ebb 3 unit (rare)
Atlanta Braves (-127) over Washington Nationals (3.0 Units) -
We have basically called this Braves game our Game of the Year. The Braves just swept the Phillies at home and throughout that whole series, they were able to hold the Phillies to just 7 runs in 3 games.
With that said, these Braves will have a great deal of confidence coming into today's game. They will be facing their third consecutive lefty and because they average about 2 more runs a game against lefties than they do against righties, we'd expect them to do quite well offensively.
The Nationals are a league's worst 5-20 in the first game of a series and they have to play today on the back of being swept on the road by the Marlins. The only good thing today is the fact that the Nationals have had a day of rest but because they are so horrible in the first game of a series, we don't expect that day off will do them much good.
These Braves are a steal at -127 considering they get to face a lefty, are fighting a team so poor in Game 1's, are off a sweep and facing a team that was swept.
Here's a system for you to gobble on. Road teams off a sweep and facing a team that was swept is [21-14, +9.7 units] if they swept a divisional rival. That issue is a key. If the team they swept was NOT a divisional rival, they would have gone [24-31, -7.7 units]. This is why we know it works... because you toggle one little detail and you wind up with completely different results.
And the reason is kind of simple. It is incredibly tough for a team to sweep their divisional rival... that was why we bet against these Braves yesterday. But for them to do so just proves they are such a great bet now.
Take this game action regardless of pitcher.
Atlanta Braves (-127) over Washington Nationals (3.0 Units) -
We have basically called this Braves game our Game of the Year. The Braves just swept the Phillies at home and throughout that whole series, they were able to hold the Phillies to just 7 runs in 3 games.
With that said, these Braves will have a great deal of confidence coming into today's game. They will be facing their third consecutive lefty and because they average about 2 more runs a game against lefties than they do against righties, we'd expect them to do quite well offensively.
The Nationals are a league's worst 5-20 in the first game of a series and they have to play today on the back of being swept on the road by the Marlins. The only good thing today is the fact that the Nationals have had a day of rest but because they are so horrible in the first game of a series, we don't expect that day off will do them much good.
These Braves are a steal at -127 considering they get to face a lefty, are fighting a team so poor in Game 1's, are off a sweep and facing a team that was swept.
Here's a system for you to gobble on. Road teams off a sweep and facing a team that was swept is [21-14, +9.7 units] if they swept a divisional rival. That issue is a key. If the team they swept was NOT a divisional rival, they would have gone [24-31, -7.7 units]. This is why we know it works... because you toggle one little detail and you wind up with completely different results.
And the reason is kind of simple. It is incredibly tough for a team to sweep their divisional rival... that was why we bet against these Braves yesterday. But for them to do so just proves they are such a great bet now.
Take this game action regardless of pitcher.
Speculating Sports
Pittsburgh at Florida 6:10pm EST
Selection: FLORIDA -155
Profile: Christopher Volstad has struggled recently, but he turned things around in his last start. His arm strength has greatly improved, so I look for him to carry that momentum into this game. In addition, Charlie Morton hasn't pitched deep into any of his starts, which will be a problem for the Pirates bullpen that pitched extended innings yesterday. Florida is a very good home team, while Pittsburgh has struggled mightily on the road. Look for the Marlins to get an easy win.
2 UNIT SELECTION
Houston at San Francisco 10:10pm EST
Selection: UNDER 8.5 RUNS
Profile: This game features a battle of two outstanding young starters. Neither team has seen either starting pitcher before, and both pitchers both are in good form. In addition, each team is coming off of a road trip, with San Francisco coming off of an extended trip. I look for each team to be sluggish in this night game because of the travel situation. Houston and San Francisco also hit much worse against right handers. Look for this game to be low scoring and dominated by both starters.
2 UNIT SELECTION
Baltimore at LA Angels 10:10pm EST
Selection: LA ANGELS -147
Profile: Ervin Santana is making his first start for Anaheim after coming off of the DL. He pitched very well in his minor league start, as well as a bullpen session. The Angels got a win last night against the Orioles, and they are one of the hottest teams in baseball. I look for Santana to bring a very focused effort tonight to get off to a good start in the rotation. David Hernandez hasn't really been tested since entering the rotation, especially on the road. I look for him to get hit hard tonight against one of the better line-ups in the league. Baltimore is also one of the worst road teams in baseball, while Anaheim plays very well at home.
2 UNIT SELECTION
Pittsburgh at Florida 6:10pm EST
Selection: FLORIDA -155
Profile: Christopher Volstad has struggled recently, but he turned things around in his last start. His arm strength has greatly improved, so I look for him to carry that momentum into this game. In addition, Charlie Morton hasn't pitched deep into any of his starts, which will be a problem for the Pirates bullpen that pitched extended innings yesterday. Florida is a very good home team, while Pittsburgh has struggled mightily on the road. Look for the Marlins to get an easy win.
