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Scott Delaney
Scott Delaney
Friday ...
40-Dime BYU - The honeymoon is over, sorry to say, for San Diego State. As impressive as the Aztecs looked yesterday, I'd have to say they simply beat up on a UNLV team that has been non-existent all season and was bound to get trounced. And mainly because the Cougars avoided disaster Thursday in the quarterfinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament, I believe that was the wake-up call they needed.
Fact is, the Cougars had it tough for a reason, the same way the Aztecs had it easy. And though beating the Falcons likely ensured the Cougars an at-large berth, a win over San Diego State tonight in the semifinals would solidify the bid. BYU swept the regular-season series, winning 77-71 in Provo and 69-59 in San Diego, and that right there alone is enough for me to belive the Cougars can complete the sweep.
The betting numbers tell us everything, as SD State is mired in spread slides of 3-9 as an underdog, 3-10 when catching points in this range, 2-6 in conference play, 2-9 on a neutral sit and 1-6 on Fridays.
On the contrary, the Cougs are on ATS runs of 9-2 in conference play, 7-2 laying chalk and off a straight-up win, 6-1 on Fridays and 7-0 against winning teams.
Take BYU
10-Dime OVER Buffalo/Ball State - This is a bonus play, let's not get too excited guys. I'm simply playing the way the numbers dictate. And the numbers tell me this one should soar based on recent play, and how these defenses perform on the road. The Bulls will likely dictate the pace, and they've gone over in four straight - all in conference play. The over is also on runs of 6-2 with Buff on a neutral court, 8-3 when it's a favorite and 5-2 after covering.
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