Service Plays Friday 10/23/09

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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim..

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CFL LONG SHEET

Week 17

Friday, October 23

HAMILTON (6 - 9) at TORONTO (3 - 12) - 10/23/2009, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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EDMONTON (7 - 8) at CALGARY (8 - 6 - 1) - 10/23/2009, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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CFL DUNKEL


Hamilton at Toronto
The Argonauts look to take advantage of a Hamilton team that is 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 meetings in Toronto. Toronto is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has Hamilton favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+4).

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 23

Game 451-452: Hamilton at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 107.740; Toronto 105.381
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 2 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 4; 48
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+4); Over

Game 453-454: Edmonton at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 106.761; Calgary 114.069
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 7 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Calgary by 5 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-5 1/2); Under
 
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CFL ADDITIONAL

Week 17

Trend Report

Friday, October 23

7:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. TORONTO
Hamilton is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
Hamilton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Toronto is 19-6 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Hamilton

10:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Calgary is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Edmonton
 
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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins (-200, 6)

Last season the Penguins struggled to play above .500 without defenseman Sergei Gonchar in the lineup. Gonchar got hurt again and will miss the next four to six weeks, but beat reporters are talking Pittsburgh bettors down off the ledge.

The elevated play of goalie Marc-Andre Fleury is enough to compensate for the loss of Pittsburgh’s best blueliner. Fleury is 8-0 with a 1.96 goals against average and a .926 save percentage.

“Marc-Andre’s been our best player every night, but we’re all out there frustrating the other team,” Pens defenseman Jay McKee said following a recent win over the Lightning. “There are a lot of things clicking for us right now, especially defensively.”

Fleury will get a day off when the Pens host the Panthers on Friday. Look for Pittsburgh’s offense to continue finding the back of the net and backup Brent Johnson to let in a few soft goals.

Pick: Over 6


Carolina Hurricanes at Colorado Avalanche (-113, 5.5)

The Canes failed to pick up their first road against Islanders Wednesday, but there were several signs pointing to a hot streak for Carolina.

Paul Maurice’s boys fought back from a 3-1 deficit and the coach was particularly glad to see Eric Staal collect his first multi-point game of the season.

“For our offense, getting that big boy going is critical,” Maurice told the Raleigh News & Observer. “He had the fire on the bench.”

The Hurricanes are too good of a team not to pick up steam soon. Look for the club to avenge the embarrassing loss to the Islanders with a big win against the surprising Avalanche.

Pick: Carolina +104
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NCAAF WRITE-UP

Week 8

Friday's game

Rutgers won last five games vs Army by average score of 37-9; Knights are in Pitt/UConn sandwich- they're 2-2 vs I-A teams, scoring 15-17 in losses to Cincy/Pitt, 23-34 in wins over FIU (23-15), Maryland (34-13). Army lost three of last four games, scoring 16 or less points in all four of the games- they're 2-3 as underdog this year. Rutgers is +14 in turnovers the last five games but Army only turned ball over four times in their last five games. Big East favorites are 6-7 out of conference, 4-3 on the road.
 
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NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 23

Game 305-306: Rutgers at Army
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 88.331; Army 75.835
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 12 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 10; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-10); Over
 
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The Gold Sheet

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 23
*Rutgers 30 - ARMY 13—Certainly not enamored of laying substantial
points on road with Rutgers and its limited offense under direction of true frosh QB Savage. But Scarlet Knights have easily throttled Army in last couple meetings, and their swarming defense (permitting only 92 ypg rushing) matches up well against one-dimensional Black Knights (nation’s-worst 66 ypg passing). CABLE TV—ESPN2
(08-RUTGERS 30-Army 3...R.25-9 A.47/217 R.30/162 R.23/34/0/359 A.2/4/0/2 R.2 A.2) (08-RUTGERS -18' 30-3 07-Rutgers -19' 41-6...SR: Army 18-17)
 

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Sunshine Forecast

Friday, October 23, 2009

Rutgers (-10) at Army

Power Rating Projection:

Rutgers 33 Army 12
Statistical Projections

Rutgers 30

Rushing Yards: 129
Passing Yards: 198
Turnovers: 1

Army 9

Rushing Yards: 140
Passing Yards: 50
Turnovers: 3
** Statistical edge to Rutgers
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

Rutgers 31 Army 10

Historical trend: Take Rutgers ( Domination by Rutgers, 4-0, 100.0% )
 

