Gina
Friday, January 8th, 2010 10:00 p.m. est.
Los Angeles Lakers (28-7) at Portland Trail Blazers (22-15)
Go with the Trail Blazers at home versus the Lakers. Los Angeles has not been successful in Portland. The Lakers have lost eight straight at the Rose Garden, just 2-14 ATS in the last 16 in Portland. Besides, the Lakers will be without their key player center Pau Gasol for a third straight game, due to a hamstring injury.
Portland Trail Blazers +3½
Friday, January 8th, 2010 10:00 p.m. est.
Los Angeles Lakers (28-7) at Portland Trail Blazers (22-15)
Go with the Trail Blazers at home versus the Lakers. Los Angeles has not been successful in Portland. The Lakers have lost eight straight at the Rose Garden, just 2-14 ATS in the last 16 in Portland. Besides, the Lakers will be without their key player center Pau Gasol for a third straight game, due to a hamstring injury.
Portland Trail Blazers +3½
Denver Money's NHL Friday 1/08
Tampa Bay @ New Jersey:
Once again we get a matchup of one of the worst road teams vs one of the best home teams in the league. Tampa Bay continues to struggle on the road with their overall road record now sitting at 6-11-5 where New Jersey is 16-6-0 at home this season. Tampa Bay comes into New Jersey tonight losing the last 6 meetings in Jersey. Overall the Lightning are 3-14 in the last 17 meetings between these two teams including 3 loses this season already. It is looking like we should see Smith in the net tonight for Tampa Bay. Smith this season is 9-11-6 with a save % of .904 and 1 shutout. For the Devils we will see Brodeur who is 27-10-1 this season with a save % of .922 and 5 shutouts. Brodeur was in the net for all 3 wins vs Tampa Bay this season as well.
2* New Jersey Devils -1.5 +155
Columbus @ Calgary:
Columbus travels to Calgary tonight to face a red hot team in the Flames. Calgary comes into tonights game winning 5 of their last 6 games overall. Flames are 6-0 in their last 6 games in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. The Blue Jackets come into the game losing their last 4 games after a victory. Blue Jackets have also gone 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. Northwest. Blue Jackets are 5-22 in last 27 games vs. a team with a winning record. As for the head to head matchup, the Blue Jackets are 0-4 in their last 4 meetings in Calgary and the home team is 25-9 in the last 34 overall. It is looking like we should see Mason in the net tonight for Columbus. Mason is 11-16-5 (1-2 vs Calgary) this season with a save % of .890 and 2 shutouts. For the Flames we should see Kiprusoff who is 22-11-5 (1-1 vs Columbus) this season with a save % of .928 and 3 shutouts.
2* Calgary -1.5 +145
Tampa Bay @ New Jersey:
Once again we get a matchup of one of the worst road teams vs one of the best home teams in the league. Tampa Bay continues to struggle on the road with their overall road record now sitting at 6-11-5 where New Jersey is 16-6-0 at home this season. Tampa Bay comes into New Jersey tonight losing the last 6 meetings in Jersey. Overall the Lightning are 3-14 in the last 17 meetings between these two teams including 3 loses this season already. It is looking like we should see Smith in the net tonight for Tampa Bay. Smith this season is 9-11-6 with a save % of .904 and 1 shutout. For the Devils we will see Brodeur who is 27-10-1 this season with a save % of .922 and 5 shutouts. Brodeur was in the net for all 3 wins vs Tampa Bay this season as well.
2* New Jersey Devils -1.5 +155
Columbus @ Calgary:
Columbus travels to Calgary tonight to face a red hot team in the Flames. Calgary comes into tonights game winning 5 of their last 6 games overall. Flames are 6-0 in their last 6 games in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. The Blue Jackets come into the game losing their last 4 games after a victory. Blue Jackets have also gone 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. Northwest. Blue Jackets are 5-22 in last 27 games vs. a team with a winning record. As for the head to head matchup, the Blue Jackets are 0-4 in their last 4 meetings in Calgary and the home team is 25-9 in the last 34 overall. It is looking like we should see Mason in the net tonight for Columbus. Mason is 11-16-5 (1-2 vs Calgary) this season with a save % of .890 and 2 shutouts. For the Flames we should see Kiprusoff who is 22-11-5 (1-1 vs Columbus) this season with a save % of .928 and 3 shutouts.
