Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Boise St vs. Fresno St
For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this matchup is on the visiting side: In what could very well decide the WAC Champion, I'm looking for Boise State to do just enough in this game to come away with the SU and ATS victory. Boise State (2-0) comes into this game ranked 10th in the country, opening the season with an impressive 19-8 win over the Oregon Ducks and a blowout 48-0 win over Miami (OH). For Fresno State (1-1), the Bulldogs returned home after a disappointing loss to Wisconsin this past weekend. A game that was easily winnable. Late turnovers and a missed field goal, though, allowed Wisconsin to sneak away with a 34-31, double-overtime victory; although this game is extremely important for both teams, I'm expecting a "letdown" in this spot for the Bulldogs after last weeks disappointing loss. The Broncos have won three straight over the Bulldogs, beating them 61-10 last season as it outgained Fresno State 494-294 in that game, and the Broncos’ offense and defense are looking similarly dominant this season. There are simply too many things that have to "go right" for Fresno State to compete in this one: the offense must be perfect, the defense must be perfect and they can't make any silly mistakes or turnovers; too "tall of an order" in my opinion. Dating back to last season the Bronco's are a perfect 5-0 ATS their last five overall and over the last two seasons are a perfect 3-0 ATS as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 10 points. Look for all of the above factors to play a significant roll in the outcome of this game as BOISE STATE gets the cover!