BOOKIEASSASSIN
John Chang
New York Knicks +2.5 over PHOENIX SUNS, 20 dimes
Despite the trade that brought Vince Carter out west, the Suns just can't seem to do anything right of late. This midseason slump sets the Suns in uncharted waters since they have been perennial contenders in the Western Conference, and I don't see an end in sight. Phoenix is 1-7 SU in their last 8, 4-9 ATS in their last 13, and an unexpected 6-10 ATS at home this season. Opposing teams no longer fear the prospect of going into the US Airways Center to face the Suns high-flying offensive attack. Most of the reason for this is that the Suns don't make it hard for opponents to keep up with their scoring. Mike D'Antoni knows his old team very well, and will have an effective gameplan to break down the already poor defense of the Suns. Look for the Knicks to improve on their 5-1 ATS record against Western Conference teams.
Miami Heat -7 over MILWAUKEE BUCKS, 20 dimes
I can't wait to see this game net us some dimes. The stars have aligned, and given us a small impost in a game that should get very, very ugly for the Bucks. First, let's look at the numbers. The Miami Heat score more points, rebound better, shoot at a much higher FG percentage, make more 3's, and hit from the charity stripe better than the Bucks. The only advantage the Bucks usually have against opponents is nullified, since Miami's defense is just as solid, if not better, than Milwaukee's. Milwaukee is the worst offensive team in the league, and going against the NBA's second ranked defense isn't going to make them look any better. The Heat already handed the Bucks a SU and ATS loss last month in Wisconsin, and we should see history repeat itself tonight. Miami is on a 5-1 ATS road win streak, and have only lost 1 out of their last 20 games! Lay the road chalk! You'll be counting your money before you know it.
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -9.5 over Cleveland Cavaliers, 10 dimes
Betting against the Cleveland Cavaliers has become a better investment than Microsoft, as they are a riding a nice 1-7 ATS streak right now. On the road, betting against the Cavies is just as solid (2-9-2 ATS run.) Overall, the Cavs are getting demolished day in and day out, winning only 1 out of their last 19 contests. Golden State scores a lot of points, averaging over 105 ppg at home. They've been playing a lot on the road for this first part of the season, and I expect them to be thrilled to play a weak Cleveland team at home. The Warriors are healthy, and have two premier scorers in Monta Ellis and Stephen Curry. Lay the home wood.
Texas A&M Aggies +3 over LSU Tigers, 10 dimes
To be honest, I usually hate to bet against Les Miles. His creativity and penchant for gadget plays have given his teams the ability to work magic in the fourth quarters of big games. But this time around, big balls and tricky play calling isn't going to be enough to beat a superior A&M team. LSU plays stifling defense, but A&M isn't a slouch on D either, and I think they should be able to neutralize the two QB system that LSU implements. A multi-interception game might be in the cards for the A&M defense, as LSU QB's Lee and Jefferson have combined to throw more picks than TD's this season. Meanwhile, A&M is going to field a QB who is on a hot streak in Ryan Tannehill. They haven't lost a game with Tannehill at QB, and they've beaten some very stiff competition, including Nebraska and Oklahoma. Expect the Aggies to capture a bowl win today!
Wichita State Shockers -8 over Illinois State Redbirds, 20 dimes
The Shockers and their high scoring offense are clearly on another level above the Redbirds. Tonight, I see an easy double digit blowout for the visiting team. Illinois State has played a very soft schedule to this point, and when they have played good programs (UNLV, Missouri State, Creighton,) they've gotten blasted by double digits. The Redbirds don't have the offensive capability to keep up with Wichita State's scoring, and they don't play good enough defense to keep the Shockers from hitting three's and scoring in the paint. Also, Wichita State is by far the better team when it comes to cleaning up the glass and shooting from the charity stripe. Take the 12-2 Shockers in this one.