2* Calgary -1.5 +145
Johnny Guild
Friday, January 8th, 2010 7:00 PM EST.
Toronto Raptors (18-18) at Philadelphia 76ers (10-24)
The Raptors have won and covered seven of their last eight games, while the struggling 76ers are a horrible 10-24 this season and have lost 6 of their last 7 home games. Look for the Raptors to grab a victory over the woeful 76ers tonight at the Wachovia Center. Philadelphia is 1-13 ATS in its last 14 games at home, 4-12 ATS in its last 16 clashes against Toronto in Philadelphia.
Toronto Raptors +2
Friday, January 8th, 2010 7:00 PM EST.
Toronto Raptors (18-18) at Philadelphia 76ers (10-24)
The Raptors have won and covered seven of their last eight games, while the struggling 76ers are a horrible 10-24 this season and have lost 6 of their last 7 home games. Look for the Raptors to grab a victory over the woeful 76ers tonight at the Wachovia Center. Philadelphia is 1-13 ATS in its last 14 games at home, 4-12 ATS in its last 16 clashes against Toronto in Philadelphia.
Toronto Raptors +2
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Diceituponline - Hammer's NHL/NBA Picks (1/8)
January 8, 2010
NHL: Colorado -125 = 15 Dimes
NHL: Toronto/Buffalo Under 6 -125 = 10 Dimes
NHL: NY Islanders/Dallas Over 5.5 +100 = 10 Dimes
NBA: Toronto/Philadelphia Under 208 = 10 Dimes
NBA: Boston +3.5 = 10 Dimes
NBA: New Jersey +10 = 10 Dimes
NBA: Indiana/Minn Under 212 = 15 Dimes
January 8, 2010
NHL: Colorado -125 = 15 Dimes
NHL: Toronto/Buffalo Under 6 -125 = 10 Dimes
NHL: NY Islanders/Dallas Over 5.5 +100 = 10 Dimes
NBA: Toronto/Philadelphia Under 208 = 10 Dimes
NBA: Boston +3.5 = 10 Dimes
NBA: New Jersey +10 = 10 Dimes
NBA: Indiana/Minn Under 212 = 15 Dimes
Vegas Runner
NBA "TRUE STEAM" for Fri (37-20 for 65%) !!
by vegas-runner on 01/08/2010 1:14 PM
Allright fellas, we had a loser in the NBA last night...and are now "37-20" (65% ATS) since launching this Blog...And as proud as I am about those results, I'm even prouder to see that so many up and coming handicappers are really learning a lot...And that they otherwise may have never had the opportunity to truely see how the Betting Syndicates approach sports betting...and the different ways that they use to beat this market...year in and year out...
The Bottom Line is that I do put a lot of time and work into each blog that I publish...And I also make sure to try and pass along the kind of "Steam" that will produce a long-term profit...Just like it does for the Wiseguys...
But with that said...I am also simply educating bettors...and giving them accurate information about what is happening, and what is behind a lot of those "early moves"...In the end, as handicappers...the decision on how you are going to use this information is ultimately yours...
I have built a small army of sources which include Bookmakers, Pro Sports Bettors, Runners, ect...And what I do each day is gather as much information from each as I possibly can...But then, it's all up to me to try and make sense of it...and decide how to use it...
That's exactly what I wish that bettors do with this Blog, and all of the "Bets & Info" that I try and pass along here at Pregame...Since day 1, my main priority and true goal as a "paid handicapper"...is to become a strong source of information for bettors...And more importantly, to try and educate bettors...the same way that I was educated by so many extremely sharp professionals...