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LuckyDaySports.com

Friday's Comp Play

NCAAF
Take the Under (38.5) in the NCAA Rutgers at Army game
 
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Nelly's

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 23, 2009
Rutgers (-10) ARMY 7:00 PM
Rutgers reeled off a four-game winning streak against weak competition but the Big East
favorites of many are now 0-2 in conference play. After a primetime loss last week at home
Rutgers is back to facing a match-up more in line with its schedule that rates as one of the
weakest in the nation. Army owns three wins this season and the losses have mainly been
competitive efforts. The Black Knights are rushing for 222 yards per game while overall Army
allows just 285 yards per game. Army has also played a weak schedule and the last two years
Rutgers has won by a combined score of 71-9 in this series. QB play has been suspect for the
Scarlet Knights but Rutgers should have success running the ball in this match-up. Army
probably deserved to cover last week as they out-gained Temple and allowed only 195 yards
despite losing 27-13. Army has not been strong in the home underdog role, going 7-18 since
’03 and against major conference competition the Black Knights have not held up well.
Rutgers has underperformed so far this season but this is an opportunity. RUTGERS BY 17
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

Rutgers (4-2, 1-3 ATS) at Army (3-4, 2-5 ATS)

Rutgers plays under the Friday night spotlight for the second straight week, this time hoping for better results as it makes the short trek to West Point for a non-conference clash with Army.

The Scarlet Knights saw a four-game winning streak go by the wayside last Friday night, falling 24-17 to Big East rival Pittsburgh as a six-point home underdog. Rutgers jumped out to a 7-0 lead, then got outscored 24-3 before getting a fourth-quarter TD pass to cap the scoring. The Scarlet Knights got outgained 376-286, including a 223-38 discrepancy in rushing yardage.

Rutgers’ two losses were in Big East play (Cincinnati and Pittsburgh), scoring just 15 and 17 points in those two contests, while the four victories came against lesser foes Howard, Florida International, Maryland and Texas Southern by a combined score of 144-35.

Army failed to capitalize on a thrilling 16-13 overtime victory over Vanderbilt as a 10-point home underdog, losing 27-13 at Temple as a 10½-point underdog Saturday. The Black Knights’ defense was outstanding, yielding just 195 total yards, and Army had a 181-80 rushing edge, but the offense went just 1-for-11 on third downs and produced just 13 first downs to 27 for Temple.

Army has scored between 13 and 19 points in five of its last six games, and its three victories came against Vanderbilt (16-13) as well as Mid-American Conference bottom-feeders Eastern Michigan (27-14) and Ball State (24-17), three teams that are a combined 2-18.

These regional rivals met each of the last two Novembers, with Rutgers rolling both times by scores of 41-6 as a 20-point road chalk in 2007 and 30-3 as an 18-point home favorite last year. The Scarlet Knights have won five straight meetings since 1998 by margins of 12, 44, 15, 35 and 27 points. Rutgers is also 6-0 ATS in the last six series clashes since 1997.

The Scarlet Knights are on ATS runs of 14-6 on the road (5-0 last five), 11-4-2 in non-conference play, 7-0-1 on artificial turf and 10-4 as a double-digit favorite. However, they’re also in ATS slumps of 0-2-1 as a favorite, 2-6 as a road favorite, 0-5-1 when laying 3½ to 10 points and 1-3 after a SU loss. Army is 5-2-1 ATS in its last eight October contests, but otherwise is in pointspread ruts of 2-7 overall, 1-5 at home, 1-10 against the Big East, 7-19-1 as a home underdog and 1-8-1 when catching between 3½ and 10 points.

Rutgers carries “under” trends of 3-0 overall, 12-3-1 in October, 3-0 in non-conference action and 3-0 after a SU loss. Similarly, the Black Knights are on “under” runs of 4-1 overall, 8-1 at home, 4-1 versus Big East opponents and 8-3 on artificial turf. Finally, these teams stayed under the posted price in their last two meetings.

ATS ADVANTAGE: RUTGERS and UNDER
 
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Hondo

Girardi and the Yankees cost Hondo a big score last night, stumbling in Game 5 to push the debt to 1,820 chamblisses.

Today, he'll try to get the beat going with a one- unit play on Bo Diddley in the seventh at Belmont.
 
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DCI
Season: 43-33 (.566)

PITTSBURGH 4, Florida 2
ST. LOUIS 3, Minnesota 2
Carolina vs. COLORADO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
 

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