time in,” Paul said. “So we were happy to get him his first win and his first game ball.”
The three-time All Star could be in line for another big game as he has averaged 23.0 points and 12.6 assists in his last nine games against Denver. He missed both matchups last season while recovering from left knee surgery that limited him to a career-low 45 games. David West had 22 points on 9 of 14 from the floor and grabbed seven rebounds for the Hornets, but he may want to leave the scoring to his teammates — New Orleans is 0-5 against Denver when West scores at least 20.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Denver by 1, O/U 209
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Denver -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Denver -1.71
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--NEW ORLEANS is 137-93 ATS (+34.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 95.6, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 96.8, OPPONENT 98.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 95.8, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 94.5, OPPONENT 98.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 107.7, OPPONENT 105.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 107.5, OPPONENT 104.8 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--NEW ORLEANS is 43-19 UNDER (+22.1 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 94.3, OPPONENT 96.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 18-5 UNDER (+12.5 Units) off a home win over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.0, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 14-4 UNDER (+9.6 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.7, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 43-21 UNDER (+19.9 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 97.2, OPPONENT 98.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in road games after a game where their opponent was called for 30 or more fouls over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 94.5, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM MONEY LINE TRENDS
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--NEW ORLEANS is 130-100 against the money line (+42.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 95.6, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 28-41 against the money line (-29.4 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.3, OPPONENT 99.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 24-49 against the money line (-32.7 Units) after a game where they were called for 30 or more fouls since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 95.6, OPPONENT 99.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 84-55 against the money line (+22.6 Units) off a home win scoring 110 or more points since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 103.5, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 85-48 against the money line (+18.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 107.3, OPPONENT 102.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 55-32 against the money line (+16.2 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 105.5, OPPONENT 100.7 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--NEW ORLEANS is 26-55 against the 1rst half line (-34.5 Units) versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 49.4, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 18-45 against the 1rst half line (-31.5 Units) as a home favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.3, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 32-54 against the 1rst half line (-27.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.9, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 6-24 against the 1rst half line (-20.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.3, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 14-31 against the 1rst half line (-20.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.6, OPPONENT 53.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 12-27 against the 1rst half line (-17.7 Units) after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 49.0, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 53-31 against the 1rst half line (+18.9 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 54.7, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 31-14 against the 1rst half line (+15.6 Units) off an home win scoring 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 54.0, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) the 1rst half total in home games off a home win over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.2, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-20 UNDER (+18.0 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 45.9, OPPONENT 48.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 26-11 UNDER (+13.9 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 50.6, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - OVER/UNDER
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--Karl is 41-20 UNDER (+19.0 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 97.6, OPPONENT 99.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--Karl is 23-8 UNDER (+14.2 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 98.4, OPPONENT 101.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--Karl is 19-5 UNDER (+13.5 Units) in road games off a home win against a division rival as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 96.6, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--Karl is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 95.9, OPPONENT 99.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY ON - Any team vs the money line (DENVER) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season.
(31-7 since 1996.) (81.6%, +23.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -107.9
The average score in these games was: Team 102.3, Opponent 91.5 (Average point differential = +10.7)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1, +8.9 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2, +7.9 units).
--PLAY ON - Any team vs the money line (DENVER) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, team that had a winning record last season.
(52-18 since 1996.) (74.3%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -114.7
The average score in these games was: Team 98.9, Opponent 91.5 (Average point differential = +7.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-2, +10.2 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-7, +9.7 units).
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Stan the Man Szumera a Professional Handicapper since 1977 offers you 33 years of experience. Stan is known for his strong work ethic and his commitment to delivering you the best analysis available. With regards to style, The Man likes to use the perfect blend of three decades of experience as well as emotional, statistical, and technical support to back up his selections.
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