I'm learning, as you guys are saying, that you rarely do see a huge favorite win a postseason game in college basketball. Although I've watched march madness my whole life, this is my 1st season betting it intensely. If it was so easy as picking against the public, why don't people do it more? I know it's hard to go against the huge favorite, but damn.
50/50 against the pub....got to try and find where the public is more successful and least successful....at what percentages and with what line movement? over the past 3 marches, the public is 10-3 when backing the home fave when the line moves 1 1/2 to 2 points against them, but only a 50/50 prop when the line moves with them in this instance....public also 8-2 when line moves against them at 1 1/2 to 2 points when backing a designated home fave -- at this point in season usually the higher seeded team -- at 50 - 79%.... again, this dates back to march 9 of '06, march 9 '07 and march 9 of '08 through end of season.....