With that, let's see if we can cash this NBA "move" tonight...and head into the weekend off an NBA winner...VR
NBA "TRUE STEAM" for 1-8-10 =
1.) MIAMI HEAT opened +7....Now +6
These are the type of moves that always used to baffle me when I was a "runner"...Because since I was a bookmaker prior, I had developed a pretty good sense of knowing where the "public money" was going to go each day...And when we would get that "Buy-Order" at 7am on a team that I just knew the public would be betting heavy that night...it would piss me off, because I thought that by waiting...we would have gotten a better line...But as I said previously, when I moved here to Vegas to apply my craft...I was shocked by the amount of Betting Syndicates that were in Vegas doing the exact same things that we were...Some at a higher level, and others at a lower one...And that's when it all began making sense...And I realized that just like the stock market, and any other market...it's going to be a daily race to get the "Best Price" on each position that we were going to take...
Tonight's game is one of those examples of the Betting Syndicates competing against each other for the best price...And as soon as the line went up on Thursday afternoon, the race to get +7 on MIAMI was on...I wasn't surprised because I had made my "True Line" a bit lower, and I also wasn't surprised when they stopped betting it after the books adjusted down to 6.5 because by that time...almost EVERY sportsbook had a line on this match-up, so I was pretty sure that the Wiseguys were able to get down what they had hoped for...at +7...
But then this morning...I did get surprised, because the Betting Syndicates came back...and they came back strong...Betting MIAMI +6.5 and even +6...Forcing the books to eventually drop this line all the way to 5.5...
That tells us that not only did the Outfits see "Line Value" in this wager...but they also saw "Handicapping Value", because after having time to work on the match-up...they were willing to come back and take a lower number...VR
LINE PREDICTION : This just shows you how much respect the sportsbooks have for these Betting Syndicates...Because even though they expect the public to come in one-sided on PHO...they still went ahead and adjusted for that "Steam"...They do this because they know these Wiseguys are going to win more bets than they lose...And rather than try to guess when they are going to be wrong, they've decided long ago to respect each wager...I've worked with those Betting Syndicates long enough to know that the books are correct, but not only do these guys win more than they lose...but they bet like robots and when they get ahead, you will never see that money again...For tonight's game, I would truely be shocked if the Wiseguys sent out another "Buy-Order"...because as I mentioned above, they took a very significant position already...Therefore, I expect the books to eventually adjust this number back up to at least 6...With the shops the cater to the public more than the Outfits possibly going back to as high as 6.5...
So if you plan on followin the "Steam"...then I feel you shouldn't lose any value by waiting, and in fact...you will probably get some more as we approach tip-off...
For those who disagree, and plan on backin the Suns...I would go ahead and lay -6 now, because I highly doubt that you will get better...
Thanks again for all your support, and best of luck...Remember, over the next 2-3 weeks...the oddsmakers/bookmakers will be looking to adjust their Ratings, to accomidate all of the public bettors who will now make their way over to basketball...And while these adjustments take place, it's good to be cautious...and try to determine if this is on of those seasons, where the Wiseguys are ahead of the books...Best of Luck, Vegas-Runner.
NBA "TRUE STEAM" for Fri (37-20 for 65%) !!
by vegas-runner on 01/08/2010 1:14 PM
Allright fellas, we had a loser in the NBA last night...and are now "37-20" (65% ATS) since launching this Blog...And as proud as I am about those results, I'm even prouder to see that so many up and coming handicappers are really learning a lot...And that they otherwise may have never had the opportunity to truely see how the Betting Syndicates approach sports betting...and the different ways that they use to beat this market...year in and year out...
The Bottom Line is that I do put a lot of time and work into each blog that I publish...And I also make sure to try and pass along the kind of "Steam" that will produce a long-term profit...Just like it does for the Wiseguys...
But with that said...I am also simply educating bettors...and giving them accurate information about what is happening, and what is behind a lot of those "early moves"...In the end, as handicappers...the decision on how you are going to use this information is ultimately yours...
