JOE GAVAZZI
NBA
Golden State Warriors at OKC Thunder (-1-) 9:35 ET ESPN
4* Golden State Warriors (+1-)
Never easy to fade OKC on their home court. But, the truth is that since the loss of Westbrook in late December, the Thunder are just 7-6 SU. That includes 3-3 SU on a home court where OKC won their first 16 games. Victories have come against lowly Milwaukee, Boston, and Houston. Now, they must face a Golden State team who has been on a recent surge. In fact, since the time that OKC lost Westbrook, Golden is 11-2 SU. This despite less than stellar play from a starting backcourt of Thompson and Curry, who have been off their feed of late. Having gone 5-2 ATS on this floor recently, look for the Warriors to take advantage of their backcourt edge and continue the Thunder inconsistency without their fallen leader.
4* Miami Heat (-10)
4* LA Clippers (-4)
NBA
Golden State Warriors at OKC Thunder (-1-) 9:35 ET ESPN
4* Golden State Warriors (+1-)
Never easy to fade OKC on their home court. But, the truth is that since the loss of Westbrook in late December, the Thunder are just 7-6 SU. That includes 3-3 SU on a home court where OKC won their first 16 games. Victories have come against lowly Milwaukee, Boston, and Houston. Now, they must face a Golden State team who has been on a recent surge. In fact, since the time that OKC lost Westbrook, Golden is 11-2 SU. This despite less than stellar play from a starting backcourt of Thompson and Curry, who have been off their feed of late. Having gone 5-2 ATS on this floor recently, look for the Warriors to take advantage of their backcourt edge and continue the Thunder inconsistency without their fallen leader.
4* Miami Heat (-10)
4* LA Clippers (-4)
King Creole NBA Total Fri, 01/17/14 - 8:35 PM
dime bet - 818 SAN / 817 POR - OVER 212.0
8:35pm ET - 5:35pm PT / #817-818 / PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS @ SAN ANTONIO SPURS
1* Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
Game Three: We used this game as a Best bet in the current Playbook newsletter.. and we'll stick to our guns
and use it as a King gameday play as well. This Portland / San Antonio series has gone 5-1 O/U in
the last six meetings. Average MARGIN in those games has been OVER-whelming: +21.2 ppg. That
includes this year's earlier meeting in Portland when both teams combined for 220 points. These
are two of the league's BEST 'Over' teams for the season. Portland is 27-11 O/U... while San
Antonio is 24-14-1 O/U. Since late November, the BLAZERS have gone 18-5 O/U... including a
PERFECT 8-0 O/U when playing on the non-division conference ROAD. Portland is also 15-4 O/U
this season versus WINNING teams... 6-0 O/U in their last six vs the SOUTHWEST Division... 5-1
O/U on Fridays... and 16-5 O/U playing off an ATS win.
There's only THREE teams in the NBA who have gone OVER 67% of the time or higher this season
in their home games... and San Antonio is ONE of 'em (14-6-1 O/U). They've gone 19-8 O/U this
year versus opponents off a SU win. San Antonio is on a current streak in which they've scored
MORE than 100 points in EACH of their last ten games. In addition, the SPURS are 20-6-1 O/U in
their home games dating back to last season... 7-1-1 O/U after allowing 100+ pts in their last
game... 12-3-1 O/U on ONE Day of rest... and 6-1 O/U versus .600 > opponents.
Speaking of games involving VERY GOOD teams... the Playbook database reveals that:
Since December, NBA games involving a couple of .750 > teams (SPURS / BLAZERS) have gone 7-
1 O/U when the OU line is 214 < points.
The Spurs are off BB SU wins.. but they failed to get the cash in either game (BB ATS losses).
31-11 O/U since 2009: All teams off BB SU wins BUT BB ATS losses (SPURS) when the OU line is
1`99 > points. These games have gone 10-1 O/U in the last 12 months.
Portland takes to the road off multiple home games in a row.
