The Saturday Edge
NCAA Championship Game – April 6th, 2015
By Brandon Fine (NCAA Tournament: 17-4)
We have arrived at the end of another great college basketball season. Saturday night featured one of the best Final Four games of all time, with Wisconsin stunning the world with an upset win over Kentucky (although I did predict it), and it also showed Duke put on a dominant display to advance to Coach K’s 9th title game. Posting a 17-4 mark in the tournament and riding a 15 game win streak into tonight, I have made my pick for the National Championship.
Duke (+1) vs. Wisconsin: Honestly, this was a pretty difficult decision. Both of these teams have incredible offensive ratings, with Wisconsin leading the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, while Duke ranked 3rd in that category. In a head to head earlier in the season, Duke beat Wisconsin 80-70, and while both of these teams have gotten better throughout the year, it is interesting to note the Badger who performed the best in that game was Traveon Jackson, who was injured shortly after and has not had a good NCAA tournament thus far. The problem in that game for Wisconsin was defense, allowing Duke to shoot 65% from the field. Throughout the tournament, Duke has been one of the best defensive teams, allowing just 55.0 PPG to its opponents, while Wisconsin has mainly relied on their offense to advance. Duke matches up well defensively with the Badgers, and as great as the post battle will be between Okafor and Kaminsky, I think the best match up to watch tonight will be Justise Winslow vs. Sam Dekker. Dekker has been arguably the best player for Wisconsin in the past couple of games, while Winslow has been a lock down defender and most likely the best offensive player for the Blue Devils as well. Neither of these teams get into foul trouble, a tribute to the excellent coaching by Bo Ryan and Mike Krzyzewski, and that will be a huge part of tonight’s game because the best players will be able to remain on the floor. There is a reason this game was released as a Pick’Em, and will most likely close at a 1 or 1.5 point spread, and that is due to the fact that these teams are so incredibly even. The advantage that I see for Duke tonight is on the sideline, and while Coach K is 0-3 all time in title games against #1 seeds, I think someone has probably informed him of that fact and that will add enough motivation for him to bring home a championship for Duke in what I firmly believe to be one of the best National Championships of the decade.