I have built a small army of sources which include Bookmakers, Pro Sports Bettors, Runners, ect...And what I do each day is gather as much information from each as I possibly can...But then, it's all up to me to try and make sense of it...and decide how to use it...
That's exactly what I wish that bettors do with this Blog, and all of the "Bets & Info" that I try and pass along here at Pregame...Since day 1, my main priority and true goal as a "paid handicapper"...is to become a strong source of information for bettors...And more importantly, to try and educate bettors...the same way that I was educated by so many extremely sharp professionals...
With that, let's see if we can cash this NBA "move" tonight...and head into the weekend off an NBA winner...VR
NBA "TRUE STEAM" for 1-8-10 =
1.) MIAMI HEAT opened +7....Now +6
These are the type of moves that always used to baffle me when I was a "runner"...Because since I was a bookmaker prior, I had developed a pretty good sense of knowing where the "public money" was going to go each day...And when we would get that "Buy-Order" at 7am on a team that I just knew the public would be betting heavy that night...it would piss me off, because I thought that by waiting...we would have gotten a better line...But as I said previously, when I moved here to Vegas to apply my craft...I was shocked by the amount of Betting Syndicates that were in Vegas doing the exact same things that we were...Some at a higher level, and others at a lower one...And that's when it all began making sense...And I realized that just like the stock market, and any other market...it's going to be a daily race to get the "Best Price" on each position that we were going to take...
Tonight's game is one of those examples of the Betting Syndicates competing against each other for the best price...And as soon as the line went up on Thursday afternoon, the race to get +7 on MIAMI was on...I wasn't surprised because I had made my "True Line" a bit lower, and I also wasn't surprised when they stopped betting it after the books adjusted down to 6.5 because by that time...almost EVERY sportsbook had a line on this match-up, so I was pretty sure that the Wiseguys were able to get down what they had hoped for...at +7...
But then this morning...I did get surprised, because the Betting Syndicates came back...and they came back strong...Betting MIAMI +6.5 and even +6...Forcing the books to eventually drop this line all the way to 5.5...
That tells us that not only did the Outfits see "Line Value" in this wager...but they also saw "Handicapping Value", because after having time to work on the match-up...they were willing to come back and take a lower number...VR
LINE PREDICTION : This just shows you how much respect the sportsbooks have for these Betting Syndicates...Because even though they expect the public to come in one-sided on PHO...they still went ahead and adjusted for that "Steam"...They do this because they know these Wiseguys are going to win more bets than they lose...And rather than try to guess when they are going to be wrong, they've decided long ago to respect each wager...I've worked with those Betting Syndicates long enough to know that the books are correct, but not only do these guys win more than they lose...but they bet like robots and when they get ahead, you will never see that money again...For tonight's game, I would truely be shocked if the Wiseguys sent out another "Buy-Order"...because as I mentioned above, they took a very significant position already...Therefore, I expect the books to eventually adjust this number back up to at least 6...With the shops the cater to the public more than the Outfits possibly going back to as high as 6.5...
So if you plan on followin the "Steam"...then I feel you shouldn't lose any value by waiting, and in fact...you will probably get some more as we approach tip-off...
For those who disagree, and plan on backin the Suns...I would go ahead and lay -6 now, because I highly doubt that you will get better...
Thanks again for all your support, and best of luck...Remember, over the next 2-3 weeks...the oddsmakers/bookmakers will be looking to adjust their Ratings, to accomidate all of the public bettors who will now make their way over to basketball...And while these adjustments take place, it's good to be cautious...and try to determine if this is on of those seasons, where the Wiseguys are ahead of the books...Best of Luck, Vegas-Runner.
