Welcome to Ecks & Bacon for Saturday, February 6, 2016 by Benjamin Lee Eckstein (Super Bowl Selection)
Now the pick. It's gonna be Denver and we bought the Broncos at +6 points (and the UNDER, DENVER 22-21). And the reasons are Peyton Manning, the Broncos D, the Super Bowl zebra and a PERFECTO as an underdog.
So, Peyton. Will he retire? Will he play for Denver next year? Will he go to the L.A. Rams? Really don't care. The DRIVING force here is Manning's UTTER and COMPLETE EMBARRASSMENT in Super Bowl XLVIII when the Broncs were STOMPED by the Seahawks, 43-8. From the first snap which flew over Peyton's head and resulted in a safety, to the two INTs, and a general state of confusion, it was, UGLIFIED! Not this time. Uh Uh. Despite what you hear from Manning crying about his lack of arm strength, and a possible hip replacement surgery, #18 is in it to WIN IT! And we're looking at a Hollywood ending, just like John Elway, but without the FLIP!
Okay, now the defense. Denver has the #1 D in the NFL, and when a team comes into Super Sunday #1, they have won NINE of 11. Easy peasy.
Does the referee make a difference? You BET YOUR ZEBRA STRIPES! Clete Blakeman is gonna have the whistle for Super Bowl 50, and that's GREAT news for Broncos fans. Denver has had great success with Blakeman working its games since he made the jump from field judge to referee back in 2010. In five games since the move (including the postseason), Denver has gone 5-0 straight up and 4-1 against the spread when Blakeman’s crew is on the field. Wondering about the Panthers and Clete? Carolina has played four times with Blakeman and crew, posting a 2-2 mark, straight up and against the spread.
Just one sentence needed here. Denver is 5-0 as an underdog, FIVE AND OH!
However, it ain't gonna be easy against Cam Newton. Superman was my ABSOLUTE favorite show growing up in the 1950s. Don't have as many figures on my shelf as Jerry Seinfeld, but it's close. Knew every episode, every line, every sound effect. Love the fact that Cam has the Superman thing going, and that they even play the famous theme music down in Carolina after he scores a TD, but even Superman has KRYPTONITE! It's name is VON MILLER!
For your wagering pleasure, we present the all important spread stats. The Broncos finished up with an overall 10-7-1 spread mark, 6-2 on the road, and as we mentioned before, PERFECTION as an underdog at 5-0. If you're into totals, Denver had 10 unders, six overs and two pushes. The Panthers closed with a solid 13-5 overall record against the spread, 5-3 on the road and 10-5 as a favorite. As for the totals, Carolina had 12 overs and 6 unders.
Looks like the weather will not be a worry. The latest forecast calls for temps in the mid-70s at kickoff, with light winds around 8 mph, and NO precipitation.
And in case you're worried about the turf, don't. The NFL has replaced the entire field with 75,000 square feet of sod. It arrived at Levi’s Stadium on 25 trucks in 550 one-ton rolls, grown on plastic to give it a stronger base. The NFL will use the same Bermuda 419 hybrid the 49ers have had success with in 2015, and, from the same growers. Drop that on your wife/girlfriend/significant other, and they are bound to be impressed.
Where are we going for the total? With two STOUT defenses, we're gonna go UNDER the posted total of 45 points, and throw out a final score that looks like....
Broncos 22-21.
Hope to see you in VEGAS BABY, but if you can't join me, have a SUPER, profitable, and, SAFE Sunday, and gimme a FULL Benjamin on the Manning family.