5-0 O/U since December: All .600 > road teams playing off 3 or more HOME games in a row
(PORTLAND).
dime bet - 818 SAN / 817 POR - OVER 212.0
8:35pm ET - 5:35pm PT / #817-818 / PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS @ SAN ANTONIO SPURS
1* Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
Game Three: We used this game as a Best bet in the current Playbook newsletter.. and we'll stick to our guns
and use it as a King gameday play as well. This Portland / San Antonio series has gone 5-1 O/U in
the last six meetings. Average MARGIN in those games has been OVER-whelming: +21.2 ppg. That
includes this year's earlier meeting in Portland when both teams combined for 220 points. These
are two of the league's BEST 'Over' teams for the season. Portland is 27-11 O/U... while San
Antonio is 24-14-1 O/U. Since late November, the BLAZERS have gone 18-5 O/U... including a
PERFECT 8-0 O/U when playing on the non-division conference ROAD. Portland is also 15-4 O/U
this season versus WINNING teams... 6-0 O/U in their last six vs the SOUTHWEST Division... 5-1
O/U on Fridays... and 16-5 O/U playing off an ATS win.
There's only THREE teams in the NBA who have gone OVER 67% of the time or higher this season
in their home games... and San Antonio is ONE of 'em (14-6-1 O/U). They've gone 19-8 O/U this
year versus opponents off a SU win. San Antonio is on a current streak in which they've scored
MORE than 100 points in EACH of their last ten games. In addition, the SPURS are 20-6-1 O/U in
their home games dating back to last season... 7-1-1 O/U after allowing 100+ pts in their last
game... 12-3-1 O/U on ONE Day of rest... and 6-1 O/U versus .600 > opponents.
Speaking of games involving VERY GOOD teams... the Playbook database reveals that:
Since December, NBA games involving a couple of .750 > teams (SPURS / BLAZERS) have gone 7-
1 O/U when the OU line is 214 < points.
The Spurs are off BB SU wins.. but they failed to get the cash in either game (BB ATS losses).
31-11 O/U since 2009: All teams off BB SU wins BUT BB ATS losses (SPURS) when the OU line is
1`99 > points. These games have gone 10-1 O/U in the last 12 months.
Portland takes to the road off multiple home games in a row.
5-0 O/U since December: All .600 > road teams playing off 3 or more HOME games in a row
(PORTLAND).
-= TOP PLAY =-
| NBA | Jan 17 '14 (7:05p) Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards | Chicago Bulls +4½-105 at spbook |
| 25* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Chicago Bulls +4.5 The Washington Wizards are in a massive letdown spot tonight. They not only beat the defending champion Miami Heat last time out, they destroyed them 114-97. They are certainly feeling good about themselves heading into this game with Chicago tonight. The Wizards are primed for a huge letdown following that win. Adding to the letdown factor is the fact that Washington beat Chicago 102-88 on the road on January 13 just five days ago. I really believe the Wizards won't even show up tonight. The Bulls, meanwhile, will be out for revenge from that loss earlier this week. This team has been playing great, but it continues to get disrespected. The Bulls have won six of their last seven games overall behind the most underrated head coach in the business in Tom Thibodeau. Plays against favorites (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 72-33 (68.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Bulls are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 Friday games. Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last nine vs. a team with a losing record. Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last seven Friday game. The Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. Bet the Bulls Friday. |
XpertPicks
FRIDAY
TOP HOOPS PLAYS OF THE DAY
Play WI-Green Bay -2.5 over Wright State (NCAA)
7:00 PM EST
Wright State has lost 10 of the last 13 games against the spread and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread when playing as an underdog. Wright State has lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread after having won two of the last three games and they are only averaging 59 points over the last five games.
FRIDAY
TOP HOOPS PLAYS OF THE DAY
Play WI-Green Bay -2.5 over Wright State (NCAA)
7:00 PM EST
Wright State has lost 10 of the last 13 games against the spread and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread when playing as an underdog. Wright State has lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread after having won two of the last three games and they are only averaging 59 points over the last five games.