SPORTS WAGERS
Sacramento +1.72 over GOLDEN STATE
The Kings have won just three road games in 15 tries but this looks like a good spot for them. Sac-town was playing some very decent basketball right around Christmas when they took the Lakers and Cav’s both to OT before losing. They then beat the Nuggets and subsequently ran out of steam with four successive losses. They’ve now had two full days off and they also take to the road for just the second time in two weeks. It’ll be good for them to get away from home, regroup and see if they can get this thing going again. There’s no denying they’re one of the most talented and exciting young clubs in the game. The Warriors, too, are young and exciting but have been for about 20 years now. They’ll return home from a four-game trip on just one days rest and although they’re getting healthier, this is a vulnerable spot to be in. Golden State has the Cav’s on deck and could be a little flat tonight. Expect the Kings to be energized and ready to go. Play: Sacramento +1.72 (Risking 2 units).
PHILADELPHIA –2 over Toronto
The Raps stock is gaining steam and after Wednesday’s win in Orlando it’s as high as it’s been in some time now. Thing is, this is a team that loses focus real fast and more often than not lose after a big win. Toronto is just 6-13 on the road and they wanted that win over Orlando as badly as any game this year. They hung on for dear life after Orlando rallied from a 12-point, fourth quarter deficit. Now the Raps will take a step down in class after that big win and they have the Celtics at home on Sunday. Meanwhile, the 76ers returned home from a long six-game excursion amidst all the controversy over the Gilbert Arenas incident. Washington won that game and now the 76ers will play its second game back at home after the trip. Philly had a very nice trip and in fact, picked up three wins in Portland, Sacramento and Denver. Those are three good wins indeed. The 76ers are 14 games under .500 and they’re probably not going anywhere but they’re a whole lot better than its record indicates and they really showed signs of life on that last trip. This is a great spot for them to get it going at home and again, it’s a very vulnerable spot for the visitor. Play: Philadelphia –2 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
Sacramento +1.72 over GOLDEN STATE
The Kings have won just three road games in 15 tries but this looks like a good spot for them. Sac-town was playing some very decent basketball right around Christmas when they took the Lakers and Cav’s both to OT before losing. They then beat the Nuggets and subsequently ran out of steam with four successive losses. They’ve now had two full days off and they also take to the road for just the second time in two weeks. It’ll be good for them to get away from home, regroup and see if they can get this thing going again. There’s no denying they’re one of the most talented and exciting young clubs in the game. The Warriors, too, are young and exciting but have been for about 20 years now. They’ll return home from a four-game trip on just one days rest and although they’re getting healthier, this is a vulnerable spot to be in. Golden State has the Cav’s on deck and could be a little flat tonight. Expect the Kings to be energized and ready to go. Play: Sacramento +1.72 (Risking 2 units).
PHILADELPHIA –2 over Toronto
The Raps stock is gaining steam and after Wednesday’s win in Orlando it’s as high as it’s been in some time now. Thing is, this is a team that loses focus real fast and more often than not lose after a big win. Toronto is just 6-13 on the road and they wanted that win over Orlando as badly as any game this year. They hung on for dear life after Orlando rallied from a 12-point, fourth quarter deficit. Now the Raps will take a step down in class after that big win and they have the Celtics at home on Sunday. Meanwhile, the 76ers returned home from a long six-game excursion amidst all the controversy over the Gilbert Arenas incident. Washington won that game and now the 76ers will play its second game back at home after the trip. Philly had a very nice trip and in fact, picked up three wins in Portland, Sacramento and Denver. Those are three good wins indeed. The 76ers are 14 games under .500 and they’re probably not going anywhere but they’re a whole lot better than its record indicates and they really showed signs of life on that last trip. This is a great spot for them to get it going at home and again, it’s a very vulnerable spot for the visitor. Play: Philadelphia –2 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
MCA Sports NBA Picks
Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks
8:30 p.m. est.
Site: Bradley Center
Team records:
Chicago: 14-19 SU, 13-18-2 ATS
Milwaukee: 14-18 SU, 18-14 ATS
Derrick Rose went for 24 points and nine assists for Chicago
in its 114-108 loss to Charlotte on Tuesday.
