Topshelfpicks
Raiderman - Royals
The pitching match-up is Jeremy Guthrie (13-11, 4.13 ERA) vs Tim Hudson (9-13, 3.57 ERA) for the Giants. What I like about this match-up is that Guthrie comes in pitching better down the stretch than Hudson. During September, Hudson was 0-4 with an 8.72 ERA while Guthrie was 3-1 with a 2.40 ERA. During the post-season neither pitcher has logged a decision but Hudson's ERA is 3.29 and he has allowed 14 hits in 13.2 innings. Certainly, Hudson's post season numbers aren't bad by any stretch. Guthrie has had one post-season appearance in which he pitched 5 innings against Baltimore in the ALCS and allowed just one run (1.80 ERA) on 3 hits. This will be the first World Series start for both pitchers. Guthrie is more of a fly ball pitcher, and AT&T is not a homer friendly park, so if Guthrie can effectively keep the ball down, the Royals should be in good shape with their defense and bullpen.
The SF bullpen really let the Giants down the other night, so this could be a true wild card. Hudson only averaged 6 innings per start, so I expect the bullpen to come into play tonight. Meanwhile, I thought Ventura really battled himself the other night, but the KC bullpen came in and shut down the Giants. This could be something we see again before this series is over. Neither of these pitchers is a dominant pitcher, so the bullpens will be called upon early. If it comes down to pitching and defense late, we know the Royals have got the goods.
I expect this to be a high scoring game, something along the lines of 6-4 or so, so I would definitely lean to the Over as well (can't believe this total is 7 - I would have looked for 8 myself).