2 UNIT SELECTION
Houston at San Francisco 10:10pm EST
Selection: UNDER 8.5 RUNS
Profile: This game features a battle of two outstanding young starters. Neither team has seen either starting pitcher before, and both pitchers both are in good form. In addition, each team is coming off of a road trip, with San Francisco coming off of an extended trip. I look for each team to be sluggish in this night game because of the travel situation. Houston and San Francisco also hit much worse against right handers. Look for this game to be low scoring and dominated by both starters.
2 UNIT SELECTION
Baltimore at LA Angels 10:10pm EST
Selection: LA ANGELS -147
Profile: Ervin Santana is making his first start for Anaheim after coming off of the DL. He pitched very well in his minor league start, as well as a bullpen session. The Angels got a win last night against the Orioles, and they are one of the hottest teams in baseball. I look for Santana to bring a very focused effort tonight to get off to a good start in the rotation. David Hernandez hasn't really been tested since entering the rotation, especially on the road. I look for him to get hit hard tonight against one of the better line-ups in the league. Baltimore is also one of the worst road teams in baseball, while Anaheim plays very well at home.
2 UNIT SELECTION
vegas-runner | MLB Total Fri, 07/03/09 - 10:05 PM ?"
triple-dime bet 913 LOS / 914 SDP Under 7.5 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
*** MLB 3* BEST (TOTAL) BET of the DAY ***
KURODA vs GAUDIN....UNDER 7.5 (-120)
Fellas, I went ahead and Uploaded this Selection even before the 2*s, because I know for fact that the Wiseguys have this Bet on their Radar as well...and the Runners should be Betting it UNDER sometime before 1st Pitch...
In fact, some Books have already gone to 7...which I would still bet because it could only turn a Win into a Push and not a Loss...But obviously, the Value would decrease due to the Key Number...
Fortunately, there is more than enough Bettors on the OVER to force many books to keep it at 7.5...But I was really hoping the Outfits wouldn't get involved so we could have possibly gotten this at 8...and maybe dropped a 4* on them...VR
triple-dime bet 913 LOS / 914 SDP Under 7.5 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
*** MLB 3* BEST (TOTAL) BET of the DAY ***
KURODA vs GAUDIN....UNDER 7.5 (-120)
Fellas, I went ahead and Uploaded this Selection even before the 2*s, because I know for fact that the Wiseguys have this Bet on their Radar as well...and the Runners should be Betting it UNDER sometime before 1st Pitch...
In fact, some Books have already gone to 7...which I would still bet because it could only turn a Win into a Push and not a Loss...But obviously, the Value would decrease due to the Key Number...
Fortunately, there is more than enough Bettors on the OVER to force many books to keep it at 7.5...But I was really hoping the Outfits wouldn't get involved so we could have possibly gotten this at 8...and maybe dropped a 4* on them...VR
vegas-runner | MLB Total Fri, 07/03/09 - 10:05 PM ?"
triple-dime bet 913 LOS / 914 SDP Under 7.5 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
*** MLB 3* BEST (TOTAL) BET of the DAY ***
KURODA vs GAUDIN....UNDER 7.5 (-120)
Fellas, I went ahead and Uploaded this Selection even before the 2*s, because I know for fact that the Wiseguys have this Bet on their Radar as well...and the Runners should be Betting it UNDER sometime before 1st Pitch...
In fact, some Books have already gone to 7...which I would still bet because it could only turn a Win into a Push and not a Loss...But obviously, the Value would decrease due to the Key Number...
Fortunately, there is more than enough Bettors on the OVER to force many books to keep it at 7.5...But I was really hoping the Outfits wouldn't get involved so we could have possibly gotten this at 8...and maybe dropped a 4* on them...VR
vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/03/09 - 7:10 PM ?"
double-dime bet 910 CIN (+110) Bodog vs 909 STL
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
BAILEY over Pineiro
vegas-runner | MLB Total Fri, 07/03/09 - 6:35 PM ?"
double-dime bet 905 ATL / 906 WAS Over 9.5 BetUS
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
KAWAKAMI vs DETWILER....OVER 9.5 (-110)
triple-dime bet 913 LOS / 914 SDP Under 7.5 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
*** MLB 3* BEST (TOTAL) BET of the DAY ***
KURODA vs GAUDIN....UNDER 7.5 (-120)
Fellas, I went ahead and Uploaded this Selection even before the 2*s, because I know for fact that the Wiseguys have this Bet on their Radar as well...and the Runners should be Betting it UNDER sometime before 1st Pitch...
In fact, some Books have already gone to 7...which I would still bet because it could only turn a Win into a Push and not a Loss...But obviously, the Value would decrease due to the Key Number...
Fortunately, there is more than enough Bettors on the OVER to force many books to keep it at 7.5...But I was really hoping the Outfits wouldn't get involved so we could have possibly gotten this at 8...and maybe dropped a 4* on them...VR
vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/03/09 - 7:10 PM ?"
double-dime bet 910 CIN (+110) Bodog vs 909 STL
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
BAILEY over Pineiro
vegas-runner | MLB Total Fri, 07/03/09 - 6:35 PM ?"
double-dime bet 905 ATL / 906 WAS Over 9.5 BetUS
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
KAWAKAMI vs DETWILER....OVER 9.5 (-110)