Andrew Bogut drained 18 points, as the Bucks dumped
the Nets 98-76 on Tuesday.
The total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.
Edge: Bucks
OUR OPINION: Milwaukee Bucks -3½
Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks
8:30 p.m. est.
Site: Bradley Center
Team records:
Chicago: 14-19 SU, 13-18-2 ATS
Milwaukee: 14-18 SU, 18-14 ATS
Derrick Rose went for 24 points and nine assists for Chicago
in its 114-108 loss to Charlotte on Tuesday.
Andrew Bogut drained 18 points, as the Bucks dumped
the Nets 98-76 on Tuesday.
The total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.
Edge: Bucks
OUR OPINION: Milwaukee Bucks -3½
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Washington +3.5
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this game is on Washington:
The 24th-ranked Huskies should have plenty of motivation as they try for a seventh straight road win over Arizona State in a conference matchup Friday night.
Coming off its first Pac-10 regular-season championship since 1953, Washington (10-3, 1-1) began its title defense with a lethargic 76-70 home win over Oregon State on New Year’s Eve. The overall effort wasn’t much better in a shocking 90-79 home loss to Oregon on Saturday.
It was certainly not the way Washington expected to open conference play, especially not when the Huskies are the only ranked team in a league that is considered to be average at best when compared to the other major power conferences in the country.
“We’ve got to come back together, not let this game drop our confidence and just be ready,” said Washington sixth man Venoy Overton, who’s averaging 13.5 points in the two conference games.
Washington is 4-1 its last five and has history on its side; 5-0 ATS its last five on the road vs. Arizona State.
On the other side of the court: While Washington is averaging a league-leading 82.5 points on the season and 81.3 during its six-game road winning streak against Arizona State, the Sun Devils are allowing just 55.2 per game.
With last season’s top scorers James Harden and Jeff Pendergraph in the NBA, Arizona State has lost two straight.
Keep in mind that the Sun Devils always struggle against the Huskies; 2-13 SU their last 15 matchups.
Bottom line: Arizona State is facing its second ranked opponent of the season after losing 64-53 to then-No. 7 Duke on Nov. 25 and I expect another "letdown" this evening; look for WASHINGTON to improve to 1-1 ATS this year as an underdog and for Arizona State to fall to 3-6 ATS when playing the roll of favorite!
9* WASHINGTON
Washington +3.5
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this game is on Washington:
The 24th-ranked Huskies should have plenty of motivation as they try for a seventh straight road win over Arizona State in a conference matchup Friday night.
Coming off its first Pac-10 regular-season championship since 1953, Washington (10-3, 1-1) began its title defense with a lethargic 76-70 home win over Oregon State on New Year’s Eve. The overall effort wasn’t much better in a shocking 90-79 home loss to Oregon on Saturday.
It was certainly not the way Washington expected to open conference play, especially not when the Huskies are the only ranked team in a league that is considered to be average at best when compared to the other major power conferences in the country.
“We’ve got to come back together, not let this game drop our confidence and just be ready,” said Washington sixth man Venoy Overton, who’s averaging 13.5 points in the two conference games.
Washington is 4-1 its last five and has history on its side; 5-0 ATS its last five on the road vs. Arizona State.
On the other side of the court: While Washington is averaging a league-leading 82.5 points on the season and 81.3 during its six-game road winning streak against Arizona State, the Sun Devils are allowing just 55.2 per game.
With last season’s top scorers James Harden and Jeff Pendergraph in the NBA, Arizona State has lost two straight.
Keep in mind that the Sun Devils always struggle against the Huskies; 2-13 SU their last 15 matchups.
Bottom line: Arizona State is facing its second ranked opponent of the season after losing 64-53 to then-No. 7 Duke on Nov. 25 and I expect another "letdown" this evening; look for WASHINGTON to improve to 1-1 ATS this year as an underdog and for Arizona State to fall to 3-6 ATS when playing the roll of favorite!
9* WASHINGTON
